The NBA will hold its annual draft lottery on Sunday. If the Pacers have some lottery luck, they’ll retain their top-four protected pick. If they drop out of the top four, they’ll convey the pick, courtesy of the Ivica Zubac trade with the Clippers.
Should Indiana drop out of the No. 2 spot to No. 5 or 6, there will be no regrets, given that Zubac is viewed as the team’s long-term solution at center.
“When we made the trade, obviously we knew there was risk involved as there is in any other trade,” Pacers GM Chad Buchanan said in a recent radio interview relayed by the Indianapolis Star’s Dustin Dopirak. “With the draft pick involved, we looked at the finances of the situation and the scenario where you keep the pick, the scenario where you lose the pick. We felt that both scenarios provided opportunities to help our team be better next year.
“We don’t want to be standing on the sidelines watching teams go for a trophy. We feel like we have a team that showed us these last two years that we are in that mix when we’re healthy. Shame on us if we don’t try to help put this team in position to have another couple runs at it. If we’re always thinking long, long, long-term, you never step up to the plate and swing.”
The Pacers have never had the No. 1 overall pick. They had the No. 2 pick in 1988, when they selected big man Rik Smits. They have a 14% shot at the top pick and a 52.1% chance to get a top-four pick, with a 47.9% chance that it’s conveyed to the Clippers.
Zubac played just five games after the February trade, spending a month recovering from an ankle injury and then ending his season with a fractured rib. However, he averaged a double-double for the Clippers before the trade (14.1 PPG and 10.6 RPG) and made the All-Defensive second team in 2024/25.
“The core of this comes down to Ivica is a great player,” Buchanan said. “We’ve been a big believer, a big fan of him for a long time. This team has shown that it’s capable of doing some really special things. We were missing a starting center that we thought could keep us in that mix. We owed it to this group and these fans and our community to put us in position to try and do and replicate some of the things we’ve seen these last two years from this team.”
There will be “disappointment” if the Pacers have to send their first-rounder to the Clippers, but Buchanan is prepared to pivot.
“Should we lose the pick, there’s other opportunities to improve our team through free agency,” Buchanan said. “We still have trades. We gain a pick that we can use in the future for a trade. We feel like there’s a way to improve our team either way with the ping-pong balls, however they fall for us. We’re not putting all our eggs into one basket that, ‘Hey, if we don’t keep this pick, it’s doom and gloom,’ because it’s not. “
There’s a specific need he wants to address, with or without the lottery selection.
“One thing this season revealed for us is the need for some scoring off our bench, I think will be important, probably from the wing position,” Buchanan said.
The Pacers project to have roughly $200MM in salary on their books for 2026/27, including non-guaranteed contracts and team options, according to Tony East of Forbes.com. That number will increase if they retain the pick, which would carry a cap hold of at least $10MM+. Without the pick, they’d have access to at least some of the non-taxpayer mid-level exception as well as exploring trade avenues.
“There’s a pretty significant salary slot for a top-four pick,” coach Rick Carlisle said. “Theoretically, there’s the opportunity to use that money, if it’s not being spent on a high draft pick, on some players in free agency or use that gap of money to be a part of another transaction that could help us. Time will tell.”

That’s the difference of losing out on a player like acuff or even Wilson, maybe it would have been more worth it to include a future 1st instead of this pick in the zubac deal
They did
The deal is 2029 unprotected and 2031 unprotected
IF 2026 lands betw 5-9 then this pick is sent and indy keeps 2031.
Since they have no regrets, I hope this pick lands to the Clippers now
Just to make sure they have no regrets
I dunno how indy became such a villain
30 mins from the greatest underdog championship of all time…
A horrific injury to a superstar…..
Following season filled with more injuries…
Yet somehow ignorant insensitive fans hope this team burns to the ground
I dont think they are a villain, just dont maje stupid comments
I’m sure they would like to have both, but if they had to have one or the other, there’s a pretty decent chance Zubac ends up being more valuable than whichever prospect goes 5-9. Acuff isn’t a can’t miss guy, Wagler isn’t a can’t miss guy, etc. There’s a reason they kept it top 4 protected.
@account
exactly
i think folks are thinking indy is potentially giving up 1 of the elite prospects… they are not… 5th-9th pick is still very good but not elite… zubac fills a massive hole for them and it sounds like indy is ready to extend him if he performs well… they are not giving up a chance to draft dybansta or boozer… AND if the 2026 pick does land outside top 4 and goes to clips then that just means indy keeps the 2031 unprotected… none of this would have happened if hali didnt tear his achilles… pacers were prepared to resign myles then decided 2026 was a lost year so they passed… IF they land top 4 pick this will be another genius move in a long line of genius moves by a small market tm like indy
I’ve heard in rumors you want Jalen Smith back. Make an offer. We have new management. All reasonable offers will be taken.
Pacers could be a solid little underdog next year if they keep their pick and make a couple moves.
Think they end up with the third overall pick with AJ and DP off the board.
Think Obi Toppin and a couple second for Grayson Allen.
Draft in a Caleb Wilson or Cam Boozer
Hali Allen Nesmith Siakim Zubac
Nembhart Wilson Huff
Still got guys like McConnell Sheppard Walker and what not, just think they could do with a sniper at the SG spot just for some added spacing. Even if not Allen just a Buddy Heild/Corey Kispert or something
Zubaccy is a solid player and the pacers should retain him
This was such a dumb trade… had no reason to make this trade during the season.
Just replaced Turner, who’s now playing like garbage and lost some good depth pieces.
Rooting for that 5th pick …..
Who do you think they will get Nick?
No one. Pick goes to Clippers.
Could happen, I dont think Mr Silver will help the Clippers though Nick, he already has his favourite LA team.
Factually Mathurin is no loess he’s never gonna be a star he’s a role player that doesn’t realize it ans is often a negative bc of that ! Jackson is a jag so the vslue of the trade for my clippers is if they get pick 5 of 6 ! If they don’t pacers can probably avoid the lottery in 29 and 31
That’s clearly some of the depth the Pacers lost Noel
Whatever IND’s 2031 is worth today, it’s nowhere near the value of this pick if it lands outside the top 4. The protection 1-4 is not unusual, but due to the timing of the deal, the intent of the parties in agreeing to it is unusual. Two FOs, of basketball people (presumably), are effectively deferring to ping pong balls to determine Zubac’s trade value.
Even if each ownership group is OK with it, the league shouldn’t be. The trade market is pathetic enough, it doesn’t need to be a casino. Protection is supposed to be about insurance against an unexpectedly bad season (i.e., if IND sent this pick to the LAC during 2024-2025 season). Not a chance to gamble. No different than basing trade value on the NY Lottery numbers.