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What To Watch For In Season’s Final Days

By | at April 9, 2026 10:27 am

The NBA’s 2025/26 regular season will wrap up on Sunday, which means we now have just four days remaining. Here are a few things worth keeping an eye on during those four days:

Playoff berths and seeding

Of the NBA’s 12 automatic playoff berths – the top six seeds in each conference – 10 have been claimed, including all six in the Western Conference. But in addition to those last couple top-six spots in the East, there are still plenty of seeding questions to be answered in the season’s final days.

Eastern Conference:

The Pistons have comfortably secured the No. 1 seed, but no other team in the East is locked in a specific seed (Twitter link via NBA).

The Celtics, who will play in New York on Thursday, need a single win or a single Knicks loss in the final three games of the season in order to claim the No. 2 seed. Assuming Boston finishes second overall, the Knicks will still need to hold off the Cavaliers for the No. 3 seed — they have a half-game lead and the tiebreaker edge over Cleveland.

The fifth through 10th seeds in the East are still a mess, with at least three teams in play for each of those slots. Here are the standings in that section of the conference entering Thursday:

  1. Atlanta Hawks (45-35)
  2. Toronto Raptors (44-35)
  3. Orlando Magic (44-36)
  4. Philadelphia 76ers (43-36)
  5. Charlotte Hornets (43-37)
  6. Miami Heat (41-38)

The No. 10 Heat, who still have to play three games, starting with one in Toronto on Thursday, will have a hard time moving up the standings, as will the No. 9 Hornets, whose final two contests are against Detroit and New York.

The Hawks, meanwhile, just need one more win to clinch a guaranteed playoff spot, but neither of their remaining games – vs. Cleveland on Friday and at Miami on Sunday – can be viewed as an easy win. It’ll be interesting to see how this race plays out in the coming days and which tiebreakers wind up being most relevant.

Western Conference:

Things are less chaotic in the West, where the Thunder (No. 1), Spurs (No. 2), Timberwolves (No. 6), Suns (No. 7), and Warriors (No. 10) are all locked into specific seeds. But the race for the third and fourth spots in the standings is an interesting one.

Currently, the Nuggets (52-28) are in the driver’s seat for No. 3, but they’ll wrap up their regular season schedule by hosting Oklahoma City on Friday and visiting San Antonio on Sunday. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Thunder sit some regulars on Friday, or at least play them fewer minutes — they have nothing left to play for until the postseason begins, and they’d probably prefer to keep the Nuggets in that No. 3 seed, on the opposite side of the playoff bracket.

The Lakers (50-29) and Rockets (50-29) are right behind Denver, and both teams have relatively favorable schedules to close out the year. Los Angeles will play in Golden State on Thursday before hosting the Suns on Friday and the Jazz on Sunday. Houston faces the Sixers on Thursday, then the Grizzlies on both Friday and Sunday, all at home. Given their injury woes, the Lakers appear most at risk of slipping to No. 5.

Further down the Western Conference standings, the Trail Blazers (40-40) are right on the 41-39 Clippers‘ heels for the No. 8 seed. Portland will need a victory over L.A. on Friday in order to gain control in that race — if they win on Friday, the Blazers would simply need to beat Sacramento on Sunday to line up a matchup with the Suns in the play-in tournament. Whichever team finishes at No. 9 would get a home play-in game, but would have to win a second one on the road to make the playoffs.

Traded draft picks and lottery odds

It’s probably safe to assume that the Jazz, who will send their 2026 first-round pick to the Thunder if it’s not in the top eight, will be looking to extend their 10-game losing streak to 12 to close out the season. But even if they win a game and finish with the NBA’s fifth-worst record (or finish tied for the fourth-worst record and lose a coin flip), the odds of their pick landing outside the top eight would be minuscule (0.6%).

One more loss would lock the Pacers into a bottom-three finish, guaranteeing them the best possible lottery odds, including a 52.1% shot at a top-four pick. That’s important because their first-rounder will be sent to the Clippers if it lands outside the top four.

Interestingly, the Clippers are probably rooting for Indiana to lose out to finish the year — if the Pacers were to finish with the NBA’s worst record instead of the league’s second- or third-worst mark, that pick would have the exact same odds of falling outside the top four and being sent to L.A. (47.9%) but could fall no further than No. 5 rather than slipping to No. 6 or No. 7.

The Pelicans (26-54), Mavericks (25-55), and Grizzlies (25-55) are one group of teams worth keeping an eye on for lottery finishes. The worst team in that group could have top-four odds as high as 37.2%, while the best team could have odds as low as 26.2%. Of course, it’s worth noting that the Hawks control the most favorable of New Orleans’ and Milwaukee’s first-rounders.

Speaking of the Bucks (31-49), they’re neck-and-neck with the Bulls (30-49) for lottery positioning, with the worst of those two teams getting the ninth-best lottery odds. It’s safe to assume plenty of fans in Chicago will be rooting hard against their team on Thursday vs. Washington and Sunday vs. Dallas.

Award races and the 65-game rule

While it’s rare for an award race to be decided by what happens in the final two or three games in the regular season, there aren’t many slam dunks this year, so it’s entirely possible that a voter could be swayed by a couple more big performances from a certain player in the season’s final days.

Mavericks forward Cooper Flagg vs. Hornets sharpshooter Kon Knueppel for Rookie of the Year is one race that’s going down to the wire. There also doesn’t appear to be an overwhelming consensus for Sixth Man of the Year or Most Improved Player, among other awards.

Defensive Player of the Year is one award that looks like a lock, but frontrunner Victor Wembanyama will have to play at least 20 minutes in one of San Antonio’s final two games of the season in order to meet the 65-game minimum to qualify. The Spurs big man sat out on Wednesday due to a rib contusion, but the team is reportedly optimistic about his chances to return on Friday.

The 65-game rule figures to have a significant impact on voters’ decisions this spring, especially when it comes to All-NBA spots. Pistons guard Cade Cunningham, Lakers guard Luka Doncic, and Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards likely would’ve been All-NBA shoo-ins, but they’ll each fall short of the 65-game requirement. It sounds as if the agents for Cunningham and Doncic may both apply for “extraordinary circumstances” exceptions, but the CBA language defining that term is so vague that it’s hard to say whether or not they’ll be successful.

Suns guard Devin Booker is among the other stars who will fall just shy of the 65-game requirement — he could end up playing in 66 contests, but because he logged fewer than 10 minutes in two of them, those two won’t count toward the minimum.

Nuggets center Nikola Jokic and Clippers forward Kawhi Leonard will each have to play at least 15 minutes in one of their respective teams’ final two games in order to hit the 65-game threshold.

Potential roster moves

There are still a handful of teams with an open spot on their standard 15-man rosters, as our tracker shows. Those teams are as follows:

  • Boston Celtics
  • Chicago Bulls
  • Utah Jazz
    • Note: The Jazz technically have a full 15-man roster on Friday, but will open up a spot on Saturday following the expiration of Kennedy Chandler‘s 10-day contract.

It’s not unprecedented for a team to leave a roster spot open at the end of the season, but it’s somewhat rare — all 30 teams finished the season with full 15-man squads in each of the past three years.

Each of the three clubs listed above are good bets to make a roster move before their final games tip off on Sunday, even if it’s as simple as promoting a two-way player to a standard contract to make him postseason-eligible.

Of course, even teams with full 15-man standard rosters aren’t necessarily locked into their current groups. The Heat, for instance, are still considered likely to waive Terry Rozier at some point today or Friday in favor of a newcomer (or, more likely, a promoted two-way player).

Thursday would typically be the last day for a team to waive a player on an expiring contract, since he must clear waivers before each team plays its last regular season game. However, because a player clears waivers at 5:00 pm Eastern and none of Sunday’s games start before 6:00 pm ET, a player on an expiring contract – such as Rozier – could still be waived on Friday this season, notes Anthony Chiang of The Miami Herald (Twitter link).

Coach and front office changes

While most head coaching and general manager changes are made after a team’s season ends, it’s certainly not unprecedented for it to happen during the final couple weeks of the regular season. The Nuggets fired head coach Michael Malone and general manager Calvin Booth during the last week of the 2024/25 season, while the Grizzlies dismissed coach Taylor Jenkins at the end of March 2025. Earlier this week, the Bulls parted ways with top executives Arturas Karnisovas and Marc Eversley.

Most action on this front likely won’t happen until at least next week, but I also won’t be shocked if news of a change breaks on or before Sunday night.

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