2013/14 NBA Free Agents Rumors


Odds & Ends: Jay-Z, Salary Cap, Free Agency

April 2 at 11:08pm CST By Alex Lee

Here are some odds and ends from around the NBA as we wind down on this Tuesday night:

  • In HoopsWorld's daily NBA PM feature, Yannis Koutroupis writes that Jay-Z, between his relationships with the NBA's stars and the respect he gets amongst America's youth, could become a "serious force in quick fashion" as he enters the realm of the sports agency.  Koutroupis also hits on the Pacers coping to life without Granger and the Knicks thriving with a healthy roster. 
  • ESPN's salary cap guru Larry Coon separates about half of the NBA's teams into four tiers in his latest Insiders only piece; big spenders, low-tax teams, just below the [luxury] tax line and teams with big cap room.  It looks like the new CBA rules will harshy impact the Heat, Knicks and Lakers, while the Cavaliers, Pistons, Jazz and Hawks are in good shape to make an offseason splash. 
  • Moke Hamilton of Sheridan Hoops releases version 5.0 of his free agency rankings, within which Kenyon Martin and Andray Blatche have slid into the 11 and 15 spots respectively, and bumped Manu Ginobili and Andrew Bynum from the list. 




Odds & Ends: Free Agency, Draft, Marketability

April 1 at 4:50pm CST By Alex Lee
As more teams are eliminated from playoff contention, fans will undoubtedly turn some of their attention to this summer's free agent crop and draft, looking for a quick-fix that will land their team back in the playoffs next year.  As a result, we are sure to see an increase in the publication of free agency and draft rankings.  Let's look at a few lists here, as well as some other notes from around the league:
  • Amin Elhassan, formerly of the Suns front office, ranks this summer's top 30 free agents for ESPN Insiders based on the average annual value (AAV) that he believes the player deserves.  Among other things, Elhassan says that he considered the following factors: age, injury history, value of recent comparable player contracts, irreplaceability of skill set, contribution to winning, history of production, fit with style and culture, marketability and current cap situation.  
  • Also from ESPN, Israel Gutierrez and a panel from the TrueHoop Network break down how some of the offseason's top free agents compare to one another.  Of the five presented comparisons, the only consensus is that Brandon Jennings is more valuable than his teammate Monta Ellis
  • We saw a pair of underclassmen declare their intent to enter the draft earlier today.  Jeff Goodman of CBS gives his take on which of the other underclassmen should follow suit.  The players have until April 16 to reverse their declaration if they want to maintain their college eligibility.  Also, Goodman links to his early entry tracker
  • Jonathan Givony tweets that his Draft Express Top 100 was updated today, with the players headed back to school removed.  Hoops Rumors' Prospect Profile series page is sorted based on Givony's rankings, and should become more complete every week as we approach the June 27 draft date. 
  • David Aldridge of NBA.com gives his take on the point guards that will be available in June's draft, concluding that while there isn't a Kyrie Irving-type of star within the crop, there are plenty of solid pros available.  The strength of this draft has consistently been downplayed throughout the year, but we are now starting to see more experts, like Aldridge, suggest that what it lacks in star power, the crop makes up for in depth. 
  • Joe Kotoch of Sheridan Hoops releases his first mock draft, projecting a top three of Nerlens Noel, Marcus Smart and Ben McLemore.
  • There's uneasiness among executives regarding the marketability of the NBA going forward, along with a "healthy" level of doubt about incoming commissioner Adam Silver, according to Ken Berger of CBSSports.com, who wonders whether tanking and side stories are overshadowing the games.




Max Contract Scenarios For 2013 Free Agents

March 4 at 1:09pm CST By Luke Adams

Two players in this summer's free agent class, Chris Paul and Dwight Howard, are considered locks to earn maximum-salary contracts. Two other free-agents-to-be, Josh Smith and Brandon Jennings, aren't necessarily viewed as maximum-caliber players, but still may receive max offers from a desperate team. Meanwhile, Andrew Bynum is no longer a certainty for a max deal due to health concerns, though it's not out of the question that a club rolls the dice on him.

While these five players will all be in the "max-contract" discussion this summer, CBA rules dictate that if all five guys were to receive maximum offers, none of them would be earning the same amount. A specific player's maximum salary is determined by a number of factors, including service time, previous salary, and the league's basketball related income.

In determining exactly what maximum-salary offers for these five players would look like, let's first consider service time. The NBA's maximum salary is divided into three groups when it comes to service time -- players with 1-6 years of experience are eligible for a smaller max than players with 7-9 years of experience, who in turn are eligible for less than veterans that have played 10 years or more. Of our five marquee free-agents-to-be, only Jennings has fewer than seven years' experience. Howard, Paul, Bynum, and Smith were all members of either the 2004 or 2005 draft class, meaning they each fall into that 7-9 range.

As I outlined last July, the maximum salary for players with 7-9 years of experience in 2012/13 was $16,402,500. However, Howard, Paul, and Bynum all earned salaries higher than that amount this season. How? Well, long-term contracts allow players to exceed the maximum in future seasons as long as the first year of the contract adheres to the max. Howard, Paul, and Bynum are all in the final year of long-term deals, so they're all earning well above the max by now.

Because those three players are already earning more than the max, CBA rules ensure that they won't have to take a pay cut next season -- their respective maximum salaries will be worth 105% of this season's salary. For instance, Howard is earning $19,536,360 this season. 105% of that amount is $20,513,178, which will be the maximum salary he can earn for 2013/14.

Because they kept Howard through the trade deadline, the Lakers retain D12's Bird Rights, meaning they're allowed to offer him up to five years, with 7.5% raises. The same goes for the Clippers and Paul, as well as the Sixers and Bynum. As such, here's what maximum offers for these three guys would look like:

5yearFA

Rival teams with the necessary cap space or the ability to sign-and-trade would be able to offer Howard, Paul, and Bynum contracts for up to four years, with only 4.5% raises. Here's what those offers would look like:

4yearFA

As the charts show, the drop-off in guaranteed money from a max five-year deal is signficant. I'm skeptical Bynum will receive a max offer this summer, but let's consider Howard's and Paul's scenarios. Signing with a team besides the Lakers or Clippers, respectively, would take $30MM+ in guaranteed money off the table for Howard, and $27MM+ for Paul. If Howard and Paul are still performing at an elite level in 2017, they'll make up a good chunk of that salary in the 2017/18 year of their next contracts. Still, it's hard to guarantee elite production and good health that far in advance, so there'd certainly be an element of risk if either player decides to change teams.

Now, let's circle back to Smith. Unlike the three players we've already covered, Smith, at $13.2MM, wasn't earning more than the max this season. That means the max salary for a player with 7-9 years of experience will apply to him next season. Calculating Smith's contract scenarios isn't as easy as starting with this year's $16,402,500 maximum though, since that figure will increase next season, based on the NBA's projected BRI. We won't know exactly what the new max will be until July, but for argument's sake, let's assume it increases by the same rate as it did last July -- about 5.77%. That would put Smith's maximum first-year salary for 2013/14 at $17,350,125. Here's what a max offer from the Hawks and from another team would look like for Smith:

Joshsmith

Finally, we arrive at Jennings, whose earning potential is significantly less than our other four marquee free agents, simply based on his service time. The Bucks guard will be finishing up his fourth season this year, meaning he's only eligible for what would have been a $13,668,750 salary in 2012/13 -- that's the amount that players like Eric Gordon and Roy Hibbert are earning in the first year of the max contracts they signed last offseason. For Jennings, that maximum figures to increase a little for '13/14. As we did with Smith's 7-9 year max, let's assume that the 1-6 year max will increase at the same rate it did last summer, about 5.77%. That would mean Jennings' first-year max for '13/14 would be $14,458,437. Here's what his max scenarios would look like:

Brandonjennings

Jennings certainly won't receive that five-year maximum offer from the Bucks -- James Harden and Blake Griffin were the only players prior to this season that received that true max. Griffin will actually earn even more than my estimated $83MM, since starting two All-Star games during his rookie contract made him eligible for a higher max, but Harden's deal with the Rockets will be in the ballpark of that $83MM figure. For Jennings, his best chances of landing a maximum offer involve signing an offer sheet with a rival team, forcing the Bucks to decide whether or not to match. In that case, he could sign for up to four years, with 4.5% raises, as detailed above in the right-hand column.

I don't expect all five of these marquee free agents to sign maximum-salary contracts this summer, but it only takes one team willing to go all-in to quickly change the free agent landscape. Given how many clubs are expected to have significant cap space in July, it certainly wouldn't be a shock if three or four of these players received max offers. Still, not all max contracts are created equal, so be sure to consider these figures as free agent chatter heats up in the coming months.




2013/14 Non-Guaranteed Contracts

February 28 at 3:51pm CST By Luke Adams

Our list of 2013/14 free agents not only includes players who are currently in the final year of their contracts, but also guys who have some form of option for next season attached to their deals. If those options are exercised, by either the player or team, a few more names will come off this summer's free agent list.

In addition to the players with option years, a number of players are on non-guaranteed contracts for next season. Their respective teams will have to decide by a particular date, which can vary from player to player, whether to guarantee those contracts for 2013/14 or to avoid a larger cap hit by releasing them.

Not all non-guaranteed contracts are created equal, however. Plenty of players have non-guaranteed minimum-salary contracts that simply serve as a way for a team to get an extra look at a player this summer before deciding whether or not to keep him on the roster. But the stakes are a bit higher for a veteran like Rodney Stuckey, who is owed $8.5MM next season -- only $4MM of that money is currently guaranteed, meaning the Pistons face a $4.5MM decision on whether to bring him back for next season.

Listed below are all the players believed to have non-guaranteed or partially-guaranteed contracts for '13/14. Unless otherwise indicated, the contracts are minimum-salary deals with no guarantee.




2013/14 NBA Team And Player Options

December 28 at 3:09pm CST By Luke Adams

Our list of 2013/14 free agents includes players that have options or non-guaranteed contracts for next season. However, mixed in with all the rest of the free agents, it can sometimes be difficult to keep track of which players may continue playing on their current contracts. So we'll use this space to round up all the players who have a player option, an early termination option, or a team option for 2013/14.

The decision to exercise a team option can only be made by the club, while a player option can only be exercised by the player. An early termination option is a type of player option that can only be included in contracts of five years or more. If an option is picked up, the player will remain under contract for at least the 2013/14 season, while turning down an option means the player is eligible to become a free agent next July.

Listed below are the player, early termination, and team options for the 2013/14 season, along with each player's team and the amount of the option.

Player
Ray Allen (Heat) - $3.23MM
Trevor Ariza (Wizards) - $7.73MM
Jerryd Bayless (Grizzlies) - $3.14MM
Aaron Brooks (Kings) - $3.4MM
Kwame Brown (76ers) - $2.95MM
Boris Diaw (Spurs) - $4.7MM
Ben Gordon (Bobcats) - $13.2MM
Aaron Gray (Raptors) - $2.69MM
Richard Jefferson (Warriors) - $11.05MM
James Jones (Heat) - $1.5MM
Andrei Kirilenko (Timberwolves) - $10.22MM
Linas Kleiza (Raptors) - $4.6MM
Carl Landry (Warriors) - $4MM
Rashard Lewis (Heat) - $1.4MM
O.J. Mayo (Mavericks) - $4.2MM
Patrick Mills (Spurs) - $1.13MM
Paul Pierce (Celtics) - $15.33MM
Brandon Rush (Warriors) - $4MM
J.R. Smith (Knicks) - $2.93MM
Marreese Speights (Grizzlies) - $4.52MM
Charlie Villanueva (Pistons) - $8.58MM
C.J. Watson (Nets) - $1.11MM
Metta World Peace (Lakers) - $7.73MM

Early Termination
Andris Biedrins (Warriors) - $9MM
Monta Ellis (Bucks) - $11MM
Andre Iguodala (Nuggets) - $16.15MM
Shawn Marion (Mavericks) - $9.32MM
Emeka Okafor (Wizards) - $14.49MM
Hedo Turkoglu (Magic) - $12MM
Marvin Williams (Jazz) - $7MM

Team
Mario Chalmers (Heat) - $4MM
Dante Cunningham (Timberwolves) - $2.18MM
Francisco Garcia (Kings) - $6.4MM
John Lucas III (Raptors) - $1.57MM
Jodie Meeks (Lakers) - $1.55MM
Josh Selby (Grizzlies) - $884K
Hakim Warrick (Bobcats) - $4MM

Storytellers Contracts and ShamSports were used in the creation of this list.




2013/14 NBA Free Agent List Updated

August 22 at 12:14pm CST By Luke Adams

The flurry of signings and roster moves in July left us scrambling to figure out exactly how many options years or non-guaranteed seasons were included on each new contract signed this summer. Now that the dust has settled and the terms of most contracts have been reported, we have a clearer idea of what the free agent picture will look like in future offseasons.

Our list of free agents for the summer of 2014 will be published later this week, but before we get to that, we've made sure we're up to date on next summer's free agents. Using our list of 2013/14 free agents, you can see not only which players are certainly headed for free agency a year from now, but also the players whose options or non-guaranteed contracts mean they could become free agents as well.

Many players with options years or non-guaranteed deals almost certainly won't hit the free agent market next summer. For instance, Kyle Lowry's contract for 2013/14 is mostly non-guaranteed, so you'll find his name on our list, but barring a catastrophic turn of events, the Raptors will certainly be guaranteeing his deal eventually. As those decisions are made official, we'll continue to update our list, which can be found anytime on the right sidebar under "Hoops Rumors Features."

Additionally, a handful of players with non-guaranteed deals for 2013/14 are also on non- or partially-guaranteed contracts for 2012/13. Those players won't find a spot on our '13/'14 list until their status for the coming season is officially determined, so they can be found on this list in the meantime.




Kennedy On Brown, Lakers, 2014 Free Agent Class

August 12 at 7:47pm CST By Sean Highkin

Alex Kennedy of HoopsWorld has weighed in today on several relevant NBA topics, including the expectations placed on the Lakers and their options in free agency in coming years:

  • Kennedy tweets that Mike Brown will likely receive the majority of blame if the Lakers fall short of their championship aspirations following the additions of Steve Nash and Dwight Howard this offseason.
  • Kennedy also tweets that he would be surprised if Howard did not re-sign with the Lakers when he hits free agency in July 2013.
  • In a Sulia post, Kennedy takes a look at the 2014 free agent class, some of which could be options for the Lakers. Top players available include Carmelo Anthony, Dirk Nowitzki, Paul Pierce, Danny Granger, and, should they choose to opt out of their contracts in Miami, LeBron James, Dwyane Wade, and Chris Bosh.
  • In the same post, Kennedy quotes an anonymous NBA executive as believing the 2014 class has the potential to be more impressive than that of 2010.




2013/14 NBA Free Agents

March 26 at 11:34am CST By Luke Adams

Hoops Rumors' up-to-date list of 2013/14 free agents is below. These are players who are eligible for restricted or unrestricted free agency after the 2012/13 season. The player's 2013 age is in parentheses.

Players with team or player options for the 2013/14 season are listed. Players whose 2013/14 contracts aren't fully guaranteed are listed and marked with (N), while potential restricted free agents are marked with (R).

If you have any corrections or omissions, please contact us. For instant free agent updates, be sure to follow us on Twitter @hoopsrumors.

Updated 5-18-13

Point Guards
Gilbert Arenas (31)
D.J. Augustin (26)
Jerryd Bayless (25) - $3.14MM player option
Rodrigue Beaubois (25) (R)
Patrick Beverley (25) (N)
Mike Bibby (35)
Chauncey Billups (37)
Aaron Brooks (28) (N)
Will Bynum (30)
Jose Calderon (32)
Mario Chalmers (27) - $4MM team option
Darren Collison (26) (R)
Will Conroy (31)
Baron Davis (34)
Keyon Dooling (33)
Toney Douglas (27) (R)
Chris Duhon (31) (N)
Derek Fisher (39)
Diante Garrett (25) (R)
Andrew Goudelock (25)
Ben Hansbrough (26) (R)
Devin Harris (30)
Royal Ivey (32)
Jarrett Jack (30)
Mike James (38)
Charles Jenkins (24) (R)
Brandon Jennings (24) (R)
Dominique Jones (25)
Shaun Livingston (28)
Kyle Lowry (27) (N)
John Lucas III (31) - $1.57MM team option
Shelvin Mack (23) (N)
Eric Maynor (26) (R)
Jerel McNeal (26) (N)
Patrick Mills (25) - $1.13MM player option
E'Twaun Moore (24) (N)
Darius Morris (22) (R)
Jannero Pargo (34)
Jeremy Pargo (27)
Chris Paul (28)
A.J. Price (29)
Ronnie Price (30)
Pablo Prigioni (36) (R)
Chris Quinn (30) (N)
Brian Roberts (28) (N)
Nate Robinson (29)
Josh Selby (22)
Nolan Smith (25)
Jeff Teague (25) (R)
Garrett Temple (27) (R)
Jamaal Tinsley (35)
Beno Udrih (31)
C.J. Watson (29) - $1.11MM player option
Earl Watson (34)
Maalik Wayns (22) (N)
Delonte West (30)
Mo Williams (30)
Chris Wright (24)

Shooting Guards
Josh Akognon (27) (N)
Ray Allen (38) - $3.23MM player option
Tony Allen (31)
Leandro Barbosa (31)
Kent Bazemore (24) (N)
Marco Belinelli (27)
Raja Bell (37)
Keith Bogans (33)
Ronnie Brewer (28)
Shannon Brown (28) (N)
Matt Carroll (33)
Daequan Cook (26)
Marquis Daniels (32)
Chris Douglas-Roberts (27)
Wayne Ellington (26) (R)
Monta Ellis (28) - $11MM early termination option
Kim English (25) (N)
Tyreke Evans (24) (R)
Randy Foye (30)
Daniel Gibson (27)
Manu Ginobili (36)
Ben Gordon (30) - $13.2MM player option
Willie Green (32) (N)
Richard Hamilton (35) (N)
Terrel Harris (26) (N)
Gerald Henderson (26) (R)
Xavier Henry (22)
Cory Higgins (24)
Wesley Johnson (26)
Dahntay Jones (33)
DeAndre Liggins (25) (N)
Kevin Martin (30)
Roger Mason Jr. (33)
O.J. Mayo (26) - $4.2MM player option
Jodie Meeks (26) - $1.58MM team option
Anthony Morrow (28)
Kevin Murphy (23) (N)
Gary Neal (29) (R)
Michael Redd (34)
J.J. Redick (29)
Quentin Richardson (33)
Brandon Roy (29)
J.R. Smith (28) - $2.93MM player option
Jerry Stackhouse (39)
Lance Stephenson (23) (N)
DeShawn Stevenson (32) (N)
Julyan Stone (25) (R)
Rodney Stuckey (27) (N)
Martell Webster (27)
Elliot Williams (24)
Reggie Williams (27)
Terrence Williams (26) (N)
Nick Young (27)

Small Forwards
Al-Farouq Aminu (23)
Alan Anderson (31)
James Anderson (24) (N)
Trevor Ariza (28) - $7.73MM player option
Luke Babbitt (24)
Matt Barnes (33)
Corey Brewer (27)
DeMarre Carroll (27)
Omri Casspi (25) (R)
Josh Childress (30)
Austin Daye (25) (R)
Carlos Delfino (31) (N)
Mike Dunleavy (33)
Devin Ebanks (24) (R)
Francisco Garcia (32) - $6.4MM team option
Mickael Gelabale (30) (N)
Donte Greene (25) (N)
Lazar Hayward (27)
Grant Hill (41) (N)
Justin Holiday (24) (N)
Tyler Honeycutt (23)
Josh Howard (33)
Andre Iguodala (29) - $16.15MM early termination option
Stephen Jackson (35)
Damion James (26)
Richard Jefferson (33) - $11.05MM player option
Chris Johnson (23)
James Johnson (26) (R)
DeQuan Jones (23) (R)
James Jones (33) - $1.5MM player option
Kris Joseph (25) (N)
Andrei Kirilenko (32) - $10.22MM player option
Kyle Korver (32)
Rashard Lewis (34) - $1.4MM player option
Corey Maggette (34)
Shawn Marion (35) - $9.32MM early termination option
Cartier Martin (29)
Tracy McGrady (34)
Dominic McGuire (28)
C.J. Miles (26) (N)
Darius Miller (23) (N)
Quincy Miller (21) (N)
Chandler Parsons (25) (N)
Sasha Pavlovic (30) (N)
Paul Pierce (36) - $15.33MM player option
Mickael Pietrus (31)
Vladimir Radmanovic (33)
Brandon Rush (28) - $4MM player option
DaJuan Summers (25) (N)
P.J. Tucker (28) (N)
Hedo Turkoglu (34) - $12MM early termination option
Luke Walton (33)
James White (31) (N)
Damien Wilkins (33)
Marvin Williams (27) - $7.5MM early termination option
Metta World Peace (34) - $7.73MM player option
Dorell Wright (28)
Sam Young (28)

Power Forwards
Jeff Adrien (27) (N)
Louis Amundson (31)
DeJuan Blair (24)
Andray Blatche (27)
Matt Bonner (33) (N)
Elton Brand (34)
DeMarre Carroll (27)
Earl Clark (25)
Chris Copeland (29) (R)
Dante Cunningham (26) - $2.18MM team option
Boris Diaw (31) - $4.7MM player option
Tyler Hansbrough (28) (R)
Josh Harrellson (24)
Al Harrington (33) (N)
J.J. Hickson (25)
Juwan Howard (40)
Antawn Jamison (37)
Jared Jeffries (32)
Ivan Johnson (29)
Kevin Jones (24) (N)
Solomon Jones (29)
Carl Landry (30) - $4MM player option
Kenyon Martin (36)
Jason Maxiell (30)
Josh McRoberts (26)
Paul Millsap (28)
Troy Murphy (33)
Lamar Odom (34)
Jeff Pendergraph (26) (R)
Shavlik Randolph (30) (N)
Willie Reed (23) (N)
Mike Scott (25) (N)
Jason Smith (27) (N)
Josh Smith (28)
Marreese Speights (26) - $4.52MM player option
Kurt Thomas (41)
Lance Thomas (25) (N)
Malcolm Thomas (25) (N)
Trey Thompkins (23)
Anthony Tolliver (28)
Ronny Turiaf (30)
Jarvis Varnado (25) (N)
Hakim Warrick (31)
David West (33)
D.J. White (27) (N)
Brandan Wright (26)

Centers
Cole Aldrich (25)
Chris Andersen (35)
Gustavo Ayon (28) (N)
Earl Barron (32)
Andris Biedrins (27) - $9MM early termination option
Kwame Brown (31) - $2.95MM player option
Andrew Bynum (26)
Jason Collins (35)
Samuel Dalembert (32)
DeSagana Diop (31)
Hamed Haddadi (28) (N)
Ryan Hollins (29)
Dwight Howard (28)
Bernard James (28) (N)
Al Jefferson (28)
Dwayne Jones (30) (N)
Chris Kaman (31)
Viacheslav Kravtsov (26) (N)
Robin Lopez (25) (N)
Darko Milicic (28)
Nazr Mohammed (36)
Timofey Mozgov (27) (R)
Byron Mullens (24) (R)
Jermaine O'Neal (35)
Kyle O'Quinn (23) (N)
Greg Oden (25)
Tim Ohlbrecht (25) (N)
Emeka Okafor (31) - $14.49MM early termination option
Daniel Orton (23) (N)
Zaza Pachulia (29)
Nikola Pekovic (27) (R)
Johan Petro (27)
Dexter Pittman (25)
Joel Przybilla (34)
Robert Sacre (24) (R)
Greg Smith (22) (N)
Tiago Splitter (28) (R)
Greg Stiemsma (28) (N)
Hasheem Thabeet (26) (N)
Jeremy Tyler (22)
Chris Wilcox (31)
Luke Zeller (26)

Storytellers Contracts was used in the creation of this list.








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