After the Board of Governors approved changes to the draft lottery format on Thursday, members of the league office explained on a conference call why the NBA felt those changes were necessary, writes John Hollinger of The Athletic.
Speaking to reporters, NBA executive VP and head of basketball operations James Jones said that the league’s ability to punish tankers under the previous system by conducting investigations and levying fines wasn’t satisfactory — especially since those tanking teams often had plausible deniability when it came to decisions related to lineups and player availability.
“Having done a lot of these investigations and inquiries with teams, when you get to the place of investigating your way to an outcome, it’s really hard to say that it’s just not coaching error, bad player performance, or some underlying basketball (thing),” Jones said. “It’s all subjective. We want to be in a place where no matter the outcome of the game, you don’t feel like you’re better off if you lose. You can’t punish your way to that.”
In addition to flattening teams’ odds throughout the lottery and introducing a “relegation zone” for the bottom three clubs in the NBA, whose odds at a top pick become slightly less favorable, the new format will give the league office wider latitude to penalize teams believed to be tanking.
While league officials don’t anticipate teams tanking the 7/8 play-in game or trying to get to No. 9 or No. 11 in their conference to get an extra lottery ball, commissioner Adam Silver will have the ability to reduce a team’s lottery odds or modify its draft position if it’s egregiously tanking in those situations.
“The consensus was that teams would not want to do that for one lottery ball, (but) that’s why they added additional disciplinary pieces as a fallback,” said Evan Wasch, the NBA’s executive vice president, head of basketball strategy and growth.
Here are a few more highlights from the conference call:
On the top-five restriction affecting the Grizzlies:
Because the new format includes a rule prohibiting teams from winning a top-five pick in three consecutive years, the Grizzlies won’t be able to get a top-five selection via Utah’s first-rounder, which they control from the Jaren Jackson Jr. trade, since the Jazz landed at No. 5 in 2025 and No. 2 in 2026. Wasch explained that by applying that restriction to a team’s first-rounder even if that team no longer owns it, the league is attempting to avoid creating an “imbalance” between traded and non-traded picks.
“It essentially becomes a windfall to the teams that own those (traded) picks, because unlike other picks, they would benefit from the upside of the restrictions without any of the downside,” Wasch said, per Hollinger. “If you were to grandfather traded picks, you essentially differentiate those picks as being more valuable than all other picks. … That didn’t feel like a systematically fair way to go about this.”
According to Wasch, this rule was communicated to teams prior to this year’s draft lottery, so if the lottery results had played out differently, it may have been a different team – rather than Memphis – affected by the rule.
For what it’s worth, while the Grizzlies were upset enough by this rule that they were the lone team to vote against the lottery changes on Thursday, they still may benefit from the new system. If an improved Jazz team ends up in the 8-11 range in the West next season, the Grizzlies will still likely end up with a better pick than they would have had under the old format, even if the ceiling isn’t as high.
Wasch’s full comments on the Jazz/Grizzlies pick and the rule change impacting it can be viewed here (Twitter link via Drew Hill of The Daily Memphian).
On why the top-five restriction is written the way it is:
As Hollinger notes, there have been questions about why the rule prohibiting teams from being in the top five for three straight years wouldn’t apply – for example – to any pick that the Jazz controlled in 2027, rather to their own pick that they no longer control.
However, multiple GMs have pointed out to The Athletic that this would’ve create imbalances in the trade market. For instance, if the Jazz still owned their 2027 pick and were prohibited from landing in the top five, but could trade it to a team that would be able to turn it into a top-five pick, “There would have been a market inefficiency, and it would have undermined the integrity of the rule,” Wasch said.
There would be other ways for teams to exploit that loophole, Hollinger notes — for instance, two teams with roughly similar expectations could trade picks with each other to circumvent the restrictions.
On why the top 16 picks in the second round will be in reverse order of the first round:
As first reported on Thursday, the new format calls for the lottery order to be flipped in round two. That means the team that wins the No. 1 overall pick will get the 46th overall pick and the team that picks 16th in the first round will get the No. 31 pick, regardless of win-loss record.
According to Wasch, there were two reasons for this decision. For one, the league wanted to “counterbalance to the luck of the draw in the first round.” Additionally, while it’s probably unlikely that a team would tank for a higher second-round pick, league officials didn’t want that to even be an option.