2023/24 NBA Over/Unders: Southwest Division

With the 2023/24 NBA regular season around the corner, we’re getting serious about predictions for the upcoming campaign and continuing an annual Hoops Rumors tradition.

With the help of the lines from a series of sports betting sites – including Bovada and BetOnline – we’re running through the predicted win totals for each of the NBA’s 30 teams, by division. In a series of team-by-team polls, you’ll get the chance to weigh in on whether you think those forecasts are too optimistic or too pessimistic.

In 2022/23, our voters went 16-14 on their over/under picks. Can you top that in ’23/24?

We’ll keep our series going today with the Southwest Division…

Memphis Grizzlies

• 2022/23 record: 51-31
• Over/under for 2023/24: 46.5 wins
• Major offseason moves:
  • Added: Marcus Smart, Derrick Rose
  • Lost: Dillon Brooks, Tyus Jones
  • Note: Ja Morant will miss the first 25 games of the season while serving a suspension.

New Orleans Pelicans

• 2022/23 record: 42-40
• Over/under for 2023/24: 44.5 wins
• Major offseason moves:
  • Added: Jordan Hawkins, Cody Zeller
  • Lost: Josh Richardson, Garrett Temple, Jaxson Hayes, Willy Hernangomez

Dallas Mavericks

• 2022/23 record: 38-44
• Over/under for 2023/24: 44.5 wins
• Major offseason moves:
  • Added: Grant Williams, Seth Curry, Richaun Holmes, Dereck Lively, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Dante Exum, Derrick Jones
  • Lost: Christian Wood, Reggie Bullock, Justin Holiday, Frank Ntilikina, Davis Bertans, JaVale McGee, Theo Pinson

Houston Rockets

• 2022/23 record: 22-60
• Over/under for 2023/24: 31.5 wins
• Major offseason moves:
  • Added: Fred VanVleet, Dillon Brooks, Amen Thompson, Cam Whitmore, Jeff Green, Reggie Bullock, Jock Landale, Aaron Holiday
  • Lost: Kenyon Martin Jr., Frank Kaminsky, D.J. Augustin, Willie Cauley-Stein, Usman Garuba, Josh Christopher, TyTy Washington, Daishen Nix
  • Note: Kevin Porter Jr. remains on the Rockets’ roster, but likely won’t play another game with the team following his arrest.

San Antonio Spurs

• 2022/23 record: 22-60
• Over/under for 2023/24: 28.5 wins
• Major offseason moves:
  • Added: Victor Wembanyama, Cedi Osman, Sidy Cissoko
  • Lost: Keita Bates-Diop, Romeo Langford, Gorgui Dieng

Previous voting results:

Northwest

• Denver Nuggets (53.5 wins): Over (52.0%)
• Minnesota Timberwolves (44.5 wins): Over (53.1%)
• Oklahoma City Thunder (44.5 wins): Under (53.6%)
• Utah Jazz (35.5 wins): Over (55.5%)
• Portland Trail Blazers (28.5 wins): Under (50.9%)

Central

• Milwaukee Bucks (54.5 wins): Over (76.9%)
• Cleveland Cavaliers (50.5 wins): Under (52.0%)
• Indiana Pacers (38.5 wins): Over (64.1%)
• Chicago Bulls (37.5 wins): Under (61.9%)
• Detroit Pistons (27.5 wins): Over (53.8%)