2018/19 NBA Over/Unders: Recap

Over the last two weeks, we’ve been going through each of the NBA’s 30 teams, publishing polls asking how many games each club will win this season. Using projections from professional oddsmakers, we’ve had you vote on whether each team will go over or under a given win total, from the Warriors (62.5) all the way through the Hawks (23.5).

Here are the full results of those votes:

Atlantic:

  • Boston Celtics (59.5 wins): Over (53.63%)
  • Toronto Raptors (55.5 wins): Over (56.95%)
  • Philadelphia 76ers (54.5 wins): Under (51.19%)
  • Brooklyn Nets (31.5 wins): Under (56.04%)
  • New York Knicks (28.5 wins): Under (54.13%)

Central:

  • Indiana Pacers (47.5 wins): Over (62.04%)
  • Milwaukee Bucks (47.5 wins): Over (73.7%)
  • Detroit Pistons (38.5 wins): Over (56.36%)
  • Cleveland Cavaliers (30.5 wins): Over (55.42%)
  • Chicago Bulls (29.5 wins): Over (61.8%)

Southeast:

  • Washington Wizards (45.5 wins): Over (56.28%)
  • Miami Heat (43.5 wins): Under (57.42%)
  • Charlotte Hornets (35.5 wins): Over (56.73%)
  • Orlando Magic (30.5 wins): Under (68.41%)
  • Atlanta Hawks (23.5 wins): Under (58.38%)

Northwest:

  • Utah Jazz (50.5 wins): Over (53.58%)
  • Oklahoma City Thunder (48.5 wins): Over (59.3%)
  • Denver Nuggets (48.5 wins): Under (56.2%)
  • Portland Trail Blazers (42.5 wins): Over (59.6%)
  • Minnesota Timberwolves (41.5 wins): Under (62.53%)

Pacific:

  • Golden State Warriors (62.5 wins): Over (53.45%)
  • Los Angeles Lakers (48.5 wins): Over (55.2%)
  • Los Angeles Clippers (36.5 wins): Under (55.7%)
  • Phoenix Suns (29.5 wins): Under (53.4%)
  • Sacramento Kings (25.5 wins): Under (63.87%)

Southwest:

  • Houston Rockets (56.5 wins): Over (69.33%)
  • New Orleans Pelicans (45.5 wins): Under (53.4%)
  • San Antonio Spurs (44.5 wins): Under (60%)
  • Dallas Mavericks (34.5 wins): Over (55.16%)
  • Memphis Grizzlies (34.5 wins): Under (60.87%)

As those results show, we were fairly split on overs (16) and unders (14). As a group, we’re particularly bullish on the Central division, where we voted for the over on all five teams. There were no extremely close votes in the bunch — the slimmest margin was for the Sixers, where 51.19% of poll respondents expect them to go under 54.5 wins.

Here are the five “over” bets that received the largest vote shares:

  1. Milwaukee Bucks, 47.5 wins: 73.7%
  2. Houston Rockets, 56.5 wins: 69.33%
  3. Indiana Pacers, 47.5 wins: 62.04%
  4. Chicago Bulls, 29.5 wins: 61.8%
  5. Portland Trail Blazers, 42.5 wins: 59.6%

Here are the five “under” bets that received the largest vote shares:

  1. Orlando Magic, 30.5 wins: 68.41%
  2. Sacramento Kings, 25.5 wins: 63.87%
  3. Minnesota Timberwolves, 41.5 wins: 62.53%
  4. Memphis Grizzlies, 34.5 wins: 60.87%
  5. San Antonio Spurs, 44.5 wins: 60%

What do you think? Are there any results above that you strongly disagree with? Did you make any over or under votes within the last week or two that you’re second-guessing now? Jump into our comment section below and weigh in with your thoughts!

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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4 thoughts on “2018/19 NBA Over/Unders: Recap

  1. x%sure

    I was bulllish for the central too.

    I think people are just mad at the Wolves! But I would be surprised if they made the playoffs.

    The Memphis big-money trio may stay healthy due to less pressure from reduced expectations, and they could blow right past 35 wins. Plus JJJ and Temple helps out Conley and Gasol. It’s a decent first nine they have.

    • Skullking

      “Big money 3” of Gasol, Conley and ???
      Not Tyreke, because he’s in Indy. I’d assume you aren’t implying Parsons can be anything other than a hindrance on both sides of the ball. so who? Kyle Anderson? Dillon Brooks??

      • x%sure

        Parsons makes big money so fits what I said. He’s out injured a lot– indeed most of the time I think– but that’s what reduced expectations may help, if the big money 3 press themselves less.

        He’s not a hindrance on offense! He hits 3s and is good with the ball. He’s just waaay overpaid.

  2. dust44

    I’d take the over on the Suns. I think they can get 35 wins. I know that’s not great. But I think they r better if Booker and Ayton can stay healthy. I also think they find a way to get an actual lead guard in a trade. My guess is between George Hill, Pat Beverly, McConnell, VanVleet, or Cory Joseph. By atleast the deadline

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