League Likely To Vote For Lottery Changes

OCTOBER 9TH: The proposal has “overwheming support,” a league executive tells John Gonzalez of CSNPhilly.com, who hears that a sizable percentage of teams want the changes to take effect for the 2015 lottery, lending credence to Lowe’s initial reporting from last week.

OCTOBER 3RD: 1:33pm: Harris believes only “incremental changes” will occur, as Moore tweets. It’s not clear if Harris considers the proposal that Lowe outlined to include just “incremental changes” or if he’s aware of a different proposal.

1:25pm: The NBA’s Board of Governors is expected to vote later this month on a slightly altered version of the league’s earlier proposal to change the draft lottery, Grantland’s Zach Lowe reports (Twitter links). It’s not entirely certain that the measure will come up for a vote, but Lowe senses that it’s likely to pass easily, perhaps with only the Sixers voting against it (Twitter link). The changes would probably go into effect for the 2015 lottery if the Board of Governors vote to approve them, Lowe tweets.

The latest version of the proposal would give the four worst teams equal 12% chances at the top pick, while the worst team would fall no farther than seventh, since the lottery would determine the top six picks, according to Lowe (on Twitter). The worst team gets a 25% shot at the No. 1 overall pick under the current system in which the lottery determines only the top three picks.

It’s unclear how much of a shot the fifth- and sixth-worst teams would have at the top pick, but the seventh-worst would have an 8.5% chance, eighth would have 7%, ninth would have 5.5% and 10th would have 4%, as Lowe tweets. Teams 7-10 would have a 13% chance or better to move into the top three. Teams with the 11th- through 14th-worst marks would have 2.5%, 1.5%, 1% and 0.5% chances, respectively, and that group of four would have better chances of moving into the top six than they have today, Lowe adds (via Twitter).

A deep leaguewide discontent about the Sixers’ aggressive rebuilding is fueling the reform efforts, as Lowe wrote earlier this week and reiterates today (on Twitter). Still, Sixers co-owner Josh Harris doesn’t appear to be backing down, telling reporters today that he believes the team’s radical roster strip-down is the franchise’s best path to a championship, as Tom Moore of Calkins Media notes (Twitter link). Harris said that the proposed changes would make it slightly tougher on his team in the short term but help the club long-term, notes John Schuhmann of NBA.com (on Twitter).

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6 thoughts on “League Likely To Vote For Lottery Changes

  1. Z....

    This is so dumb for so many reasons. Ignoring all of the things I’ve said previously, which are obvious, hasnt anyone noticed who has won the lottery over the last few years? It has been the teams with less than 1% chance. The worst team already doesnt get the #1 pick enough. Now thats going to become even more frequent

  2. Sky14

    The league is moving in the wrong direction with the draft. The worst teams should get the best picks not the other way around. This could make rebuilds even longer than they already are and make leave some teams in a perpetual rebuild because of bad “luck”.

    • Kevin6CD

      The problem is that too many teams try to be the worst team instead of trying to win. That causes a lot of problems financially and with regard to the product on the floor. The roster the Sixers are trotting out this year is a joke.

      • Sky14

        It is a joke. I agree it is a problem, but the root cause of this is the slow turnover of competing teams in the NBA. The NBA is attempting to fix a symptom instead of the cause of tanking.

        The Sixer’s are just deploying the strategy that seems best to competitiveness, which is acquiring high-end talent . Trying to rebuild and win just doesn’t work. The Wolves have tried that for years and they go through a cycle of being mediocre and terrible.

        To be honest, the real issue that NBA is trying to avoid is a diluted talent pool. Too many teams, not enough stars to go around. The solution would be contraction of a handful of teams, but the NBA does not want to alienate a few markets.

  3. Sasha Lopez

    The old system was fine as it was. The worst team didn’t get the best pick allot anyway.

  4. guccci7383

    more then anything i think the biggest problem is team are just picking badly. over the last 10 yrs the number 1 pick has been a bust more then the frachise player hes was suppose to be.
    Lucky 4 the cavs LB23 came home.
    we all know there was no reason for Anthony Bennett to go #1 last yr.
    when he was healthy last yr he was fat and outta shape and couldn’t earn minutes.

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