With the 2024/25 NBA regular season set to tip off next month, we’re getting serious about predictions for the upcoming campaign and continuing an annual Hoops Rumors tradition.
With the help of the lines from a series of sports betting sites – including Bovada and BetOnline – we’re running through the predicted win totals for each of the NBA’s 30 teams, by division. In a series of team-by-team polls, you’ll get the chance to weigh in on whether you think those forecasts are too optimistic or too pessimistic.
In 2023/24, our voters went 16-14 on their over/under picks. Can you top that in ’24/25?
We’ll continue our series today with the Southwest Division…
Dallas Mavericks
- 2023/24 record: 50-32
- Over/under for 2024/25: 49.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: Klay Thompson, Naji Marshall, Quentin Grimes, Spencer Dinwiddie
- Lost: Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Green, Derrick Jones, Markieff Morris
- Note: Morris may still re-sign with the Mavericks, likely replacing A.J. Lawson in that scenario.
How many games will the Mavericks win in 2024/25?
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Over 49.5 78% (298)
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Under 49.5 22% (84)
Total votes: 382
Memphis Grizzlies
- 2023/24 record: 27-55
- Over/under for 2024/25: 47.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: Zach Edey, Jaylen Wells
- Lost: Ziaire Williams, Yuta Watanabe, Lamar Stevens
How many games will the Grizzlies win in 2024/25?
-
Under 47.5 66% (235)
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Over 47.5 34% (123)
Total votes: 358
New Orleans Pelicans
- 2023/24 record: 49-33
- Over/under for 2024/25: 46.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
How many games will the Pelicans win in 2024/25?
-
Under 46.5 61% (217)
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Over 46.5 39% (141)
Total votes: 358
Houston Rockets
- 2023/24 record: 41-41
- Over/under for 2024/25: 43.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: Reed Sheppard, AJ Griffin
- Lost: Reggie Bullock, Boban Marjanovic
How many games will the Rockets win in 2024/25?
-
Under 43.5 51% (185)
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Over 43.5 49% (175)
Total votes: 360
San Antonio Spurs
- 2023/24 record: 22-60
- Over/under for 2024/25: 36.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: Chris Paul, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle
- Lost: Cedi Osman, Devonte’ Graham, Dominick Barlow
How many games will the Spurs win in 2024/25?
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Under 36.5 53% (200)
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Over 36.5 47% (178)
Total votes: 378
Previous voting results:
- Boston Celtics (58.5 wins): Over (69.7%)
- New York Knicks (53.5 wins): Over (58.8%)
- Philadelphia 76ers (52.5 wins): Under (51.7%)
- Toronto Raptors (30.5 wins): Under (58.7%)
- Brooklyn Nets (19.5 wins): Over (54.3%)
My prediction
Grizzlies 54
Mavs 53
Pelicans 51
Rockets 42
Spurs 30
Clutch point predict Rockets to win 38 games
Raptors over 30 in the poopy east is a no brainer!
Rj quick brown Scottie jakub
Dick Mitchell olynyk
Under 30, really?
They’re no better or worse than Houston and Houston plays in the west — 43.5 for Houston, easy. 30 for the raptors easy over.
Only way it happens is if Scottie’s injured again.
?
Please use words weak East instead of poopy East
Thank you
I not only favor the overall talent level of Houston’s youth, but I also think it’s indisputable that they’re substantially deeper.
That said, given the sheer number of competitive teams in the west, whereas the bottom seven teams in the east are pretty pathetic, I do agree there’s a decent chance Houston and Toronto ultimately end up with the same record. Not, however, because those teams are evenly matched
BOS, NYK, TOR & BRK all of them under
PHI over