Community Shootaround

Community Shootaround: Giannis Antetokounmpo’s Future

Through the first two games of the Bucks‘ first-round series vs. Indiana, Most Valuable Player finalist Giannis Antetokounmpo has put up absolutely massive numbers, including averages of 35.0 points, 15.0 rebounds, and 4.0 assists per night on 65.1% shooting.

But he has gotten little help from his teammates in either game. Milwaukee has been outscored by 29 points when Antetokounmpo is on the floor and dropped both contests in Indiana. The Bucks are now heading back home facing a 2-0 deficit in the series.

In both 2023 and 2024, the Bucks were eliminated in the first round of the postseason without Antetokounmpo, who was unable to suit up due to injuries. With their star forward healthy and available this spring, the Bucks had higher expectations and haven’t given up on achieving them — the series is hardly out of reach if Milwaukee can defend its home court in Games 3 and 4.

However, the Pacers have looked like the better team so far, overwhelming the Bucks with their fast-paced offensive attack and creating a difficult hole for Milwaukee to climb out of.

Point guard Damian Lillard has only just returned from a month-long absence due to a blood clot in his calf and doesn’t look like he’s in peak form, while trade-deadline acquisition Kyle Kuzma hasn’t been particularly effective through two games, scoring just 12 total points on 5-of-15 shooting and grabbing three rebounds in 52 minutes of action.

As ESPN’s Brian Windhorst noted on the latest episode of his Hoop Collective podcast (YouTube link), a third consecutive first-round exit would be a disaster for the Bucks, who posted their lowest regular season winning percentage (.585) since 2017/18, have been a taxpaying team for several years, and no longer have the assets to pursue major roster upgrades. It would also lead to serious scrutiny of Antetokounmpo’s future in Milwaukee.

“Giannis has been just awesome this season,” Windhorst said (hat tip to RealGM). “He has clearly understood that they’re challenged. And he has cut the BS out of his game and cut the fat out of his game and tried doing everything he can to carry this team, and they’re just not good enough. What is he supposed to do?

“This is the elephant in the room in the league right now. This team is losing tens of millions of dollars. They’re out all their draft picks. (Brook) Lopez and (Bobby) Portis are free agents.”

Windhorst’s ESPN colleague Tim MacMahon followed up by describing the Bucks’ future as “bleak” and suggesting that Antetokounmpo may have to decide soon whether he wants to be a player who spends his entire career with one franchise or if he wants to move to a situation where he’d have a better chance to compete for more titles while he’s still in his prime.

Even if the Bucks are eliminated by the Pacers in the coming days, that decision doesn’t necessarily need to be made this summer. Antetokounmpo remains under contract with the Bucks for at least two more years, with a player option on his contract for the 2027/28 season. And Windhorst stresses that there’s no indication the two-time MVP is looking for an exit ramp.

“From talking to people in and around Milwaukee, Giannis has given no indication throughout this entire season that he is not 100% focused on maximizing what the Bucks have,” Windhorst said. “This (speculation) is people in the league looking at the lay of the land, not anything that Giannis has said to anybody.”

Still, it’s not uncommon for situations like this one involving star players to reach a head well before the player reaches free agency. “This is what people in the league are talking about as they’re watching these series,” Windhorst added.

The Nets, armed with significant cap flexibility and a huge collection of extra first-round picks, have made no secret of the fact that they’re prepared to make a major push for Antetokounmpo if the Bucks are open to considering a trade — reports for the better part of a year have indicated he’s Brooklyn’s “Plan A.” But they’d have plenty of company if Giannis ever ends up on the trade block.

We want to know what you think. Can the Bucks come back and win this first-round series vs. the Pacers? If not, will this offseason represent a tipping point for Antetokounmpo’s future or will he remain committed to Milwaukee going forward?

Head to the comment section below to weigh in with your thoughts on the outlook for Giannis.

Community Shootaround: First-Round Playoff Series

After a pair of off-days and three days of play-in games, the 2025 NBA postseason is set to begin in earnest on Saturday, with four series getting underway today and the other four to tip off on Sunday.

The first-round matchups are as follows, along with the date/time of each Game 1:

Eastern Conference

  • Cleveland Cavaliers (1) vs. Miami Heat (8): Sunday at 7:00 pm ET
  • Boston Celtics (2) vs. Orlando Magic (7): Sunday at 3:30 pm ET
  • New York Knicks (3) vs. Detroit Pistons (6): Saturday at 6:00 pm ET
  • Indiana Pacers (4) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (5): Saturday at 1:00 pm ET

Western Conference

  • Oklahoma City Thunder (1) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (8): Sunday at 1:00 pm ET
  • Houston Rockets (2) vs. Golden State Warriors (7): Sunday at 9:30 pm ET
  • Los Angeles Lakers (3) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (6): Saturday at 8:30 pm ET
  • Denver Nuggets (4) vs. Los Angeles Clippers (5): Saturday at 3:30 pm ET

In the view of oddsmakers, three of the eight first-round series are expected to be fairly one-sided. BetOnline.ag lists the Cavaliers (-4000), Celtics (-5000), and Thunder (-4000) as massive favorites to advance. The Knicks are also considered a good bet to get out of round one, having been listed as a -375 favorite over the Pistons.

The other four series are more interesting, with the higher seed not always viewed as the frontrunner. It’s the No. 7 Warriors (-170), for instance, who are favored over the No. 2 Rockets. The No. 3 Lakers (-190) and No. 4 Pacers (-160) have the edge in their respective series, but the No. 4 vs. 5 matchup in the West is considered virtually a toss-up, with the Clippers listed as narrow favorites (-120) over Denver (+100).

Ahead of a full slate of weekend playoff action, we want to know what you think.

Do you expect the Cavaliers, Celtics, or Thunder to stumble at all on their way to the second round?

Can the Rockets defend home court and their higher seed and knock off the veteran Warriors?

Who do you like between the Nuggets and Clippers in what’s considered the most evenly-matched first round series?

Are you anticipating any upsets in the other series and picking the Pistons, Bucks, and/or Timberwolves to advance to the conference semifinals?

Head to the comment section below to make your predictions and share your thoughts on the first round!

Community Shootaround: Wednesday Play-In Team Futures

Wednesday evening will see four teams in very different places fight for the opportunity to earn the No. 8 seeds in their respective conferences.

For the third straight season, the 39-43 Bulls will be squaring off against the 37-45 Heat in a play-in tournament game. This year, however, Chicago seems to have the edge. Per BetOnline stateside and BetVictor Canada, the Bulls are a marginal favorite as the home team.

Having moved on from former All-Star wings DeMar DeRozan and Zach LaVine, Chicago has been emphasizing more pace and ball movement. Star guards Coby White and Josh Giddey are propelling a fast-breaking offense that won 15 of its last 20 games to close out the 2024/25 regular season.

Rookie forward Matas Buzelis has benefited mightily from extended run to close out the year, while center Nikola Vucevic has adapted well to this speedier iteration of the team, operating as a trailing big who can be a release valve in these frenetic offensive sets.

Recently extended guard Lonzo Ball (wrist) and new trade acquisition Tre Jones (foot) will miss Wednesday’s game.

The No. 10 Heat, meanwhile, have been up and down since their blockbuster midseason Jimmy Butler trade. Armed with new additions Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell and Kyle Anderson, the club stumbled into a 10-game losing skid that was immediately followed by a six-game winning streak. Miami, which controls its own 2025 first-round pick as long as it lands in the top 14, might be happy to lose this matchup and reset with a quick rebuild through this year’s loaded draft lottery.

Chicago team president Arturas Karnisovas has been a frequent source of fan ire. He and ownership would probably like to see the young Bulls appear in their first playoff series since 2022. If Chicago does clinch a playoff appearance by beating Miami and then the Hawks in Friday’s final play-in game, would it prompt Karnisovas to shy away from the kinds of personnel changes he might otherwise pursue this summer, including a Vucevic trade for draft equity?

The Mavericks, on paper, are fielding the most talented squad out of the four Wednesday teams. Had nine-time All-Star guard Kyrie Irving not torn his ACL, Dallas could have been in the thick of the playoff hunt. Instead, the 39-43 Mavs are clinging to the Western Conference’s No. 10 seed. With most of the rest of the roster healthy, the club will be riding a super-sized frontcourt lineup centered around 10-time All-Star big man Anthony Davis as its two-way fulcrum.

Dallas was constructed to win around Luka Doncic. After sending him to Los Angeles in exchange for Davis, three-and-D swing Max Christie, and a 2029 first-round draft pick, the front office was roundly criticized. Still, with Irving, Davis, and talented two-way wings and frontcourt pieces, a healthy version of this team looks like it could be a legitimate tough playoff out. Due to the timing of Irving’s recovery and Davis’ extensive injury history, it’s unclear when exactly that healthy iteration might next be available.

Meanwhile, Doncic has raised the Lakers’ ceiling. If Dallas misses the playoffs, will the club’s new ownership cohort look to penalize Nico Harrison for the most unpopular transaction in its franchise’s history? The Mavericks do have the highest upside of any of the teams in action on Wednesday, but that comes with a massive health caveat.

Dallas will be facing off against a mostly-healthy Kings club for the right to play the Grizzlies on Friday.

After Sacramento team owner Vivek Ranadive fired former Coach of the Year Mike Brown midway through the season, guard De’Aaron Fox pushed for – and received – a deal to the Spurs. The 40-42 Kings have since struggled with their newest impact player, LaVine, under interim head coach Doug Christie. Sacramento is loaded with ball stoppers – including LaVine, DeRozan, and Malik Monk – but has perhaps the more talented offense than Dallas sans Irving, thanks in large part to do-everything All-Star center Domantas Sabonis.

Should Sacramento get booted in this initial play-in tournament matchup, would Sabonis at least explore a trade out of town? A report in March suggested that the big man is expected to “seek clarity” this offseason on the Kings’ direction.

Just two years ago, during Brown’s inaugural season, the Kings finally seemed to have discovered a direction and identity. Now, the club is floundering in mediocrity. Massive changes — perhaps starting with Christie and Sabonis — could be underway for the team this summer, barring a strong playoff run.

We want to know what you think. How will the offseason play out for the the teams that get bounced in Wednesday’s games? What changes would – or should – be made if all four clubs eventually fail to qualify for the playoffs?

Community Shootaround: Sixth Man Of Year

According to the oddsmakers, the Sixth Man of the Year award boils down to two Eastern Conference guards.

The Celtics’ Payton Pritchard is the solid favorite under the current Bet MGM betting lines. Pritchard has spent his entire five-year career with Boston, though he was in and out of its rotation two seasons ago and nearly got traded. The late 2020 first-round pick eventually received an extension and has become an essential and durable part of the Celtics’ second unit.

Pritchard appeared in every game last season and has only missed two games this season. He has posted solid numbers across the board, averaging 14.2 points, 3.8 rebounds, 3.4 assists and 0.9 steals per night. He’s shooting 46.6 percent from the field and 41.3 percent on 3-pointers with a high volume — an average of eight per game.

Pritchard has exceeded the 20-point mark 21 times, including a 43-point eruption against the Trail Blazers.

Pritchard’s main challenger for the award is the Pistons’ Malik Beasley. Entering Sunday’s action, Beasley had made a league-high 292 three-pointers, which is somewhat remarkable for a reserve.

Part of the reason is Beasley’s availability — he hasn’t missed a game for the league’s most surprising team. Beasley has posted averages of 16.3 points, 2.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists and 0.9 steals per contest. He’s shooting 43.6 percent overall while averaging just 3.7 two-point attempts per game. He’s taking an average of 9.2 threes per contest and hitting at a 42.3 percent success rate.

Beasley started regularly for the Bucks last season but didn’t attract a lot of interest in the free agent market. He signed a one-year, $6MM contract with Detroit, which has proven to be a huge bargain.

Pritchard has a more versatile role as a combo guard, while Beasley is mainly relied upon for instant offense. Pritchard has the advantage of playing for one of the league’s premier teams. Beasley has been a major reason why Detroit has become just the second team in NBA history to triple its win total from the previous season.

That brings us to today’s topic: Who’s your selection for the Sixth Man of the Year award – the Celtics’ Payton Pritchard or the Pistons’ Malik Beasley? Or is there another player more worthy of that honor?

Please take to the comments section to weigh in on this topic. We look forward to your input.

Community Shootaround: Western Conference Playoff Race

The Thunder already secured the top seed in the Western Conference and seem on their way to clinching the top overall seed entering the 2025 playoffs. However, the five remaining guaranteed playoff spots in the West are still up for grabs.

The Rockets have been playing excellent basketball over the past few weeks and have surged up to No. 2 in the West with a 48-26 record. Only a catastrophic collapse would prevent them from earning a top-six seed, as they hold a 5.5-game lead on the No. 7 Warriors with eight games remaining.

The Nuggets, who are currently the No. 3 seed with a 47-28 record, are also in a strong position to earn a guaranteed playoff berth, as they’re four games up on Golden State with seven games remaining. It’s worth noting that Houston and Denver have among the most difficult remaining schedules, per Tankathon, but both clubs have a decent cushion on their closest competitors.

Saturday’s game between the Lakers and Grizzlies was a key matchup for both teams. The No. 4 Lakers (45-29) emerged victorious and earned the head-to-head tiebreaker on the No. 5 Grizzlies (44-30).

Even after the win though, the Lakers are just 5-8 over their past 13 games. They also have the second-hardest remaining schedule of any team, including four matchups against Oklahoma City and Houston over their final eight games.

The slumping Grizzlies are just 1.5 games ahead of the Clippers and Warriors, who hold identical 42-31 records, and two games up on the No. 8 Timberwolves (42-32). The Clips hold the tiebreaker on the Dubs, which is why they’re currently the No. 6 seed.

To word it in a different way: Only three games separate the Nos. 4-8 seeds in the West. And by opponent winning percentage, Minnesota has — by far — the easiest schedule left of the group.

Of the five teams bunched together in the standings, the Clippers and Warriors are the only ones with nine games left; the other three each have eight.

Securing a top-six seed is critical, as it ensures teams will make the playoffs outright. Those who fall outside of the top six will have to compete in the play-in tournament to try and claim the final two playoff spots in the West. Dallas, Sacramento and Phoenix are essentially in a three-way race for the ninth and tenth seeds and thus the final two spots in the play-in.

We want to know what you think. Aside from the Thunder, which other five teams will secure top-six seeds in the West? Which teams will be heading to the play-in tournament? Head to the comments section to weigh in.

Community Shootaround: The NBA’s Tanking Problem

Late-season tanking is a perennial issue for the NBA, but it has been particularly bad so far in 2025, with teams who have their eye on the draft lottery employing new strategies in an apparent effort to get around the league’s player participation policies.

As Tom Haberstroh of Yahoo Sports and John Hollinger of The Athletic write, one approach that multiple teams have used this month is to hold key players out of crunch-time situations. Haberstroh refers to it as “quiet quitting.”

For instance, while Raptors forward Scottie Barnes has only missed one game this month, he has played more than 30 minutes in just three of 11 outings after averaging 34.7 MPG in 46 pre-March contests. Barnes and other Raptors starters have been on the bench in the fourth quarter of multiple games.

Because players like Barnes and Jazz forward Lauri Markkanen qualify as “stars” under the NBA’s player participation policy, holding them out of games entirely without a valid reason could prompt a league investigation — Utah has already faced one $100K fine for its usage (or lack thereof) of Markkanen.

However, that policy only explicitly applies to players who have made an All-Star or All-NBA team over the past three seasons. That means that the Nets, for instance, were able to hold a “non-star” like Cameron Johnson out of last Thursday’s game for “rest” even though Johnson was healthy and Brooklyn didn’t play on either Wednesday or Friday, Haberstroh observes.

When the NBA flattened its lottery odds several years ago, the goal was to reduce the incentives for losing games. But those changes haven’t been as effective as hoped in part because the league hasn’t incentivized winning for lottery-bound teams, Hollinger argues.

As Hollinger explains, even if losses didn’t improve a team’s lottery odds and draft position, a club like Toronto or Utah may not be incentivized to compete hard for wins at this point of the season, since there’s little reason to push a franchise player like Barnes or Markkanen, who are on lucrative long-term contracts, too hard in games that essentially don’t matter. “Asking a team to put meaningful players at risk in meaningless games is inherently a contradiction,” Hollinger writes.

So what could be done to address the issue? Tim Bontemps and Kevin Pelton of ESPN spoke to sources around the NBA about that subject and came up with a few possible ideas, some more viable than others.

Flattening the lottery odds even further was one of the ideas mentioned. Another was determining the odds based on how the lottery teams fare against one another during the season. However, both suggestions are complicated by the fact that a borderline playoff team may decide that having a viable shot at the No. 1 pick is a better outcome than eking out a playoff spot and being on the receiving end of a first-round beatdown from a top seed.

There would also likely be resistance to any proposal that significantly reduced the odds of the league’s very worst teams having a shot at top draft picks, since the NBA still wants to encourage competitive balance and avoid miring a club in a rebuild that it can’t find its way out of.

Multiple sources suggested to ESPN that removing mid-lottery pick protections on traded draft picks could be one step in the right direction. For instance, one of the most egregious cases of tanking in recent years saw the 2023 Mavericks rest players at the end of the season in an effort to hang onto their top-10 protected pick, even though they still had a shot at the play-in tournament. Allowing a pick to be top-four protected or top-14 protected, without any options in between, could eliminate that kind of scenario.

Another idea posed by sources who spoke to Bontemps and Pelton would be to count team wins instead of losses after the All-Star break for the sake of determining the draft lottery order.

For example, if a team posted a 19-35 record before the All-Star break, then went 18-10 the rest of the way, its “lottery record” would be 29-53, with its pre-All-Star wins added to its post-All-Star losses. If a second team that was also 19-35 at the break went 10-18 after the All-Star game, its “lottery record” would be 37-45, resulting in less favorable odds than the club that performed better down the stretch.

We want to know what you think. Does the NBA need to take steps to address its tanking problem? If so, what approach makes the most sense?

Head to the comment section below to weigh in with your thoughts!

Community Shootaround: Most Improved Player

The Most Improved Player award has – at least according to the oddsmakers – become a two-man race.

On one side is Cade Cunningham, the face of the vastly-improved Pistons. On the other is Dyson Daniels, who has blossomed into a stat-sheet stuffing backcourt partner for Hawks star Trae Young.

Let’s examine their cases.

Cunningham came into Sunday’s action averaging 25.7 points, 9.2 assists and 6.1 rebounds in 35.2 minutes per game. Last season, when the Pistons won just 14 games, Cunningham averaged 22.7 points, 7.5 assists and 4.3 rebounds in 32.5 minutes per contest

The only negative would be an increase in turnovers per game this season (4.5) compared to 3.4 last season. That’s due in part to the season-ending leg injury to Jaden Ivey on New Year’s Day, which has put the ball in Cunningham’s hands more often. His usage rate is 34.4%, up from 31.7%.

Cunningham, a first-time All-Star, has benefited from an improved supporting cast. He’s got a better group of veterans around him this season, allowing him to be a more effective play-maker. He’s embraced his leadership role and delivered in the clutch, making game-winners such as his buzzer-beating three-pointer against Miami on Wednesday.

There was little doubt Cunningham could be this kind of player. After all, he was the top pick of the 2021 draft and got a max extension last season. Should those facts work against his candidacy? However, there’s no denying that Cunningham’s steady brilliance has silenced any doubters regarding the franchise’s faith in him after its worst season.

Daniels, a third-year wing, was mainly a second-unit player in his first two seasons with the Pelicans. Included in the blockbuster deal that sent Dejounte Murray to New Orleans, Daniels has seized the opportunity to become a full-time starter.

In 65 starts, Daniels is averaging 14.0 points, 5.7 rebounds, 4.3 assists, and 3.0 steals in 33.9 minutes per game. Last season, Daniels posted 5.8 PPG, 3.9 RPG, 2.7 APG, and 1.4 SPG in 22.3 MPG.

He’s the runaway leader in the league in steals per game, making him a dark-horse candidate for Defensive Player of the Year, an award typically dominated by centers and forwards.

Working against Daniels’ candidacy is that he doesn’t have the pressure of being the team’s star like Cunningham. The Hawks also have a losing record, though they still lead the weak Southeast Division. But the No. 8 pick of the 2022 draft has clearly made a name for himself after two nondescript seasons with the Pelicans.

Clippers veteran forward Norman Powell was a prime candidate for the award until an injury derailed his campaign and made him ineligible.

Christian Braun, Evan Mobley and Tyler Herro are some of the other players have been mentioned as candidates.

That brings us to today’s topic: Who’s your selection for the Most Improved Player award – the Pistons’ Cunningham or Hawks’ Daniels? Or is there another player more worthy of that honor?

Please take to the comments section to weigh in on this topic. We look forward to your input.

Community Shootaround: Phoenix Suns’ Outlook

The Suns gave fans in Phoenix something to cheer about on Tuesday night as they rallied from a 23-point second-half deficit against the Clippers to get back in the win column.

But it has been has still been a miserable stretch for the team — since the start of February, the Suns have lost 11 of 15 games and have fallen from eighth place in the Western Conference to 11th, three games out of a play-in spot.

Even Tuesday’s comeback victory wasn’t without some drama, as star forward Kevin Durant had to answer questions after the game about a heated exchange with head coach Mike Budenholzer that occurred during the first quarter.

A slew of injuries in Dallas have opened the door for the Suns to potentially catch the Mavericks for the No. 10 seed and make the play-in tournament. But accomplishing that feat won’t be easy, given that they have the most difficult remaining schedule in the NBA, per Tankathon. And even if they can get to No. 10, nothing the Suns have shown this season suggests they’re capable of winning two play-in games on the road, then upsetting the top-seeded Thunder in the first round of the playoffs.

As Zach Harper of The Athletic writes, the Suns have the NBA’s most expensive roster ($214MM+) and project to have the fourth-highest luxury tax bill in league history ($152MM+). Their defense is one of the league’s worst, ranking ahead of only Utah, New Orleans, and Washington. They have a -2.5 net rating when their “big three” of Durant, Devin Booker, and Bradley Beal share the court together.

It all points to a roster in desperate need of a shake-up, and it certainly seemed as if the Suns were aware of that fact ahead of last month’s trade deadline, though the team’s second-apron position made it difficult to navigate the trade market. The front office spent weeks trying to find a way to acquire Jimmy Butler using Beal as an outgoing piece, but found no takers for the guard’s unwieldy maximum-salary contract.

In the days leading up to the deadline, Phoenix pivoted to exploring the trade market for Durant, which “blindsided” the team’s top scorer. Back in the fall, Suns owner Mat Ishbia expressed confidence about signing Durant to an extension during the 2025 offseason, but a summer divorce now seems to be a far more likely outcome, given how irked the 36-year-old was to be put on the trade block without his knowledge.

Appearing on ESPN Countdown on Sunday (Twitter video link), Shams Charania suggested it will be an eventful offseason in Phoenix.

“Unless there’s a significant run here into the playoffs for the Phoenix Suns, league sources believe that there will be real changes in Phoenix coming to the Suns,” Charania said. “From a roster standpoint, that likely starts with Kevin Durant.

“… From my understanding, what it would look like is the Suns and Durant would work together on any potential trade to a contender. I would expect four to six contending teams with some serious involvement in Durant. He’s still playing at a really high level. He is extension-eligible in the offseason too, and as we know with the Jimmy Butler situation, the extension plays a big factor.”

As Charania points out, we may not get clarity on what the group of suitors for Durant would look like until later in the spring, since early postseason exits or deep playoff runs could make certain clubs more or less inclined to pursue a maximum-salary star entering his age-37 season.

Of course, if major changes are afoot in Phoenix, we shouldn’t necessary assume that Durant will be the only key player the team makes available. Beal figures to be back on the trade block, though his contract and his no-trade clause will continue to make it difficult for the Suns to find a taker.

The belief is that Booker will remain off the table, with Phoenix looking to build around him going forward, but Chris Mannix of SI.com (Twitter link) wonders if the Suns might reconsider that stance in the summer, arguing that the franchise would be better off with a full reset.

We want to know what you think. What should the Suns be looking to get back in a trade for Durant? Will it be possible to move Beal? Should Booker be made available? Having traded away control of all of their own draft picks for the next seven years, does a rebuild make any sense for the Suns or should they be looking to quickly retool and remain in the playoff hunt?

Head to the comment section below to share your two cents!

Community Shootaround: Coach Of The Year

More than any other NBA end-of-season award, Coach of the Year depends in large part on the preseason expectations for a given team. The top candidates for Coach of the Year recognition almost always come from the teams that surpass the win totals projected for them in the fall by the greatest margin.

It’s perhaps no surprise, then, that a pair of head coaches from the Central Division are currently considered the frontrunners for this season’s award.

Oddsmakers pegged Cleveland’s over/under for this season at 48.5 wins, but the 48-10 Cavaliers are on the verge of surpassing that total with six-and-a-half weeks left in the regular season. New head coach Kenny Atkinson, hired away from the Warriors last spring, has unlocked the Cavs’ offense, which has posted a league-leading 122.2 offensive rating this season after finishing at 114.7 (16th) in 2023/24.

In an unusual twist, Atkinson’s stiffest competition may come from the man he replaced in Cleveland. J.B. Bickerstaff was let go by the Cavaliers last spring and their results this season suggest it was the right move. But Bickerstaff has been a revelation in Detroit, where the Pistons, projected for an over/under of 24.5 wins, currently hold a 32-26 record.

We knew coming into the season that the Pistons probably weren’t going to go 14-68 again, like they did under Monty Williams a year ago, but there weren’t too many experts or fans who expected them to make a strong push for a guaranteed (top-six) playoff spot in the East. As of today, they holds the No. 6 seed, with a four-game cushion on the No. 7 Magic.

After finishing 27th in offensive rating and 25th in defensive rating last season, the Pistons rank in the top 13 in both categories in ’24/25, with Bickerstaff pressing all the right buttons to unlock first-time All-Star Cade Cunningham and to keep the team on course after its second-leading scorer (Jaden Ivey) went down with an injury on New Year’s Day. The Pistons haven’t just stayed afloat in Ivey’s absence — they’ve thrived, going 17-8 in the 25 games since he broke his fibula.

A pair of Southwest teams have exceeded expectations this season too, with Taylor Jenkins of the Grizzlies and Ime Udoka of the Rockets guiding their teams to 38-20 and 36-22 records, respectively. There was a sense coming into the season that Memphis would bounce back with better health luck and that a young Houston team would take another step forward, but I don’t think many of us were betting on both teams maintaining a 50-win pace beyond the All-Star break.

Of course, while it’s less of a surprise, given that they were the West’s top seed last spring, it’s impossible to overlook the job Mark Daigneault has done with the Thunder, whose 46-11 record puts them hot on Cleveland’s heels as the NBA’s No. 1 overall team. Oklahoma City’s +12.6 net rating is the league’s best mark and would be the second-best net rating of all-time, behind the 1995/96 Bulls (+13.4).

In the East, Joe Mazzulla has done a good job making sure the Celtics don’t succumb to a post-championship hangover, leading the team to a 42-16 record.

A pair of Los Angeles-based head coaches deserve credit too — oddsmakers projected the Lakers and Clippers to be the bottom two teams in the Pacific standings this season, but they hold the division’s top two spots to date. J.J. Redick‘s Lakers are 35-21, while Tyronn Lue‘s Clippers are 31-26 despite missing star forward Kawhi Leonard for a good chunk of the season.

We want to know what you think. Who would your Coach of the Year pick be at this point in the season? Which three coaches would be on your Coach of the Year ballot? Who do you think will ultimately win the award?

Head to the comment section below to weigh in with your thoughts!

Community Shootaround: Defensive Player Of The Year

After finishing second in Defensive Player of the Year voting as a rookie in 2024, rising Spurs star Victor Wembanyama was viewed at this year’s All-Star break as the overwhelming frontrunner to win the award in his second NBA season.

However, the All-Star Game is the last game that Wembanyama will play in 2024/25, as he was ruled out for the remainder of the season after being diagnosed with a deep vein thrombosis in his right shoulder. While the Spurs do everything they can to make sure their franchise player is healthy and ready to go for the 2025/26 season, this year’s Defensive Player of the Year award is suddenly very much up for grabs.

Wembanyama will soon be officially out of the running, since he’ll fall well short of the 65-game requirement for end-of-season awards. As we wrote on Saturday, his absence has made Jaren Jackson Jr. of the Grizzlies and Evan Mobley as the Cavaliers the clear betting favorites to win Defensive Player of the Year.

The two young big men squared off on Sunday for the first time this season, with Mobley leading the Cavs to a tight victory by racking up 25 points, 13 rebounds, eight assists, and three blocked shots. For the season, Cleveland has a 106.9 defensive rating with Mobley on the court and a 112.6 mark when he’s not. Although Cleveland’s defense ranks seventh overall, that 106.9 defensive rating when Mobley plays would be second-best in the NBA.

Jackson, the NBA’s Defensive Player of the Year in 2023, has had a very similar on/off-court impact in Memphis. The Grizzlies have a 106.8 defensive rating when Jackson is on the floor and a 113.1 mark when he sits.

Mobley and Jackson are anchors of their respective defenses but have the athleticism and versatility to switch onto smaller opponents and move away the basket if necessary. Another player with that skill set is Heat big man Bam Adebayo, who has finished in the top five of Defensive Player of the Year voting in each of the past five seasons.

Asked last week about the possibility of a DPOY award, Adebayo made it clear he’s more focused on getting the Heat back on track than earning individual hardware. He may need to do the former to have a shot at the latter, since team success is a major factor in award consideration. Miami currently ranks eighth in the Eastern Conference with a 26-29 record.

While voters typically favor centers who protect the basket, a wing or forward can emerge as a leading candidate when no one big man separates himself from the field. Thunder swingman Luguentz Dort, a lock-down defender on the wing, could become that player this season. Oklahoma City’s 104.8 defensive rating leads the league by a wide margin and Dort currently has the third-best DPOY betting odds at BetOnline.ag.

Asked by Chris Mannix of SI.com last week about his individual goals beyond winning a championship, Dort acknowledged that he’d love to be recognized for his defense.

“Honestly, the biggest goal is to go out there and perform every night for my teammates,” he said. “But it will always be nice to get rewarded for the hard work that I do on the court, which would probably be Defensive Player of the Year or (All-Defensive) first team. If you ask me if I deserve it, I would say yes, just because of what I bring every night, all the matchups that I got to face every night. But all that would be a goal of mine.”

Dort’s teammates Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams, rising defensive stars Dyson Daniels and Amen Thompson, and four-time DPOY Rudy Gobert are among the other betting options available at BetOnline.ag, but I’d view them as longer shots.

We want to know what you think. Which player would be your 2024/25 pick for Defensive Player of the Year? Which player do you expect to win the award? Would Wembanyama have been your choice if he had reached the minimum-game threshold?

Head to the comment section below to weigh in with your thoughts!