Central Notes: Harden, Thompson, Duren, Bulls
James Harden never considered getting surgery on the thumb he fractured in a Cavaliers game against the Knicks last week, Chris Fedor writes for Cleveland.com. Returning to play on Sunday in a matinee matchup with the Nets, Harden scored 22 points on nine shots while adding eight assists and nine rebounds. After the game, he broke down why, for him, it was a simple decision not to opt for surgery.
“That’s too much time out,” Harden explained. “Thought about playing last game (on Friday). Thought about playing in Milwaukee (on Wednesday). There’s going to be some discomfort, so just figuring out ways to fight through… Got no other choice.”
On Saturday, he went to the NBA Players Association in Manhattan to get an individual workout, with the intent of seeing if he could dribble.
“If I can dribble, I can play,” he said. “I still couldn’t dribble how I wanted to, but it was good enough.”
Harden finished the game with five turnovers, which is where head coach Kenny Atkinson saw the effects of the injury shining through.
“Just fumbling the ball,” Atkinson said. “Couple of those turnovers weren’t his. Then I noticed him kind of deferring a couple times when bringing the ball up. Which he never does. Just probably needed to give it a break. It’s a tough one, especially for a guy that handles it as much as he does. But we needed him. He played handicapped. But he still played well.”
We have more from around the Central Division:
- While his stats might not always jump off the page for the Pistons, Ausar Thompson is Detroit’s floor-raiser and defensive heart, Hunter Patterson writes for The Athletic. He had a team-high 144 combined steals and blocks coming into Sunday’s game, and the Pistons are 21-4 when he plays 27 minutes or more. “You know how people have offensive modes where they feel like they’re on fire?” Thompson asked. “I feel like I have defensive modes like that. So when I get in modes like that I’m like, ‘Yeah, this guy’s not scoring.‘” Coach J.B. Bickerstaff highlighted his pick-and-roll defense as being particularly valuable. “His ability to get through screens and get back in front of his man so you don’t ever have to bring two (defenders) to the ball lets our defense continue to play five-on-five instead of playing five-on-four or four-on-three,” Bickerstaff said.
- Jalen Duren, the first-time All-Star, got a feather in the cap of his already exemplary season on Friday, Patterson writes. With Cade Cunningham on the bench after fouling out in the fourth quarter, Duren helped the Pistons erase a nine-point Cavs lead in under three minutes. He scored 15 of his 33 points in the fourth quarter and overtime as the Pistons got the three-point victory, and added 16 rebounds and three blocks. Despite watching the end of the game from the sideline, Cunningham was all smiles about his teammate’s performance. “It’s special, man,” Cunningham said. “It’s everything we talked about, everything we knew he was capable of. He’s put a lot of work in to be where he’s at.” Over his last four games preceding Sunday’s victory over the Magic, Duren was averaging 28.3 points and 14.5 rebounds on 65.2% shooting. He’ll be a restricted free agent this summer.
- The Bulls got their first win since January 31 on Sunday, beating the Bucks 120-97 and snapping an 11-game losing streak. The win gave the young, awkward-fitting roster a positive moment to savor, Brian Sandalow writes for the Chicago Sun-Times. “I know it’s been frustrating for [the players], I know I’m in the locker room after a game and after a loss they feel like they’re working hard, they’re trying hard,” coach Billy Donovan said. “… To see them stick with it for a whole month like this and to go through the struggles of that, I just appreciate the way they’ve stayed together and just continued to try to come back in each day to work to get better.” Donovan says that despite the winless month, he has seen growth from the team.
Cavaliers Notes: OT Loss, Mitchell, Harden, Ellis, Mobley
The Cavaliers lost in overtime at Detroit on Friday and came away unimpressed with the Eastern Conference-leading Pistons, Chris Fedor of Cleveland.com reports (subscription required).
Playing without their starting backcourt of Donovan Mitchell and James Harden, the Cavaliers had the Pistons on the ropes. But Cleveland missed two key free throws late in regulation and Jaylon Tyson fouled Daniss Jenkins on a half-court 3-point attempt with less than five seconds remaining. Jenkins made all three free throws to tie the game and Detroit escaped with a 122-119 overtime victory.
“They aren’t in our class,” one player told Fedor.
Forward Evan Mobley believes the Pistons will have a tough time getting past the Cavaliers in the postseason.
“I feel like we’re one of the top teams,” he said. “They’ve got to face us, honestly. We’re playing pretty good basketball and we’re going to continue to play good basketball. Just got to play our best in April and May and June. That’s our goal. We’re going to learn from this game and just keep stacking wins and get ready for the playoffs.”
Here’s more on the Cavaliers:
- Mitchell is dealing with a right groin strain while Harden has a fractured right thumb. “We don’t love soft tissue injuries, obviously,” head coach Kenny Atkinson said of Mitchell’s injury, per ESPN’s Jamal Collier. “The feedback I’m getting is that it’s not a long-term thing.” Harden wore a protective brace on his thumb at shootaround Friday morning and attempted to dribble and shoot but was still feeling discomfort. “I know this morning he was struggling a little, just dribbling,” Atkinson said. “I mean, the thing’s broken. … If you have a hard time dribbling and catching, that’s [tough].”
- Keon Ellis, who also missed Friday’s game, has a non-displaced volar plate avulsion of his left index finger, the team tweets. He suffered the injury against the Bucks on Wednesday but still played 29 minutes, scoring 14 points. “I had no clue it was fractured or broken, but I couldn’t really do nothing,” Ellis told Fedor. “They told me after watching film they think it happened when I dove on the floor and came up with a loose ball because that’s when I kind of started shaking my hand. I thought it was just jammed. But then I couldn’t squeeze the ball at all and thought I might need to come out of the game.”
- Mobley had his best game since returning from a calf strain, contributing 23 points, 12 rebounds and four blocks against Detroit. “Much better, much better. He’s starting to catch a groove,” Atkinson said. “I can see it, [I] told him this morning in shoot around, I feel like just more energetic. He’s got more confidence. Just seems like when he comes back from injury, it always takes him a little bit to get going. So, that might be the most positive thing about this game tonight, we get him kind of playing like that. Making a few threes obviously helps. But just overall, I thought it was really good.”
Donovan Mitchell (Groin) To Miss Second Straight Game Friday
Star guard Donovan Mitchell, who was out for Wednesday’s loss in Milwaukee, will miss his second straight game on Friday when the Cavaliers play at Detroit, tweets Jamal Collier of ESPN. Mitchell has a right groin strain.
The Cavs have gone 2-3 so far this season without Mitchell, a seven-time All-Star who last suited up on Tuesday vs. New York. He had 23 points, five rebounds, four assists and three steals in 31 minutes in the win over the Knicks.
The 29-year-old is having another stellar season for Cleveland, averaging 28.5 points, 5.8 assists, 4.5 rebounds and 1.6 steals on .483/.369/.852 shooting splits. He has made 55 appearances so far in 2025/26 (33.5 minutes per game).
Mitchell’s new backcourt running mate James Harden is also dealing with an injury, having been diagnosed with a non-displaced fracture in his right thumb. According to Collier, Harden had his injured digit heavily wrapped when he exited the locker room on Wednesday, when he was inactive. The former MVP is questionable for Friday’s game.
Harden isn’t the only Cavs guard who has a broken finger — Keon Ellis has a fractured left index finger, per the league’s official injury report, and is questionable to play against the Pistons. Point guard Dennis Schröder and forward Dean Wade are both battling right ankle sprains and are questionable as well.
It’s worth noting that Harden’s and Ellis’ fractures are both to their non-shooting hands. It remains to be seen how their injuries will impact their performance. Ellis’ ailment likely occurred on Wednesday, as he played 29 minutes against the Bucks.
Central Notes: Bucks, Schröder, Allen, Thompson
A Bucks team that fell to 18-29 on February 1 and was facing the prospect of being without star forward Giannis Antetokounmpo for several more weeks has pulled off an unexpected turnaround in recent weeks, writes Eric Nehm of The Athletic. With eight wins in its past 10 games, Milwaukee has reentered the play-in race as Antetokounmpo nears a return.
While the Bucks’ current 8-2 stretch began a couple days before the Feb. 5 trade deadline, big man Bobby Portis doesn’t believe it’s a coincidence that the team has been playing better since the deadline passed without Giannis – and most of the rest of the players on the roster – going anywhere.
“So much outside noise about trades, so much outside noise about everything else that doesn’t involve winning, it kind of puts a dark cloud over your locker room,” Portis said. “It’s human nature to go out there and second-guess yourself. Human nature to be like, ‘Am I really gonna be here?’ You know what I’m saying? Now the deadline’s over, guys can just go out there and hoop and just play free and do what’s needed to win.”
As Nehm details, while the Bucks’ recent success has been a team effort, guards Kevin Porter Jr. and Ryan Rollins are leading the way. The duo has combined to average 43.3 points and 13.2 assists per game during that 8-2 stretch, with Porter shooting 53.5% from the field and Rollins hitting 49.1% of his three-point attempts.
“I think the more that we’ve been working out together, getting some practice (and) some two-mans in, we’re just confident in those stretches,” Porter said of he and Rollins starting and closing games together. “We gotta continue to do it. There’s nothing like game reps at the end of the day. It’s been a long season, so we’ve had those reps early on, but we were able to learn from those reps, also. So, I think that’s what you’re seeing a little bit of.”
Here’s more from around the Central:
- With James Harden out on Wednesday due to a thumb injury, one of the other guards the Cavaliers acquired at this month’s trade deadline stepped up — Dennis Schröder made his first start as a Cav and had 26 points and five assists in a hard-fought loss to Milwaukee, writes Chris Fedor of Cleveland.com (subscription required). “I’ve always felt in my mind that he is a starting point guard in this league,” said head coach Kenny Atkinson, who coached Schröder in Atlanta earlier in his career. “That’s the way I’ve always looked at him. He’s done it before. If (Harden is out), then we are covered with Dennis.” Schröder twisted his ankle near the end of the game, but said that he should be “alright” going forward, Fedor notes.
- Although Jarrett Allen has benefited from having Harden as a pick-and-roll partner, the Cavaliers center was already in the midst of a hot streak before the star guard’s arrival in Cleveland, says Joe Vardon of The Athletic. Allen credits a pep talk from Atkinson, who told the veteran big man on January 28 that he needed him to “step up.” Since then, he has averaged 20.8 points and 11.2 rebounds per game during a 9-3 stretch for Cleveland. For what it’s worth, Allen was involved in a few trade rumors leading up to the deadline, but the Cavs opted not to make a move.
- Hunter Patterson of The Athletic takes a closer look at Ausar Thompson‘s value to the Pistons, writing that the third-year wing views himself as one of the NBA’s best defensive players. “One thousand percent. I think I’m the best,” he said. “But I can always get better. And I know there are a lot of great defenders, but that’s just the way I feel.” While re-signing center Jalen Duren figures to be Detroit’s top offseason priority, Thompson will also be eligible for an extension beginning in July as he enters the final year of his rookie scale contract.
James Harden Intends To Play Through Thumb Fracture
3:15 pm: The plan for Harden, who visited with a hand specialist on Wednesday, is to play through his thumb injury and not undergo surgery, ESPN’s Shams Charania said today on NBA Today (Twitter video link). As Charania explains, that doesn’t necessarily mean Harden will be available for tonight’s game, but he shouldn’t miss much – if any – time, as he and the team focus on managing the pain in his thumb with treatment.
1:43 pm: Cavaliers guard James Harden has been diagnosed with a non-displaced fracture of the distal phalanx in his right thumb, the team announced today (Twitter link). Harden sustained the injury in Tuesday’s win over New York and underwent X-rays on Wednesday to confirm the diagnosis.
Harden, who will undergo treatment and will continue to be evaluated, will be listed as questionable to play in Milwaukee on Wednesday in the second game of Cleveland’s back-to-back set, per the club.
The fact that Harden hasn’t already been ruled out for tonight’s contest suggests the injury shouldn’t require an extended absence — or possibly any absence at all. However, that’s still to be determined and will depend on the treatment plan. According to the Cavs, updates on the star guard’s status will be provided as appropriate.
Harden is left-handed, so the injury affects his non-shooting hand. The distal phalanx is the bone at the tip of the finger.
While it sounds like the news could’ve been worse for the Cavs and Harden, it remains to be seen how the injury will impact his play going forward. The 36-year-old has been highly effective since being traded from the Clippers to the Cavs at the deadline earlier this month, averaging 18.9 points and 8.0 assists in 32.0 minutes per game in his first seven outings with Cleveland. He has posted an excellent shooting line of .494/.488/.867 during that time.
As we relayed earlier today, head coach Kenny Atkinson said following the Cavaliers’ victory over the Knicks on Tuesday that adding Harden has given the club “renewed confidence.” Cleveland has won 13 of its past 15 games, including six of seven with Harden active.
“We understand we’re a better team,” Atkinson said, per Jamal Collier of ESPN. “That spirit, that confidence for some strange reason, it makes you play harder, compete harder, compete harder defensively. I felt like we were kind of missing that edge, that belief. I feel like we’re regaining that. A lot of it has to do with who we added in the trade.”
Harden told reporters on Tuesday that the team is playing well but still has “a few more notches to get to,” according to Collier.
“We got what, 25 games? I think we can get there,” he said. “Matter of fact, I know we can get there. I think it’s going to start defensively because offensively we can have six guys in double figures … defensive is going to be key. If we can find a way to really hone in defensively and really get stops and limit teams to one shot, we’re going to be very, very tough.”
Community Shootaround: Who Will Come Out Of The East?
The Pistons have held the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference since early November and have maintained a firm grip on that spot. At 42-14, Detroit has a 4.5-game lead on its next-closest competitor in the conference and has a 10-2 record against the other Eastern teams currently in playoff (ie. top-six) position.
However, there are still questions about the Pistons’ ability to win three consecutive playoff series and represent the Eastern Conference in the 2026 NBA Finals. A relative lack of postseason experience is one potential concern. Detroit’s first-round exit last spring represented the team’s first playoff appearance since 2019 and the only taste of the postseason that young stars like Cade Cunningham and Jalen Duren have gotten so far.
A lack of offensive firepower is another possible red flag for the Pistons. The team leans heavily on Cunningham for scoring and shot creation and lacks reliable play-makers and knock-down shooters alongside him. Detroit ranks 28th in the NBA in three-point makes per game (11.1).
Monday’s loss to San Antonio exposed those flaws and cast a spotlight on Trajan Langdon‘s decision not to be more aggressive at this month’s trade deadline, notes Omari Sankofa II of The Detroit Free Press (subscription required). The Pistons’ only real pre-deadline acquisition was wing Kevin Huerter, who has struggled with his outside shot this season and fallen out of the team’s rotation in the past three games.
If not the Pistons, who else could come out of the East this spring? Well, the Celtics hold the No. 2 seed despite being without Jayson Tatum all season as the All-NBA forward recovers from an Achilles tear. With Jaylen Brown taking on the primary role, Boston has built the best offense in the conference without its usual leading scorer, writes Esfandiar Baraheni of The Athletic, posting a 120.0 offensive rating that exceeds the team’s mark from 2024/25.
Still, there’s no guarantee Tatum will be able to return to action before the end of this season, and the Celtics would miss him more in big postseason moments than they do in a typical regular season game. And even if Tatum does make it back in the coming weeks, is it realistic to expect him to be back to his old self in time for the playoffs after such a lengthy layoff and challenging rehab process?
The Knicks, who have the NBA’s third-best offensive rating, hold the No. 3 spot in the East at 37-22 and are coming off a conference finals appearance in 2025. New York is a good team, but under new head coach Mike Brown, the club has also looked “like a world beater one quarter and a bottom-feeder the next,” according to James L. Edwards III of The Athletic, who suggests we may not know for sure until the playoffs how good the Knicks really are.
Interestingly, none of those three teams are currently the betting favorites to win the East, according to most sportsbooks. That honor belongs to the Cavaliers, who have looked resurgent in recent weeks after a shaky start to the season and have pulled into a tie with the Knicks at 37-22. The Cavs, winners of 13 of their past 15 games, have “renewed confidence” following the deadline acquisition of James Harden, head coach Kenny Atkinson said following his team’s victory over New York on Tuesday (story via Jamal Collier of ESPN).
“We understand we’re a better team,” Atkinson said. “That spirit, that confidence for some strange reason, it makes you play harder, compete harder, compete harder defensively. I felt like we were kind of missing that edge, that belief. I feel like we’re regaining that. A lot of it has to do with who we added in the trade.”
The Cavaliers were widely viewed as a favorite to win the East in the fall after winning 64 regular season games in 2024/25 and being derailed by injuries in the playoffs. Enthusiasm about their ceiling waned as they hovered around .500 through Christmas, but it has been building again as of late. For what it’s worth, the Cavs are also the only one of the East’s projected playoff teams that doesn’t have a losing record against the Pistons so far in ’25/26 — the teams have split their two matchups.
The Raptors, Sixers, Magic, Heat, Hawks, and Hornets are all lurking in the Eastern Conference playoff picture as potential threats.
A Philadelphia team that has Joel Embiid and Paul George wouldn’t be an easy out. The same is true of a fully healthy Orlando squad, though we haven’t seen that very often in the past year or two. Charlotte still has a ways to go to even make the playoffs and would be an underdog in a first-round series, but few teams have been hotter in recent weeks — since January 22, only the Cavs (12-2) and Spurs (11-2) have a better record than the Hornets (12-3).
We want to know what you think. Which team do you expect to represent the East in the NBA Finals this season? Is Tatum’s potential return the wild card that could swing your decision or are there other factors you think will ultimately determine how the postseason plays out in the Eastern Conference?
Head to the comment section below to weigh in with your thoughts!
Lakers Notes: Offseason Targets, LeBron, Riley, Ticket Prices
The Lakers‘ decision to stand pat at the trade deadline sets them up for an eventful summer, Yossi Gozlan of The Third Apron states in a subscriber-only story. Even with Austin Reaves‘ $20.9MM cap hold (assuming he declines his player option and tests free agency), L.A. has about $47MM in projected cap space, along with the $9.4MM room mid-level exception. That number could be larger if Deandre Ayton ($8.1MM) and Marcus Smart ($5.4MM) decline their player options.
Trading for Giannis Antetokounmpo would be the Lakers’ dream offseason move, but Gozlan is skeptical that they can put together a competitive offer unless Antetokounmpo demands to be dealt to L.A. The team can only trade three future first-round picks this summer, and Gozlan doesn’t believe they can compete with other suitors even if Reaves is included in a sign-and-trade deal.
Gozlan lists numerous potential targets, including Nuggets forward Peyton Watson, who may be too expensive to keep if Denver can’t cut salary elsewhere. Gozlan suggests that Cameron Johnson might become expendable, and the Lakers could have some interest if draft compensation is included.
Gozlan cites center Jalen Duren as another possibility if the Pistons don’t want to meet his salary demands after a breakout season. Gozlan states that it would take an aggressive offer sheet approaching Duren’s annual max salary of $44.6MM to give the Lakers a chance to sign him.
Kawhi Leonard is also worth watching if the NBA decides to void his contract over the Aspiration scandal, Gozlan adds. If the league were to ban Leonard from playing for the Clippers, the Lakers could create enough room to absorb his $50.3MM contract for next season into their cap space while giving their cross-town rivals draft picks and cap relief, Gozlan notes.
There’s more on the Lakers:
- LeBron James, who has a $52.6MM expiring contract, will be fascinating to watch this summer, Gozlan adds. There has been speculation that he will return to Cleveland to finish his career, but the Cavaliers are projected to be over the second apron again next season and are severely limited in what they can offer. They could clear enough space to use the $6.1MM taxpayer mid-level exception, but Gozlan notes that would only be $2.2MM more than James could earn on a veteran’s minimum deal and he might prefer that the Cavs not weaken their roster with an unnecessary trade. Gozlan suggests a two-year, $8MM agreement that includes a player option and a no-trade clause, pointing out that James would count for a full $3.9MM cap hit if he signs for two seasons, but only $2.5MM if his next contract covers just one year.
- The Lakers honored Pat Riley with a statue unveiling on Sunday, but their performance couldn’t match his fiery tone during a speech to the crowd, notes Benjamin Royer of The Orange County Register (subscription required). Coach JJ Redick called his team “just awful offensively” in the 111-89 loss.
- A steep hike in season ticket prices is being planned for next season, according to Dave McMenamin of ESPN. The increase comes after Mark Walter agreed to a $10 billion valuation in his purchase of the team.
Harden Impressed By Allen; Charge Acquires Oladipo
Starting center Jarrett Allen has impressed new Cavaliers point guard James Harden, writes Chris Fedor of Cleveland.com. Harden, an 11-time All-Star, was acquired a couple weeks ago in a blockbuster trade with the Clippers.
The 35-21 Cavaliers have been surging up the Eastern Conference standings over the past four-plus weeks, winning 11 of their past 12 games, including six straight. Head coach Kenny Atkinson says he’s been focused on getting Allen more involved offensively, according to Fedor, and Harden has quickly developed impressive chemistry with the 27-year-old big man.
- Former All-Star guard Victor Oladipo, who is attempting an NBA comeback by playing in the G League, has been traded from the Bucks‘ affiliate team (the Wisconsin Herd) to the Cavaliers‘ affiliate club (the Cleveland Charge), the Herd announced in a press release. Wisconsin received the returning player rights to Jacob Gilyard and Drake Jeffries, a 2026 second-round pick and a 2026 international pick. Oladipo, 33, has averaged 14.0 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 3.8 APG and 1.8 SPG on .396/.321/.714 shooting in 26 games with the Herd this season (28.7 MPG).
Cavs Sign Darius Brown To Two-Way Deal
1:54 pm: The Cavaliers have officially signed Brown to a two-way contract and waived Miller, per the team. Brown will be eligible to be active for up to 15 regular season NBA games.
1:41 pm: Cleveland Charge guard Darius Brown II is getting a call-up from the Cavaliers, according to Michael Scotto of HoopsHype (Twitter link), who hears from agent Matt Slan that Brown and the Cavs have agreed to a two-way contract.
Brown, 26, has briefly been on Exhibit 10 contracts with the Cavaliers in each of the past two Octobers after going undrafted out of Utah State in 2024. He has appeared in a total of 78 games for the Charge, Cleveland’s G League affiliate, since going pro, and has become a fixture in the team’s starting lineup this season.
In 34 outings for the Charge in 2025/26, Brown is averaging 12.4 points, 9.7 assists, 3.8 rebounds, and 2.2 steals per game, with a shooting line of .436/.398/.839.
Brown will take the two-way slot that has been occupied in recent weeks by former Bull Emanuel Miller, Scotto reports (via Twitter).
Miller, who spent most of the season with Chicago, was sent to Cleveland in a three-team trade that also involved the Kings to ensure that the Bulls and Cavs were “touching” in the deal (ie. an asset was changing hands between the two teams). Miller’s inclusion in that trade appeared to be simply procedural — he hasn’t been active at all for the Cavs since being acquired and will be waived so he can seek out his next opportunity.
A 6’5″ Canadian forward, Miller made a total of 11 NBA appearances for the Bulls after initially signing a two-way contract with the team in December 2024. The 25-year-old has put up 17.4 PPG, 6.5 RPG, and 2.2 APG in 24 NBAGL games (34.0 MPG) this season for the Windy City Bulls and the Charge.
Projected NBA Taxpayers For 2025/26
While seven NBA teams are still operating in luxury tax territory following the All-Star break, that total has been cut in half since the start of the month.
Prior to an eventful trade deadline week, a total of 14 teams projected to be taxpayers, per Bobby Marks of ESPN (Twitter link) observes, with the 16 non-taxpayers on track to receive about $13.8MM apiece in tax distribution money at that point.
However, the Celtics, Nuggets, Suns, Mavericks, Sixers, Magic, and Raptors all ducked below the tax line with their pre-deadline transactions, while a few other teams remained in the tax but took steps to significantly reduce their end-of-season bills.
Cleveland, for instance, had been projected to pay nearly $164MM in tax penalties, according to Marks. The Cavaliers will likely still have the NBA’s highest tax bill, but their deadline deals reduced their projected payment by more than $95MM, according to Eric Pincus of Sports Business Classroom.
Here are the current projected tax penalties, per Pincus’ data:
- Cleveland Cavaliers: $68.67MM
- Golden State Warriors: $65.67MM *
- New York Knicks: $44.44MM
- Los Angeles Lakers: $22.65MM *
- Houston Rockets: $7.07MM
- Los Angeles Clippers: $6.67MM *
- Minnesota Timberwolves: $5.48MM
Total: $220.65MM
Note: Teams marked with an asterisk are paying repeater tax rates.
These numbers may fluctuate a little before the end of the season. For instance, the Clippers recently increased their projected bill when they promoted Jordan Miller to their standard roster, while the Knicks did the same when they signed Jeremy Sochan. The Warriors, Rockets, and Timberwolves all have open roster spots that they could fill before the end of the season, which would increase their respective tax bills. Various contract incentives that go earned or unearned could also impact the end-of-season tax totals.
Based on the current figures from Pincus, each non-taxpayer is projected to receive a payout of about $4.8MM. That figure is determined by cutting the total league-wide tax penalties in half, then dividing them evenly among the non-taxpaying teams (in this case, 23 clubs).
While it’s no real surprise that that figure is far below the $13.8MM projection from a few weeks ago, it’s worth noting that it’s significantly less than what non-taxpayers received last year. In 2024/25, 10 taxpayers paid a total of $461.21MM in penalties and the 20 non-taxpayers received $11.53MM apiece, according to Pincus.
Assuming these are the seven teams that finish the season in tax territory, the Warriors, Lakers, and Clippers would all be subject to repeater penalties in 2026/27 if they’re taxpayers again next season. Additionally, the Bucks, Celtics, Suns, and Nuggets would pay repeater rates if they’re in the tax in ’26/27, since all four clubs were in the tax for three straight years from 2023-25. They’ll each need to spend one more season as a non-taxpayer in order to reset the repeater clock.