Hawks, John Collins Not Yet Close To New Deal
As free agency opens, the Hawks and John Collins aren’t close to an agreement on a new contract, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic (video link), who reports that there’s no momentum in those talks yet.
Collins is one of the top free agents on the market – he ranked second overall in our top-50 list – but he’s restricted rather than unrestricted, giving the Hawks plenty of leverage in contract negotiations.
While it’s possible another team could swoop in with a big offer sheet for Collins, multiple reports this weekend suggested that his potential suitors were becoming resigned to the idea that he’d likely remain in Atlanta.
That’s still the most probable outcome, even if Collins and the Hawks aren’t ready to come to an agreement right when free agency opens. Collins turned down a four-year, $90MM+ extension offer from Atlanta last offseason and will likely end up reaching a deal worth north of $100MM with the team this week. However, until the two sides reach an agreement, the door is open for something unexpected to happen.
Trade Rumors: Simmons, Baynes, Lakers, Cash
David Aldridge of The Athletic is the latest reporter to confirm that the Sixers‘ asking price for Ben Simmons remains “sky high.” According to Aldridge, the 76ers are seeking a minimum of two future first-round picks, two first-round pick swaps, and an All-Star level player in most of their discussions about Simmons. A handful of other reports within the last week have passed along details on what kind of packages Philadelphia sought from Toronto, San Antonio, and Golden State for Simmons.
Here are a few more trade rumors from around the NBA, with free agency about to begin:
- The Raptors are exploring the trade market for center Aron Baynes, reports Michael Scotto of HoopsHype. Baynes has a non-guaranteed $7.35MM salary for 2021/22 and seems unlikely to return to Toronto. If the team doesn’t find a taker on the trade market, he’s a candidate to be released.
- In an in-depth look at how the Lakers‘ acquisition of Russell Westbrook came about, ESPN’s Ramona Shelburne shares several fascinating tidbits, including the fact that Westbrook called Kawhi Leonard in 2019 to talk about playing together in Los Angeles. According to Shelburne, the Lakers had been prepared to move forward on a Buddy Hield acquisition before the opportunity to land Westbrook arose.
- Within his recap of last week’s draft activity, John Hollinger of The Athletic provides a housekeeping notes on trades, writing that the Trail Blazers sent $2MM in cash to the Pelicans as part of their trade for the No. 43 pick, while the Thunder sent $2MM in cash to the Jazz in the Derrick Favors trade.
Free Agency Notes: D. Robinson, Nuggets, Vanderbilt, Hezonja
Heat sharpshooter Duncan Robinson has told associates that his preference is to remain with the Heat, a source tells Tim Reynolds of The Associated Press (Twitter link). Robinson is a restricted free agent and Miami wants to retain him, so he wouldn’t have had much leverage if he wanted to go to a new team, but the fact that he wants to return is good news for the Heat. They’ll be able to keep his small cap hold on their books while they address other free agent business before circling back to finalize a new deal with Robinson.
Here are a few more updates related to free agency:
- The Nuggets are unlikely to make any major splashes during free agency, as they’ll focus on re-signing their own free agents, writes Mike Singer of The Denver Post. Singer views Will Barton and JaMychal Green as good bets to return to Denver, and suggests that one of Paul Millsap and JaVale McGee could be back too. If the Nuggets are only able to re-sign one of Green, Millsap, and McGee, they’ll shop for another big man on the open market, according to Singer, who notes that Green’s market is expected to be in the $7-9MM range — a previous report stated a $16MM-per-year deal is a possibility for Barton.
- The Timberwolves had discussions with forward Jarred Vanderbilt about a possible contract extension, according to Jon Krawczynski of The Athletic, but those talks went nowhere. Minnesota tendered Vanderbilt a qualifying offer, so the team will have the ability to match any offer he gets as a restricted free agent.
- Former fifth overall pick Mario Hezonja, who played for Panathinaikos in Greece last season, won’t be returning to the NBA this offseason. As Ennio Terrasi Borghesan of Sportando relays, Russian club UNICS Kazan has signed Hezonja to a one-year contract with an option for a second season.
Fischer’s Latest: Bulls, Ball, Pelicans, Hornets, Lakers, Schröder, Knicks, More
While it’s possible the Bulls will sign restricted free agent point guard Lonzo Ball to an offer sheet in the four-year, $80MM range, doing so would be a risk, since the Pelicans could match that offer and leave Chicago empty-handed. According to Jake Fischer of Bleacher Report, a possible three-team deal involving the Bulls, Pelicans, and Hornets could eliminate that risk and ensure Ball lands in Chicago.
The structure – which John Hollinger of The Athletic alluded to earlier today and which has seemingly gained traction, per Fischer – would see Ball going to the Bulls, Devonte’ Graham to the Pelicans, and Tomas Satoransky, Josh Hart, and draft assets to the Hornets.
Fischer cautions that this is only one idea in play and that things should become clearer once free agency opens. A sign-and-trade that only involves the Bulls and Pelicans – with Satoransky going to New Orleans – is also a possibility, he adds.
Here’s more from Fischer’s latest rumor roundup:
- The Lakers haven’t given up on the possibility of acquiring Buddy Hield from the Kings, but they don’t appear to be working closely with Dennis Schröder‘s camp on a possible sign-and-trade arrangement, per Fischer.
- The Knicks and Wizards are still considered possibilities for Schröder, according to Fischer. The veteran point guard is also believed to be one of the Bulls‘ targets if they can’t land Ball, Fischer notes, writing that Chicago has done its homework on DeMar DeRozan and Richaun Holmes as well.
- The Knicks are widely believed to be a frontrunner to sign Evan Fournier, perhaps for a three-year deal worth about $18MM annually, Fischer reports. Alec Burks and Nerlens Noel are also strong candidates to re-sign with New York for deals worth about $10MM per year, Fischer adds.
- Will Barton appears likely to return to the Nuggets, according to Fischer, who says a two-year, $32MM+ contract is a real possibility.
- Cameron Payne is considered a good bet to re-sign with the Suns for a deal in the $6MM-per-year range, says Fischer.
Jazz Rumors: Conley, Niang, MLE, Porter, Gay
The Jazz remain on track to finalize an agreement on a three-year contract with Mike Conley once free agency officially opens tonight, reports Tony Jones of The Athletic. Previous reports have indicated that Utah is the strong frontrunner to bring back Conley and that the team is preparing a three-year offer in the neighborhood of $75MM for the veteran point guard. Based on Jones’ report, it sounds like that hasn’t changed and a deal could be in place later today.
Here’s more on the Jazz:
- League sources tell Jones that free agent forward Georges Niang is highly unlikely to return to the Jazz, since he’s unrestricted and is expected to draw significant interest from rival suitors.
- Even though the Conley signing will take them well over the luxury tax line, the Jazz are willing to use the taxpayer’s mid-level exception (worth about $5.9MM) in free agency, writes Jones. However, the team won’t use it just for the sake of using it, and will want to land one of its primary targets.
- Otto Porter and Rudy Gay are among the free agent forwards on Utah’s radar, according to Jones. However, Jones hears that Porter may be leaning toward the Nets, while Gay is believed to be eyeing the Lakers.
- Following up on Utah’s trade that sent Derrick Favors to Oklahoma City, Jones reports that Favors will meet with the Thunder‘s front office on Tuesday. That meeting is expected to determine whether Favors sticks with OKC or whether another trade could be forthcoming. It’s worth noting that the Jazz wouldn’t be permitted to re-sign Favors if he were bought out by the Thunder, though a buyout is unlikely anyway since he has two years left on his contract.
2021 NBA Free Agency Primer
The NBA’s 2021 free agency period officially begins on Monday at 5:00 pm central time. At that point, we can expect news of contract agreements to start pouring in, continuing well into the night.
By our count, 34 free agents agreed to deals on day one of free agency in 2020 — we’ll see if that number is matched or exceeded later today.
Here are a few links to prepare for you one of the most exciting days on the NBA calendar:
- Top 50 Free Agents Of 2021
Kawhi Leonard, John Collins, and Chris Paul lead the way on our list of the best available players. - 2021 Free Agents By Position/Type
2021 Free Agents By Team
Want the full breakdown of players available this summer? Take your pick from these two lists. - Key Offseason Dates/Deadlines
A breakdown of the important dates to watch beyond today. - Maximum Salary Projections For 2021/22
Mid-Level, Bi-Annual Exception Projections For 2021/22
Our projections are based on a 3% salary cap increase. We should find out within a matter of hours what the exact cap for 2021/22 will look like. - Player Option Decisions For 2021/22
Team Option Decisions For 2021/22
The deadline for these decisions was on Sunday, so they’re all in now. - 2021 Qualifying Offer Recap
We have the full list of which players are becoming restricted free agents. - 2021 Offseason Trades
Eleven trades have been officially completed so far this offseason, with nine more agreed upon and many more to come. - Outstanding Trade Exceptions
A number of teams have traded player exceptions available to take on salary without sending any back. - 2021 Offseason Preview Series
We took a closer look at all 30 teams’ cap situations and key offseason decisions. - Hoops Rumors Glossary
Need a refresher on how sign-and-trades work, what it means to have “Early Bird rights” on a player, or how a team becomes hard-capped? We explain all in our glossary.
Mannix’s Latest: Smart, Ball, Blazers, Simmons, Oladipo, Z. Collins
Celtics guard Marcus Smart is extension-eligible this offseason, but president of basketball operations Brad Stevens – who has coached Smart for the last several seasons – has been frustrated by his “unpredictable play,” sources tell Chris Mannix of SI.com.
Two people familiar with the Celtics’ thinking tell Mannix that Smart appears more likely to be traded than extended before the start of the 2021/22 season. When Boston shopped Smart last season, the team sought multiple first-round picks, but one Eastern Conference executive who spoke to Mannix suggests the guard’s value is more along the lines of one first-rounder and possibly a rotational player.
Here’s more from Mannix:
- Although re-signing Lonzo Ball doesn’t seem to be the Pelicans‘ top priority in free agency, several rival executives expect New Orleans to match any offer Ball receives if the club strikes out on its top free agent point guard targets, writes Mannix. That would allow the Pels to avoid losing Ball for nothing and would create the option of trading him down the road.
- The Trail Blazers haven’t given any indications at this point that they intend to deal Damian Lillard or CJ McCollum, according to Mannix, who says forward Nicolas Batum is among the free agents on Portland’s radar.
- The Sixers‘ asking price for Ben Simmons remains high. “Forget a Harden haul,” one exec in contact with the 76ers said to Mannix. “They want what Boston got for KG and Pierce.”
- Mannix adds the Mavericks to the list of teams that are expected to show interest in point guard Dennis Schröder.
- Teams are “increasingly wary” of Victor Oladipo‘s long-term health and multiple executives believe the two-time All-Star may go unsigned for a few months while he gets healthy following his latest quad tendon surgery, says Mannix.
- Mannix believes the Thunder could be in the mix for Zach Collins, observing that the big man is the kind of low-risk/high-reward player that Sam Presti loves.
2021 NBA Qualifying Offer Recap
Players eligible for restricted free agency don’t become restricted free agents by default. In order for a team to make a player a restricted free agent, it must extend a qualifying offer to him. The qualifying offer, which is essentially just a one-year contract offer, varies in amount depending on a player’s previous contract status.
A qualifying offer is designed to give a player’s current team the right of first refusal. Because the qualifying offer acts as the first formal contract offer a free agent receives, his team then has the option to match any offer sheet the player signs with another club. If a player doesn’t receive a qualifying offer, he becomes an unrestricted free agent and is free to sign with any team — his previous club is given no formal opportunity to match.
You can read more about qualifying offers here.
Listed below are the details on which players did and didn’t receive qualifying offers this summer. Our list is based on various reports and team announcements leading up to the August 1 deadline, along with information from RealGM’s official NBA transactions log.
It’s possible that one or two qualifying offers slipped through the cracks and will be reported later today before free agency officially gets underway — if so, we’ll update this list. For now though, this is what the qualifying offer landscape looks like. The players who received QOs will be restricted free agents, while the players who didn’t will be unrestricted.
Received qualifying offers:
Players on standard contracts:
Lonzo Ball, Pelicans ($14,359,936)- Lauri Markkanen, Bulls ($9,026,852)
- Jarrett Allen, Cavaliers ($7,705,447)
- John Collins, Hawks ($7,705,447)
- Josh Hart, Pelicans ($5,236,739)
- Bruce Brown, Nets ($4,736,102)
- Devonte’ Graham, Hornets ($4,736,102)
- Kendrick Nunn, Heat ($4,736,102)
- Duncan Robinson, Heat ($4,736,102)
- Gary Trent Jr., Raptors ($4,736,102)
- Hamidou Diallo, Pistons ($2,079,826)
- Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk, Thunder ($2,079,826)
- Jarred Vanderbilt, Timberwolves ($2,079,826)
- Terence Davis, Kings ($1,897,476)
- Javonte Green, Bulls ($1,897,476)
- Talen Horton-Tucker, Lakers ($1,897,476)
- Nando De Colo, Raptors ($1,828,750)
- Note: De Colo hasn’t played in the NBA since 2014, but the Raptors continue to issue him qualifying offers in order to retain his rights in case he returns to the league.
- Didi Louzada, Pelicans ($1,689,065)
- Note: The amount of this qualifying offer is based on a 3% salary cap increase and could increase slightly if the cap increases by more than that.
- Note: The amount of this qualifying offer is based on a 3% salary cap increase and could increase slightly if the cap increases by more than that.
Players on two-way contracts:
Note: Qualifying offers for two-way players are one-year, two-way contracts with a $50K guarantee unless otherwise indicated.
- Keita Bates-Diop, Spurs
- Jarrell Brantley, Jazz
- Note: Brantley’s qualifying offer is a one-year, minimum-salary contract with a partial guarantee equivalent to a two-way salary.
- Armoni Brooks, Rockets
- Amir Coffey, Clippers
- Devon Dotson, Bulls
- Trent Forrest, Jazz
- Josh Hall, Thunder
- Nate Hinton, Mavericks
- Markus Howard, Nuggets
- Frank Jackson, Pistons
- Note: Jackson’s qualifying offer is a one-year, minimum-salary contract with a partial guarantee equivalent to a two-way salary.
- Anthony Lamb, Rockets
- Saben Lee, Pistons
- Nico Mannion, Warriors
- Garrison Mathews, Wizards
- Note: Mathews’ qualifying offer is a one-year, minimum-salary contract with a partial guarantee equivalent to a two-way salary.
- Skylar Mays, Hawks
- Jordan McLaughlin, Timberwolves
- Note: McLaughlin’s qualifying offer is a one-year, minimum-salary contract with a partial guarantee equivalent to a two-way salary.
- Reggie Perry, Nets
- Cassius Stanley, Pacers
- Max Strus, Heat
- Brodric Thomas, Cavaliers
- Killian Tillie, Grizzlies
- Rayjon Tucker, Sixers
- Gabe Vincent, Heat
- Note: Vincent’s qualifying offer is a one-year, minimum-salary contract with a partial guarantee equivalent to a two-way salary.
- Cassius Winston, Wizards
Did not receive qualifying offers:
Players on standard contracts:
Thanasis Antetokounmpo, Bucks- Isaac Bonga, Wizards
- Tony Bradley, Thunder
- Ignas Brazdeikis, Magic
- Zach Collins, Trail Blazers
- Brandon Goodwin, Hawks
- Isaiah Hartenstein, Cavaliers
- Mike James, Nets
- DaQuan Jeffries, Spurs
- Note: There have been no official announcements or reports on Jeffries’ team option or qualifying offer. In the absence of any updates, our working assumption is that the Spurs led Sunday’s deadlines pass without picking up Jeffries’ option or tendering him a qualifying offer.
- Nicolo Melli, Mavericks
- Malik Monk, Hornets
- Juwan Morgan, Jazz
- Frank Ntilikina, Knicks
- Dennis Smith Jr., Pistons
- Brad Wanamaker, Hornets
- D.J. Wilson, Rockets
- Omer Yurtseven, Heat
Players on two-way contracts:
Note: Some players who finished the season on two-way contracts signed two-year deals, making them ineligible for free agency this summer. They remain under contract. Additionally, some of the players listed below did not have spent enough time on an NBA active roster to be eligible for a qualifying offer.
- Kostas Antetokounmpo, Lakers
- Jordan Bell, Warriors
- Tyler Bey, Mavericks
- Keljin Blevins, Trail Blazers
- Devontae Cacok, Lakers
- Chris Chiozza, Nets
- Gary Clark, Sixers
- Nate Darling, Hornets
- Tacko Fall, Celtics
- Kyle Guy, Kings
- Jared Harper, Knicks
- Shaquille Harrison, Nuggets
- Jaylen Hoard, Thunder
- Justin Jackson, Bucks
- Louis King, Kings
- Nathan Knight, Hawks
- T.J. Leaf, Trail Blazers
- Jeremiah Martin, Cavaliers
- Adam Mokoka, Bulls
- James Nunnally, Pelicans
- Theo Pinson, Knicks
- Chasson Randle, Magic
- Grant Riller, Hornets
- Sindarius Thornwell, Magic
- Axel Toupane, Bucks
- Tremont Waters, Celtics
- Quinndary Weatherspoon, Spurs
Salary information from Basketball Insiders was used in the creation of this post.
Hollinger’s Latest: CP3, Knicks, Fournier, Bulls, Rose, Pacers, More
There was talk last week that the Pelicans would be a serious suitor for Chris Paul in free agency, but that chatter seems to have faded, according to John Hollinger of The Athletic, who says the veteran point guard is now widely expected to re-sign with the Suns.
As Hollinger explains, he heard the Suns’ initial offer to Paul when the two sides were discussing a possible extension was somewhat “underwhelming,” but the club now appears prepared to offer a more serious package. No one around the league will be surprised if the total value of Paul’s new deal gets up to $100MM or more, Hollinger adds.
Here are several more free agent rumors from Hollinger:
- Amidst rumors that Evan Fournier‘s price tag may be too high for the Celtics‘ liking, Hollinger suggests that the Knicks may be the team preparing to make an aggressive offer to the free agent wing. Hollinger adds that it’s worth keeping an eye on Mitchell Robinson and the Knicks, since a renegotiate-and-extend deal is a possibility for the two sides. That sort of agreement would give Robinson a raise for 2021/22 and lock him up for multiple seasons.
- If the Bulls don’t land Lonzo Ball, one of their backup plans may be offering Derrick Rose a deal in the neighborhood of $12MM per year, says Hollinger.
- Hollinger’s sources expect T.J. McConnell to stick with the Pacers for a deal worth around – or slightly above – the taxpayer mid-level exception ($5.9MM), but the competition for Doug McDermott will be fiercer and Indiana will face tax issues if the team wants to re-sign both players without trimming salary elsewhere.
- If Richaun Holmes‘ presumed suitors – such as Charlotte and Toronto – end up using their cap room in other ways, he might be squeezed in free agency, allowing the Kings to re-sign him despite only holding his Early Bird rights. If that scenario plays out, Hollinger expects Holmes to sign a two-year deal with a player option so that he can hit the open market again in 2022 with full Bird rights.
- There hasn’t been much free agent chatter surrounding Nuggets guard Will Barton or Trail Blazers Norman Powell, according to Hollinger, who writes that teams seems to be assuming those two players will remain with their respective clubs.
- It has been tricky to figure out what the Spurs plan to do with their projected cap room, says Hollinger. Daniel Theis is the most prominent free agent target Hollinger has heard linked to San Antonio.
Trade Rumors: Warriors, T. Harris, OKC, Jordan, Sexton, Wolves
Trade speculation involving the Warriors‘ top assets – including James Wiseman, Jonathan Kuminga, Moses Moody, and possibly future first-round picks – has died down a little since the draft came and went without a deal, with team owner Joe Lacob publicly stating a major deal this offseason is unlikely.
A source within the organization tells Kendra Andrews of NBC Sports Bay Area that there’s only one player the Warriors would be willing to make all those aforementioned assets available for, and that player hasn’t been made available via trade.
While the player wasn’t specifically named, Andrews writes that it’s hard not to assume it’s a reference to Bradley Beal, whom Golden State’s stars would reportedly love to add to the roster. However, Beal continues to give no indications that he wants the Wizards to move him.
Here are a few more trade-related notes and rumors from around the NBA:
- In addition to shopping Ben Simmons, the Sixers have made Tobias Harris available, according to veteran NBA reporter Mitch Lawrence of SiriusXM NBA Radio (Twitter link), who says the Rockets turned down a potential deal for Harris.
- The Thunder are a possible candidate to take on DeAndre Jordan in a trade with the Nets, says Jake Fischer of Bleacher Report. It’s not clear if Oklahoma City would become involved in a multi-team trade to make that happen or if it’d be a straight salary-dump deal.
- Fischer also reports in the same story that a trade involving Cavaliers guard Collin Sexton appears unlikely at this point.
- The Timberwolves “had eyes” for Kyle Kuzma before the Lakers reached a deal to send him to the Wizards, according to John Hollinger of The Athletic, who says Minnesota could pursue Kuzma again if Washington makes him available. Fischer adds that the Wolves are open to flipping Taurean Prince after acquiring him from Cleveland.
