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Most Disappointing Long-Term Deals Of 2012

There's a long way to go before we'll have the final verdict on whether the teams who signed players to contracts of three years or longer this offseason made mistakes. Nonetheless, with the 2012 part of the 2012/13 season behind us, we have a clear picture of who might have some early pangs of buyer's remorse. Deron Williams has taken plenty of flak of late for his less-than-stellar play after having re-signed with the Nets to a maximum deal in the summer, but there are a few others whose long-term contracts look like even more burdensome albatrosses for their clubs. Here they are, listed in descending order based on the value of their deals.

  • Roy Hibbert, Pacers (four years, $58.366MM): He's had his moments this season, but Saturday's scoreless effort against the Hawks seems about as low as it can go for someone who just signed a max contract. Hibbert's production in other categories has been fine, but he's averaging single digits in points, something he hasn't done since his rookie year.
  • Ersan Ilyasova, Bucks (five years, $40MM): The 6'9" power forward set career highs in rebounding (8.8) and three-point percentage (45.5%) last season, but this year's numbers are more in line with his career marks of 5.5 RPG and 37.9% from behind the arc. Milwaukee may have gotten caught up in a natural regression to the mean for Ilyasova. 
  • Jeff Green, Celtics (four years, $36MM): His return from heart surgery was a feel-good story as the season began, and his numbers this season are eerily similar to those from his half-season with the Celtics in 2011. Still, $9MM a year to someone producing 9.8 PPG and 3.2 RPG in 23.7 MPG, particularly for a sub-.500 team, does not sound appealing.
  • Courtney Lee, Celtics (four years, $21.35MM): He was supposed to have made up for the absence of Ray Allen's long-distance shooting after knocking in better than 40% of his treys in three of his first four seasons in the league. He's shooting a career-low 30.6% from behind the arc this season as he's been in and out of the starting lineup.
  • Landry Fields, Raptors (three years, $18.725MM): It may be a bit premature to include him on this list, since he's only played seven games so far since returning from injury, but he's been ghastly in his limited playing time, averaging just 2.9 points on 31% shooting in 21 minutes per contest. He's registered a 4.3 PER this season. His deal didn't look too promising for the Raptors when he signed it, and it doesn't look any better now.

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Hoops Rumors Features

Hoops Rumors passes along the latest news and rumors on NBA player movement 365 days a year, but those aren't the only updates you'll see on the site. On our right sidebar, you'll find a number of additional features and featured posts. Here's a rundown of a few of them:

  • Our Free Agent Tracker gives you the opportunity to look back on this summer's free agent signings, with data sortable by team, position, contract years, and contract amount. For a quick look at which players remain unsigned, you can check out our list of 2012/13 free agents.
  • We also have free agent lists for both next summer, and the summer of 2014, which will continue to be modified as needed.
  • Throughout the season, we'll be keeping tabs on roster counts for each NBA team, the year's D-League assignments and recalls, and all the trades consummated in-season.
  • Using our 10-day contract tracker, you can find any 10-day contract signed since 2007, sorting by player, team, year, and other variables.
  • Our Offseason in Review series takes a look back at how each of the NBA's 30 teams attempted to improve their rosters between the 2011/12 and 2012/13 seasons.
  • Our Trade Candidate series has returned for the 2012/13 season, with Pau Gasol the latest trade candidate to be put under the microscope.
  • On Thursdays at 4:00pm CT, I answer readers' questions in a live chat. Due to the holidays, these chats won't resume until the new year, but you can check out transcripts of our past live discussions here.
  • Our list of outstanding traded player exceptions is updated whenever a trade exception is used or expires.
  • We're also tracking teams' amnesty provisions — using our complete list, you can check to see which clubs have used the amnesty clause and which will carry it into next summer.
  • The Hoops Rumors glossary helps explain some of the more complex concepts in the NBA's Collective Bargaining Agreement.
  • Zach Links rounds up the best of the blogosphere every Saturday in his weekly Hoops Links feature.
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Every player we've written about has his own rumors page. You can find your player of choice by using our search box (located in the right sidebar); by clicking his tag at the bottom of a post where he's discussed; or, by simply typing his name in your address bar after hoopsrumors.com, substituting dashes for spaces. For example, Calderon's page is located at hoopsrumors.com/jose-calderon.

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Poll: Who’s Most Likely To Get Traded?

With the trade deadline not so far away, here are a few big names that could finish the season in different jerseys. Who do you think is most likely to get traded?

Players Who Can’t Be Traded Until January 15th

Today is the day that most general managers in the NBA have been waiting for. December 15th is when most free agents signed over the summer become eligible to be traded, enabling teams dissatisfied with their offseasons to start making adjustments. This applies to players who re-signed with their teams, as well as restricted free agents who inked offer sheets with another team but had the offer sheets matched by their original team. 

A few of the players signed this offseason have to wait a little bit longer. Anyone who signed after September 15th still isn't allowed to be traded, since it hasn't yet been three months after they signed. That includes training camp invitees who made their teams, like Rasheed Wallace and DeQuan Jones, and early season pickups, such as Josh Howard and Shaun Livingston. Players signed after November 21st this season can't be traded at all, since their three-month waiting period expires after the February 21st trade deadline.

There's another group that will become available to be traded January 15th. If a team that's over the cap re-signs a player using Bird rights or Early Bird rights and gives him a raise of better than 20%, and the player had been making more than the minimum salary, the team can't trade that player until January 15th or three months after the signing, whichever is later.

With an assist from Marc J. Spears of Yahoo! Sports (Twitter links) and the ESPN.com Trade Machine, here's a list of players who will become eligible to be traded January 15th:

Here's a list of training camp invitees and early season signees who'll be eligible to be traded later on this season, along with the earliest date they can be included in trades.

A few notes:

  • Spears lists Lavoy Allen and Steve Novak as being ineligible to be traded until January 15th, but I think those guys are eligible to be traded as of today, because they made the minimum salary last season.
  • Chauncey Billups isn't on Spears' list, but he's included on the ESPN Trade Machine list, and I think ESPN is right, unless there's a rule I don't know about regarding players who were amnestied, as Billups was before the 2011/12 season. 
  • Earlier, I thought Ryan Anderson wouldn't be eligible to be traded until January 15th, since the Magic, who technically signed him as part of the sign-and-trade that sent him to the Hornets, were over the cap. However, Grantland's Zach Lowe confirmed that he's eligible as of today, because the Hornets were under the cap when the deal went down. 

Larry Coon's NBA Salary Cap FAQ was used in the creation of this post.

Important NBA In-Season Dates

Back in May, we looked ahead to the noteworthy dates on the NBA calendar that were coming up over the summer. Now that the 2012/13 regular season is in full swing, there's a new set of in-season dates worth keeping an eye on. Here's a breakdown:

December

  • 15: Most players that signed new contracts this offseason (on or before September 15th) can be traded.

January

  • 7: Teams can begin signing players to 10-day contracts.
  • 10: Players on non-guaranteed contracts have their contracts guaranteed for the remainder of the season. Players must clear waivers by this date to avoid having their deals guaranteed.
  • 15: Players with Bird or Early Bird rights that re-signed with their own over-the-cap team (on or before October 15th) and received at least at 20% raise can be traded. For instance, Brook Lopez would be eligible to be dealt as of January 15th, rather than December 15th.
  • 15: Last day teams can apply for disabled player exceptions.

February

  • 21: Trade deadline.

March

  • 1: Players released after this date are ineligible for the postseason if they sign with a new team.
  • 10: Disabled player exceptions expire.

April

  • 17: Last day of regular season. Last day players can sign contracts for 2012/13. Luxury tax figures are determined using team salary on this day.

Larry Coon's CBA FAQ was used in the creation of this post.

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NBA Training Camp Cuts On D-League Rosters

Dozens of players were let go at the end of NBA training camps last month, and while some of them have signed overseas, many resurfaced Friday on D-League opening-night rosters. In fact, for a few, that seemed to be the plan all along. The Spurs, Timberwolves and Celtics quietly signed players toward the end of the preseason with the purpose of gaining their "affiliate rights," or the right to protect them from the D-League draft. Teams can protect as many as three training camp cuts for their affiliates, though the Cavs and Warriors managed to wind up with four former training camp invitees on their respective D-League teams.

Note that the players below are no longer on NBA rosters, unlike guys who've simply been assigned to the D-League. Some of the players listed were with multiple NBA teams in camp this fall, but we'll go with their latest NBA team here. If you notice any omissions, please let us know.

Spurs

  • *JaMychal Green, Austin Toros
  • Tyler Wilkerson, Austin Toros
  • Wesley Witherspoon, Austin Toros

Grizzlies

Jazz

Nets

  • Stephen Dennis, Bakersfield Jam
  • James Mays, Springfield Armor
  • Carleton Scott, Springfield Armor

Hawks

Raptors

  • Jerel McNeal, Bakersfield Jam

Cavaliers

  • Kevin Anderson, Canton Charge
  • D'Aundray Brown, Canton Charge
  • Micheal Eric, Canton Charge
  • Kevin Jones, Canton Charge

Knicks

  • Oscar Bellfield, Erie BayHawks
  • Henry Sims, Erie BayHawks
  • Mychel Thompson, Erie BayHawks 

Trail Blazers

  • Demonte Harper, Eric BayHawks

Rockets

  • JaJuan Johnson, Fort Wayne Mad Ants
  • Kyle Fogg, Rio Grande Valley Vipers
  • Demetri McCamey, Rio Grande Valley Vipers

Thunder

Magic

  • Justin Harper, Idaho Stampede
  • Chris Johnson, Rio Grande Valley Vipers

Blazers

  • Justin Holiday, Idaho Stampede
  • Coby Karl, Idaho Stampede
  • Dallas Lauderdale, Idaho Stampede

Timberwolves

  • Seth Tarver, Idaho Stampede
  • Phil Jones, Los Angeles D-Fenders
  • *Troy Hudson, Sioux Falls Skyforce
  • *Demetris Nichols, Sioux Falls Skyforce 

Bucks

  • Mustapha Farrakhan, Iowa Energy
  • Orien Greene, Los Angeles D-Fenders

Hornets

  • Dominique Morrison, Iowa Energy
  • Chris Wright, Iowa Energy

Clippers

Wizards

Sixers

Celtics

  • Micah Downs, Maine Red Claws
  • *Brian Cusworth, Maine Red Claws

Raptors

Heat

  • Garrett Temple, Reno Bighorns
  • Jarvis Varnado, Sioux Falls Skyforce 

Bobcats

Warriors

  • Carlon Brown, Santa Cruz Warriors
  • Lance Goulbourne, Santa Cruz Warriors
  • Stefhon Hannah, Santa Cruz Warriors
  • Rick Jackson, Santa Cruz Warriors

Lakers

Kings

  • Willie Reed, Springfield Armor

Nuggets

Magic

Mavericks

*-signed so the NBA team could retain his affiliate rights