CBA Observations: Kuminga, D. Robinson, Cavs, Frozen Picks
While the NBA's current Collective Bargaining Agreement technically went into effect in 2023, many of the rules affecting tax apron teams weren't fully implemented until 2024. As a result, last summer was a crash course for teams, fans, and reporters alike on those new rules, giving us our first look at the impact they'll have on team-building going forward.
With the 2024/25 season under our belts, we're better equipped entering the 2025 offseason to assess how those new rules - and some old ones - will affect teams' ability to make trades and sign free agents this summer. Still, I've seen some confusion and misrepresentation regarding a few specific rules as speculation about offseason roster moves begins to heat up this spring, so we'll use the space below today to provide clarity on some of those issues.
Let's dive in...
A potential Jonathan Kuminga sign-and-trade
With Warriors forward Jonathan Kuminga headed for restricted free agency this offseason after playing an inconsistent role in his fourth NBA season, there has been a good deal of speculation already about whether Golden State will attempt to recoup value for Kuminga via a sign-and-trade rather than simply re-signing him or matching a rival offer sheet.
I'm not here today to weigh the merits of one path vs. the other. I just want to examine what it would look like from a practical perspective if the Warriors do sign-and-trade Kuminga, since the base year compensation rule would come into play.
2025 NBA Offseason Preview: San Antonio Spurs
After putting up a 22-60 record in Victor Wembanyama's rookie season in 2023/24, the Spurs added a couple veterans (Chris Paul and Harrison Barnes) to the mix last summer and were expected to take a step forward, which they did -- their 34-48 mark wasn't enough for play-in contention, but it represented a 12-game improvement on the prior season.
Simply looking at the Spurs' record, however, undersells what an eventful year it was in San Antonio, for better or worse.
Just a couple weeks into the season, longtime head coach Gregg Popovich suffered a medical incident later revealed to be a stroke, resulting in assistant Mitch Johnson taking the reins for the rest of the year. Although he held out hope of eventually returning to the Spurs' bench, Popovich ultimately determined that it wouldn't be possible and formally stepped down from the role at season's end. The 76-year-old will remain with the organization as president of basketball operations, but Johnson is now the permanent head coach.
Nearly three months after Popovich suffered his stroke, word broke that the Kings were attempting to trade De'Aaron Fox and that he had given Sacramento a one-team wish list -- the Spurs were the only team on it. San Antonio isn't exactly Los Angeles or Miami, so Fox's push to join the Spurs raised some eyebrows, reflecting the impact that Wembanyama has already had on the franchise.
It seems safe to assume that if the 2024 Rookie of the Year weren't a Spur, Fox wouldn't have been looking to become one either, but the leverage he exerted ahead of the trade deadline put San Antonio in position to acquire him for a pretty reasonable price. The Spurs didn't give up any of their top rotation players in the deal and surrendered just one of their own draft picks, a 2027 first-rounder. That leaves them plenty of ammo if they want to take another major swing on the trade market going forward.
Finally, in the days following the All-Star Game, the Spurs announced that Wembanyama would miss the rest of the season after having been diagnosed with a deep vein thrombosis in his right shoulder. It was a scary development, given that blood clotting issues have cut NBA careers short in the past. There was optimism in San Antonio, however, that Wembanyama's DVT was detected early enough to avoid major complications and that it should be an isolated incident.
Poll: Who Will Win Eastern Conference Finals?
A year after falling to Indiana in the 2024 Eastern Conference Semifinals, the Knicks will get another shot at them in the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals. Star guard Jalen Brunson is looking forward to the opportunity to take advantage of the second chance.
“I mean, it still kind of bothers me,” Brunson said on Monday, referring to last year’s series, per Zach Braziller of The New York Post. “Obviously it was a missed opportunity last year playing them at home in Game 7, regardless of who we had out there.”
The version of the Knicks that finished last season looked far different from the group that will take the court on Wednesday in Game 1 of the Eastern Finals. The 2023/24 roster didn’t feature Karl-Anthony Towns or Mikal Bridges, the club’s two major 2024 offseason additions. Plus, as Brunson alludes to, last year’s team was incredibly banged up, with key players like Julius Randle and Mitchell Robinson unavailable for that do-or-die Game 7 and OG Anunoby unable to play more than five minutes.
This time around, the Knicks are fully healthy and are riding high after a strong first-round showing against the upstart Pistons and an unlikely second-round upset of the defending champion Celtics.
Just about everyone had penciled in an Eastern Finals showdown between the 64-win Cavaliers and 61-win Celtics, but New York and Indiana played spoiler and now the Knicks will enter their third-round series holding home court advantage and as betting favorites. BetOnline.ag lists New York as a -160 favorite to advance to the NBA Finals.
Knicks fans have plenty of reasons for optimism. After all, last year’s battle between these two teams nearly went their way even without Randle’s scoring, without Robinson’s elite rebounding, and without Towns and Bridges, who have been two of New York’s most valuable contributors in this postseason. The front office’s vision – Brunson and Towns serving as offensive engines while Bridges, Anunoby, and Josh Hart terrorize opponents on defense – has come together perfectly in recent weeks.
These Pacers, conversely, look pretty similar to last year’s team. In fact, with the exception of Bennedict Mathurin (injured for the 2024 playoffs) replacing Isaiah Jackson (injured for the 2025 playoffs), the Pacers have the exact same top nine players in minutes played that they did last postseason.
Skeptics would also point out that Indiana has benefited in a major way from injury luck over the past two springs. Bucks point guard Damian Lillard went down with an Achilles tear in the first round of this year’s postseason, while several Cavaliers – including Darius Garland, Evan Mobley, and De’Andre Hunter – were battling health problems in the second round.
But underestimating this Pacers team would be a mistake. Indiana was doing just fine against healthy versions of Milwaukee and Cleveland before those injuries occurred and has a better overall net rating (+5.5) during these playoffs than that of the Knicks (+0.1). The Pacers are especially dangerous when they’re dictating the speed of the game, which they’ll be looking to do against a Knicks squad that ranked 26th in the NBA in pace during the regular season (Indiana was seventh).
The Pacers have also been getting a balanced offensive attack from their starting lineup and bench this spring. All five starters are averaging at least 14.6 points per game, led by Pascal Siakam (18.8 PPG) and Tyrese Haliburton (17.5 PPG and a playoff-leading 9.3 APG), with Mathurin, T.J. McConnell, and Obi Toppin combining for 28 points per contest off the bench. Indiana’s 117.3 playoff offensive rating is easily the best mark of any of the four remaining teams.
The last time the Knicks appeared in the NBA Finals in 1999, they defeated the Pacers in the Eastern Finals to get there. The Pacers returned the favor a year later, beating the Knicks in the Eastern Finals to represent the conference in the NBA Finals. They haven’t gotten back since. Whichever team wins this series and makes their first Finals appearance in a quarter-century will have to get past an old rival to do it.
We want to know what you think. Which team will win the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals?
Vote in our poll, then head to the comment section below to weigh in with your thoughts and predictions!
Who will win the Eastern Conference Finals?
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New York Knicks 50% (607)
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Indiana Pacers 50% (596)
Total votes: 1,203
Treysen Eaglestaff Withdraws From NBA Draft
After testing the NBA draft waters, Treysen Eaglestaff will remove his name from the 2025 pool and return to college for his senior season, agent George S. Landberg tells Jeff Goodman of Field of 68 (Twitter link).
Eaglestaff was a long shot to be drafted, having not earned a spot on ESPN’s list of this year’s top 100 prospects, so his decision to withdraw doesn’t come as a major surprise. He has committed to transfer to West Virginia after spending his first three college seasons at North Dakota.
[RELATED: 2025 NBA Draft Early Entrants List]
The 6’6″ shooting guard had a strong season as a scorer for the Fighting Hawks in 2024/25, averaging 18.9 points per game on 416/.359/.794 shooting in 33 outings. He earned a spot on the All-Summit League second team.
Eaglestaff’s scoring average was buoyed by some massive performances, including a 51-point outburst in the quarterfinals of the Summit League tournament against South Dakota State. He also put up 40 points in a loss to Alabama on December 18, knocking down a career-high eight three-pointers in each of those games.
Barring an unexpected development next season, Eaglestaff will be automatically eligible for the 2026 NBA draft.
NBA Announces 2024/25 All-Rookie Teams
The NBA has officially revealed its All-Rookie teams for the 2024/25 season (Twitter links). The First Team is made up the top two picks in the 2024 draft, a pair of Grizzlies, and this season’s Rookie of the Year, while the Second Team is heavy on centers.
A panel of 100 media members selected the All-Rookie teams, with players earning two points for a First Team vote and one point for a Second Team nod. The 10 players who made the cut, along with their corresponding point totals (Twitter link), are as follows:
First Team
Stephon Castle, Spurs (200 points)- Zaccharie Risacher, Hawks (199)
- Jaylen Wells, Grizzlies (195)
- Zach Edey, Grizzlies (173)
- Alex Sarr, Wizards (150)
Second Team
- Kel’el Ware, Heat (138)
- Matas Buzelis, Bulls (97)
- Yves Missi, Pelicans (90)
- Donovan Clingan, Trail Blazers (73)
- Bub Carrington, Wizards (53)
There are no real surprises on the First Team. Castle was the recipient of this season’s Rookie of the Year and was also the only player to be unanimously selected to the First Team, but fellow Rookie of the Year finalists Risacher and Wells weren’t far behind him. Edey and Sarr played significant roles for their respective teams and also finished in the top five in Rookie of the Year voting.
Among the members of the Second Team, Ware and Buzelis finished sixth and seventh in Rookie of the Year voting, while Missi, Clingan, and Carrington became starters for their respective teams in their first NBA seasons.
Carrington just narrowly edged out Jazz guard Isaiah Collier, who received one First Team vote and 50 Second Team votes for a total of 52 points. Carrington technically showed up on fewer overall ballots, but gained the slight edge because he was selected to the First Team by three voters (he was named to the Second Team by 47).
A total of 23 players showed up on at least one voter’s ballot, with Jazz forward/center Kyle Filipowski, Pistons forward Ron Holland, Lakers forward Dalton Knecht, and Suns wing Ryan Dunn rounding out the top 15 vote-getters — they, along with Collier, would’ve made up a hypothetical All-Rookie Third Team if the league recognized 15 players like it does for All-NBA.
All-Rookie is one of the few awards that doesn’t require players to meet the 65-game minimum and certain minutes-played thresholds. Risacher, Edey, Ware, Buzelis, and Clingan each would have been ineligible for consideration if that rule applied to All-Rookie voting.
Hornets’ Charles Lee ‘Excited’ About Offseason
Charles Lee‘s first year as the Hornets‘ head coach didn’t play out as he hoped. The team extended its NBA-leading playoff drought to nine consecutive seasons and posted its worst record (19-63) since going 7-59 as the Bobcats in 2011/12. However, Lee tells Rod Boone of The Charlotte Observer that he remains confident in a brighter future in Charlotte.
“I’m excited about our offseason,” Lee said. “We have clarity with our (lottery) pick. I think that our team is in a much better spot this year than we were last year. There’s also clarity with who the coach is and what’s expected of you in the offseason. So, I think that we’ve laid out a great schedule for our guys to just continue to get better. We’ve created a great environment for these guys to be able to come in and work, and be around each other, our staff, and just to try to build some more winning habits.”
A report in March indicated that rival teams believe it could be an active offseason for the Hornets, and I noted in my offseason preview on Monday that there likely won’t be many players on the roster who are totally off the table in trade conversations.
Veteran forward Miles Bridges, who was said to be a trade candidate prior to February’s deadline, is one player whose name could resurface in rumors this summer. However, he plans on sticking around the Charlotte area more than he typically would and organizing voluntary workouts for teammates, Boone writes.
“I love that Miles wants to spearhead that,” Lee said. “I think a big part of any type of culture or organization is your best players kind of driving things forward. And him being the leader and wanting to make sure he puts all the guys together in order to work and in order to grow and to learn from one another, I think it’s really important. And he’s kind of set a tone from last year and he wants to continue that ball rolling forward in terms of what work ethic looks like, what professional habits looks like.”
A pair of Hornets point guards, LaMelo Ball and Tre Mann, will also be worth watching closely this offseason. Both players are coming off season-ending injuries – ankle and wrist surgeries for Ball and a back issue for Mann – and Ball has been the subject of trade speculation, while Mann is eligible for restricted free agency.
Lee spoke to Boone as if he expected Ball to be back in Charlotte and said the star guard’s recovery is progressing well. He also said that Mann is making “really good progress” as he makes his way back from his back injury and spoke enthusiastically about the idea of the club re-signing the four-year veteran.
“Tre, he’s a phenomenal player, even better teammate and person,” Lee told The Observer. “And so when you don’t have a guy who can fill it up on the board, can guard, who’s competitive, can make life easier for Melo, and Miles, and Brandon (Miller), and Mark (Williams) or whoever is out there on the court, he’s just such a great talent. So, to miss him to out there and his skill set was definitely unfortunate.
“But also, to just have him around on the court, vocally or at practice or teaching guys — because he does have such a high basketball IQ. But, yeah, I think he brings so much value. It’ll be nice to have him back in the mix hopefully next year.”
Draft Notes: Celtics, Flagg, NBA Comparables, McGlockton
When he reported last week that the Celtics interviewed projected No. 1 overall pick Cooper Flagg and probable top-10 pick Tre Johnson at the draft combine in Chicago, Kevin O’Connor of Yahoo Sports (Twitter video link) cautioned not to read too much into it.
Celtics president of basketball operations Brad Stevens confirmed as much at his end-of-season media session on Monday, explaining that those meetings don’t mean the team is thinking about trying to acquire a top draft pick, as Khari A. Thompson of Boston.com relays.
“We can rank who we want to talk to and the people we know we can’t get in to work out is how we decide who we want to talk to at the combine,” Stevens said. “Otherwise, we may never get to talk to them again. So, the only people that will come in and work out for us are the people in our range or maybe they’re at the bottom end of our range or whatever the case may be.
“… Will there be fireworks on draft night? I can’t imagine, but again, who knows? I wouldn’t guess with us, no.”
As O’Connor notes, teams are permitted a limited number of interviews with prospects at the combine, so Stevens and the Celtics determined it didn’t make sense to use that opportunity to talk to prospects who will likely be willing to visit Boston in the coming weeks anyway. The Celtics hold the 28th and 32nd overall picks in this year’s draft.
Here are a few more draft-related notes:
- Which NBA players do some of this year’s top prospects model their games after? Mike Vorkunov of The Athletic passes along answers from 13 draft-eligible players, including Rutgers’ Dylan Harper comparing himself to “big guards like Cade Cunningham, James Harden, and Shai (Gilgeous-Alexander)” and UConn’s Liam McNeeley likening his game to that of Gordon Hayward.
- Using player measurement data from this year’s combine, including height, standing reach, wingspan, and more, Frank Urbina and Alberto de Roa of HoopsHype take a look at which current and former NBA players are the best points of comparison for this year’s top prospects.
- After testing the draft waters this spring, junior Vanderbilt forward Devin McGlockton plans to withdraw from the draft and return to school for his senior year, tweets Jon Rothstein of CBS Sports. McGlockton, who wasn’t on ESPN’s list of 2025’s top 100 prospects, averaged 10.3 points, 7.9 rebounds, and 1.1 blocks per game on .568/.338/.667 shooting for the Commodores in 2024/25.
- NCAA early entrants in this year’s draft pool have until next Wednesday to decide whether or not to withdraw. While the NBA’s withdrawal deadline is June 15, college players who withdraw between May 29 and June 15 would forfeit their remaining NCAA eligibility. The full list of draft-related dates and deadlines for 2025 can be found here.
2025 NBA Offseason Preview: Charlotte Hornets
2024 was a year of change for the Hornets, who traded away veterans like Terry Rozier, P.J. Washington, and Gordon Hayward, hired a new head of basketball operations (Jeff Peterson), and brought aboard respected assistant Charles Lee to replace head coach Steve Clifford.
In the wake of those changes, there was plenty of chatter ahead of the 2024/25 season about how good the vibes in Charlotte were, leading to some speculation that the Hornets could be a dark-horse playoff (or at least play-in) contender in an Eastern Conference that didn't look all that competitive outside of its top few teams.
That may have been an overly optimistic outlook, but it's hard to say for sure, since we never really got a look at a fully healthy version of the Hornets in '24/25. Injuries decimated Charlotte's rotation over the course of the season, with starters like LaMelo Ball, Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, and Mark Williams each missing weeks or months at a time and Grant Williams suffering a season-ending ACL tear in November.
After a passable 6-9 start, the Hornets went into a tailspin, losing 18 of their next 19 games to slip to 7-27. As discouraging as that stretch was, it made the team's approach to the rest of the season fairly straightforward -- Charlotte was once again in seller mode, sending out Nick Richards, Cody Martin, Vasilije Micic, and Mark Williams in three separate trades in January and February.
The Williams deal was ultimately voided by the Lakers due to concerns about his physical, but the fact that the Hornets were prepared to trade a 23-year-old big man for far-off draft assets (a 2030 pick swap and a 2031 first-rounder) was eye-opening. Maybe the Hornets have their own concerns about Williams; maybe they really like rookie forward Dalton Knecht, who would've ended up in Charlotte if that deal hadn't fallen through; maybe they just thought the offer was too good in terms of overall value to pass up.
Generally speaking though, the move suggested that Peterson is in no hurry to transition out of a rebuild and into win-now mode. It'll be interesting to see if that thinking carries over to the offseason or whether the Hornets begin acting with a little more urgency to end a nine-year playoff drought, the NBA's longest active streak.
Poll: Who Will Win Western Conference Finals?
By blowing out Denver on Sunday in the lone Game 7 of the NBA postseason’s second round, Oklahoma City set up a showdown of Northwest rivals in the 2025 Western Conference Finals.
The Timberwolves went just 49-33 during the regular season, which was the 10th-best record in the league and was barely enough to earn a guaranteed playoff spot in the West — Minnesota moved into the conference’s No. 6 seed on the last day of the season. But the Wolves have looked more dangerous in the postseason than their regular season record would suggest, winning 10 of 12 games against star-studded Lakers and Warriors teams in the first two rounds.
Skeptics will argue that the Lakers were still adjusting to a midseason revamping of their roster and that the Warriors would’ve been a far more formidable opponent if Stephen Curry hadn’t strained his hamstring in Game 1 of the second round. Still, the Wolves beat the teams in front of them and looked good doing it — their 114.6 postseason offensive rating ranks fifth among 16 playoff teams, while their 106.8 defensive rating is second-best.
Anthony Edwards has proven to be an effective postseason closer, averaging 26.5 points per game in the first two rounds, while Julius Randle (23.9 PPG, 5.9 APG) has played some of his best basketball of the season in the playoffs.
Rudy Gobert wasn’t part of the Defensive Player of the Year conversation this year, but he has shown against L.A. and Golden State that he still deserves to be considered one of the league’s best rim protectors and defensive anchors. And the Wolves are getting necessary contributions from the rest of their eight-man rotation too, including Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Mike Conley, and Nickeil Alexander-Walker.
Still, Minnesota will enter the Western Finals as a significant underdog against the 68-14 Thunder. Despite the fact that it took Oklahoma City seven games to finish off Denver in round two, oddsmakers and bettors love the club’s chances of advancing to the NBA Finals — BetOnline.ag currently OKC listed as a -355 favorite.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the way for Oklahoma City and has found his rhythm this spring following an up-and-down start to the postseason. After making just 18-of-68 shots from the field (26.5%) in his first three games against Memphis, Gilgeous-Alexander has put up 30.8 points per contest on 53.1% shooting in his last eight outings.
Jalen Williams (19.6 PPG on .440/.254/.750 shooting) hasn’t been as effective in the playoffs as he was in the regular season, but the Thunder’s depth has more than made up for it. Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace, and Isaiah Joe have all appeared in each of OKC’s 11 playoff contests and are averaging between 5.3 and 15.7 points per game.
The defense that ranked No. 1 in the NBA during the regular season hasn’t let up in the postseason either. The Thunder had the best first-round defensive rating (97.6) out of 16 teams and ranked first among eight clubs in the second round with a 103.9 mark. And even though it took seven games to get past Denver, Oklahoma City had the best second-round net rating (+9.9) of any team, outscoring the Nuggets by 64 points in the series.
Even though the Thunder finished 19 games ahead of the Timberwolves in the regular season standings and will have home-court advantage, this series could be a very competitive one. The two teams split their four regular season matchups this season, with one of those games going into overtime and two more decided by single digits. And the Timberwolves probably hold the slight edge in postseason experience, having been in the Western Finals last spring too.
We want to know what you think. Who will win this series and represent the Western Conference in the 2025 NBA Finals? Are you counting on the Thunder to come through or do you think the Wolves will pull off the upset? How many games do you figure it’ll take?
Vote in our poll and head to the comment section below to weigh in with your thoughts!
Who will win the Western Conference Finals?
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Oklahoma City Thunder 57% (739)
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Minnesota Timberwolves 43% (562)
Total votes: 1,301
Draft Notes: Raynaud, Coward, Combine, Chinyelu, Demary
In the wake of the NBA’s 2025 draft combine, ESPN’s Jonathan Givony and Jeremy Woo have updated their mock draft, taking into account which prospects saw their stock rise – or decline – as a result of their performances in Chicago.
While there weren’t any major changes at the top of ESPN’s latest mock, there were some movers further down the draft order. Stanford big man Maxime Raynaud, for instance, was considered one of the big winners of the combine due to his strong play during scrimmages. After coming in at No. 34 in ESPN’s mock draft last Monday, Raynaud has jumped to No. 24 in the newest version.
Forward Cedric Coward was another prospect who moved up from the second round (No. 35) in ESPN’s previous mock draft to the first round (No. 30) in today’s update. Although Coward has committed to transferring from Washington State to Duke, signs are pointing to him keeping his name in the draft and going pro, according to Woo.
Coward, whose 2024/25 season was cut short due to a shoulder injury, has limited reps against high-level competition despite spending four seasons in college, which is a concern for some NBA teams who are “hesitant about his surprising rise,” Woo adds.
Here are a few more draft-related notes:
- A panel of ESPN draft experts and analysts share their takeaways from last week’s combine, while Cyro Asseo de Choch of HoopsHype identifies his winners and losers from the event. His list of winners includes prospects like UNC’s Drake Powell, UConn’s Liam McNeeley, and Rasheer Fleming of St. Joseph’s, while Maryland’s Derik Queen, Michigan State’s Jase Richardson, and Michigan’s Vladislav Goldin are among his losers.
- John Hollinger of The Athletic has also shared his impressions from the combine, including the best and worst performers in scrimmages, as well as the player measurements that stood out for better (like Thomas Sorber‘s 7’6″ wingspan) or worse (Richardson’s height coming in below 6’1″).
- After declaring for the 2025 NBA draft as an early entrant, Florida center Rueben Chinyelu has decided to pull out and return to school for his junior season, per Jon Rothstein of CBS Sports (Twitter link). Chinyelu was a full-time starter for the national champions in 2024/25, averaging 6.0 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 0.9 blocks in 19.0 minutes per game across 40 outings.
- According to Rothstein (Twitter link), sophomore guard Silas Demary Jr. is also withdrawing from the draft after testing the waters as an early entrant. Demary, who is transferring to UConn for his junior year, spent his first two college seasons with Georgia, averaging 13.5 points, 3.9 rebounds, 3.1 assists, and 1.7 steals per game in 33 starts for the team last season. He made just 39.6% of his shots from the floor, but had a solid 37.4% mark on three-pointers.