2025/26 NBA Over/Unders: Southwest Division

With the 2025/26 NBA regular season just around the corner, we’re getting serious about predictions for the upcoming campaign and continuing an annual Hoops Rumors tradition.

With the help of the lines from a series of sports betting sites – including BetMGM and BetOnline – we’re running through the predicted win totals for each of the NBA’s 30 teams, by division. In a series of team-by-team polls, you’ll get the chance to weigh in on whether you think those forecasts are too optimistic or too pessimistic.

In 2024/25, our voters went 13-17 on their over/under picks. Can we top that in ’25/26?

We’ll wrap up our series today with the Southwest Division…

Houston Rockets

• 2024/25 record: 52-30
• Over/under for 2025/26: 52.5 wins
• Major offseason moves:
  • Added: Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith, Clint Capela, Josh Okogie
  • Lost: Jalen Green, Dillon Brooks, Cam Whitmore, Jock Landale, Jeenathan Williams

San Antonio Spurs

• 2024/25 record: 34-48
• Over/under for 2025/26: 44.5 wins
• Major offseason moves:
  • Added: Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Kelly Olynyk, Carter Bryant, Lindy Waters III
  • Lost: Chris Paul, Malaki Branham, Blake Wesley, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Charles Bassey

Dallas Mavericks

• 2024/25 record: 39-43
• Over/under for 2025/26: 41.5 wins
• Major offseason moves:
  • Added: Cooper Flagg, D’Angelo Russell
  • Lost: Spencer Dinwiddie, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Kai Jones

Memphis Grizzlies

• 2024/25 record: 48-34
• Over/under for 2025/26: 39.5 wins
• Major offseason moves:
  • Added: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Ty Jerome, Cedric Coward, Jock Landale
  • Lost: Desmond Bane, Luke Kennard, Jay Huff, Marvin Bagley III, Lamar Stevens

New Orleans Pelicans

• 2024/25 record: 21-61
• Over/under for 2025/26: 30.5 wins
• Major offseason moves:
  • Added: Jordan Poole, Kevon Looney, Jeremiah Fears, Derik Queen, Saddiq Bey, Micah Peavy
  • Lost: CJ McCollum, Kelly Olynyk, Bruce Brown, Antonio Reeves, Brandon Boston Jr., Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Elfrid Payton

Previous voting results:

Atlantic

• New York Knicks (53.5 wins): Over (63.2%)
• Boston Celtics (42.5 wins): Over (52.7%)
• Philadelphia 76ers (42.5 wins): Under (58.7%)
• Toronto Raptors (37.5 wins): Over (50.2%)
• Brooklyn Nets (20.5 wins): Over (54.4%)

Central

• Cleveland Cavaliers (56.5 wins): Over (58.0%)
• Detroit Pistons (46.5 wins): Over (60.5%)
• Milwaukee Bucks (42.5 wins): Over (74.4%)
• Indiana Pacers (37.5 wins): Over (50.1%)
• Chicago Bulls (32.5 wins): Over (60.8%)

Southeast

• Orlando Magic (51.5 wins): Over (52.8%)
• Atlanta Hawks (47.5 wins): Over (54.9%)
• Miami Heat (37.5 wins): Over (54.4%)
• Charlotte Hornets (27.5 wins): Over (50.6%)
• Washington Wizards (21.5 wins): Under (62.4%)

Northwest

• Oklahoma City Thunder (62.5 wins): Over (62.9%)
• Denver Nuggets (53.5 wins): Over (72.1%)
• Minnesota Timberwolves (49.5 wins): Over (58.7%)
• Portland Trail Blazers (34.5 wins): Over (57.1%)
• Utah Jazz (18.5 wins): Over (55.3%)

Pacific

• Los Angeles Clippers (48.5 wins): Under (58.7%)
• Los Angeles Lakers (48.5 wins): Under (52.1%)
• Golden State Warriors (46.5 wins): Over (68.3%)
• Sacramento Kings (34.5 wins): Over (55.1%)
• Phoenix Suns (31.5 wins): Under (56.8%)