2020 NBA Offseason Preview: Detroit Pistons

Hoops Rumors is previewing the 2020 offseason for all 30 NBA teams. We’re looking at the key questions facing each club, as well as the roster decisions they’ll have to make this fall. Today, we’re focusing on the Detroit Pistons.


Salary Cap Outlook

Trading Andre Drummond at the February trade deadline ensured that the Pistons will be able to create some cap room this offseason.

The exact amount available will hinge on several factors, including how many non-guaranteed contracts and free agents the team wants to retain, where its lottery pick lands, and how much the league-wide salary cap increases, if at all.

However, even a fairly conservative estimate – which assumes no cap increase and Detroit retaining its non-guaranteed players and Christian Wood‘s cap hold – should comfortably get the Pistons to $25MM+ in space.

Our full salary cap preview for the Pistons can be found right here.


Roster Decisions To Watch

Options:

Non-Guaranteed Contracts:

Two-Way Contracts:

Free Agents:


2020 Draft Assets

First Round:

  • No. 5 overall pick (pending lottery results)

The Pistons have the fifth-best lottery odds, but their most likely pick is No. 7 (26.7%). They have a 10.5% chance at the No. 1 pick and a 42.1% chance at a top-four selection, with No. 6 (19.6%) and No. 8 (8.8%) also realistic possibilities. No. 5 (2.2%) and No. 9 (0.6%) are longer shots.

Second Round:

  • None

Three Key Offseason Questions

1. How much longer will Blake Griffin and Derrick Rose be Pistons?

Trading Drummond and buying out veteran point guard Reggie Jackson earlier this year signaled that the Pistons are entering a full-fledged rebuild. The hiring of Troy Weaver – a longtime member of the Oklahoma City front office who advocated for drafting Russell Westbrook back in 2008 and helped turn the Thunder into perennial contenders – suggests that the new general manager will get a chance to put his own stamp on the franchise as it accumulates talent.

With that in mind, it’s hard to see how former No. 1 overall picks Griffin and Rose fit into the Pistons’ plan going forward. Both players are 31 years old and have troublesome injury histories. Rose is entering a contract year, while Griffin has two years left on his deal. In other words, neither player seems all that likely to be part of the next Pistons playoff team.

That doesn’t mean that Detroit will look to move them both this offseason though. Rose will certainly enter the fall as a trade candidate, but the Pistons decided not to trade him at the 2020 deadline despite receiving offers. It wouldn’t be a shock if they rebuff interest again and wait until next year’s trade deadline to seriously consider moving on from the former MVP.

As for Griffin, his value took a major hit following a lost 2019/20 season in which he was limited to 18 games due to knee problems. With $75.8MM owed to him over the next two years, Griffin is a negative trade asset, meaning it wouldn’t be in the Pistons’ best interests to pursue a deal at this point.

It makes far more sense for the team to be patient in the hopes that Griffin can bounce back in 2020/21, rebuilding his value and perhaps becoming a more viable trade chip before his contract expires in 2022.

If the right deal comes along, Weaver certainly won’t hesitate to move both Rose and Griffin sooner rather than later. But if they don’t get any offers they love, the Pistons shouldn’t be in any rush to move the former All-Stars, whose veteran leadership could still be useful for a young team.

2. Is Luke Kennard a long-term keeper or a trade chip?

The 12th overall pick in the 2017 draft, Kennard is still just 24 years old and remains a year away from restricted free agency, with a very affordable $5.3MM cap hit for 2020/21. There’s no reason he can’t be part of the Pistons’ rebuilding process if the team views him as a long-term contributor.

However, it remains to be seen how committed Detroit is to making Kennard a franchise building block. The young sharpshooter was the subject of trade rumors in February, with reports at the time suggesting that a proposed deal with the Suns was close to being completed, before it fell apart.

With Weaver now in the front office mix, it will be interesting to see which direction the Pistons go with Kennard, whose shooting ability and still-modest cap charge would make him an intriguing target for cost-conscious teams seeking three-point help in ’20/21.

The former Duke standout will become eligible for a rookie scale extension this October, and engaging in exploratory talks on a new deal should give the Pistons a sense of how much it will cost to retain Kennard. If the team feels that money would be better spent elsewhere, it wouldn’t be a surprise to hear Kennard’s name resurface in trade rumors in the coming months. On the other hand, if the price is right, the two sides will be in good position to commit to a long-term union.

3. How much are the Pistons willing to pay to retain Christian Wood?

Kennard’s extension isn’t the most pressing contract decision the Pistons will have to make on one of their current players. Unlike Kennard, who remains under contract for one more year, Wood will become a free agent this October, and he’ll be unrestricted, free to sign with any team.

Wood will hit the free agent market on the heels of a breakout year. His full-season stats (13.1 PPG, 6.3 RPG) don’t tell the full story — after he entered the starting lineup following the Drummond trade, Wood recorded 22.8 PPG, 9.9 RPG, and 2.0 APG over his final 13 games. He also showed off an improved three-point shot, making 54-of-140 attempts (38.6%) on the season, despite having only attempted 42 threes prior to 2019/20.

Wood’s impressive performance, his age (25 in September), and a weak 2020 free agent class will make him one of the fall’s most attractive young UFA targets. However, a massive payday is no lock. His lack of track record could hurt him, and so will the fact that only a small handful of teams have cap room available. If those teams use their space elsewhere, Wood could have trouble finding an offer worth more than the mid-level from any team besides Detroit.

Recognizing that Wood’s market might be limited, the Pistons will want to avoid overpaying to retain the big man, who – like Kennard – is young enough to be part of the team’s rebuild.

With few long-term financial commitments on their books, the Pistons can comfortably afford to go up to the $15MM-per-year range for Wood, but if that doesn’t get it done, the team may be wary about surrendering additional flexibility for a player with such a limited résumé (Wood had appeared in 51 total games for four teams before this season).

Information from Basketball Insiders and ESPN was used in the creation of this post. Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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21 thoughts on “2020 NBA Offseason Preview: Detroit Pistons

  1. Sillivan

    If Pistons Cavs Bulls take top 3 lottery then Knicks have to offer a lot to trade up

    My favorite poll is

    Should Knicks trade up to get LaMelo Ball?

    • mlbnyyfan

      Do we know if Pistons, Cavs, or Bulls want Ball? What if Knicks take Halliburton or trade there pick plus a package for Zach Lavine or possibly Donavon Mitchell.

      • Sillivan

        Trade and draft can’t improve Knicks quickly
        Good free agents improve Knicks

        Pistons have 3 trade chips
        Snell
        Wood
        Kennard
        They don’t overpay role players
        Trade trade trade
        Same as Pelicans

        • In my opinion it’s ridiculous to match up Christian Wood and the Pistons in any sentence. He’s unrestricted so I say he is sayonara baby. Pistons can’t even match. The only thing they have is probably the first chance to talk to him. But I say he’s out of there.

          • Count that baby and a foul!

            I have a hard time understanding your logic on why Wood would not resign. The Pistons have money to keep him, gave him hisbig break, have a big roleforhim.

            • Cap space might keep him there you’re right about that. I was emphasizing the unrestricted free agent part. He can go anywhere he wants. Going to be interesting that’s for sure in any case.

          • Count that baby and a foul!

            Funny how lots of people want Wood toleave the Pistons but did not even know whohe was before they gave him the shot. But so goes the nature of Jock riders.

          • x%sure

            Pistons are one of the few teams with money to spend, and Wood got bypassed in other places. Their situation is ideal for him. Of course he co uld blow it!

      • I don’t think Zach LaVine or Donovan Mitchell are available. I know a lot of GM’s like lamelo ball. He’ll definitely be top 5 selection.

    • This is how the first 3 in the lottery will go. Write it down. Detroit Atlanta Golden State.

        • I’m just telling you to take a screenshot of this. Impress your friends with the information. You’re going to be great at parties this week.

  2. Count that baby and a foul!

    Pistons trade Blake to Pheonix for their lottery pick. Px will take it. A healthy Blake will make them contenders not a lotto pick. Pistons take Devin Vassel wiyh that pick. Under all circumstances if ball falls toPistons and NY is behind and Edwards is off thw board. TRADE DOWN to NY and let them have Ball! He wont be a good Pistons there are plenty othwr great players we can get plus some NY assets.

    • x%sure

      I like Griffin on the Suns but they cannot match without Booker’s salary.

      Lamelo should be an exciting player. He can change a bad team around with more open play, and/or get the coach fired and miss a lot in crunch time. He would need shooters like Kennard & Galloway.

      If Weaver does not get rid of Thon Maker, he’s no improvement over Stefanski.

      • Count that baby and a foul!

        Yeah I was thinkin sign and trade with Baynes. Offer him a fat 1 year deal. I know Baynes wont complain. He may not be worth near 20 mill to match but it isforone year amd makes a great trade contract.

    • wagner13

      I’m not so sure Phoenix accepts that trade. Sure, they could use a power forward, but there’s no guarantee Griffin stays healthy. Even if he does, which Blake are we getting? He played well in 18/19, but was largely ineffective last season. Giving up a potential lottery pick for just two years of Griffin seems awfully aggressive. I agree they need a veteran, but Griffin’s trade value just isn’t that high IMO

      • El Don

        A lottery pick ain’t that valuable neither, if you strike gold, yes of course, but I would think over half of lottery picks are busts & probably only 3-5 every year make it to an all-star level. Blake is a monster when healthy… so 2 years of him is better than picking a possible burst, right? Draft can be very overrated sometimes.

        • wagner13

          Yeah, but if Griffin can’t stay healthy, that would be the equivalent of a bust as well. Furthermore, Griffin costs way more than said lottery pick. Phoenix would be severely restricting their financial freedom

  3. KnickerbockerAl

    Thibs ain’t taking LaBust. Here in NY we don’t want Ball. If anything Lonzo is only Ball who is allowed on Knicks. The new coach is not about upside 4 yrs from now. Thibs will draft someone who can help next yr. A lot also depends where we draft. I know Knicks were scouting Drummond n Woods since the deadline. Never made an offer for Drummond. But stories here were always they liked Woods. I agree with writer. I would not pay more than 15 mill, I think 10 mill for 2 yrs. Best to see he will continue this way. Woods is valuable to teams who need Bigs. He can also play PF, not just a C. And can step outside so can play in small ball. Best thing for Pistons. Since they have his Bird rights. Is a sign n trade. They are going full rebuild anyway. So it’s best not to let Woods just walk. I believe he’s a Thibs player. So Knicks will probably go after him. Just don’t want to overpay.

  4. rxbrgr

    The calculus on re-signing Wood definitely changes if he’s getting offers over the amount the Pistons can offer him via the Early Bird exception. That’s a matter of $12mm or more of cap space they’d lose out on.

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