Southwest Notes: Spurs, Pelicans, Draft, Burke
The latest draft rumors out of the Southwest Division..
- Vincent Goodwill of the Detroit Free Press (via Twitter) hears that point guard Trey Burke was very close to a promise from the Pelicans at No. 6. Hoops Rumors' most recent mock draft has the Michigan product going No. 8 to the Pistons.
- Among the players believed to have piqued the Spurs' interest are Murray State guard Isaiah Canaan, Michigan guard Tim Hardaway Jr., North Carolina small forward Reggie Bullock, and Louisville center Gorgui Dieng, notes Jeff McDonald of the Express News.
- Virginia Tech's Erick Green made a second trip into San Antonio to workout recently for the Spurs, sources tell Adrian Wojnarowski of Yahoo Sports (on Twitter). Wojnarowski notes that Green, a 6'4" guard, is one of the draft's better scorers.
Bucks Notes: Jennings, Udoh, Ridnour
This figures to be a very interesting offseason in Milwaukee following Monta Ellis' decision to opt out and several other moving parts. Here's the latest on the Bucks..
- The Bucks are letting it be known that Brandon Jennings is available for the right price, tweets Gery Woelfel of the Journal Times (via Twitter). If the Bucks do decide to get rid of Jennings, Woelfel (Twitter link) expects them to make a major push for a point guard in free agency.
- More from Woelfel, who hears that a swap involving the Bucks' Ekpe Udoh and the T'Wolves' Luke Ridnour is being discussed. Ridnour spent two seasons in Milwaukee prior to his last three in Minnesota.
Offseason Outlook Series
Over the last couple months, Chuck Myron, Zach Links, and I have been taking an in-depth look at each of the NBA's 30 teams and the challenges they'll face as they try to improve their rosters this summer. All 30 Offseason Outlook pieces have been published, so if you missed any of your favorite teams, now's your chance to go back and read their offseason previews. Here's a link to each piece, sorted by division….
Atlantic
Offseason Outlook: New Orleans Pelicans
Guaranteed Contracts
- Eric Gordon ($14,283,844)
- Ryan Anderson ($8,308,500)
- Anthony Davis ($5,375,760)
- Austin Rivers ($2,339,040)
- Greivis Vasquez ($2,150,188)
Options
- None
Non-Guaranteed Contracts
- Robin Lopez ($5,119,761; guaranteed for $500,000)1
- Jason Smith ($2,500,000; guaranteed for $1,000,000)2
- Terrel Harris ($884,293)3
- Lance Thomas ($884,293)4
- Darius Miller ($788,872)5
- Brian Roberts ($788,872)6
Free Agents / Cap Holds
- Al-Farouq Aminu ($3,749,602)
- Xavier Henry ($3,201,370)
- No. 6 pick ($2,643,600)
- Louis Amundson ($884,293)
- Roger Mason ($884,293)
Draft Picks
- 1st Round (6th overall)
Cap Outlook
- Guaranteed Salary: $33,957,332
- Options: $0
- Non-Guaranteed Salary: $9,466,091
- Cap Holds: $11,363,158
- Total: $54,786,581
Much has changed for New Orleans the past few years, right down to the nickname, as the Hornets have become the Pelicans this offseason, complete with new colors and new uniforms. Yet at the center of it all is one of the NBA's most stable braintrusts. Monty Williams is the fifth longest-tenured head coach in the league, while GM Dell Demps has worked his way into the upper tier among the longest-tenured NBA execs. Both predate owner Tom Benson, which is a rarity since new owners often like to make sweeping changes, as Vivek Ranadive has just done with the Kings. That seems to indicate that Demps and Williams have plenty of job security, even coming off a 27-55 season.
The reward for all that losing is the No. 6 pick in this year's draft. Nerlens Noel, Victor Oladipo, Ben McLemore, Alex Len, Anthony Bennett and Otto Porter appear to make up a group of a half-dozen players who've separated themselves from the pack, though that's far from set in stone. The Pelicans' choice could come down to whomever is left among that bunch, or they may go with a point guard, as they've been frequently linked to Trey Burke.
After drafting Anthony Davis first overall a year ago, the Pelicans believed they may have landed their point guard of the future by selecting Austin Rivers with their second lottery pick. But Rivers struggled mightily in 2012/13, recording one of the worst rookie campaigns ever by a top-10 pick. It's too early to write the former Duke star off as a bust, but if he evolves into a solid NBA player, it's more likely to happen as a shooting guard or a scorer off the bench, rather than at the point.
While Rivers didn't exactly thrive at the point last season, Greivis Vasquez was a pleasant surprise there. The third-year guard took a significant step forward, averaging 13.9 PPG and 9.0 APG to go along with a 16.3 PER. Vasquez will be entering the final year of his rookie contract in July, which means we should get an idea of how much the Pelicans value him. If the team doesn't view him as its point guard of the future, we could see the club draft Burke and shop Vasquez in an effort to upgrade at another position. If New Orleans has confidence in Vasquez, he'll be extension-eligible this offseason, so a long-term deal is a possibility.
Vasquez's status as a trade candidate isn't clear, but it seems as if backcourt mate Eric Gordon could be had for the right offer. The Pelicans matched Gordon's four-year offer sheet with the Suns last summer, meaning the young shooting guard is under contract with New Orleans through at least 2014/15. Gordon will earn about $29MM over the next two years and has a player option worth approximately $15.5MM for 2015/16. For a player who has had trouble staying healthy, that's a major financial commitment.
When the team matched Gordon's offer sheet, it wasn't obvious whether the Pelicans wanted him to be part of its long-term future, or whether they were simply keeping a valuable asset under control. Gordon conveyed that he would've preferred to have landed with the Suns, so perhaps New Orleans will explore the possibility of making that happen this summer — the 24-year-old will become eligible to be traded to the Suns next month.
Assuming Porter doesn't fall to the Pelicans in tonight's draft, small forward appears to be an area in need of addressing. Ryan Anderson has played the position at times, with Davis at the four and Robin Lopez in the middle, but Anderson is more of a stretch four. Shopping Vasquez or Gordon could help the team land an impact three, and free agency represents another option, with New Orleans expected to have a solid amount of cap room.
The most obvious potential target on the open market is Andre Iguodala — Adrian Wojnarowski of Yahoo! Sports named the Pelicans as a likely suitor for Iguodala when he opted out of his deal with the Nuggets, and it does look like a good fit. With Gordon and Anderson doing plenty of scoring, Iguodala wouldn't be more than a third option on offense, and would significantly improve New Orleans' perimeter defense. Matt Barnes, Corey Brewer, and Mike Dunleavy represent a few other possible options, but no other free agent small forward is a better talent or a better fit than Iguodala.
Adding another big man also figures to be a priority for the Pelicans, either in the draft or free agency. Assuming Lopez remains on the roster through July 5th, his next two years will become guaranteed, and he's a solid option in the middle. But with Davis projecting as more of a power forward, Lopez appears to be the only legit center under contract in New Orleans, aside from Jason Smith, who is coming off a torn labrum and only has a partially-guaranteed contract. If he slips on draft night, Alex Len could be an intriguing addition for the Pelicans, but I think it's probably more likely that the club will look to add a veteran in free agency.
The Pelicans didn't come close to contending for the postseason in 2012/13, and may find themselves in the lottery again next season, but there are plenty of nice building blocks in place in New Orleans. Building around Davis is a given, but this offseason could be crucial in determining which other core players will complement Davis for the coming years. Players like Vasquez and Gordon look like quality young pieces, but they could also bring back assets of value in trades if the club decides to head in a different direction. When October rolls around, it will be interesting to see whether it's just the team's nickname, uniform, and colors that are new, or whether the roster will look very different as well.
Additional notes:
- Lopez and Smith aren't the only Pelicans without fully guaranteed contracts for next season. The team has four more players on non-guaranteed deals, which will provide added flexibility in trade talks and roster construction.
- The Pelicans declined their 2013/14 team option on Al-Farouq Aminu, which means that despite only playing three years in the NBA so far, Aminu will be an unrestricted free agent this summer. Coming off his best season (7.3 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 13.7 PER), Aminu, who will turn 23 this September, will be someone to watch in free agency. He was one of the pieces that came to New Orleans in the Chris Paul trade, so if the Pelicans feel there's still potential there, they probably won't let him walk without a fight.
Cap footnotes:
- Lopez's 2013/14 salary and his 2014/15 salary ($5,340,229) will become fully guaranteed if he's not waived on or before July 5th.
- Smith's salary becomes fully guaranteed if he's not waived on or before June 30th.
- Harris' salary becomes partially guaranteed for $150,000 if he's not waived on or before October 31st. It becomes fully guaranteed if he's not waived on or before January 7th, 2014.
- Thomas' salary becomes fully guaranteed if he's not waived on or before September 1st.
- Miller's salary becomes fully guaranteed if he's not waived on or before July 27th.
- Roberts' salary becomes partially guaranteed for $50,000 if he's not waived on or before July 8th. It becomes fully guaranteed if he's not waived on or before July 20th.
Storytellers Contracts and Sham Sports were used in the creation of this post.
Luke Adams contributed to this post.
Southeast Notes: Dwight, Bobcats, Magic, Hedo
The Lakers have launched a sizable billboard campaign in L.A. imploring Dwight Howard to re-sign. It may seem like a small gesture, but Brian K. Schmitz of the Orlando Sentinel (via Twitter) notes that one of Howard's complaints with the Magic was that there were no, or very few, billboards of him around Orlando. Of course, if this morning's report is to be believed, the billboards won't do much to sway him. Here's today's look at the Southeast Division..
- The Bobcats are looking to trade for a late first-round or a second-round selection, writes Rick Bonnell of the Charlotte Observer. They could trade back from No. 4 as well, but it's more likely that they keep the pick.
- Magic GM Rob Hennigan told Schmitz (on Twitter) that he'll be talking with the agents for Hedo Turkoglu and Al Harrington soon, presumably to work out buy-outs. Turkoglu is set to make $12MM next season while Harrington is owed nearly $15MM across the next two seasons. 50% of Harrington's remaining salary is guaranteed.
- Even though tonight's draft is the talk of the basketball world, it's the 2014 draft that really matters for the Magic, Schmitz writes. Next year's draft is universally regarded as a much stronger crop than this year's.
New York Notes: King, Draft, Bullock, Nets, Knicks
With the Draft taking place tonight at Brooklyn’s Barclays Center, let’s look at the latest Draft news out of New York City..
- Knicks guard Chris Copeland won’t just be a hot commodity for NBA clubs this summer, he’ll also get some big money offers overseas, tweets Jared Zwerling of ESPNNewYork.com.
- With an established roster led by Deron Williams, Brook Lopez, and Joe Johnson, the Nets are looking for a role player in the draft, writes Andy Vasquez of the Bergen Record. General Manager Billy King says that he’s hoping to add shooting and athleticism to the roster. He also openly discussed the possibility of purchasing a pick with the maximum $3MM of cash considerations that are allowed under CBA rules.
- King could be wheeling and dealing tonight, writes Roderick Boone of Newsday. In addition to having $3MM at their disposal to buy another pick, the Nets may also dangle MarShon Brooks, as we’ve heard discussed over the last week.
- Knicks guard Ray Felton is a big fan of UNC guard Reggie Bullock, writes Zwerling. Whether the Tarheel is in the mix for New York remains to be seen.
- Marc Berman of the New York Post looked back at the Knicks‘ first round picks over the last ten years. Many of the notable players on the list such as Danilo Gallinari and David Lee are no longer in orange-and-blue.
- The Nets are close to bringing Eric Hughes aboard as an assistant coach to Jason Kidd, sources tell Stefan Bondy of the New York Daily News. Hughes worked as an assistant at Cal when Kidd played there.
Latest On LaMarcus Aldridge
LaMarcus Aldridge would prefer to be moved to a contending team, but he’s not opposed to returning to Portland, sources tell Chris Haynes of CSNNW.com. Trail Blazers GM Neil Olshey and Aldridge’s representatives met in Chicago last month during the NBA pre-draft combine to discuss the possibilities of moving the power forward.
If the Blazers don’t plan to make major upgrades to impact the roster immediately, then Aldridge wants to be moved and his first preference is to join the Bulls. The All-Star has always envisioned what his career might have been like if Chicago, the team that drafted him seven years ago, actually kept him instead of swapping with Portland for Tyrus Thomas.
We’ve heard Aldridge’s name mentioned quite a bit in recent weeks, but the Blazers are seeking two first-round picks plus at least one player in return. Earlier this week, it was reported that the Cavs offered the No. 1 and No. 19 picks for Aldridge but were rebuffed by Portland.
Ford On Antetokounmpo, Cavs, Jazz, Thunder
Chad Ford of ESPN.com has posted his latest draft day rumblings and we have the highlights..
- The excitement over Giannis Antetokounmpo might be fading a bit as teams want the raw prospect to stay in Greece for a couple of years while he wants to come to the NBA now. For GMs who don't think he's ready, that means that he will make for a very expensive D-League player.
- If the Cavs can't trade the No. 1 overall pick for a veteran plus a 2014 lottery pick, they'll keep attempting to move whomever they draft until all their options have been exercised. That could be a tall order since the hardest asset for a team to get right now is a 2014 lottery pick. Ford puts the odds at 95 percent that no potential 2014 lottery pick is moved tonight.
- The teams working hardest to move up higher in the lottery are the Jazz, Wolves and Thunder. The Jazz appear to be targeting Lehigh's C.J. McCollum and are offering picks No. 14 and 21, but they might have to give up Alec Burks as well to get high enough.
- The Wolves are also trying to get up very high in an attempt to land Victor Oladipo or Ben McLemore. As we've heard, they're dangling the No. 9 pick, No. 26 pick, and Derrick Williams.
- The Thunder want a big man – they like Nerlens Noel and Alex Len – but they don't have a ton to offer. Movable assets like Jeremy Lamb, Perry Jones, and possibly Reggie Jackson don't have enormous trade value. Their own pick next year won't be high and the Mavs pick that they own is top-20 protected next year.
- The Bobcats (No. 4) and Kings (No. 7) look like the two teams most willing to move down.
- A ton of teams want the Mavs' No. 13 pick. The Cavs have been the most proactive but the Bucks, Hawks, and Nets are also in the mix. In virtually every case, the target is Sergey Karasev. Trouble is, the Sixers or Thunder could grab him before 13.
- The Celtics are trying to pick up a late-first or early-second-round pick and sources say their target is Missouri's Phil Pressey if they decide to go big with their first pick.
Offseason Outlook: Utah Jazz
Guaranteed Contracts
- Marvin Williams ($7,500,000)1
- Derrick Favors ($6,008,196)
- Enes Kanter ($4,505,280)
- Gordon Hayward ($3,452,183)
- Alec Burks ($2,202,000)
- Jeremy Evans ($1,660,257)
Options
- None
Non-Guaranteed Contracts
- Jerel McNeal ($788,872)2
- Kevin Murphy ($788,872)3
Free Agents / Cap Holds
- Al Jefferson ($16,402,500)4
- Paul Millsap ($12,905,450)
- Mo Williams ($12,750,000)
- Randy Foye ($3,000,000)
- Earl Watson ($2,990,000)
- No. 14 pick ($1,572,600)
- No. 21 pick ($1,127,200)
- DeMarre Carroll ($884,293)
- Jamaal Tinsley ($884,293)
- (Greg Ostertag – $6,305,000)
- (Brevin Knight – $2,600,000)
Draft Picks
- 1st Round (14th overall)
- 1st Round (21st overall)
- 2nd Round (46th overall)
Cap Outlook
- Guaranteed Salary: $25,327,916
- Options: $0
- Non-Guaranteed Salary: $1,577,744
- Cap Holds: $61,421,336
- Total: $88,326,996
There's a school of thought that says no situation is worse for an NBA franchise than being annually stuck on the cusp of playoff contention — good enough to be in the mix for a postseason berth and perhaps good enough to even earn a spot, but not good enough to make a deep run. I'm not sure I totally buy that argument, but when a team gets stuck in that no man's land for years at a time, there comes a point when a drastic shift in one direction or the other may be necessary.
For the Jazz, that time may have arrived. Over the past eight seasons, Utah has placed between fourth and 11th in the Western Conference, earning a playoff berth in five of those eight years, but only advancing to the Western Finals once, back in 2006/07. The team's '12/13 season epitomzed the eight-year stretch, as Utah came within one game of making the postseason, finishing ninth in the Western Conference and scoring the worst pick in the lottery, 14th overall.
Years of landing those mid-first-round picks has made it difficult for the Jazz to add the impact players required to become a legit contender, but there are reasons to believe things could change for the team going forward. With Al Jefferson, Paul Millsap, Mo Williams, and Randy Foye among the veteran players ticketed for unrestricted free agency this offseason, it's possible, perhaps even likely, that the Jazz team we saw miss out on a playoff spot in '12/13 will be entirely different from the one we see take the floor in the fall. Marvin Williams is the only veteran still on the roster, while the club's other five players on guaranteed contracts have three years of experience or less.
With just over $25MM in guaranteed salaries, plus a pair of first-round picks (the Jazz have the Warriors' 21st overall pick in addition to their own), there will be plenty of options for the club this summer. The pursuit of a top-tier free agent like Dwight Howard or Chris Paul is unlikely, since none of those elite free agents have shown any inclination to sign with Utah. But the Jazz do have the inside track on Millsap and Jefferson, two players that probably rank among the top ten free agents available this summer.
Re-signing one or both of those free agent bigs may seem like more running in place for the Jazz, considering the limited postseason success they've had in recent years with Millsap and Jefferson leading the way. But with players Derrick Favors and Enes Kanter continuing to develop, a pair of first-round picks available to add prospects or use as trade chips, and the flexibility to add complementary players around the current core, the team could certainly believe there's room for continued improvement without making wholesale changes.
Another option would be to explore sign-and-trades for Millsap and Jefferson. The new CBA has de-incentivized sign-and-trade deals to a certain extent for both players and teams, but in specific scenarios, such a move can be mutually beneficial. If Utah could avoid adding any bad contracts, and was able to acquire a draft pick or two, or perhaps another young player, it would make sense for the club to at least explore sign-and-trade possibilities for its veteran free agents.
Letting Jefferson and Millsap walk to claim a huge chunk of cap space is another possibility for Utah, though as I alluded to earlier, even with room for a max contract, the Jazz are unlikely to recruit any impact free agents without overpaying. Pursuing a player like Josh Smith may make sense for a team like the Mavericks or Rockets, who already have another star in place, but someone like Smith probably wouldn't be a fit with Utah's young core.
It's more likely that the Jazz would use that hypothetical cap space the way the Cavs have for the last several years, accommodating salary-dumps and being rewarded with draft picks for their trouble. That sort of full-scale rebuild would allow the Jazz to give more minutes to their young players, figuring out which ones will be integral to the team's long-term plans. It would also likely mean a decline in the team's on-court results, which could lead to a higher lottery pick in 2014, perhaps even giving the club a chance to land a difference-maker like Andrew Wiggins or Jabari Parker.
With so much flexibility, the Jazz could go in any number of directions this summer, and the front office hasn't really tipped its hand on which way it's leaning. The safe play would be to re-sign one of Millsap or Jefferson, draft a point guard and a big, and perhaps target wing players in free agency or trades, hoping that further improvement from the young core would help the team return to the postseason. But for a club that has remained in the middle of the pack in the West for nearly a decade, a more extreme approach one way or the other has to at least be considered.
Additional notes:
- If the Jazz keep the 14th and 21st picks, I expect them to take a point guard and a big man — perhaps Dennis Schroeder and Mason Plumlee, or Lucas Nogueira and Isaiah Canaan, as our Alex Lee suggests in his latest mock draft. If it's possible though, I'd prefer to see the team package its two first-rounders, perhaps with Alec Burks, to move up and take one of the top point guards in the draft — Trey Burke, Michael Carter-Williams, or C.J. McCollum.
- Favors and Gordon Hayward will be extension-eligible this offseason, and when our Chuck Myron previewed extension candidates in the spring, he predicted that the team would reach an agreement with Favors, but not Hayward. I wouldn't be surprised if the Jazz worked out something with both players, but I expect them to try harder on Favors, since he'll be a strong candidate for a breakout year in 2013/14 if Jefferson and/or Millsap are gone. Utah could save itself a few dollars by getting him locked up early.
Cap footnotes:
- Williams had an early termination option for 2013/14, but has reportedly declined it, making his salary fully guaranteed for next season.
- McNeal's salary becomes fully guaranteed if he's not waived on or before October 31st.
- Murphy's salary becomes partially guaranteed for $75,000 if he's not waived on or before August 1st. He receives another $125,000 (for a $200,000 overall guarantee) if he's not waived on or before November 1st. His salary becomes fully guaranteed if he's not waived on or before January 7th, 2014.
- Jefferson's cap hold will be worth the maximum salary for a player with his experience (7-9 years). That amount is not yet known — the number listed was 2012/13's max salary, so it figures to be a little higher than that.
Storytellers Contracts and Sham Sports were used in the creation of this post.
Draft Notes: Noel, Cavs, Zeller, Kabongo
Chad Ford of ESPN.com revealed his mock draft 7.0 this morning and just like every previous incarnation, Nerlens Noel sits at No. 1. Ford heard that the Cavs' top option is to trade the No. 1 overall pick for a combination of a veteran plus a 2014 first-round pick, but if not, he believes Noel will be the pick. Owner Dan Gilbert likes Victor Oladipo and other people in the front office are pushing for Alex Len, but GM Chris Grant likes Noel and Ford sees him as the tiebreaker. Here's more as we approach tonight's draft..
- Cody Zeller could be a surprise high pick, tweets Marc J. Spears of Yahoo Sports. One NBA executive who loves the Indiana product's athleticism says that he is someone to keep an eye on towards the top of the board. Last night's mock draft from Alex Lee of Hoops Rumors had Zeller going No. 11 to the Sixers.
- One NBA exec told Spears (Twitter link) says that guard Myck Kabongo is a possible late first-round pick after an impressive interview. The Texas standout gave the impression that he can be a leader at the next level and also looks bigger than expected.
- Lucas Nogueira has officially extended his contract with Asefa Estudiantes through June 2015, according to Emiliano Carchia of Sportando (via Twitter). The center is in tonight's draft and has picked up some buzz as a possible stash pick.
