Western Rumors: Lakers, Paul, Josh Smith, Mavs
According to Grantland's Bill Simmons, who finishes off his three-part trade value column, there's "increasing buzz" that the Lakers would amnesty Kobe Bryant if they were guaranteed to sign both Dwight Howard and Chris Paul. That appears a longshot on multiple counts, since the Clippers seem all but assured of re-signing Paul, while the Lakers have insisted they're not considering the amnesty move on Kobe. Even if the Lakers take Kobe's $30MM+ salary for next season off their books, it would still be difficult for the team to fit a max contract for Paul under the cap. Regardless, the offseason figures to be full of intrigue in L.A., as always. Here's the latest from the City of Angels and other Western Conference locales:
- HoopsWorld's Bill Ingram identifies the five teams most likely to lure Josh Smith away from the Hawks, with the Mavericks at the top of the list. If the Hawks want to pursue a sign-and-trade, however, that would probably eliminate Dallas from the equation, Ingram figures.
- In the same NBA PM piece, Ingram points to recent comments from GM Donnie Nelson and sizes up the Mavs' chances of landing Paul.
- George Karl tells Marcos Pineiro of Marca.com that he's had conversations about someday coaching in Europe, since doing so may give him the opportunity to coach with his son, Coby Karl (translation via HoopsHype).
- Charley Rosen of HoopsHype identifies the ideal coaching fit for each of the six teams with a current opening. Rosen, a longtime confidant of Pistons adviser Phil Jackson, wouldn't be surprised to see Brian Shaw wind up in Detroit, even though Rosen believes Stan Van Gundy is best suited for that job.
- Los Angeles is a destination for many, but the idea of coaching either the Clippers or Lakers doesn't appeal to Van Gundy, HoopsWorld's Steve Kyler hears (Twitter link).
- The Jazz will host six second-round draft prospects for workouts tomorrow, as Jody Genessy of The Deseret News details.
Last Year’s Offseason Coaching Moves
There will be at least seven teams changing coaches this offseason, with six current openings to go with the Cavaliers' hiring of Mike Brown. Last summer, the coaching market was much less volatile. Only three clubs changed coaches, while another two removed interim tags from the coaches already in place. With a season's worth of results, here's a look at last year's moves:
- Mike Woodson began the offseason as interim coach of the Knicks, and the team kept him on board with a three-year deal worth about $12MM. He led New York to its first division title in 19 years. Woodson is the only coach on this list still alive in the playoffs.
- The Wizards elected to retain interim coach Randy Wittman, giving him a two-year deal. Wittman's name was mentioned among coaches on shaky ground early this season, as the Wizards started 4-28, but the team played .500 ball from that point forward, buoyed by the return of John Wall.
- The Bobcats made an unconventional choice, hiring St. John's assistant Mike Dunlap for the head coaching job in Charlotte. The team showed improvement from the league's all-time worst winning percentage in 2011/12, climbing out of last place with a three-game winning streak to close the season. Still, Dunlap clashed with players, and the Bobcats fired him after just one season.
- New Magic GM Rob Hennigan called upon his history with the Spurs to hire San Antonio assistant Jacque Vaughn as Orlando's head coach. Less than two weeks later, Hennigan traded Dwight Howard to the Lakers, and Vaughn was left with a roster that finished with the worst record in the league.
- The Trail Blazers were another team changing both GM and coach. Front office boss Neil Olshey, fresh off his jump from the Clippers, chose former Mavericks assistant Terry Stotts to coach Portland. The team's bench was a weakness all season, and thanks to a late-season slump, the Blazers finished with a winning percentage (.402) inferior to last year's (.424).
Note that this list doesn't include coaches who were hired at midseason. The Lakers, Nets, Bucks and Suns all made changes while the 2012/13 was in progress.
Hawks Targeting Stan Van Gundy
The Hawks have reached out to Stan Van Gundy, and GM Danny Ferry views him as his top choice to coach the team next season, reports Adrian Wojnarowski of Yahoo! Sports. The team has let incumbent coach Larry Drew know that it will look at other candidates, though there is a possibility the Hawks circle back to Drew if they strike out with their other targets. Van Gundy was reportedly in Milwaukee today to interview with the Bucks, but the former University of Wisconsin coach has declined interest in that job, according to Wojnarowski.
Van Gundy and the Hawks have had contact, but the coach hasn't met with anyone from the team, writes Wojnarowski, who hears that Van Gundy holds Ferry in high regard. Echoing a report earlier this week from Marc Stein of ESPN.com, Wojnarowski identifies Mike Budenholzer and Quin Snyder as other candidates for the job.
The push for Van Gundy could be part of Ferry's efforts to land Dwight Howard in free agency. Howard and Van Gundy famously clashed in Orlando, but Van Gundy has indicated the two have mended fences and remain in contact, so there's some belief, according to Wojnarowski, that Van Gundy's presence might enhance the team's chances of signing Howard.
Lionel Hollins: Grizzlies Say They Want Me Back
Grizzlies coach Lionel Hollins was confident heading into the playoffs that the team would bring him back for next season. Ironically, he became even more sure of keeping his job after the team went down 0-2 to the Clippers in the first round. That's when Hollins says Grizzlies management told him that they wanted him back as coach, reports Ramona Shelburne of ESPNLosAngeles.com.
"The only conversations we've had is they said they wanted me back," Hollins said. "After we lost the first two games to the Clippers, we had a friendly conversation about the series and how they just wanted me personally to know that regardless of what's being said out there, this is how they felt."
Hollins is in the final year of his contract, and could be one of the most sought-after coaching free agents this summer. The Sixers have reportedly been keeping an eye on his status in Memphis, and he's been linked to the Nets as well. Hollins nonetheless says "there's no question" he'd prefer to remain with the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies won the next four games to oust the Clippers after Hollins and the front office brass spoke, and as Memphis sits tied 1-1 with the Thunder in the second round, I'd be surprised to see Hollins go no matter what happens in the rest of the playoffs. The coach criticized the Rudy Gay trade soon after it occurred, but softened his stance later, calling his comments an emotional reaction to the swap.
Draft Updates: Agents, Oladipo, Larkin, Burke
The Hoops Rumors Agency Database isn't just for current NBA players. Several draft prospects have already selected their agents, and we'll keep track of them in the database as well. We'll also pass along the news in a regular post whenever a player changes agents or chooses one for the first time. That's what we're doing here as we round up the latest on the draft ahead of next week's Pre-Draft Camp in Chicago:
- Jeff Goodman of CBS Sports tweets that Nerlens Noel and Alex Len are expected to show up, although neither are expected to do much of anything.
- Scott Howard-Cooper of NBA.com shared the list of players invited to the pre-draft camp (Sulia link). ESPN's Chad Ford tweets that James Ennis and Norvel Pelle are among the most interesting names on the list, and that it'll be surprising if Rudy Gobert and Dennis Schroeder show up, on account of the rarity of international prospects making the trip in years past.
- Gery Woelfel of The Journal Times tweets that potential lottery pick Dario Saric will not be attending the Pre-Draft Camp, as he is still playing overseas.
- Former Indiana shooting guard Victor Oladipo is going with Raymond Brothers of IAM Sports & Entertainment, tweets Jeff Goodman of CBSSports.com. Brothers' list of NBA clients includes Zach Randolph and Caron Butler.
- Happy Walters of Relativity Sports is expected to sign Shane Larkin, Goodman reports via Twitter.
- Trey Burke's father, Benji, will represent his son, opening up a basketball division of his family's agency to do, according to Jonathan Givony of DraftExpress. The agency, Infinite Sports, specializes in football (Twitter links).
- In his NBA AM piece, Lang Greene of HoopsWorld explores the question of whether highly touted underclassmen should stay in school, like Marcus Smart, or enter the draft. Greene also passes along a video interview with first-round hopeful Jamaal Franklin.
Latest On Nets Coaching Search
The Nets wasted no time making their decision on interim coach P.J. Carlesimo, announcing his ouster about 14 hours after the team was eliminated from the playoffs last night. GM Billy King says he won't rush to name a replacement, but King was quick to name Phil Jackson as a candidate. There's dispute over whether Jeff Van Gundy is in the running for the job as well. Here's what we know as the story continues to develop:
- Deron Williams told reporters, including Stefan Bondy of the New York Daily News (via Twitter), that he'd "love" to play for Jerry Sloan again. According to many observers, Williams and Sloan clashed quite a bit in Utah and there was speculation that their friction is what led the longtime coach to walk away.
- TNT's David Aldridge puts Jeff Van Gundy and brother Stan Van Gundy on a shortlist of "obvious" candidates, along with Larry Brown. Jackson doesn't want to coach the team, and would prefer a player personnel role similar to Pat Riley's team presidency with the Heat, Aldridge adds (Twitter link).
- King told reporters he has no idea about the level of interest Jackson may have in the job, as Newsday's Roderick Boone notes, via Twitter.
- Despite the splashy names already linked to the team, King said the Nets aren't prioritizing a marquee hire, citing the success that Chicago's Tom Thibodeau has had in his first job as a head coach, tweets Stefan Bondy of the New York Daily News.
- Marc Stein of ESPN.com nonetheless believes the team will go after a big name coach, arguing that it would be easier to bring one of them aboard than to fix the team's roster. Owner Mikhail Prokhorov has always coveted Jackson, Stein tweets.
- Stein also points out the relationship between Brown, currently coaching at SMU, and King (Twitter link).
- Current Nets assistants will have a chance to meet with whoever takes over as head coach before the team decides whether to retain them, Bondy tweets.
P.J. Carlesimo Out As Nets Coach
12:12pm: Bondy hears Van Gundy isn't a high priority candidate for the team, and says it's unlikely the Nets will even meet with him (Twitter links). King, meanwhile, told reporters he'll be giving Jackson a call, tweets Andy Vasquez of the Bergen Record.
11:50am: Nets GM Billy King told reporters, including Stefan Bondy of the New York Daily News, that interim coach P.J. Carlesimo will not return (Twitter link). The team elected to let the coach go after last night's first-round elimination in Game Seven against the Bulls. Ken Berger of CBSSports.com reported within the hour that the team would make its decision on Carlesimo swiftly, and hinted that the Nets would not retain him. The search for a replacement will begin immediately, and sources tell Berger that Jeff Van Gundy will be a primary target (Twitter link).
The Nets aren't setting a timetable for themselves as they begin their search, tweets Joshua Newman of SNY.tv. Carlesimo had been an assistant coach when the team fired head coach Avery Johnson in December. Brooklyn had a record of 14-14 at that point, but under Carlesimo the Nets went 35-19 over the rest of the regular season and grabbed the No. 4 seed in the Eastern Conference.
Van Gundy and Phil Jackson were reportedly among the team's targets to take over in the middle of the season, but with tepid response from its top candidates, the team decided to let Carlesimo coach the rest of the season. The Nets have continued to be linked to Jackson over the past few months.
Atlantic Rumors: Celtics, Carlesimo, 76ers, Raptors
It's become an almost annual rite of spring to wonder about the future of the Celtics as soon as they're eliminated from the playoffs. Last year, one of the "Big Three" finally departed, as Ray Allen signed with the Heat. Here's more on who could be next, along with more on three other Atlantic teams whose 2012/13 seasons are over.
- The Nets will quickly decide on Carlesimo's fate, according to Ken Berger of CBSSports.com (Twitter link). Berger also says the team is expected to begin a coaching search soon, so that would seem to indicate Carlesimo is on his way out.
Earlier updates:
- Gary Washburn of the Boston Globe outlines the strategies Danny Ainge can take with the Celtics' roster. Aside from the uncertain futures of Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett, Washburn expects Ainge to shop Courtney Lee and Jason Terry and look for a backup point guard and a rebounder who can play center.
- Terry, who'll turn 36 in September, has no plans to retire and wants a more clearly defined role with the Celtics next season, observes Mark Murphy of the Boston Herald.
- The Herald's Steve Bulpett believes the Celtics need to add a superstar to contend for the title, and because it's difficult to imagine them doing so, he thinks Garnett, Pierce and perhaps Doc Rivers are all unlikely to return.
- Deron Williams, Brook Lopez and Joe Johnson are among the Nets players who'd like to see interim coach P.J. Carlesimo return, notes Mike Mazzeo of ESPNNewYork.com.
- Hiring an elite coach is critical to the Sixers' ability to build a consistent winner, argues Tom Moore of PhillyBurbs.com.
- Better defense, more trust on offense, and increased three-point shooting should be priorities for the Raptors heading into next season, according to Doug Smith of the Toronto Star, who answer reader questions in his latest mailbag column.
Cavs Interested In Tony Allen
Mixed among his notes on the Cavaliers and other NBA topics, Bob Finnan of The News-Herald writes that it appears Cleveland has interest in signing Grizzlies shooting guard Tony Allen as an unrestricted free agent this summer. As Finnan notes, Allen would likely shore up Cleveland's defense, which allowed 106.9 points per 100 possessions, tied for fourth worst in the league. Owner Dan Gilbert alluded to new coach Mike Brown's "much-needed defensive-first philosophy" when Brown was hired last month.
Allen, named to the NBA All-Defensive First Team last season, is the main perimeter stopper for the Grizzles, who allowed the second fewest points per 100 possessions in the league this year. He has expressed a desire to remain with Memphis, and earlier this season, he brought up a conversation he had with Zach Randolph about staying with the Grizzlies until they both retire. Still, Allen isn't unwilling to test free agency, telling Shaun Powell of Sports on Earth in February that, "I'd like to stay but whatever happens I'm cool with it."
Allen struggles with his shot, as Finnan points out, and this year he made just 12.5% of his three-point attempts. Despite 44.5% shooting from the field overall this season, he's made 47.5% of his career field goal attempts, displaying an ability to maximize his offensive strengths. Allen is making $3.3MM this season, but an unnamed Eastern Conference general manager told Chris Mannix of SI.com in March that he believes the 31-year-old is in for a slight raise, with a three-year contract at $4MM annually.
The Grizzlies created financial flexibility with a pair of trades this season, but accommodating that sort of contract for Allen this summer would once more make it difficult for the team to maneuver, as our Luke Adams detailed last month. Adams believes Allen will come back to Memphis, perhaps at a slight discount, but the Cavs, with ample cap space this summer, could make that decision difficult with an above-market offer. I wouldn't be surprised to see Cleveland GM Chris Grant try to overpay for a player who fits the team's renewed commitment to defense.
Gilbert Arenas Provision
The NBA introduced the Gilbert Arenas provision in the 2005 Collective Bargaining Agreement as a way to help teams to keep their young restricted free agents who aren't coming off rookie scale contracts. It was named after Gilbert Arenas, an Early Bird free agent for the Warriors in 2003, who signed an offer sheet with the Wizards starting at about $8.5MM. Because Golden State could only offer Arenas a first-year salary of about $4.9MM using the Early Bird exception, the Warriors were unable to match the offer sheet and lost Arenas to Washington.
The Arenas provision limits the first-year salary that teams can offer restricted free agents who have only been in the league for one or two years. The starting salary for an offer sheet can't exceed the amount of the non-taxpayer mid-level exception, which allows the player's original team to use its MLE to match it. Otherwise, a team without the necessary cap space or exceptions would be powerless to keep its player, like the Warriors were with Arenas.
A rival offer sheet can still have an average annual salary that exceeds the non-taxpayer mid-level exception, however. The annual raises are limited to 4.5% between years one and two, and 4.1% between years three and four, but a significant raise can be included between the second and third years of the offer. A team's cap space dictates the average annual salary limit for the entire contract, since the average salary still has to fit under the cap. The Rockets had enough cap space last summer to make a pair of sizable offers, to Jeremy Lin and Omer Asik, that fell under the Arenas provision.
Both Lin and Asik were restricted free agents coming off their second seasons in the league, with the Knicks and Bulls, respectively. Their previous clubs owned their Non-Bird rights, but the Non-Bird exception certainly wouldn't have been enough to match the twin three-year, $25,123,938 offers they received from the Rockets. The cap hit for the Rockets is $8,374,646 in each season of their deals. But, thanks to the Arenas provision, the cap hit for the Knicks and Bulls would only have been $5MM in the first season, and $5.225MM in the second. The third season was what scared New York and Chicago off, since it would have entailed a nearly $15MM cap hit, as detailed here:
Because the first-year salary of the offer sheet doesn't exceed the non-taxpayer mid-level exception, the Knicks and Bulls could have used their mid-level exceptions to match, even though that big a third-year raise wouldn't typically be permitted when using the mid-level. The uneven amount in the third season reflects the amount of cap space the Rockets had to make the offers. The Rockets could have included a fourth season on both deals if they had additional cap room.
For 2013/14, the mid-level exception will be slightly larger, with a starting salary of $5.15MM instead of $5MM, so clubs will have a little more flexibility to keep their free agents using the Arenas provision. Still, just because a team is given the opportunity to use the Arenas provision to keep its restricted free agent doesn't mean it will necessarily have the means. Here are a few situations in which the Arenas provision wouldn't help a team keep its restricted free agent:
- If the team only had the taxpayer mid-level exception ($3.183MM) available, it would be unable to match an offer sheet for a Non-Bird free agent if the starting salary exceeded the taxpayer MLE amount.
- If the team used its mid-level exception on another player, it would be unable to match an offer sheet for a Non-Bird free agent.
- If the player has three years of NBA experience, the Arenas provision would not apply — only players with one or two years in the league are eligible. This is why many teams, as a matter of practice, sign second-round picks and undrafted rookies to three-year contracts with team options in the second and third seasons. This way, the team has the player's full Bird rights if it wishes to re-sign him.
Luke Adams contributed to this post, which was initially published on May 9th, 2012.
Note: This is a Hoops Rumors Glossary entry. Our glossary posts will explain specific rules relating to trades, free agency, or other aspects of the NBA's Collective Bargaining Agreement. Larry Coon's Salary Cap FAQ was used in the creation of this post.