Al Jefferson Says He’ll Likely Opt In

1:16pm: Jefferson elaborated on his thinking, making his decision seem even more set in stone. “I’ve got unfinished business here,” Jefferson said when asked whether he’d opt out, as Bonnell relays via Twitter. “That’s not even an option for me.”

12:10pm: Al Jefferson said today that it’s highly unlikely he’ll turn down his $13.5MM player option for next season, according to Rick Bonnell of the Charlotte Observer (Twitter link). Most formal decisions on options aren’t due until June 29th, but the news is nonetheless a blow for teams in the market for a big man this summer. The 30-year-old Jefferson is the 14th-ranked free agent in the latest Hoops Rumors Free Agent Power Rankings one year removed from a career season.

Jefferson regressed this year amid injuries, but he still played in 65 games and averaged 16.6 points and 8.4 rebounds in 30.6 minutes per game. He was only the third leading scorer for Charlotte, but he nonetheless remains a key part of the Hornets, and coach Steve Clifford expressed continued faith in the 11-year veteran, saying it’s not a given that he’ll continue to struggle with injuries, Bonnell tweets. Owner Michael Jordan indicated before this season that he’d want to keep Jefferson if he elected free agency, given the chance the big man took when he signed with a downtrodden Charlotte team in 2013.

Should Jefferson indeed opt in this year, the Jeff Schwartz client would be positioning himself to hit free agency just as the salary cap rises sharply after next season. It’s a gamble that he’d have a bounce-back performance in 2015/16 and that teams wouldn’t look askance at his advancing age.

An opt in from Jefferson would give the Hornets almost $60MM in commitments against a projected $67.4MM salary cap, not counting Gerald Henderson‘s $6MM player option. The team will likely be limited to the mid-level and biannual exceptions to pay free agents more than the minimum, but Clifford doesn’t think the Hornets need to make a splashy upgrade, as Bonnell relays (on Twitter). “We’re not in a position to get a max-level player. Nor do we need to,” Clifford said today.

Cedi Osman, Nikola Milutinov Entering Draft

Small forward Cedi Osman and center Nikola Milutinov will enter this year’s draft, according to their agents, Jonathan Givony of DraftExpress reports (Twitter links). Both are overseas prospects with decent chances to become second-round picks in June. Small forward Rade Zagorac, another international hopeful, will also declare for the draft this year, agent Misko Raznatovic said, as Givony notes (Twitter link), though Zagorac isn’t as highly regarded. He’s not within the top 100 prospects for either Givony or Chad Ford of ESPN.com, and Givony ranks him 16th-best among overseas prospects born in 1995. Osman is No. 52 with both Ford and Givony, while Ford has Milutinov 59th and Givony ranks him 68th.

The 6’6″ Osman, another Raznatovic client, has averaged 7.6 points and 3.8 rebounds in 19.7 minutes per game this season for Turkish mainstay Anadolu Efes.  He’s not a strong three-point shooter at this point, having averaged 32.4% from behind the arc this year and 32.9% last year. The now 20-year-old averaged 2.3 points in a little more than nine minutes per game during last year’s FIBA World Cup.

Milutinov, who’s also 20, has put up somewhat more impressive numbers for KK Partizan in his native Serbia, averaging 9.2 PPG and 7.4 RPG in 26.4 MPG this season. The 7-footer isn’t much of a shot-blocker, swatting just 0.8 shots per contest. He’s a client of agent Marko Jelic.

Zagorac, 19, is the only double-figure scorer among the trio in spite of his status as a lesser prospect, having put up 10.8 PPG in 28.9 MPG with 39.4% three-point shooting this year for Serbia’s KK Mega Vizura. All three can withdraw from the draft anytime between now and June 15th.

Suns Notes: Knight, Wright, Green

Brandon Knight would like to re-sign with the Suns, and he’d like that to happen in a swift process that would contrast sharply from last summer’s drawn-out negotiations with Eric Bledsoe, and Paul Coro of the Arizona Republic relays.

“If it can be quick and easy, that’s the best thing,” Knight said. “You don’t want to go through a fight or anything like that or you don’t want to drag it out as well. Definitely don’t want anything that leads up to training camp. For me, it’s just about doing what’s best for me and my family and the Suns will do the same. I’m optimistic about the situation. I like it here. I like the way I’ve been treated so far. Top-class organization. I’m looking forward to a future with the Suns.”

GM Ryan McDonough admits the team has learned from what happened with Bledsoe and expressed belief and hope that negotiations with Knight will go more smoothly, as Coro notes in separate piece. The Suns want to bring him back, and he told them that he has no issues pairing with Bledsoe in the backcourt, Coro writes. While we wait to see how it turns out for Knight and the Suns in restricted free agency this summer, here’s more from Coro on the Suns:

  • McDonough said the team will go after a star this summer and pledged to be active on the trade market, and he expressed confidence that the team is in a strong position to land any marquee players who become available, according to Coro. “Short of that, we’ll try to do it with depth and do it as a team,” McDonough said. “We tried to do that last year. It’s just the roster wasn’t as balanced as it should’ve been and, frankly, the players didn’t handle it as well as we would’ve liked them to.”
  • Adding size, rebounding, shooting and veterans will be priorities, McDonough said, as Coro notes.
  • The team would like to re-sign Brandan Wright, according to Coro, and that feeling is mutual, Coro writes via Twitter.
  • Soon-to-be free agent Gerald Green struck a more optimistic tone about a future with the Suns than emanated recently from agent Kevin Bradbury, who alleged coach Jeff Hornacek of unwarranted criticism of his client. “I think they want me back as well … Actually, it was a good conversation [with president of basketball operations Lon Babby] so I’m a little positive about that,” Green said, as Coro tweets.

Thunder Non-Committal Toward Scott Brooks

10:50am: For his part, Brooks remains optimistic, telling reporters today that he expects to return for next season, as Royce Young of ESPN.com tweets.

7:51am: Several league sources close to Thunder coach Scott Brooks have expressed doubt about his job security as the Thunder are expected to “spend time evaluating the partnership” with the coach before committing to him for another season, reports Adrian Wojnarowski of Yahoo! Sports. The Magic and Nuggets would have significant interest in Brooks if he became available, sources told Wojnarowski. Oklahoma City’s contract with Brooks runs through 2016/17, with a team option on the final season, Wojnarowski adds.

Thunder GM Sam Presti has long been friends with University of Florida coach Billy Donovan, according to Wojnarowski. Donovan is another Nuggets and Magic candidate who has an increasing desire to coach in the NBA, as Marc Stein of ESPN.com reported a couple of weeks ago. League sources who spoke with Wojnarowski brought up the possibility of Presti targeting Donovan should the Thunder let go of Brooks.

Injury-plagued Oklahoma City went 45-37 and remained alive for a playoff berth until the final night of the regular season, but the Thunder missed the postseason for the first time since 2009. Brooks took over midway through that season, and in spite of the Thunder’s fast rise to title contention, the coach has come under fire from critics for his in-game strategy. The Thunder organization has largely remained supportive, but negotiations in the 2012 offseason on a four-year extension worth about $18MM were difficult, according to Wojnarowski, even though Oklahoma City was fresh off a trip to the NBA Finals. The Blazers were among several teams with interest in swooping in to hire Brooks then if those talks fell apart, Wojnarowski notes.

Many in the Thunder organization like Brooks, who has close relationship with management and players alike, Wojnarowski writes. Still, the specter of Kevin Durant‘s contract, which expires after next season, clouds the Thunder’s future. Durant, the league’s reigning MVP and scoring champ, played in only 27 games this season largely because of a broken foot, precipitating the Thunder’s slide down the standings.

2015 Draft Order, Lottery Odds

Here’s a look at the odds for the May 19th draft lottery. The figures in red denote the chances that the Sixers, who get the Lakers’ pick if it falls out of the top five and the Heat’s pick if it falls out of the top 10, have of receiving those picks in each lottery position. Picks marked with an X are impossible for a team to land. Spaces in which “0.0%” appears means there’s less than a 0.05% chance the team will end up with that pick.

lotteryodds2015(3)

Here’s a look at the full order, with each of the 60 picks as they stand:

First Round

  1. *Timberwolves
  2. *Knicks
  3. *Sixers
  4. *Lakers — to Sixers if pick falls out of top five
  5. *Magic
  6. *Kings
  7. *Nuggets
  8. *Pistons
  9. *Hornets
  10. *Heat — to Sixers if Miami is passed in lottery
  11. *Pacers
  12. *Jazz
  13. *Suns
  14. *Thunder
  15. Hawks (via Nets)
  16. Celtics
  17. Bucks
  18. Rockets (via Pelicans)
  19. Wizards
  20. Raptors
  21. Mavericks
  22. Bulls
  23. Trail Blazers
  24. Cavaliers
  25. Grizzlies
  26. Spurs
  27. Lakers (via Rockets)
  28. Celtics (via Clippers)
  29. Nets (via Hawks)
  30. Warriors

*— subject to lottery

Second Round

  1. Timberwolves
  2. Rockets (via Knicks)
  3. Celtics (via Sixers)
  4. Lakers
  5. Sixers (via Magic)
  6. Timberwolves (via Kings)
  7. Sixers (via Nuggets)
  8. Pistons
  9. Hornets
  10. Heat
  11. Nets
  12. **Jazz or Pacers
  13. **Jazz or Pacers
  14. Suns
  15. Celtics
  16. Bucks
  17. Sixers (via Pelicans)
  18. Thunder
  19. Wizards
  20. Hawks (via Raptors)
  21. Magic (via Bulls)
  22. Mavericks
  23. Cavaliers (via Trail Blazers)
  24. Jazz (via Cavaliers)
  25. Spurs
  26. Pelicans (via Grizzlies)
  27. Nuggets (via Clippers)
  28. Sixers (via Rockets)
  29. Hawks
  30. Sixers (via Warriors)

** — The Jazz and Pacers finished with identical regular season records, but the random draw for the teams’ first-round picks only determined lottery position, not final draft position. It’s possible that Utah’s first-rounder will emerge from the lottery in a higher position than Indiana’s. If that happens, Indiana will take the 12th pick in the second round (42nd overall) and Utah will take the 13th (43rd). Otherwise, the Jazz will have the 12th pick in the second round and the Pacers will have the 13th.

NBA.com and a Celtics.com piece by Celtics assistant GM Mike Zarren were used in the creation of this post. For more on how the lottery works, check out our Hoops Rumors Glossary item.

Coaching Rumors: Thibodeau, Skiles, Williams

Scott Brooks appears to be in trouble with the Thunder, but there are at least two coachiing jobs already up for grabs, with the Magic and Nuggets having interim bosses in place. Here’s the latest as the annual period of coaching unrest tips off:

  • Tom Thibodeau and the Bulls are “widely expected” to part ways after Chicago’s season ends, as Marc Stein of ESPN.com writes within a larger look at the coaching landscape. K.C. Johnson of the Chicago Tribune wrote in January that the relationship between Thibs and the front office is “beyond repair,” but no definitive decision has been made, and Thibodeau is under contract through 2016/17. Johnson wrote this week that Thibodeau wouldn’t walk away from the team if the choice were solely up to him.
  • Orlando indeed has interest in Thibodeau should he become available, Stein writes. Several league sources suggested to Chris Mannix of SI.com in February that the Magic might pursue Thibodeau.
  • The Magic have said that they’ll interview interim coach James Borrego, and some sources insist to Stein there’s a chance that Nuggets interim coach Melvin Hunt will have a chance to remain in the job, but sources told Stein this week that neither team is expected to retain its interim boss.
  • Conflicting reports have emerged on whether the Magic have spoken with Scott Skiles. Sources tell Stein that Orlando has held informal discussions with its former point guard, while Josh Robbins of the Orlando Sentinel later tweeted that no such talks have taken place. Still, Robbins believes they eventually will, and Skiles and Magic CEO Alex Martins have a strong relationship, Stein notes.
  • The Pelicans told coach Monty Williams and GM Dell Demps before the season that they had to make the playoffs to keep their jobs, regardless of whether the team suffered a rash of injuries, reports Adrian Wojnarowski of Yahoo! Sports (Twitter link). New Orleans qualified for the postseason with a win Wednesday.

Trevor Lacey To Enter Draft

N.C. State junior shooting guard Trevor Lacey has decided to enter this year’s draft, as he confirms to Jeff Goodman of ESPN.com (Twitter link). His chances of getting drafted seem slim, as he’s just No. 96 on the list of prospects that Chad Ford of ESPN.com compiles, while Jonathan Givony of DraftExpress doesn’t have him within his top 100, ranking Lacey as only the 75th-best college junior.

Lacey put up 15.7 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.5 assists in 35.9 minutes per game during his lone season with the Wolfpack after transferring from Alabama and sitting out a year. He nailed 39.2% of his three-point shots, so he showed proficiency in a number of areas. Still, at 6’3″, he doesn’t have ideal size for a shooting guard, and he’s a tweener, as Ford writes in his profile. At 23, his age works against him, too, since NBA teams usually prefer younger prospects with upside.

He helped the Wolfpack to a Sweet 16 appearance in the NCAA Tournament this year, scoring 18 points in a loss to Louisville. If Lacey defies the odds and makes an NBA regular season roster, he’ll join Lorenzo Brown and T.J. Warren as NBA perimeter players that N.C. State coach Mark Gottfried has produced in his four seasons at the school. It wouldn’t be surprising to see several teams bring Lacey in for workouts prior to the draft, in spite of his position on draft boards, and even if he isn’t drafted, he figures to have a chance to earn a training camp invitation with a strong summer league performance.

Northwest Notes: Kanter, Billups, Garnett

The Trail Blazers are playoff-bound, though they’ll have a higher seed than their record shows they deserve because they won the Northwest Division. If the Thunder lose or the Pelicans win tonight, Portland will be the Northwest’s only playoff representative. Here’s more from a division that’s proven a drag on the Western Conference’s claim to supremacy this season:

  • It was obvious to opposing front office executives that the Jazz were under a ton of pressure to trade Enes Kanter at the deadline, as one of those executives tells Sean Deveney of The Sporting News, adding that the Jazz were only seeking a pick for the now-Thunder center. Kanter, a restricted free agent this summer, had pushed for a trade, and when Utah accommodated him, the Jazz received a lottery-protected first-rounder, a second-rounder and the rights to a draft-and-stash prospect along with Kendrick Perkins and Grant Jerrett.
  • Chauncey Billups tells Mark Kiszla of The Denver Post that Timberwolves coach/executive Flip Saunders reached out to him last spring with the idea of making him the team’s lead assistant this season and its head coach for 2015/16. Billups reiterated to Kiszla that while he’d “never say never,” he doesn’t want to coach. The retired point guard would rather work as a team executive, and Kiszla urges the Nuggets to pursue him for such a role. Denver wanted to hire Billups for a front office job before this season, as the Post’s Christopher Dempsey wrote in October.
  • Patrick Reusse of the Star Tribune suggests that Minnesota’s trade for Kevin Garnett is more about ticket sales than Garnett’s on-court impact or his influence on prize rookie Andrew Wiggins. Garnett has played only five games since returning to the Wolves.

Key Players Without NBA Contracts In 2014/15

The last day of the regular season is here, and barring a late signing, several noteworthy players will have gone through 2014/15 without an NBA contract. For some, like Ray Allen, it’s a matter of choice. For others, such as Carlos Delfino, an injury kept them out of the league. Still others signed overseas. With many more, it’s primarily a matter of a lack of interest from teams.

Whatever the reasons, we’ll list some of the most prominent free agents who lingered all season. These names include those who were on NBA rosters during the preseason but didn’t make the cut. They’re grouped alphabetically by position below:

Point guards

Shooting guards

Small forwards

Power forwards

Centers

Pacific Notes: Suns, Ellington, Lin, Cousins

Suns GM Ryan McDonough admits the team had no intention of reshaping its roster as much as it did this season, but while he’s disappointed with the way this year has gone, he feels the Suns are still better off than they were two years ago, when he took over, as he tells Paul Coro of the Arizona Republic.

“We’ve tried to do something that’s not easy to do,” McDonough said. “We tried to turn over the roster with talented, young players who have some potential but probably aren’t ready to win yet at the highest levels. But we also tried to stay competitive in a brutal Western Conference. Usually, teams try to do one or the other. They load up on veteran guys and trade draft picks and go all in or they completely blow up and gut the team and try to acquire and play a bunch of young guys.”

Phoenix will look to achieve more roster balance, among other goals, this summer, McDonough added. Here’s more from the Pacific Division:

  • The sense is that Wayne Ellington will largely favor the Lakers in free agency this year, but he’s mindful that the market is uncertain for both himself and the team, according to Mark Medina of the Los Angeles Daily News (Twitter links), who’s identified mutual interest between the sides. Ellington backed up his end of that, referencing coach Byron Scott and GM Mitch Kupchak during his exit interview with the media Tuesday when he said, “I flat out told coach and Mitch I want to be back,” Medina notes.
  • Jeremy Lin seemed lukewarm to the idea of returning to the Lakers during his exit interview, saying that he has “definitely not ruled out” the possibility and that the Lakers wouldn’t be a “last resort.” He said that losing his starting job in December “hurt,” but that his respect for Scott has grown throughout the season. Medina (separate piece), Baxter Holmes of ESPNLosAngeles (Twitter link), Bleacher Report’s Kevin Ding (Twitter link) and Bill Oram of the Orange County Register (Twitter link) have the details.
  • Trade rumors are partly to blame for the sour mood DeMarcus Cousins has been in of late, but Kings executive Vlade Divac, who’s in charge of the front office, is in awe of Cousins’ talent, according to Ailene Voisin of The Sacramento Bee. Voisin advises Cousins to get away from the noise now that the season is ending.