NBA’s Lottery Reform Plan Includes 16 Teams, Flattened Odds
Major reforms to the draft lottery system could be on the horizon beginning next year.
The NBA has shared with its 30 GMs a new anti-tanking, draft reform proposal termed the “3-2-1 lottery” that includes expanding the lottery to 16 teams, flattened odds, and a “relegation zone” where the bottom three teams will be penalized with fewer lottery balls for the No. 1 pick, ESPN’s Shams Charania reports.
If passed during the league’s Board of Governors meeting on May 28, the new system would be in place in 2027.
Here’s some of the key elements to the “3-2-1” proposal, named to represent the number of lottery balls per team, according to Charania and The Athletic’s Sam Amick:
- Teams that do not qualify for the playoffs or play-in tournament but stay out of the relegation zone (ie. the teams that finish with the fourth-worst record through the 10th-worst record) would receive three lottery balls each.
- Teams with a bottom-three record — the relegation area — would have just two lottery balls but would have a floor of the 12th pick, while the rest of the 13 lottery teams could fall as far as the 16th pick.
- The 9th and 10th play-in seeds in each conference receive two lottery balls each, while the losers of the 7-8 play-in games receive one lottery ball each.
- No team would be able to win the No. 1 overall pick in consecutive years or be able to have three consecutive top-five picks.
- Trade rules would also be impacted. Teams would not be able to include protection in the 12-to-15 range on traded picks going forward.
- The proposal includes a sunset provision, with the new system expiring following the 2029 draft and requiring an affirmative vote of the Board of Governors to either continue with the system or transition to a new one.
- The league would have expanded disciplinary authority to regulate tanking by having the option to reduce teams’ lottery odds and/or modify teams’ draft positions.
Commissioner Adam Silver, who has been pushing hard for a revised lottery system, initially offered a variety of proposals to address tanking. The league office has held multiple critical meetings with its Board of Governors, competition committee and 30 GMs over the last few weeks to narrow toward this new singular proposal ahead of the owners’ vote.
There could be minor modifications to the proposal, but the key points of the framework have a majority of the support from teams, sources told Charania.
Heat President Pat Riley Has No Plans To Step Down
A defiant Heat president Pat Riley says he isn’t going anywhere. Riley declared early in his annual postseason press conference, which lasted 67 minutes, that he has no plans to step down, Tim Reynolds of The Associated Press reports (Twitter link).
“I’m not going to retire. I’m not going to resign,” the 81-year-old Riley said. “I’m not going to step aside. … I have the same attitude as I had in that press conference on the Imagination, period. I want another parade down Biscayne Boulevard. It may come. It may not.”
Riley joined the organization in 1995 as head coach and president. He stepped down from his coaching duties in 2008.
“I love what I’m doing. I love the people I am working with. I love competition,” he said. “I love this franchise. Don’t think I haven’t thought about [retiring]. I’m at 81 years old. I’m aging up. Micky or Nick [Arison] will decide whether I age out.”
Riley addressed a wide range of topics during his lengthy presser. Here are some of the highlights, per Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald:
- Riley continues to refuse to pursue a tanking strategy or major rebuild despite the Heat’s mediocre results in recent years. “It’s simply the same thing we did the last three seasons,” he said. “We tried, more than you even know, to get better. We’re at a period right now where you don’t make radical changes right now. We’re not going to tank and do that insanity. I will quit if I get ordered to go down that road.”
- Riley says he’ll be aggressive in trying to upgrade the roster this offseason using his available assets. Among the biggest are a $16MM trade exception from the Duncan Robinson deal and the $15.1MM non-taxpayer mid-level exception. “I’m encouraged where we are with the flexibility and the players that are out there that we know are available that we can pursue,” he said.
- Discussing Bam Adebayo, Riley said his star center “deserves more help” and that he’s off limits in trade discussions: “I want to build this around Bam.”
- Riley hinted that it’s not likely Tyler Herro will get an extension this offseason, telling reporters that he would speak to Herro’s agent but, “We have to show a level of discipline in extending guys out.” Two of his top forwards, Andrew Wiggins ($30MM player option) and Norman Powell (free agent) have told him they want to return.
- Herro will undergo a minor procedure on his foot this week, Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald tweets. Riley expects the guard to be back on the court in July, Chiang adds in another tweet.
- Along with an elite scorer, Riley wants to improve the team’s overall length: “We will address that.” However, Riley doesn’t want to compromise the team’s cap situation with a risky trade or signing. “I’m not going to make a stupid move that’s going to saddle us for years to come and will have to pay to get out from under.”
- Riley wasn’t happy that the Heat only received a second-round pick from the Hornets as compensation for not getting full disclosure in the Terry Rozier trade, Zachary Weinberger of ClutchPoints tweets. “I didn’t negotiate that deal. The NBA did. But my point is, is that was handled pretty much by the league,” Riley said. “… [The Rozier situation] was not a very good situation. There’s no doubt.”
Anthony Edwards Considered ‘Week To Week’ After MRI
Anthony Edwards‘ left knee injury is considered a week-to-week issue, according to a press release from the Timberwolves (Twitter link via Chris Hine of The Star Tribune). An MRI conducted at the Mayo Clinic revealed a left knee hyperextension injury and bone bruise.
The team’s announcement represents confirmation of an ESPN report that stated Edwards would be sidelined multiple weeks. Minnesota leads its first-round series against the Nuggets, 3-1.
The Timberwolves’ superstar guard sustained the injury late in the second quarter of Game 4 (Twitter video link via Michael Scotto of HoopsHype). Edwards jumped to contest a layup by Cameron Johnson, and Johnson’s forward momentum caused Edwards to move backward in the air. Edwards landed awkwardly and his left knee buckled. He immediately grabbed at his knee on the ground.
Edwards entered the playoffs dealing with a nagging right knee injury, which caused him to miss extended time at the end of the regular season. He averaged 18.5 points, 6.8 rebounds, 3.0 assists and 1.3 blocks through four playoff games, but struggled with efficiency, posting a shooting slash line of .358/.258/.857.
Minnesota’s other starting guard, Donte DiVincenzo, suffered a torn right Achilles tendon early in the first quarter of Saturday’s win. Without DiVincenzo and Edwards, the Timberwolves will have to rely on breakout star Ayo Dosunmu along with Mike Conley, Bones Hyland and Terrence Shannon Jr. for the remainder of its first-round series vs. Denver.
If the Wolves advance, Edwards figures to push hard to try to return at some point in the second round, per Jon Krawczynski of The Athletic (Twitter link).
Pistons Notes: Duren, Cunningham, Game 4, Magic Johnson, Huerter
All-Star center Jalen Duren, a restricted free agent after the season, is taking a lot of heat for his playoff performances against the Magic. He’s averaging 9.0 points, 8.3 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 2.0 blocks and 2.7 turnovers per game as the Pistons head into Game 4 down 2-1 in the series. Duren has been badly outplayed by Wendell Carter Jr. and was even benched for a stretch during the second half of Game 3.
However, the team remains highly supportive of Duren and expects him to bounce back.
“These last three games haven’t went the way he wants, or we might want for him,” Cade Cunningham said, per Hunter Patterson of The Athletic. “But I, and the whole team, have no doubt that he’s going to figure it out. He knows he’s going to figure it out. So I’m excited for next game for him to plant his foot into this series.”
Positive reinforcement is the right approach, according to forward Ausar Thompson.
“Just be there for him, you know?” Thompson said. “Encourage him, feed him the ball and give him some space to work. I just want him to keep being aggressive, that’s it. We’re good, we’re not worried about him.”
Here’s more on the Pistons:
- Cunningham is averaging a whopping 6.3 turnovers per game in the series, including nine in Game 3 — equaling his assist total. Cunningham knows he has to cut down on the mistakes to prevent the Eastern Conference’s top seed from getting bounced in the first round, Coty Davis of the Detroit News writes. “It’s a possession game in the playoffs, and a lot of this falls on my shoulders where I have to be better,” Cunningham said. “I have to make sure I am doing a good job of getting the ball out to my guys to make sure they can make plays. We have had too many empty possessions where we are giving the ball back to them. Again, that’s on me.”
- The pressure is on the Pistons to win on Monday and even the series. Coach J.B. Bickerstaff expects his team to wrest control back from the Magic. “It’s one game at a time, and that’s what playoff series are. You can’t hang on to it. We come down here, we win on Monday — we take home court advantage back,” Bickerstaff said, per Davis. “Our guys have been consistent all year, and we’ve been able to move on to the next. So, I trust our guys. We’ll be ready to go.”
- Magic Johnson, a Michigan native, wrote on Twitter the Pistons must regain their identity or risk an embarrassing playoff outcome. “The Detroit Pistons better get their swagger back on the defensive end or else they are going to lose this series against the Orlando Magic,” he said.
- Reserve guard Kevin Huerter participated in Monday morning’s shootaround but remains listed as questionable for Game 4, Davis tweets. He’s dealing with left hip soreness.
Rockets Notes: Late Collapse, Udoka, Durant, Sengun
The Rockets squandered a six-point regulation lead with less than 30 seconds remaining in Game 3 of their series with the Lakers on Friday night. Houston then lost in overtime to fall behind 3-0 in the first-round matchup. Head coach Ime Udoka let loose on his team afterward.
“Horrendous mistakes,” he said, per Kristie Rieken of The Associated Press. “I don’t know if you want to say youth or scared of the moment or whatever the case.”
With Kevin Durant, Fred VanVleet, and Steven Adams injured and inactive, the Rockets were relying on several players without a ton of playoff experience. However, Udoka didn’t view that as an excuse after his team committed two turnovers and fouled a three-point shooter down the stretch.
“Grow up,” he said. “You’re not that young anymore.”
Here’s more on the Rockets:
- Durant sat out for the second time in the series. The official reason for his latest absence was a left ankle sprain suffered in Game 2. “Obviously, it’s different when he’s not on the floor. He’s a tremendous scorer. He can draw so much attention to himself when he’s out there,” guard Reed Sheppard said, per Will Guillory of The Athletic. “It sucks not having him out there. But at the end of the day, it’s our job to go out there and fight and compete and win. That’s what we’ve got to do in the next four (games).” Durant’s status for Game 4 is undetermined. “Up in the air,” Udoka said. “I think we made some progress in the last few days, but we’ll see how that [goes] with only one day in between.”
- Alperen Sengun‘s monster performance – 33 points and 16 rebounds – was wasted in Game 3. “It wasn’t enough,” he said, per Matt Young of the Houston Chronicle. “I guess I could do more with some defensive possessions, some missed shots still. I still did a good job, but it wasn’t enough, so I’ve got to come back better Sunday.”
- Durant would like to be a part-owner of an NBA or NBA Europe franchise after he retires, according to Marc J. Spears of Andscape. “Sole owner? No. But you can definitely be a part of a group,” Durant said. “I wouldn’t say a player could have full control. (LeBron James), maybe. It has to be one of those types of players. Steph (Curry), ’Bron, myself. It takes players that have been in the league for a while, that have relationships, that are building businesses off the floor. You got to have a lot of capital to buy an NBA team. I’m not banking on it, but I’d love for it to happen.”
Pistons Notes: Defense, Green, Thompson, Jenkins, Sasser
The Pistons’ game plan is generally the same for each game — play suffocating defense and take the starch out of the opposition. That’s what happened in Game 2 of their first-round series against No. 8 seed Orlando. The Pistons are now on the road for a pivotal Game 3 on Saturday afternoon.
“It was five guys out there, collectively flying around, playing with effort, making extra efforts, rebounding the basketball, creating turnovers, and that led to our offense,” coach J.B. Bickerstaff said, per Omari Sankofa II of the Detroit Free Press. “It’s who we are and who we’ve been and that’s what our focus is. Again, give Orlando credit, they are a good basketball team. We have to make sure that we’re focused and doing the things that we’ve done and I thought that third quarter was an example of that and our ability to turn defense to offense.”
Their defensive effort has held Desmond Bane, the Magic’s major offseason acquisition, in check. Bane is shooting 29 percent from the floor in the series.
“It’s a lot of guys, and a lot of bodies,” Bickerstaff said. “It’s no one-on-one situations for him, it’s always one-on-fives. Obviously, Ausar (Thompson) has taken on a lot of that responsibility, but a lot of guys have done a great job of executing what we’re trying to do from a game plan standpoint and not giving them anything easy.”
Here’s more on the Pistons:
- Javonte Green appeared in all 82 regular season games and he’s been a key component off the bench in the series. Green has only attempted one shot in each game but he’s been a defensive force. In Game 2, he blocked three shots and made a steal while guarding multiple positions. “(Green)’s been that way all year for us,” Bickerstaff said, per Coty Davis of the Detroit News. “In that game, his effort on the defensive end of the floor, with the plays that he can make, is special. He has the ability to challenge shots and do hard things over and over again. He makes amazing plays with his athleticism, but he’s very thoughtful in the game, too. He is also very thorough and understands where the spots will be for him to make plays.” Green will be a free agent again after the season — he signed a one-year, veteran’s minimum deal last August.
- Thompson finished third in the Defensive Player of the Year balloting and has put his defensive prowess on display against Bane while contributing in other areas. “You don’t meet many players who can cover ground, and then if there’s a play that needs to be had at the rim, can also be a secondary rim protector for you as well,” assistant coach Jarrett Jack told Hunter Patterson of The Athletic. “Whether he’s hawking the ball, making it tough for guys, eating up clock coming up the basketball court or if he’s in space, (he’s unique).”
- Not only are Daniss Jenkins and Marcus Sasser the point guard backups to Cade Cunningham, they’re also childhood friends. They grew up in the Dallas-Fort Worth area but didn’t get a chance to play together until Jenkins joined the Pistons, as Jeff Zillgitt of NBA.com details. “It’s definitely a dream come true because we wanted to go to the same high school, but it did not end up happening,” Sasser said. “And then we wanted to go to the same college. He was going to transfer to Houston, but it couldn’t happen. Now it’s crazy that we were able to finally get it at the highest level where everyone could see it.”
- Jalen Duren finished second in the voting for the league’s Most Improved Player. Get the details here.
Potential Lottery Pick Aday Mara Testing Draft Waters
University of Michigan center Aday Mara has decided to enter his name in this year’s draft but will maintain his college eligibility, Tony Garcia of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Mara, a potential lottery pick, played a major role in the Wolverines’ national championship season as their starting big man after transferring from UCLA. Mara came off the bench in two seasons with the Bruins but started 39 of 40 games for Michigan, averaging 12.1 points, 6.8 rebounds, 2.6 blocks and 2.4 assists in 23.4 minutes per game. Mara ramped up his production in the tournament, averaging 14.7 points, 5.7 rebounds, 3.2 assists and 2.3 blocks.
Mara, a 7’3” native of Spain, shot 66.8 percent from the field but just 56.4 percent from the free throw line. He is ranked No. 14 overall on ESPN’s big board.
Mara joins college teammate Yaxel Lendeborg, a fifth-year senior this past season, as potential lottery selections. Wolverines forward Morez Johnson and point guard Elliot Cadeau have also declared for the draft while maintaining their college eligibility.
The early entry deadline to enter the draft has now expired. All reported early entrants into the draft can be found here. It’s possible that some unreported or unannounced entrants will be added once the NBA releases its official list, which is expected to occur sometime early next week.
Early entrants who are testing the draft waters have until May 27 to withdraw their names if they want to retain the rest of their NCAA eligibility.
Joe Ingles Plans To Join Melbourne United Next Season
Timberwolves wing Joe Ingles is still in the NBA playoffs but he’s already made plans to play in his native Australia in 2026/27. Ingles is expected to finish his career there by signing with Melbourne United for the next National Basketball League (NBL) season, multiple sources told ESPN’s Olgun Uluc.
Ingles is currently playing on a one-year, veteran’s minimum deal with Minnesota, so he’ll be an unrestricted free agent this summer.
Uluc reported earlier this month that Ingles was aiming to return to Australia and was drawing interest from both Melbourne-based teams — United and the South East Melbourne Phoenix. The Adelaide 36ers were also among his suitors. Ingles began his professional career in the NBL with the now-defunct South Dragons in 2006.
Ingles has represented his country for many years on the international stage, suiting up for the Australian Boomers in five Olympics, including Paris in 2024.
He will be 39 by the time the 2026/27 NBL season begins but with his NBA experience, elite three-point shooting, positional size, and ability as a creator, he could still have an impact in the Australian league.
Ingles has been at the end of the Timberwolves’ bench for the last two seasons, appearing in 19 games in 2024/25 and 27 in ’25/26. He never played more than nine minutes in his first 25 appearances this season before an April 8 stint against Orlando in which he contributed seven points, four rebounds and four assists. He got a chance to play 32 minutes against New Orleans in the regular season finale and racked up 15 points, 10 assists and six rebounds.
Ingles made a cameo in Minnesota’s Game 3 victory over Denver on Thursday that gave the Timberwolves a 2-1 in the first-round series.
In 750 career regular-season contests, Ingles has averaged 7.7 points, 3.5 assists and 3.0 rebounds in 23.5 minutes. He’s a career 40.9 percent three-point shooter who had his best seasons with Utah during his first eight years in the league.
Knicks Notes: Game 2 Collapse, Towns, Alvarado, Robinson, More
Karl-Anthony Towns was the Knicks‘ second-leading scorer in Game 2 of their first-round series against Atlanta, with 18 points, but he was essentially a non-factor during the fourth quarter of their 107-106 loss, Zach Braziller of the New York Post notes.
Towns attempted just two shots during those 12 minutes as the Knicks squandered a 12-point lead. He scored 25 points and dished out four assists in the Game 1 victory.
“The opportunity just didn’t come around shooting,” he said after Monday’s loss. “But at the end of the day, I trust everybody in this locker room to shoot the ball. The opportunities weren’t available for me in the fourth and it was fine.”
Jalen Brunson dominated the ball during much of that final quarter as New York scored just 15 points and shot 22.7% from the floor.
“We could’ve flowed better, for sure. We could’ve done that,” Towns said. “But at the end of the day, I have to watch the tape. When you’re so into the game, it’s hard to give a great assessment about it.”
Here’s more on the Knicks:
- Jose Alvarado was a bright spot in the loss, according to Braziller. The reserve guard provided three assists, two rebounds and pesky defense in his nine-minute stint. Mitchell Robinson‘s performance was also a positive, in Braziller’s view. The big man notched 13 points, seven rebounds, a steal and a block in 18 minutes.
- Lay the blame for the late collapse on coach Mike Brown, Brunson and OG Anunoby, Stefan Bondy of the New York Post opines. Brown mismanaged his timeouts, Brunson got lit up by CJ McCollum and Anunoby committed a crucial turnover and missed two late free throws.
- James Edwards III of The Athletic blames the loss largely on Brown, not only for the timeout issues but for his rotations. Brunson and Towns were both on the bench when the fourth quarter started and Atlanta made its run. Brown stood by that decision. “We’ve played that lineup quite a bit at the end of the season,” Brown said. “That lineup’s been pretty good. We weren’t good tonight and we turned the ball over a few too many times during that period. But we had opportunities where our starters were in, and we were up eight to 10 [points] and Atlanta closed it. So I wouldn’t just say that specific lineup caused it.”
Wembanyama Exits Game 2 After Suffering Concussion
9:54pm: Wembanyama has a concussion and will undergo further testing on Wednesday, Charania tweets. Wembanyama must now have at least 48 hours of inactivity and recovery, then hit several benchmarks while being symptom-free before he is cleared to play.
8:18pm: Spurs star center Victor Wembanyama was ruled out for the remainder of Game 2 of his team’s game against the Trail Blazers on Tuesday after he entered concussion protocol. The team made the announcement during the second quarter, ESPN’s Shams Charania tweets.
Wembanyama was injured when he stumbled while driving toward the basket and banged his chin against the floor (Twitter video link).
The big man had five points, four rebounds, a block and an assist in 12 minutes before suffering the injury. He collected his Defensive Player of the Year award prior to the game but the mood among the team and home crowd changed dramatically after Wembanyama fell in the lane and headed to the locker room.
With Wembanyama now in concussion protocol, the No. 2 seeded Spurs suddenly look much more vulnerable. They won Game 1 111-98 behind his 36-point eruption.
Wembanyama will have to meet certain benchmarks and exhibit that he’s symptom-free before clearing the concussion protocol. Until he can return, Luke Kornet will play a more prominent role and another veteran big man, Kelly Olynyk, could also see his minutes spike.