Warriors Targeting Andrew Bogut

The Warriors are trying to put together a deal for Bucks center Andrew Bogut, writes Marcus Thompson II of the Bay Area News Group. Bogut is drawing interest from a number of teams, we learned yesterday, after the Bucks put him on the market last month.

Golden State is not optimistic a deal can get done, Thompson notes, in part because the price is high.Thompson also says part of the pessimism on the Warriors' front is because they are still looking for players who can help them this season, despite their 15-21 record.

The Bucks aren't insisting that Monta Ellis be a part of the deal, but they would want the Warriors to take back players they don't want, namely Stephen Jackson and Drew Gooden. Jackson played in Golden State from 2007 to 2009, but the coach, GM and ownership have all changed since his stay there. Gooden's contract, which has three years and $20MM left, makes him unattractive to Warriors GM Larry Riley and company.

Thompson speculates that it will take a third team in the deal for it to work.

Bogut, the No. 1 overall pick in 2005, seems resigned to the idea of leaving the only NBA team he's ever known, as indicated by his comments to Charles F. Gardner of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel last night. "Seven years (with the Bucks)," Bogut said. "It could work for us to part ways or it could work for us to stay together. I'll make it a positive either way."

Poll: Which Injury Will Have The Biggest Impact On Trades?

The news of Ricky Rubio's season-ending injury threatens to alter the landscape of the trade market. While Rubio is not a trade candidate, the Wolves have figured prominently in trade discussions of late, so a change in Minnesota's plans could be a change for several other teams as well. A number of recent injuries threaten to have an impact on the trade market as well. Luke Adams of Hoops Rumors took a look at some of those injuries Monday. Brook Lopez, a key figure in rumored Dwight Howard trades, went down March 4 with a sprained ankle that will keep him out three weeks. Jermaine O'Neal, once thought to be part of a deal with the Wolves for Michael Beasley and someone who could be a part of a Celtics blockbuster, is considering season-ending surgery on his wrist. Richard Hamilton suffered a right shoulder sprain Monday and is out indefinitely, a source of frustration for a Bulls team with championship aspirations that's weak at the wings.

So, which player's injury do you think will have the greatest impact on trades? Let us know what you think.

Which Injury Will Have The Biggest Impact On Trades?

  • Brook Lopez 41% (353)
  • Ricky Rubio 37% (319)
  • Richard Hamilton 12% (101)
  • Jermaine O'Neal 6% (53)
  • Someone Else 5% (42)

Total votes: 868

Recent First-Rounders Traded At The Deadline

Sam Amico of Fox Sports Ohio tweets today that the Cavs are working on a deal that would allow them to acquire a lottery pick. It's the latest example of a team seeking long-term gain at the trade deadline, when GMs must decide whether they're seeking assets for an immediate playoff run or trying to build for future success. No move is quite as focused on the future as acquiring a draft pick. Players who have never played in the league are unknown quantities, no matter how precise scouting has become, and so these deals are high-risk, high-reward for executives on both sides of the transactions. No first-round picks changed hands at the quiet 2007 deadline, but in the four years since, several key contributors to NBA teams today have been dealt, as first-round draft picks, within a week of the deadline.

The Cavs were involved in perhaps the most prominent recent example when they acquired a pick at last year's deadline. That draft choice wound up No. 1 overall, and the Cavs used it on Kyrie Irving. The Cavs figure in a longstanding rule concerning first-round draft pick trades as well. The so-called Ted Stepien rule, named after the former owner of the Cavs, was instituted in the 1980s and holds that no team may trade its first-round picks in consecutive years. Stepien was fond of doing so, and left his team without a mechanism to rebuild when those deals didn't pan out.

The list below shows the team that gave up the pick at the deadline as well as the team that acquired it, and the player upon whom the pick was eventually used. In many cases, the team that acquired the pick eventually traded it again in another transaction, so some the players listed didn't play with either of the teams by their names. Still, this gives you an idea of just what teams are giving up, and just what other teams are getting, when a first-round pick is included in a trade.

2011 deadline

2010 deadline

2009 deadline

2008 deadline

 

 

 

 

 

Rubio Out For The Year With Torn ACL

Wolves point guard Ricky Rubio is out for the year after tearing the anterior cruciate ligament in his left knee in last night's loss to the Lakers. The injury shakes up one of the teams most prominent in trade rumors, with Thursday's trade deadline just five days away.

Rubio, a rookie, became the starting point guard for the Wolves this year, helping lift the team that finished last season with the league's worst record to a 21-20 mark, good for ninth in the Western Conference.  He was averaging 10.6 PPG and 8.2 APG, and was third in the NBA with 2.2 steals a game. He was the fifth pick in the 2009 draft, but spent two years playing overseas before signing a four-year rookie scale contract with Minnesota this past offseason that guarantees him $7.22MM this season and next.

The Wolves had been in the market for a shooting guard, and could be even more motivated to find one if they move Luke Ridnour, who had been starting at two guard, back to his natural position at the point. Michael Beasley, a forward and former No. 2 overall pick who hasn't seen much playing time, could be the most useful asset in a trade, and was drawing interest prior to Rubio's injury.

NBA.com's Scott Howard-Cooper notes via Twitter that the Hornets own the Wolves' first-round pick this year, so if Minnesota falters without Rubio, New Orleans stands to gain. The injury's six-to-nine month recovery time will also keep him from playing for Spain in this year's summer Olympics, tweets Jerry Zgoda of the Minneapolis Star Tribune.

Chris Mannix of Sports Illustrated broke the story via Twitter, while Zgoda followed with detail in a full story.

Odds & Ends: Bogut, Rondo, Blatche

The talk of a 10-game night across the association has been about the health of two point guards whose absence could alter the plans of a pair of teams rumored to be among the most active nearing Thursday's trade deadline. Ricky Rubio of the Wolves tweeted that he'll receive an MRI on his left knee, which he hurt in his team's loss to the Lakers tonight. The team fears he has a torn ACL, writes Adrian Wojnarowski of Yahoo! Sports. Meanwhile, Kyle Lowry of the Rockets was hospitalized with a fever and abdominal distress, HoopsWorld reports. Here's what's happening elsewhere:

  • Charles F. Gardner of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel examines the trade candidacy of Bucks center Andrew Bogut. Bogut's agent David Bauman said there are several teams interested in talking to Bucks GM John Hammond about his client.
  • Rajon Rondo appears to be conflicted about how trades might affect the chemistry of the Celtics. Rajon Rondo, who saw best friend Kendrick Perkins dealt away at the deadline last year, told Chris Forsberg of ESPN Boston he doesn't care about what a trade would do to the team's chemistry this year. Yet, to A. Sherrod Blakely of CSNNE.com, Rondo said, "You can't get chemistry if you bring in new guys."
  • Jason Kidd came close to joining a team that had just won the title when he thought about joining the Spurs in 2003, so he sympathizes with Lamar Odom, who arrived via trade to join this year's defending champs, writes Eddie Sefko of The Dallas Morning News. For the record, Mavs coach Rick Carlisle told the Galloway & Company radio show today that the uproar concerning Odom has come and gone.
  • Stephen Brotherston of HoopsWorld looks at the Grizzlies' early-season acquisition of Marreese Speights from the Sixers and wonders if that will wind up being the most effective deal of the year.
  • Both John Reid of the New Orleans Times Picayune and Jim Eichenhofer of Hornets.com tweeted to note the progress of Lance Thomas, who signed with New Orleans for the rest of the season last month after the team gave him two 10-day contracts.
  • The Wizards are willing to move anyone on the roster not named John Wall if another team will take Andray Blatche off their hands, tweets Michael Lee of The Washington Post.
  • Tim Kawakami of the Bay Area News Group notes the Warriors' lease in Oakland is up in 2017, and checks in with the progress of potential sites for a new home in Oakland and San Francisco. Venturing a guess, Kawakami has the San Francisco site as the most likely destination at this point.
  • Alex Raskin of HoopsWorld proposes the Celtics as a potential destination for JaVale McGee, for whom the Wizards are reportly listening to offers.
  • The Knicks starting lineup is in flux, and Newsday's Anthony Rieber takes a look at the quick changes engineered by coach Mike D'Antoni.
  • Jeremy Evans' minimum salary contract expires at season's end, so time is running out for him to prove he can do more than win a dunk contest. Brian T. Smith of The Salt Lake Tribune notes how his theatrics during All-Star weekend haven't earned him any extra minutes with the Jazz.
  • Ray Richardson of the Pioneer Press passed along Pau Gasol's kind words about Kevin Love, two players who could be Wolves teammates if a rumored Gasol/Michael Beasley swap takes place, Richardson notes. "He's got a will and determination to go after every ball," Gasol said of Love. "Even though he's a little undersized and lost some weight, he's still a powerful player and playing at a high level. I'm definitely impressed with him."
  • With Richard Hamilton and Luol Deng ailing, it's been hard for Bulls GM Gar Forman to get a true handle on how effective his team really is, writes Neil Hayes of the Chicago Sun-Times. Forman must balance the team's current needs with its capability for long-term success, Hayes says.
  • Bill Simmons of Grantland.com came out with his annual trade value column today in two parts, ranking the top 50 player assets across the league. The Heat's LeBron James is No. 1, meaning he'd be the player who would command the most in any trade, though James isn't going anywhere anytime soon.
  • GM Sam Presti and the Thunder provide the small-market blueprint for Cavs GM Chris Grant, writes Jason Lloyd of the Akron Beacon Journal.

Trade Candidate: Kirk Hinrich

Lost in the noise surrounding Josh Smith in Atlanta lately is another intriguing trade chip the Hawks possess. They were without 31-year-old combo guard Kirk Hinrich for a month to start the season as he recovered from surgery on his left shoulder, and found suitable replacements on their bench. Jannero Pargo continues to see minutes as the backup point guard, while Willie Green has served as the backup shooting guard. Hinrich has started in the absense of Joe Johnson lately, but with the emergence of others, Hinrich's minutes are at a career-low 20.2 per game. He's shooting only 35.6% from the floor, also a career low, perhaps because of a lack of rhythm from playing time, but aside from the effect that's having on his point production, his most of his numbers per 36 minutes are consistent with what they have been the past several seasons. The Hawks don't appear to need him, but teams with holes at either guard position may.

Yesterday, we passed along a report from Ken Berger of CBS Sports who said rival executives believe Hinrich will be traded before the deadline. Recently, we've heard rumors linking him to the Clippers, who could use a shooting guard, and the Lakers, who are looking for a point guard. His contract, which pays him $8.1MM this year, is expiring, making him even more enticing for teams wanting to clear cap space. The Lakers reportedly want the Hawks to take on salary in a Hinrich deal, and that has a chilling effect for Atlanta, which teeters on the brink of being a tax-paying team.

So, a trade with the Clippers could be easier. A swap of Hinrich for Eric Bledsoe and Ryan Gomes would work under the cap, according to ESPN's Trade Machine. The Hawks could develop Bledsoe along with incumbent starter Jeff Teague and see which young point guard emerges as the best option going forward. Gomes may seem unappetizing this year, but he does provide depth at the wing positions for next season, when Green and Tracy McGrady come off the books. The trick would be convincing the Clippers that Hinrich is still a starting-caliber guard. He started 51 games combined for the Wizards and Hawks last year and 53 for the Bulls in 2009/10, but hasn't been a full-time starter since 2007/08. Hawks GM Rick Sund could point to last season's stint with the Wizards, when Hinrich shot 45.2% in 48 games for Washington, which would have been a career high had it been a full season total.

While the Clippers could bite, I think it's more likely Hinrich winds up with a team that hasn't been mentioned as a backup if he is to leave Atlanta. It's hard to see either the Clippers or the Lakers, two teams with aspirations of deep playoff runs, taking a gamble that Hinrich can return to his form of several seasons ago. He's only been past the first round of the playoffs once, too, so that hurts his case as well. Still, his versatility is likely to prompt several teams to make offers before the deadline is here.

 

Northwest Notes: Crawford, Thunder, Nuggets

Despite a rough night for some of its teams, the Northwest Division is the NBA's best division from top to bottom. The 31-9 Thunder trail only the Bulls for the league's best record despite a loss to the Cavs tonight, and the last-place Blazers, at 19-21, are just two games below .500 even though they've been struggling lately. Here's a look around the division:

  • Blazers guard Jamal Crawford says if teams who are thinking of trading for him hesitate because they're worried he'll turn down his $5.225MM player option next year, those teams can simply ask him whether he'd like to stay next year, reports Chris Haynes of CSNNW.com. Haynes tweets that he interprets this as Crawford saying he's open to a trade.
  • The Thunder could be in the mix for a backup point guard, tweets Chris Mannix of Sports Illustrated. The team likes Reggie Jackson, but they're not sure if they want to continue to go with the rookie in that role.
  • Nuggets.com writer Aaron J. Lopez sat down for an interview with team president Josh Kroenke, son of owner Stan Kroenke. The younger Kroenke says the team is "still in active talks" with restricted free agent Wilson Chandler, and that they're "working hard on trying to add him." Unlike last year, the Nuggets don't need to make a move at the deadline, Kroenke says, though GM Masai Ujiri will be ready should a deal arise.

Ganter On Howard, Smith, Rondo

Ryan Wolstat of the Toronto Sun conducted an in-house interview of fellow writer Mike Ganter, who held forth on a number of trade-related topics. (Video link) Here's what Ganter is hearing as the deadline draws near:

  • Ganter believes there's no way the Magic can get fair value for Dwight Howard, and predicts they'll hold on to the big man at the deadline.
  • Josh Smith tops the list of stars likely to be dealt. Smith has wanted out of Atlanta for a while, and is irked the Hawks didn't do more to promote his case to make the All-Star team this year.
  • What the Nuggets got in the Carmelo Anthony was a "once in a lifetime" haul, and teams shouldn't expect to approach that as they look to unload superstars.
  • The Celtics may break up their team, but don't expect Rajon Rondo to be going anywhere.

 

2011 Trade Deadline: One Year Later

With just days to go before Thursday's trade deadline and everyone waiting for someone to fire the first salvo, let's take a look at the last-minute deals of 2011. The lockout pushed the deadline into March this season, but last year it took place on February 24, a more customary date. The action got started with just two trading days left, but once it did, the deals got done quickly. It’s still difficult to fully assess winners and losers one year out from a trade, but it is a time when immediate returns begin to give way to long-term considerations. Here's how last year's deadline deals stack up, in chronological order:

Feb. 22, 2011: New York acquired forward Carmelo Anthony, guard Chauncey Billups, guard Anthony Carter, forward Renaldo Balkman and forward Shelden Williams from Denver for forward Wilson Chandler, forward Danilo Gallinari, guard Raymond Felton, center Timofey Mozgov, a 2014 first-round draft pick and a 2012 and a 2013 second-round pick and cash. New York traded center Eddy Curry and forward Anthony Randolph to Minnesota for forward Corey Brewer. Denver acquired center Kosta Koufos from Minnesota. Much like GMs are waiting for the Magic to trade Dwight Howard before the dealing starts in earnest this year, this was the swap that got the action going in 2011. When New York waived Balkman last month, Anthony became the sole player from the transaction to remain in New York. Brewer, who went to the Knicks in this deal and was waived shortly thereafter, is now in Denver, too, after helping the Mavs to the title last year. Anthony’s 21.2 PPG is only four-tenths of a point higher than a career low as the Knicks have struggled to fit him together with Amare Stoudemire, Jeremy Lin and others. Gallinari, Mozgov and Koufos are the only players who’ve been Nuggets ever since this deal, but Denver GM Masai Ujiri flipped Felton for Andre Miller and rookie Jordan Hamilton, both of whom have contributed this year. The Wolves got rid of Curry’s $11.53MM salary this summer, and Randolph’s $2.91MM deal, which expires after this season, could be used as a trade chip as the team looks to be active again at the deadline. Amidst a renaissance, Minnesota could eventually emerge as a sneaky winner of this deal, but the winner, so far is Denver

Feb. 22, 2011: Chicago traded forward James Johnson to Toronto for the 2011 first-round draft pick Toronto acquired from Miami. Though the Raptors went hard after Wilson Chandler last month to fill the small forward position, Johnson has filled role of the starter at the 3 capably, averaging 8.6 PPG and 4.9 RPG this year, similar to his numbers after the deal last year. Johnson wasn’t used much in Chicago, so the move was basically for roster and cap space on their end. That first round draft pick, Norris Cole, was traded twice more on draft night and, ironically, wound up back in Miami, where he’s been in the rotation all season long as the backup point guard. The winner, so far: Toronto.

Feb. 23, 2011: Utah traded guard Deron Williams to New Jersey for guard Devin Harris, forward Derrick Favors, a 2011 first-round pick, a 2012 first-round pick (via Golden State) and cash considerations. The second major blockbuster after the Anthony deal last year may hinge on the primary blockbuster this year. Williams, a free agent after this season, could bolt if the Nets fail to acquire Dwight Howard. As his 22.4 PPG, a career high bolstered by last week’s 57-point outburst, and 8.2 APG demonstrate, Williams is clearly one of the NBA’s elite point guards, even as the league boasts perhaps the most impressive collection of point guards in its history. The Nets have been dreadful this year, however, going just 13-27 while the Jazz are 19-19 and in hot pursuit of a playoff spot. Harris, is averaging just 9.6 points and 4.5 assists, his worst numbers in either category since 2006/07, but Favors and that first round pick, which turned out to be No. 3 overall selection Enes Kanter, are impressive young post players who could soon make Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap expendable. As long as the Jazz keep winning and building, and Williams’ fate is undecided, the winner, so far, is Utah.

Feb. 23, 2011: New Orleans traded forward Carl Landry to Sacramento for guard Marcus Thornton and cash considerations. This is the deal that had Mark Cuban up in arms, as the league owned Hornets took on salary to add Landry. The deal was indeed helpful for New Orleans last year, as Landry took over at starting power forward for an injured David West and averaged 15.8 points and 5.0 rebounds as the Hornets challenged the Lakers in six games. He has returned to the bench this year, however, his numbers falling back to 11.5 PPG and 4.4 RPG. Thornton has proven he can fill it up in Sacramento, averaging 21.3 PPG last year and 18.8 PPG this season as the starting shooting guard. Valuable as Landry might have been in the playoffs last year, it’s hard to call swapping a starter for a reserve a winning move, no matter what Cuban says. The winner, so far: Sacramento.

Feb. 24, 2011: Sacramento acquired guard-forward Marquis Daniels and cash considerations from Boston for a future draft pick. Daniels, who suffered a bruised spine in a nasty collision before the trade last year, was never able to contribute to the Kings before he became a free agent this past offseason. He signed again with Boston, making this deal something of a waste for the Kings. The pick, a 2017 second-rounder is a long way from paying anyone dividends. The winner, so far: Boston.

Feb. 24, 2011: Houston traded guard Aaron Brooks to Phoenix for guard Goran Dragic and a future first-round draft pick. Brooks has spent all of this season in China, and as a restricted free agent in a position similar to Wilson Chandler’s, he might not play at all in the NBA this year. Houston wound up with Dragic, who is averaging a career-high 3.4 APG as the backup to point guard Kyle Lowry. On draft night, the Rockets acquired little-used third point Jonny Flynn for the pick. If Houston can get a useful player in another deal for Flynn, last year’s deadline transaction looks even better. The winner, so far: Houston.

Feb. 24, 2011: Houston traded forward Shane Battier and guard Ishmael Smith to Memphis for center Hasheem Thabeet, forward DeMarre Carroll and a future first-round draft pick. Thabeet is the only remaining player on either of these teams from the deal. Last week I looked at the effect Battier had in his short stint in Memphis last year before signing with Miami before this season. Battier’s clutch three-pointer that proved the difference in Game 1 against the Spurs last season could have made this deal worthwhile on its own. The winner, so far: Memphis.

Feb. 24, 2011: Cleveland traded guard Mo Williams and forward Jamario Moon to the L.A. Clippers for guard Baron Davis and a 2011 first-round draft pick. Initially a swap of point guards, this deal has come to have far-reaching consequences. That draft pick wound up being 2011 No. 1 overall selection Kyrie Irving. Had Irving been in L.A., the Clippers probably don’t make the Chris Paul deal. Davis, who was amnestied by Cleveland and wound up in New York, missed the first part of this season with back and elbow injuries, opening up an opportunity for Jeremy Lin to start. Arguably, this trade significantly altered the course of several teams, and it’s difficult to evaluate at the deal at face value, but let's give it a shot. While it’s hard to discount Williams’ value as a sixth man putting up 13.5 PPG for the vastly improved Clippers, Irving is en route to Rookie of the Year honors and promises even more in years to come for a Cleveland team that’s much better, too. The winner, so far: Cleveland.

Feb. 24, 2011: Charlotte traded forward Gerald Wallace to Portland for center Joel Przybilla, forward Dante Cunningham, forward-center Sean Marks and a conditional 2011 and a conditional 2013 first-round draft pick. This was a salary-shedding exercise for the Bobcats, as they moved into full-scale rebuilding mode. None of the players in this deal are with Charlotte now, and Przybilla recently signed back with Portland. The 2011 pick was used on Tobias Harris, who wound up with Milwaukee. Wallace and his $9.5MM-a-year contract could be on the move again as the Blazers look to retool as well. The Blazers don’t look like they’re headed anywhere remarkable this year, and Wallace’s 13.7 PPG is his lowest since 2004/05. At least the Bobcats, woeful though they may be this season, appear to have a semblance of a plan: The winner, so far: Charlotte.

Feb. 24, 2011: Boston traded forward Luke Harangody and center Semih Erden to Cleveland for a 2013 second-round draft pick. The Cavs picked up a couple of rookie big men on the cheap. Injury limited Erden to just four games for Cleveland last year, but he took over as starting center last month the absence of Anderson Varejao. Coach Byron Scott still played Erden sparingly, however, as he went for just 3.4 PPG and 3.3 RPG in February, and he has since fallen out of the rotation. Harangody averaged 6.2 PPG and 4.2 RPG in 19 minutes a night after the trade last year, but has been little used this year. For the Celtics, this move was essentially meant to clear roster space and out of fear that a homesick Erden would return to Europe. Erden’s still here, but Boston was able to use one of the open slots for Troy Murphy, who averaged 2.6 points and 2.2 rebounds in 10.5 minutes a night down the stretch before signing as a free agent with the Lakers before this season. The winner, so far: Cleveland

Feb. 24, 2011: Boston traded center Kendrick Perkins and guard Nate Robinson to Oklahoma City for forward Jeff Green, center Nenad Krstic, a 2012 first-round draft pick and cash. The Celtics broke up their championship starting five, ranked the most effective five-man unit of the last five years by Basketball Reference metrics, for what turned out to be a startlingly low return. Jeff Green’s heart trouble, which is keeping him out this year, was unforeseen, but even if he returns to the NBA, as expected, next year, it may not be with the Celtics. The team withdrew its qualifying offer when Green failed his preseason physical, which makes him an unrestricted free agent this summer. Meanwhile, Krstic is playing overseas this year and Perkins signed a four-year $32.56MM extension with the Thunder, a contract that pays him less this year than the $9MM the Celtics were set to pay Green. The Celtics gave up plenty for long-term flexibility and cap space. The Thunder continues to grow with Perkins firmly entrenched as the starting center. The winner, so far: Oklahoma City

Lakers Notes: Lowry, Bynum, Price

The Lakers are about to tip off their game with the Timberwolves tonight, and they catch a break, as Kevin Love is out with back spasms. Still, on the heels of ugly losses to the Pistons and Wizards in their last two outings, the Lakers must know they can't take any team for granted.  There's been talk of a deal between the Lakers and Rockets for Pau Gasol today, but for now nothing appears imminent. In the meantime, here's the rest of what's going on in L.A.: