League Likely To Vote For Lottery Changes

OCTOBER 9TH: The proposal has “overwheming support,” a league executive tells John Gonzalez of CSNPhilly.com, who hears that a sizable percentage of teams want the changes to take effect for the 2015 lottery, lending credence to Lowe’s initial reporting from last week.

OCTOBER 3RD: 1:33pm: Harris believes only “incremental changes” will occur, as Moore tweets. It’s not clear if Harris considers the proposal that Lowe outlined to include just “incremental changes” or if he’s aware of a different proposal.

1:25pm: The NBA’s Board of Governors is expected to vote later this month on a slightly altered version of the league’s earlier proposal to change the draft lottery, Grantland’s Zach Lowe reports (Twitter links). It’s not entirely certain that the measure will come up for a vote, but Lowe senses that it’s likely to pass easily, perhaps with only the Sixers voting against it (Twitter link). The changes would probably go into effect for the 2015 lottery if the Board of Governors vote to approve them, Lowe tweets.

The latest version of the proposal would give the four worst teams equal 12% chances at the top pick, while the worst team would fall no farther than seventh, since the lottery would determine the top six picks, according to Lowe (on Twitter). The worst team gets a 25% shot at the No. 1 overall pick under the current system in which the lottery determines only the top three picks.

It’s unclear how much of a shot the fifth- and sixth-worst teams would have at the top pick, but the seventh-worst would have an 8.5% chance, eighth would have 7%, ninth would have 5.5% and 10th would have 4%, as Lowe tweets. Teams 7-10 would have a 13% chance or better to move into the top three. Teams with the 11th- through 14th-worst marks would have 2.5%, 1.5%, 1% and 0.5% chances, respectively, and that group of four would have better chances of moving into the top six than they have today, Lowe adds (via Twitter).

A deep leaguewide discontent about the Sixers’ aggressive rebuilding is fueling the reform efforts, as Lowe wrote earlier this week and reiterates today (on Twitter). Still, Sixers co-owner Josh Harris doesn’t appear to be backing down, telling reporters today that he believes the team’s radical roster strip-down is the franchise’s best path to a championship, as Tom Moore of Calkins Media notes (Twitter link). Harris said that the proposed changes would make it slightly tougher on his team in the short term but help the club long-term, notes John Schuhmann of NBA.com (on Twitter).

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