And-Ones: Sengun, Giannis, Future Rankings, G League Swap, Drell

Rockets center Alperen Sengun made an eye-opening statement regarding Giannis Antetokounmpo after Turkey defeated Greece for the EuroBasket semifinals.

“He’s not a great passer. He’s an amazing player, you know, but he’s not a great passer. So we just tried to help and jump to close the paint,” Sengun said, per Edvinas Jablonskis of BasketNews.com.

When asked about Sengun’s comments on Sunday, according to BasketNews, the Bucks superstar replied, “I’m not the guy that will talk back to coaches or players or people that say bad things about me. It doesn’t really matter because at the end of the day, you won’t remember what they say. You’ll remember how I respond. So, I keep everything to myself. You can go see my clips on YouTube. And then come back and ask me if I’m a good passer. There you go. That’s it.”

The disagreement continued on social media but both players later issued apologies for comments they made on Instagram, according to Eurohoops.net.

We have more from around the international basketball world:

  • ESPN’s Insiders updated their three-year future rankings of every NBA franchise based on a variety of factors. Not surprisingly, the defending champion Thunder received the top ranking. The Rockets, Knicks, Cavaliers and Clippers rounded out the top five, with the Suns occupying the bottom of the totem pole.
  • The Oklahoma City Blue, the Thunder‘s NBA G League team, has acquired a 2026 first-round pick and the returning player rights to Steven Richardson from the Wisconsin Herd in exchange for the returning player rights to Cormac Ryan, Thunder beat reporter Rylan Stiles tweets. Ryan joined the Bucks‘ camp roster on an Exhibit 10 deal last week, so this clears the way for him to receive a bonus up to $85,300 if he’s waived and then spends 60 days or more with the Herd.
  • Spanish club Joventut Badalona and former Bulls forward Henri Drell have reached an agreement for the next two months with an option to extend until the end of the season, according to Penya.com. Drell played in the EuroBasket tournament with the Estonian national team. Last year, he played 15 games with La Laguna Tenerife. Drell appeared in four games with Chicago during the 2023/24 season.

Germany Defeats Turkey For EuroBasket Gold; Schröder Named MVP

A back-and-forth battle between a pair of 8-0 teams went down to the wire in Sunday’s EuroBasket championship game, with Kings point guard Dennis Schröder helping to secure a gold medal for Germany by scoring the final six points and turning an 83-82 deficit into an 88-83 victory over Turkey.

Schöder (16 points, 12 assists), former NBA wing Isaac Bonga (20 points, 4-of-4 three-pointers), and Magic forward Franz Wagner (18 points, eight rebounds) were the standout performers for Germany, which has won two of the past three major international basketball competitions.

Although the Germans didn’t make the podium at the Paris Olympics last summer, the country is now the defending FIBA World Cup (2023) and EuroBasket (2025) champion and has posted a 21-2 record in those three tournaments, per HoopsHype (Twitter link).

Germany outlasted a Turkish national team that was led by Rockets center Alperen Sengun (28 points), former NBA forward Cedi Osman (23 points, 6-of-9 on three-pointers), former NBA guard Shane Larkin (13 points, nine assists, six rebounds), and Sixers big man Adem Bona (12 points, 5-of-5 shooting).

While they weren’t able to claim their first EuroBasket championship, Turkey matched their best-ever result by taking silver. The Turkish team lost to Yugoslavia in the 2001 final, which was the only other time the country made the championship game.

Schröder was named the EuroBasket Most Valuable Player after leading the Germans to their first title in the event since 1993. He scored at least 16 points in all nine games, averaging 20.3 points and 7.2 assists per contest.

The 2025 EuroBasket All-Star Five was made up entirely of NBA players, with Lakers guard Luka Doncic (Slovenia) and Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (Greece) joining Schröder, Wagner, and Sengun (Twitter link).

Antetokounmpo and the Greek national team beat Finland in the third-place game earlier on Sunday.

Ime Udoka Says Rockets’ Fifth Starter Will Be Decided At Training Camp

The Rockets‘ starting lineup is mostly set, but one spot will be up for grabs when training camp opens later this month.

Houston sent starters Jalen Green and Dillon Brooks to Phoenix, along with the 10th pick in this year’s draft, in the Kevin Durant trade. Durant will start alongside Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson and Fred VanVleet, but coach Ime Udoka has several options with the fifth position.

“It’s to be determined,” Udoka told Ben DuBose of RocketsWire at a September 11 community event the team hosted this week. “I do think Jabari (Smith Jr.) showed tremendous growth this offseason, and obviously he started the majority of his time here, before the injury. But we’ll take a look at everything. We feel we have incredible depth this year and a lot of versatility, so we could go a number of different ways, as far as that. I think some of that will be proven in training camp.”

Smith began last season as a starter and kept that role for 39 games before breaking his hand in January. Thompson took his place and turned out to be too good to move back to the bench. Smith occupied a sixth man role for the rest of the season, but he may be the best fit with the other four members of the current starting unit. At 6’11”, he provides plenty of size next to Durant and Sengun, and he’s proficient enough as a three-point shooter to stretch defenses and create driving lanes.

DuBose notes that the Rockets enjoyed tremendous success with double-big lineups late last season, so center Steven Adams might receive consideration, at least against certain matchups. Adams only started three games during the regular season, but Udoka leaned heavily on him during the playoff series against Golden State.

Free agent addition Dorian Finney-Smith is a strong wing defender who greatly improved the Lakers’ defense after being acquired in a December trade. At 32, Finney-Smith brings a veteran presence to what’s still mostly a young team, and he shot 41.1% from three-point range last season.

Another option is fourth-year forward Tari Eason, who made a career-high 16 starts last season. Eason is a disruptive defender like Finney-Smith, but he’s not quite as accomplished as an outside shooter.

Western Notes: Gobert, Abdelfattah, Sengun, Durant

The Timberwolves paid a hefty price to the Jazz to acquire Rudy Gobert. Minnesota was heavily criticized for giving up five players and a package of first-rounders for the defensive stalwart after Gobert’s first season in the organization. However, the trade can now be considered a resounding win for the Timberwolves, Jon Krawczynski of The Athletic opines.

Krawczynski cites Gobert’s impact over the past two seasons and suggests the team’s success during that stretch have changed the culture in Minnesota. The organization has become a place players want to play with heightened expectations and Gobert has been a big part of that change.

We have more from the Western Conference:

  • The Timberwolves have officially hired Mahmoud Abdelfattah as head coach of the Iowa Wolves, the club’s NBA G League affiliate, according to a team press release. The Wolves’ decision to hire him was reported last month. Most recently, Abdelfattah spent the 2023/24 season as the head coach of the Sydney Kings of Australia’s National Basketball League. Prior to his time with the NBL’s Kings, the Chicago native spent four seasons (2019-2023) in the Rockets organization.
  • Alperen Sengun has been one of the stars of the EuroBasket tournament, which comes as no surprise to Rockets coach Ime Udoka, according to Danielle Lerner of the Houston Chronicle. That’s what Udoka advised his starting center when he visited Turkey this summer. “It was really, ‘Be aggressive and get back to dominating as you have throughout your career,’ basically,” Udoka said. “For him, we wanted to work on specific things and the way they guard him over in Europe, in EuroBasket. And he’s doing a great job, obviously, getting high assist numbers, being very efficient, but doing all the things and trying to be well rounded. So it wasn’t just about scoring the ball.”
  • Speaking of Udoka, the Rockets coach received this message from Kevin Durant — use me in any way necessary. Durant would rather fit in than have their young core become passive. “He wants to kind of be implemented into the group, and people not take a back seat to him,” Udoka told Lerner. “That’s his message to a lot of the young guys: Be who you are, continue to grow in those areas, and I’ll fit in where we see necessary.”

NBA 2025 Offseason Check-In: Houston Rockets

Hoops Rumors is checking in on the 2025 offseason for all 30 NBA teams, recapping the summer’s free agent signings, trades, draft picks, departures, and more. We’ll take a look at each team’s offseason moves and consider what might still be coming before the regular season begins. Today, we’re focusing on the Houston Rockets.


Free agent signings

  • Dorian Finney-Smith: Four years, $52,705,000. Third year non-guaranteed. Fourth-year player option (non-guaranteed if exercised). Trade kicker (3.232%). Signed using non-taxpayer mid-level exception.
  • Fred VanVleet: Two years, $50,000,000. Second-year player option. Re-signed using Early Bird rights.
  • Clint Capela: Three years, $21,105,000. Trade kicker (5%). Signed using Bird rights and acquired via sign-and-trade from Hawks.
  • Jeff Green: One year, minimum salary. Re-signed using minimum salary exception. Waived right to veto trade.
  • Aaron Holiday: One year, minimum salary. Re-signed using minimum salary exception.
  • Josh Okogie: One year, minimum salary. Signed using minimum salary exception.
  • Jae’Sean Tate: One year, minimum salary. Re-signed using minimum salary exception.
  • Cameron Matthews: One year, minimum salary. Non-guaranteed (Exhibit 10). Signed using minimum salary exception.

Trades

  • Acquired the draft rights to Mojave King (from Pelicans), the Bulls’ 2026 second-round pick (from Wizards) and the Kings’ 2029 second-round pick (from Wizards) in a three-team trade in exchange for Cam Whitmore (to Wizards).
  • Acquired Kevin Durant (from Suns) and Clint Capela (sign-and-trade; from Hawks) in a seven-team trade in exchange for Jalen Green (to Suns), Dillon Brooks (to Suns), David Roddy (two-way; to Hawks), the draft rights to Khaman Maluach (No. 10 pick; to Suns), the draft rights to Jahmai Mashack (No. 59 pick; to Warriors), either the Thunder’s, Mavericks’, or Sixers’ 2026 second-round pick (whichever is second-most favorable; to Suns), either the Clippers’ 2026 second-round pick or the most favorable of the Celtics’, Pacers’, and Heat’s 2026 second-round picks (whichever is least favorable; to Nets), the Celtics’ 2030 second-round pick; to Nets), the right to swap 2031 second-round picks (56-60 protected; to Hawks), and cash ($85,300; to Hawks).

Draft picks

  • None

Two-way signings

  • Isaiah Crawford
    • One year, $85,300 partial guarantee (will increase to $318,218 at start of regular season).
  • JD Davison
    • One year, $85,300 partial guarantee (will increase to $318,218 at start of regular season).
  • Kevon Harris
    • One year, $25,000 partial guarantee.

Departed/unsigned free agents

Other roster moves

  • Signed Jabari Smith Jr. to a five-year, $122,000,000 rookie scale contract extension that begins in 2026/27.
  • Signed Steven Adams to a three-year, $39,000,000 veteran contract extension that begins in 2025/26.
  • Waived Jock Landale (non-guaranteed contract).
  • Waived Jeenathan Williams (non-guaranteed contract).

Salary cap situation

  • Operating over the cap ($154.6MM) and above the luxury tax line ($187.9MM).
  • Carrying approximately $194.7MM in salary.
  • Hard-capped at $195,945,000.
  • Portion of non-taxpayer mid-level exception ($1,404,000) available.
  • One traded player exception available ($3,539,760).

The offseason so far

While some blockbuster NBA trades come out of nowhere, there are also plenty that finally get done after weeks – or even months – of rumors and speculation linking a player to a specific team. Anthony Davis being traded to the Lakers falls into the latter category; the deal that eventually sent Davis out of Los Angeles obviously falls into the former group.

The trade that sent Kevin Durant from Phoenix to Houston is another example of one of those long-running rumors that eventually came to fruition. When word broke that Durant was being dealt to Houston, it didn’t come as a shock like February’s Davis/Luka Doncic mega-deal did, because it just made so much sense.

Durant, who was said to be caught off-guard when the Suns discussed him in trade talks at the deadline, was long expected to seek an offseason trade, while the Rockets, armed with the young players and draft picks necessary to get a deal done, had just shown in their postseason loss to Golden State that they badly needed an infusion of offensive firepower.

Durant, even as he enters his age-37 season, is capable of providing just that, having continued to produce at an All-NBA level last season (26.6 points per game on .527/.430/.839 shooting). While he’s no longer the defensive force he was during his prime years, the Rockets will be happy if the 15-time All-Star continues to put up his typical scoring numbers and gives head coach Ime Udoka a reliable bucket-getter who can create his own shot in clutch situations.

The Durant deal between the Suns and Rockets eventually turned into a seven-team monstrosity that folded several separate trade agreements into a single transaction, but there were essentially three crucial outgoing pieces from Houston’s perspective in the Durant portion of the trade: Jalen Green, Dillon Brooks, and this year’s No. 10 overall pick.

Green’s three-year extension, which begins this year, was practically designed to make him a trade chip. And when he struggled in his first playoff series, scoring no more than 12 points in six of seven games, it sealed his fate. Green will be given an opportunity in Phoenix to make another leap, but the Rockets – eager to take a step toward title contention right now – couldn’t afford to wait to see whether or not that would happen.

Giving up this year’s No. 10 pick also wasn’t a major sacrifice for the Rockets, who had the No. 3 pick a year earlier and ended up barely utilizing the player they selected with it (Reed Sheppard). If Houston had kept its 2025 first-rounder, it would’ve been a tall order for the team’s latest lottery selection to crack the rotation anytime soon.

Of those outgoing pieces, Brooks actually might be the one the Rockets miss the most in the short term. A locker-room leader and a tenacious defender, the forward played an important role in Houston, and the club is unlikely to ask Durant to take on the same defensive assignments that Brooks handled. As a result, going out in free agency and landing another defensive-minded wing capable of guarding high-level perimeter scorers was a priority for the front office.

That search eventually landed with a four-year, $52.7MM commitment to Dorian Finney-Smith that is more team-friendly than it initially looked. Only the first two years of Finney-Smith’s new contract are guaranteed, giving Houston some flexibility to get out of the deal in a year or two if things don’t work out. Still, based on how Finney-Smith helped transform the Lakers’ defense last winter after a mid-season trade sent him from Brooklyn to Los Angeles, there’s no reason to think the wing won’t be an asset for the Rockets.

Houston also used the minimum salary exception to add Josh Okogie, another versatile wing who will give the team energy and defense off the bench.

Having brought back several players from last season’s roster on more team-friendly deals – Fred VanVleet took a pay cut to $25MM, while Aaron Holiday and Jae’Sean Tate re-signed for the minimum – the Rockets still had a little financial flexibility below a first-apron hard cap after agreeing to trade for Durant and striking a deal with Finney-Smith.

Interestingly, Houston used that remaining flexibility below the first apron to acquire Clint Capela via sign-and-trade, incorporating that agreement with Atlanta into the super-sized Durant deal so as not to send out any additional salary.

It was a curious move for a team that already has Alperen Sengun and newly extended backup center Steven Adams in the middle, but after having success with lineups that featured both Sengun and Adams down the stretch last season, the team seems prepared to continue leaning into those bigger looks going forward. Having Capela in the mix as well will give the Rockets more reliable depth up front and more flexibility to mix and match those two-big units.

The Rockets’ other two major transactions of the summer featured first-round picks from 2022 and 2023: the team doubled down on its investment in 2022’s No. 3 overall pick, Jabari Smith Jr., by signing him to a five-year, $122MM extension, but decided to move on from 2023 first-rounder Cam Whitmore, trading him to Washington for a pair of second-round picks.

Whitmore showed off some intriguing scoring upside during his first two NBA seasons, but Smith’s all-around game – including his stout defense – is a better fit for Houston’s roster and for Udoka’s philosophy. Smith’s numbers dipped a little in an injury-shortened 2024/25 season, but there’s reason to believe his game still has more room to grow — he just turned 22 years old in May.


Up next

The Rockets have an opening on their projected 15-man roster, but they don’t have enough room below their hard cap to actually sign a 15th man until January, so their standard roster looks set. Their three two-way contract slots have also been filled, which means their preseason signings and cuts figure to be about securing G League rights and lining up bonuses for Rio Grande Valley Vipers players.

Still, it won’t be a quiet October in Houston. The team has two big contract decisions to make, as both Durant (veteran) and Tari Eason (rookie scale) are eligible to sign extensions.

Since Durant is on an expiring contract, he’ll remain extension-eligible all season long, so there’s not necessarily an urgency to get something done with him before opening night, but it’s frankly a little surprising that the two sides don’t already have an agreement in place. When Durant was on the trade block, Houston was said to be one of the teams he’d be willing to sign an extension with, but the team has seemingly been in no rush to finalize a new contract.

Reports in August indicated that the two sides are still expected to work something out, but that the Rockets may be reluctant to give Durant a maximum-salary deal (roughly $119MM over two years). That would explain the delay and is an understandable position to take, given that a two-year extension would cover KD’s age-38 and -39 seasons.

I’d still expect Houston to put a lucrative offer on the table, but it will be interesting to see whether the team will be willing to guarantee more than one additional season beyond 2025/26. For the sake of comparison, when the Clippers re-signed James Harden in July, they gave him one guaranteed year (for age 36), with a partially guaranteed player option ($13.3MM of $42.3MM) on the second year.

Negotiations with Eason won’t be simple either, especially since the two sides face an October 20 deadline. If no deal is reached by that point, the fourth-year forward will head to restricted free agency in 2026.

Having lost Brooks, the Rockets will probably be relying on Eason to step up and play an increased role in 2025/26, and the 24-year-old has shown real promise as a three-and-D wing. But Houston’s roster is getting increasingly expensive and the team will also have to make a substantial investment in Amen Thompson when he becomes extension-eligible next summer.

The front office will have to be careful about how much it’s prepared to commit to Eason, a solid contributor with untapped potential who still probably isn’t one of the club’s five or six most important players.

Turkey Ousts Greece, Will Vie For EuroBasket Gold

Turkey jumped out to a 12-point lead in the first quarter of Friday’s EuroBasket semifinal vs. Greece and never looked back, expanding that lead in each quarter en route to a 94-68 blowout win.

The victory secures Turkey’s spot in the EuroBasket championship game on Sunday. It will be the first time since the country hosted the tournament in 2001 that it has competed in the gold medal game — Turkey lost to Yugoslavia 24 years ago and has never won a EuroBasket title.

Rockets center Alperen Sengun had another big game on Friday, racking up 15 points, 12 rebounds, and six assists as Turkey outscored Greece by 24 points during his 33 minutes of action. However, the team’s leading scorers were forward/center Ercan Osmani, who had 28 points on 11-of-15 shooting, and Cedi Osman, who scored 17 points on 7-of-12 shooting and was a team-best +32.

Osmani was also the primary defender against Greek star Giannis Antetokounmpo, who had his worst game of the tournament with just 12 points on 6-of-13 shooting. The Bucks forward, who had scored at least 25 points in each of his five previous EuroBasket games, had 12 rebounds and five assists, but committed five turnovers and was a -30 in 30 minutes.

Turkey and Germany will square off for EuroBasket gold on Sunday with their matching undefeated (8-0) records on the line. The Germans have three active NBA players and two former NBAers on their roster, including Franz Wagner of the Magic and Dennis Schröder of the Kings; Turkey’s roster features two current NBA players – Sengun and Sixers big man Adem Bona – and five ex-NBA players.

Greece, meanwhile, will go up against Lauri Markkanen and the Finnish national team in Sunday’s third-place game.

Rockets Notes: Eason, Durant, Playing Time, Owens, Sengun

Many people around the league believe the Rockets will work out a long-term extension with Tari Eason before finalizing a new deal with Kevin Durant, according to William Guillory of The Athletic.

ESPN’s Brian Windhorst recently reported that Durant and the Rockets are expected to reach an extension agreement at some point.

Eason has an expiring contract — the Rockets exercised a $5.68MM club option on the final year of his rookie deal for 2025/26. The fourth-year forward averaged a career-high 12.0 points and 1.7 steals per game while making 57 appearances last season.

Here’s more on the Rockets:

  • In the same story, Guillory opines about a pleasant dilemma: Does Houston have too many good players? Guillory believes coach Ime Udoka will have a difficult time figuring out how to divvy up minutes among so many players capable of heavy minutes on a good team.
  • Mark Owens, a Houston-area boxing trainer, has become a vital asset to the Rockets — the team’s director of performance, Willie Cruz, describes Owens as “an extension of our strength coaches.” Danielle Lerner of the Houston Chronicle (subscription required) profiles how Owens, who served a federal prison term, turned his life around and helped the Rockets become one of the more physical teams in the league.
  • Former Sixers forward Furkan Korkmaz is playing alongside Rockets center Alperen Sengun for Turkey in the EuroBasket tournament. Korkmaz called Sengun, not Joel Embiid, the best center he’s played with in his career. “He’s a special kid and every day he’s trying to give his maximum,” he said in a video posted by Eurohoops Turkey.

And-Ones: Top Newcomers, Realignment, McGrady, St. Bonnie’s

With most of the NBA’s offseason action now in the books, Chris Herring and Kevin Pelton of ESPN identify the 14 NBA “newcomers” whose changes of scenery will have the greatest impact in 2025/26.

There are no surprises at the top of the list, which features new Rockets forward Kevin Durant at No. 1, Magic guard Desmond Bane at No. 2, and Nuggets forward Cameron Johnson at No. 3. However, Herring and Pelton deviate a little from expectations at No. 4 by including a head coach: Mike Brown of the Knicks. As Herring writes, it’s possible no coach in the league will face more “title-or-bust pressure” than Brown in his first year on the job.

Lakers center Deandre Ayton rounds out the top five on the 14-man list, which – outside of Brown – is made up exclusively of players.

We have more from around the basketball world:

  • What might NBA realignment look like if the league were to expand to Las Vegas and Seattle? Zach Harper of The Athletic takes a closer look at that topic, exploring scenarios in which either the Timberwolves, Pelicans, or Grizzlies move to the Eastern Conference and considering how the league might shuffle its divisions around in each hypothetical case.
  • Former NBA star Tracy McGrady has signed a new endorsement deal to reunite with Adidas, according to Shams Charania of ESPN, who reports (via Twitter) that the two parties are expected to work with longtime sports marketing executive Sonny Vaccaro to revive the ABCD (Academic Betterment and Career Development) Camp. As Charania explains in a follow-up tweet, the ABCD Camp was a youth basketball camp that ran for over two decades from 1984-2006 and featured several future stars, including McGrady himself.
  • The St. Bonaventure men’s basketball program will host its first ever pro day on Saturday, October 11 at the NBPA training facility in Manhattan, according to a press release from the school. “The first Bonnies Pro Day is a tremendous opportunity for NBA and G League front office executives to scout our players in a competitive practice and workout environment,” former ESPN reporter and current St. Bonnie’s general manager Adrian Wojnarowski said in a statement.

Alperen Sengun Leads Turkey Into EuroBasket Semifinals

Turkey advanced to the EuroBasket semifinals on Tuesday by defeating Poland by a score of 91-77 in the tournament’s first quarterfinal matchup.

Rockets center Alperen Sengun, who entered the day as Turkey’s top scorer, once again led the way for the team by putting up 19 points, 12 rebounds, and 10 assists in just under 31 minutes of action. It was the first EuroBasket triple-double for Sengun after he came within one assist of achieving the feat during group play vs. Czechia — he’s the youngest player to ever register a triple-double in a EuroBasket game, per FIBA.

With 151 points, 76 rebounds, and 50 assists through seven games, Sengun is the first player in the last 30 years to compile at least 150 points, 50 rebounds, and 50 assists in a single EuroBasket tournament, tweets Armando Caporaso of Sportando.

Cedi Osman, (10 points and a team-best +18 on/off mark), Shane Larkin (13 points, five assists), and Furkan Korkmaz (10 points) are among the former NBA players who also played key roles in Tuesday’s victory for the Turkish national team. Osman sustained an ankle injury in the third quarter, but head coach Ergin Ataman said after the game that he hopes the forward will be able to play on Friday, as Edvinas Jablonskis of BasketNews.com relays.

Veteran guard/forward Mateusz Ponitka and former Raptor Jordan Loyd were Poland’s leading scorers, with 19 points apiece.

The Turkish team is now 7-0 at EuroBasket 2025 and is on track for its best result since 2001 — and maybe ever. Turkey, which hosted the 2001 tournament, won silver that year, but hasn’t finished higher than eighth since then and has only ever made the top four of the European championships one other time (fourth place in 1949).

Turkey will face the winner of today’s Lithuania vs. Greece game in the semifinals on Friday.

Southwest Notes: FVV, Adams, Grizzlies, Pelicans, Mavs

The Rockets‘ trade for Kevin Durant was clearly the most impactful move of the team’s offseason, but extending Steven Adams and re-signing Fred VanVleet on a more team-friendly deal shouldn’t be overlooked, Danielle Lerner of The Houston Chronicle (subscription required) writes in a preview of the club’s season.

As Lerner points out, both VanVleet and Adams are respected locker-room leaders in addition to providing value on the court and were among Houston’s most effective players in the postseason series vs. Golden State.

After winning 52 games last season, the Rockets appear capable of increasing that number in 2025/26, perhaps to the 55-win range, Lerner writes. However, winning in the playoffs will be the ultimate barometer of success in Houston this season — the team hasn’t won a postseason series since 2020.

We have more from around the Southwest:

  • In addition to previewing Houston’s 2025/26 campaign, Lerner spoke to beat writers for other Southwest teams within the past week to get a sense of their outlooks for the coming season. Michael Wallace of Grind City Media (Chronicle subscriber link) believes the Grizzlies are capable of competing for a top-six seed in the West after trading away Desmond Bane; Jim Eichenhofer of Pelicans.com (subscriber link) thinks the Pelicans will exceed expectations after having widely been projected as the No. 14 team in the conference; and Eddie Sefko of Mavs.com (subscriber link) forecasts a 48-34 regular season and a playoff berth for the Mavericks.
  • While the Mavericks‘ new four-year, $89MM extension with P.J. Washington looks relatively team-friendly in a vacuum, it’s unclear how much sense it makes for Dallas, according to Yossi Gozlan of The Third Apron (Substack link), who points to a crowded frontcourt and the team’s increasingly pricey roster going forward as ways the deal could backfire.
  • The Memphis Hustle, the Grizzlies‘ G League affiliate, acquired the returning player rights for guard Evan Gilyard from the Raptors 905 in exchange for a 2025 NBAGL first-round pick, according to an announcement from the team (Twitter link). Gilyard, who averaged 12.3 points and 5.4 assists per game during the 2024/25 G League regular season for Toronto’s affiliate, is now a candidate to sign an Exhibit 10 contract with Memphis if the team wants to pay him more than the standard NBAGL salary.
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