Northwest Links: Harden, Ibaka, Howard, Tinsley
We'll find out tonight if the Thunder and Nuggets will have a rematch of their first-round playoff series from last season. While Kevin Durant waits to see who his second-round opponent will be, he responded to the news that he finished second to LeBron James in the MVP voting. "I've been second since high school, man. I was drafted second. I was the second best player in high school. And second in MVP voting twice," Durant said to reporters, including Darnell Mayberry of The Oklahoman (Twitter links). "So I'm over that being second stuff." Here's the rest of what's going on with Northwest Division teams:
- Justin Kubatko of The New York Times argues that James Harden and Serge Ibaka, both of whom are eligible for extensions to their rookie contracts this summer, hold the keys to the title for the Thunder.
- The Jazz gambled and won with this year's signings of Josh Howard and Jamaal Tinsley, a pair of players who have been the subject of controversy in years past, writes Steve Luhm of The Salt Lake Tribune.
- Utah, 27th in three-point percentage during the regular season, could use some outside shooting, and Brad Rock of the Deseret News advises the Jazz to go after Clippers sixth man Mo Williams, who has an $8.5MM player option for next year. One player Rock says the team should not pursue is former BYU star Jimmer Fredette.
Money Time: Upcoming Free Agents In The Playoffs
Last week we looked at some players on the cusp of free agency who were making some surprising postseason impressions, both positive and negative, on prospective employers. With the first round almost over and the conference semifinals about to begin, let's check in with some more soon-to-be free agents in the playoffs:
Winners
Reggie Evans, Clippers: Anyone who can spark a 27-point comeback in the playoffs, as he did in Game 1, deserves to be on this list, and his energy throughout the first round has been critical for the Clippers. His already superb number of rebounds per 36 minutes has jumped from 12.7 in the regular season to 13.7 in the playoffs, and, for what it's worth, has his team's best defensive rating in the playoffs, per Basketball-Reference.
Andre Miller, Nuggets: It's easy to forget about Miller sometimes, particularly since he's been coming off the bench for Denver. Yet the NBA's 10th leading assist-maker all-time reminded everyone, including the Lakers, of what he can do with a 24-point, eight assist performance full of clutch shots in Tuesday's Game 5. He's the team's third leading scorer in the postseason at 12.7 PPG, outdoing Arron Afflalo, who signed a $36.75MM deal before the season.
Jordan Hill, Lakers (restricted): He had his breakthrough in the final week of the regular season against the Thunder, and he's continued to justify coach Mike Brown's decision to use him as the primary backup to both Andrew Bynum and Pau Gasol in the playoffs. He's pulling down more rebounds per game than Gasol in significantly fewer minutes, and has 25 offensive boards, more than anyone else in the postseason. Hill's rebounds-per-36-minutes number (13.4) nearly equals that of Reggie Evans.
Losers
O.J. Mayo, Grizzlies (restricted): The postseason is a terrible time to go through a shooting slump, but that's exactly what's happened with Mayo, who's hitting on just 31.4% of his field goal attempts against the Clippers. He went a combined 3-for-20 in Games 3, 4 and 5, and took only three shots in Game 6. His inability to efficiently handle the backup point guard duties — he's got 13 assists and 17 turnovers — isn't helping his cause, either.
Randy Foye, Clippers: Foye's minutes are up but his scoring is down for the playoffs, which is about as inauspicious as it gets for a free agent wing player. The culprit appears to his inability to get off shots and get to the line. His attempts in both categories are off while his postseason shooting percentage of 37.8% is not that far down from the 39.8% he shot in the regular season. His excuse may be that he's being guarded by Tony Allen, an elite defender, but Allen isn't with him on every possession. His Basketball-Reference defensive rating is the second worst on the team, so his struggles aren't limited to one end of the floor.
Jodie Meeks, Sixers (restricted): He started 50 games this season and played 24.9 minutes per contest, but barely got off the bench once he was removed from the starting five after Game 1 against Chicago. He took a total of three shots from the floor, missing each of them, in 32 minutes during the first round.
Knicks Notes: J.R. Smith, Stoudemire, Anthony
The Knicks delayed the inevitable with a win Sunday in Game 4 to avoid a sweep, but they met their fate tonight, losing 106-94 to the Heat in Game 5. Now, with seven free agents on the roster, the offseason work begins. Earlier today we heard the Knicks plan to bring back coach Mike Woodson, but that's just the first step in a busy summer ahead.
- J.R. Smith is sending mixed messages about whether he'll return, as Ian Begley of ESPNNewYork.com notes. He's expected to turn down his $2.5MM option for next season, and earlier this evening we heard he's keeping close tabs on the Nuggets, his old team.
- In addition to free agents Jeremy Lin and Landry Fields, Royce Young of CBSSports.com believes the team must decide on its future with Amare Stoudemire this summer.
- Sean Deveney of The Sporting News says the Knicks must find a consistent identity going forward after a season when it seemed like there were half a dozen different Knicks teams.
- The Knicks won't be one the final four teams left in the Eastern Conference playoffs, but Carmelo Anthony believes they're one of the top teams in the East and is optimistic about the future in New York, writes Marc Berman of the New York Post.
- Tyson Chandler is less upbeat, telling reporters, including Ian Begley of ESPNNewYork.com, "It's unacceptable to me. I didn't come here to lose in the first round and I don't plan on doing this in the future."
Odds & Ends: Garnett, Josh Smith, Chandler, Oden
- Michael Cunningham of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution rounded up a few remarks from Hawks co-owner Michael Gearon Jr., who called Kevin Garnett, a free agent this summer, "the dirtiest guy in the league." Gearon praised Josh Smith, who enters the final season of his contract next year, saying, "We wouldn't be where we are without him."
- Dallas Morning News columnist Kevin Sherrington, in a chat, makes the claim that former Mavs center Tyson Chandler could have swung the team's series with the Thunder.
- In light of today's news that Greg Oden will return in 2013, John Canzano of The Oregonian looks back on Oden's tenure with the Blazers and hopes the team learns from the mistake of drafting him.
Top Undrafted Rookies In 2011/12
A total of 81 players made their debuts in the NBA this past season, according to Basketball-Reference, many of whom weren't picked in last June's draft. A handful of those undrafted players made notable impacts in their rookie seasons this year. Let's take a look at the top undrafted players to debut in 2011/12:
- Just making the Hawks this season was a victory for Ivan Johnson, who long ago fell off even the most ardent fan's radar screen after a single unimpressive season at the University of Oregon in 2005/06. His willingness to do the dirty work inside earned him the opportunity, and his 13 points in 21 minutes during a nationally televised three-overtime game against the Heat was his breakthrough performance. The 6'8", 230-pound big man fortified a depleted Hawks front line, as he averaged 6.4 points and 4.0 rebounds in 16.7 minutes per game this season.
- It's only fitting that Johnson is going up against Greg Stiemsma's Celtics in the first round, since Stiemsma had a similar impact this year. He played 19.0 MPG in March and April as the Celtics stormed back from a dismal first half, and shot 66.7% in the season's final month. He was a presence inside for a team that needed one, and blocked 4.0 shots per 36 minutes.
- Donald Sloan started out with the Hawks, inked a pair of 10-day contracts with the Hornets, and finally wound up with the Cavs, signing a deal in March for the rest of the season. Cleveland gave him the chance to play, and he made it count, averaging 9.4 PPG and 5.4 APG in 33.2 MPG in 11 starts as a Cav.
- The Grizzlies felt comfortable enough with Jeremy Pargo, who made the team in training camp, that they traded backup point guard Greivis Vasquez to the Hornets right before the season, leaving his job to the undrafted rookie out of Gonzaga. Though he saw his role diminish as O.J. Mayo and midseason signee Gilbert Arenas took over the minutes behind Mike Conley, he still averaged nearly 10 MPG (9.6) and made five starts.
- Perhaps overshadowed by other talented teammates at Duke, Lance Thomas didn't get a call on draft night after his senior season in 2010. It took him an extra year, but he made it to the NBA with the Hornets this season. His numbers weren't overwhelming, but he still started 10 games and averaged 15.0 minutes in 42 games this season.
Northwest Rumors: J.R. Smith, Jazz, Nolan Smith
The Nuggets took a major step toward joining the Thunder in the second round with a win over the Lakers last night, while the rest of the Northwest looks ahead at the offseason. Here's the latest from the division:
- Former Nuggets guard J.R. Smith, who's expected to turn down his $2.5MM Knicks option for next season, has been keeping a close watch on his former team as they play in the postseason, writes Chris Tomasson of Fox Sports Florida.
- Brian T. Smith of the Salt Lake Tribune says Jazz GM Kevin O'Connor is poised to make only minor moves this summer, but Smith believes the franchise is still searching for its identity.
- Pete Christopher of OregonLive.com encourages the Blazers to hang on to Nolan Smith, the 21st pick in last year's draft, and go after an experienced veteran point guard to mentor him.
Prospect Profile: Tony Wroten
The draft is an inexact science that’s not for the faint of heart in NBA front offices, and deciding whether to take one first-round prospect in particular already has a few executives sweating. Most teams are “scared to death” of Washington point guard Tony Wroten, as Chad Ford wrote in an ESPN.com Insider piece last month. His poor decisions with the ball, deficient shooting and lack of ability to lift his team raise serious doubts about whether he can fulfill an upside that Ford says could be the best of any point guard in the draft. That Wroten once listed J.R. Smith, another questionable decision maker, as his favorite player of all-time, doesn’t exactly ease anyone’s mind. If he were judged on talent alone, Joe Treutlein of Draft Express believes the freshman would be a top 10 pick, while Ford says he would be in the top five. The doubts about him bring the official ESPN and Draft Express projections down to 21st, while NBADraft.net sees him going 26th.
It would be easy to dismiss the 19-year-old if he weren't so full of potential. His ability to get to the basket, draw fouls and make dazzling passes is hard to match. Making the difficult pass, however, means little if you can't consistently make the routine pass, and this year Wroten averaged more turnovers per game (3.8) than assists (3.7). That's as much of an indictment as any for a point guard. Treutlein points out that the lefty plays almost completely one-handed, an issue that may mitigate his penetration when facing tougher defenders and better scouting at the pro level. The same piece praises Wroten for his defense, though, noting that while he is prone to gambling for steals, he usually is effective in using his size, strength, length and instincts to his advantage. He measures 6'5", 204.5 pounds, with a 6'8" wingspan, lending credence to the notion that he's really a combo guard.
Wroten is harder to compare to other players than any other prospect in this year's draft, Jeff Goodman of CBSSports.com said this week via Twitter, but both Treutlein and Ford have thrown out the name of Tyreke Evans. Ford says some scouts believe he's the second coming of Gary Payton, but judging from everything else we hear, that seems like quite a stretch. Nate Robinson is Wroten's cousin, and he might be a reasonable match. Though Robinson is eight inches shorter, he's also a combo guard who can get to the hoop and alternates between scintillating and frustrating performances. One major difference is Robinson's outside shot; he's hit 35.4% from three-point land in his NBA career, while Wroten managed to connect on only 16.1% of his attempts from the college three-point line this year.
In Wroten's most pressure-packed moments as a collegian, the 58.3% free-throw shooter missed four straight from the line down the stretch of a two-point loss that knocked his team out of NCAA Tournament contention. While Washington was the Pac-12 regular season champ, the Huskies wound up in the NIT, a serious knock on the competition Wroten faced this year. He has experience with USA Basketball at the junior level, but his bio from those competitions reveals that he missed the entire 2009/10 season with a torn ACL. Certainly, others have fully recovered from that kind of injury, but it's another red flag that makes him such an object of concern for NBA teams.
The best outcome for Wroten might be to get with a well-run organization that can give him the guidance and time necessary to develop and use him as a third guard off the bench instead of a starter. The Celtics, who have back-t0-back picks at No. 21 and No. 22, might be tempted to take the plunge with Wroten with one of those selections if they play it conservatively with the other. Rajon Rondo and, if he re-signs, Ray Allen, could be just the kind of mentors Wroten needs to one day prove all his critics wrong.
Odds & Ends: Allen, Hawks, Anderson, Voting
It was a day of odd sightings on the hardwood, as the Knicks overcame the loss of Baron Davis to a dislocated kneecap to win their first postseason contest in 11 years. A No. 1 seed lost a third straight playoff game as the Bulls fell to the 76ers. And in Denver, a woman with a history of stalking the Nuggets came onto the court during Game 4 against the Lakers, reports J. Michael Falgoust of USA Today. Here's the rest of what raised eyebrows around the Association today:
- Teams interested in Celtics free agent Ray Allen this summer might not have to worry about how he'll respond to ankle surgery, since he says he may not go through with the procedure he originally thought was inevitable. Chris Forsberg of ESPNBoston.com first tweeted the news, and Jessica Camerato of CSNNE.com adds detail.
- Vincent Goodwill of the Detroit News believes the Hawks will deal either Josh Smith or Al Horford if the team can't rally from its 3-1 deficit to the Celtics (Twitter link). Of the two, Smith seems the easiest to trade, since 2012/13 is the last season on his contract.
- Despite a subpar showing in the playoffs so far, restricted free agent Ryan Anderson figures to be near the top of this summer's market for power forwards. There's mutual admiration between Anderson and the Magic, writes Josh Robbins of the Orlando Sentinel, who also notes the team's recent history of matching offer sheets.
- The NBA released a statement acknowledging that Ernst & Young, the same accounting firm that handles the draft lottery, made an error tabulating the Most Improved Player of the Year voting, reports Chris Bernucca of SheridanHoops.com. A first-place vote meant for Andrew Bynum was mistakenly counted for Andrew Bogut. Either way, award winner Ryan Anderson comes out on top of the voting.
- Fran Blinebury of NBA.com examines the divergent career paths of Spurs point guard Tony Parker and Jazz counterpart Devin Harris, more than four years after Parker expressed relief that Harris was traded away from the Mavs.
Central Notes: Morway, Bucks, Hamilton, Hammond
There's plenty of news out of the Central Division today, with the Bulls on the brink of elimination against the Sixers while the Pacers are in command against the Magic. The latest updates are at the top:
- Pacers GM David Morway responded to Friday's news that the Blazers are interested in him for their GM position, telling The Oregonian's Jason Quick that he's "flattered" but "right now I'm focused on the playoffs and focused on our team.'' He could also be in line for a promotion in Indiana if president of basketball operations Larry Bird steps aside, but Morway said no interview has been scheduled with Portland and he'll evaluate his options at a later date. (All Twitter links).
- Though Forbes ranks the Bucks as the NBA's least valuable franchise, there's little reason to worry that Milwaukee will go down the same path as Seattle did with the Sonics, writes Michael Hunt of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
- Richard Hamilton, who's strugged in three straight losses, hasn't been giving the Bulls what they expected when signed him before the season, as Nick Friedell of ESPNChicago.com writes.
- In a roundup of candidates for the Blazers GM job, Sam Amick of SI.com says multiple sources have told him the Bucks have denied GM John Hammond permission to interview for the position. Last month we heard about the mutual interest between Hammond and the Blazers, but Friday's joint press conference between Hammond and Bucks owner Herb Kohl seems to indicate that the Bucks will be keeping their GM.
- Mike Wells of the Indianapolis Star sat down with commissioner David Stern to talk Pacers and other topics. Stern says he's not concerned about the team's lagging attendance, which ranked 26th in the regular season this year.
- John Paxson, vice president of basketball operations for the Bulls, recently underwent surgery to try to correct a heart arrhythmia, according to an ESPN.com report. Paxson said in a statement released by the team that the procedure has been planned for over a month. The news of his health trouble came out in comments made by Sixers coach Doug Collins after today's game.
Best Second-Round Picks Of 2011
There's a bold line between the first and second rounds in the NBA draft. First-rounders get guaranteed contracts that last two years with team options for third and fourth seasons. Nothing's certain for second-rounders, who often fail to make the team out of training camp and find themselves scrambling for a job. Still, plenty of quality players emerge after pick No. 30, like Carlos Boozer, Marc Gasol and Monta Ellis. Here's a look at the top performers picked in last year's second round:
- The last player picked in the second round (and the entire draft) might be the best of them. Former University of Washington point guard Isaiah Thomas was impressive enough for the Kings to move Tyreke Evans to small forward to accomodate him in the starting lineup. He improved his PPG and APG each month, and wound up averaging 14.8 points and 5.4 assists in 37 games as a starter. He's on a three-year unguaranteed minimum-salary deal.
- The Rockets didn't treat Florida product Chandler Parsons much like a player picked 38th overall for the Rockets this year. They gave him a four-year deal worth more than $3.6MM that's guaranteed for his first two seasons, and he started all but nine of the team's games, averaging 9.5 PPG and 4.8 RPG. The 6'9" forward was particularly effective in March, when he shot 52.6% and put up 12.9 PPG and 5.8 RPG.
- Stephen Curry's creaky ankles opened up a spot in the Warriors starting lineup for Charles Jenkins, and the 44th overall pick out of Hofstra took advantage. He averaged 9.4 PPG and 6.3 APG in 16 April games, all as a starter. He has one more season left on his contract, which is an unguaranteed minimum-salary deal.
- Few expected much of a pro career from Josh Harrellson when he was at Kentucky, but the 6'10", 275-pound center is a playoff contributor for the Knicks. He started four games but has been primarily a bench option, though his 13.7 PER and 9.6 rebounds per 36 minutes show he's been productive when called upon. The last season of his two-year minimum-salary contract is not guaranteed.
- Lavoy Allen got the start in Game 1 of the playoffs for the Sixers, an unlikely fate when the team drafted him 50th overall out of Temple. He also started 15 games in the regular season, but saw only 18.9 minutes per game in those starts. Still, like Harrellson, he displayed a knack for rebounding in his limited floor time, collecting 9.9 boards per 36 minutes. He has no deal for next season yet, and will be an unrestricted free agent in the summer.