Hoops Rumors Originals

Hoops Rumors Originals

Here’s a look back at the original analysis generated by the Hoops Rumors staff this week..

Poll: Best Non-LeBron Signing

The 2014 free agency period is winding down with most of the top free agents now off the board. Out of the top ten players in Hoops Rumors’ 2014 Free Agent Power Rankings, only Eric Bledsoe and Greg Monroe, both restricted free agents, have yet to find a home for next season.

The biggest news this offseason was of course when LeBron James elected to return his talents to Cleveland–a move not many saw coming. The other big name, Carmelo Anthony, also surprised a few experts when he elected to re-sign in New York, and not leave for Chicago or the Lakers. Those two players were the undisputed prizes of this year’s free agent class.

But which player who changed teams, not named LeBron, was the best signing so far? I’m only including the deals where the player signed with the team outright, which means players involved in sign-and-trade deals aren’t being included in this poll. I also left off Chandler Parsons‘ signing since his average annual value was much higher than the other non sign-and-trade contracts. Here’s the rundown of the main choices:

  1. Luol Deng: Deng went from the Cavaliers, where he was replaced at small forward by LeBron, to the Heat where he in turn replaces James. Deng signed a two-year, $20MM deal that included a player option for the second year. Deng’s career numbers are 16.0 PPG, 6.3 RPG, and 2.5 APG over ten NBA seasons. His career slash lines are .457/.329/.773. Deng will bring defense and tenacity to a Heat team that will have to adjust to life after LeBron.
  2. Lance Stephenson: During the first half of the 2013/14 season, Stephenson looked like a lock to return to Indiana. It was during the second half, after the trade that sent Danny Granger to the Sixers for Evan Turner where the wheels began to come off. There were reports of a practice altercation between he and Turner, and Stephenson’s on court production fell off as well. This was then followed by numerous playoff incidents, including the infamous “ear blowing” incident with James. After turning down a five-year, $44MM offer the Pacers made, Stephenson eventually landed with the Hornets, where he signed a three-year, $27.5MM deal. Stephenson had a career year last season when he averaged 13.8 PPG, 7.2 RPG and 4.6 APG.
  3. Paul Pierce: Pierce was signed by the Wizards after the sign-and-trade deal with the Rockets for Trevor Ariza was completed. Pierce will bring his experience to a young and talented Washington squad that is looking to go deeper into the playoffs next season. Pierce signed a two-year deal worth roughly $11MM. The veteran out of Kansas has averaged 21.3 PPG, 5.9 RPG, and 3.8 APG for his career. His lifetime shooting numbers are .447/.370/.807.
  4. Pau Gasol: There was some heavy competition for the former Laker’s services with the Knicks, Spurs, Thunder, and Heat all angling to sign the seven-footer. But in the end, Gasol opted for the Bulls, and the opportunity to play for a playoff contender in the much weaker Eastern Conference. Gasol signed a three-year, $22MM+ deal with Chicago, where they hope his offensive skills can help improve the team’s woeful scoring and lead to a deeper run in next year’s playoffs. In 13 seasons, Gasol has averaged 18.3 PPG, 9.2 RPG, and 3.3 APG. His career slash line is .515/.247/.750.
  5. Spencer Hawes: The signing of Hawes gives the Clippers some needed frontcourt depth and his ability to stretch opposing defenses with his jump shot will add to an already formidable offensive team. Hawes was also being pursued by the Suns and the Trail Blazers, but decided that the Clippers offered him the best opportunity. His deal is for four years, $23MM. Hawes’ career averages are 9.7 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 2.0 APG and 1.1 BPG. His career shooting numbers are .465/.361/.703.
Who Was The Best Non-LeBron Free Agent Signing So Far?
Pau Gasol 38.39% (1,050 votes)
Lance Stephenson 32.83% (898 votes)
Luol Deng 12.21% (334 votes)
Paul Pierce 9.36% (256 votes)
Spencer Hawes 7.20% (197 votes)
Total Votes: 2,735

The Heat And The Salary Cap

No news shook the NBA universe quite like last week’s announcement from LeBron James that he would be returning to the Cavs. Heat president Pat Riley, who heard from James shortly before the news became public, surely felt the effects of the move as much as anyone. Still, it was just one of many pivot points for the Heat this month, one to which Riley and his staff responded swiftly with a five-year max deal for Chris Bosh, agreements with Dwyane Wade, Mario Chalmers and Chris Andersen, and a discount free agent signing of Luol Deng.

NBA: Playoffs-Charlotte Bobcats at Miami HeatIt was a combination of the use of Bird rights and cap space that appeared to be similar to the team’s original plan, sans LeBron. A report from Brian Windhorst of ESPN.com on the second day of free agency indicated that the Heat were telling free agents from other teams that they had more than $12MM to spend on starting salaries for them. Other dispatches cast doubt on that figure, but it was nonetheless an indication that the team planned on dipping beneath the cap.

The idea at the time appeared to involve James re-signing at the maximum salary, as he made it clear he wanted to do so no matter where he ended up, and Bosh and Wade accepting discounts. The Heat could have gone under the cap and split as much as $35,932,559 on starting salaries for Bosh and Wade in that scenario, though that would leave room to add only a player for the $2.732MM room exception and minimum-salary contracts. That figure is remarkably similar to the $35,644,400 in combined starting salaries that Bosh and Wade wound up with, assuming Bosh is indeed getting the maximum salary as has been reported. Yet if it was true that the Heat envisioned spending $12MM on outside free agents, it sounds like Bosh and Wade would have had to take less under the original plan, assuming the Heat intended to re-sign LeBron for the max.

Six days after Windhorst’s report that the Heat were telling free agents they had $12MM to spend, and four days before James announced that he would sign with the Cavs, the Heat came to agreements with Josh McRoberts and Danny Granger. The deals were equal to the full values of the non-taxpayer’s mid-level and biannual exceptions, respectively. It was a clear signal that Riley’s plan had changed, and the Heat were going to pursue a strategy of remaining over the cap. That meant the notion of adding Deng or any other free agent likely to command eight-figure salaries was out, if the team was to retain its core of James, Wade and Bosh. Staying over the cap would allow the Heat to pay up to the max to retain all three of its stars, providing that it did so and stayed under the $80.829MM hard cap that the use of the non-taxpayer’s midlevel and biannual exceptions triggered. It also meant that McRoberts and Granger would be the team’s most significant offseason additions, since the Heat would be limited to no more than minimum-salary deals for all but their own free agents.

That was what the Heat were signaling, anyway. They still could have gone under the cap, with Bosh and Wade splitting a pool of less than $24,260,231 to allow the team to sign another team’s free agent for more than the mid-level amount it gave to McRoberts. In that case, presuming James came back at the maximum salary, Bosh and Wade would each have to accept about only half of their maximum salaries, or one of them would have to take even less. Such a path never seemed likely, but the possibility of dipping beneath the cap remained, and it foretold the strategy that the Heat, if not entirely by choice, would eventually pursue.

The James decision was a game-changer for many in the league, and it spun Riley into a U-turn. He offered Bosh the five-year max to keep him from jumping to the Rockets or another suitor, trumping the four-year maximum offers that opposing teams were limited to making. He re-signed Wade at a starting salary of $15MM, roughly 75% of his max. He found a replacement at small forward in Deng, agreeing to pay him a $9.7MM salary for the coming season, and with the Deng deal, he turned the mid-level and biannual deals for McRoberts and Granger into contracts that relied on cap space instead. Riley renounced the rights to Udonis Haslem as part of clearing that room, but he used the team’s new position as an under-the-cap team to reward the sacrifice Haslem made when he turned down his player option and gave up $4.62MM. Haslem signed for the $2.732MM room exception, and, as Windhorst reveals, it’s a two-year deal. That means Haslem will see slightly more over two years than he would have made last season alone. It still may go down as a sacrifice for the Miami native, but given his declining play, there were no guarantees that he would have found a new deal next summer, when his old contract would have run out. Presuming his new contract is fully guaranteed, it locks in more money than he had previously been in line for.

Ultimately, it’s a lesson in the difference between agreements and official contracts, and the importance of timing in NBA free agency. When Riley made deals with McRoberts and Granger, there was nothing binding that stipulated that they were for the mid-level or biannual exceptions. They were simply good-faith agreements that the pair would be paid those amounts, whether it required cap space or exceptions. In fact, those deals couldn’t have been more than merely agreements at the time they were struck, since they took place during the July moratorium. Miami could have made those deals official on July 10th, the first day after the moratorium and the day before LeBron made his announcement, and in so doing the team could have informed the league that it was using those exceptions on McRoberts and Granger. That would have prevented the team from clearing the cap room it wanted after LeBron left, and the maneuver almost certainly would have forestalled any agreement with Deng.

Riley didn’t get what he was after this summer, but by remaining flexible, he’s put together a near-certain playoff team from the ashes of LeBron’s departure. The Cavs, by contrast, have yet to return to the postseason since the last time LeBron played for them.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Hoops Rumors Featured Feedback

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The biggest story of the NBA offseason, or of any of the past four NBA offseasons, was the homecoming of LeBron James to the Cavaliers, a move the four-time MVP announced a week ago. It was a triumphant moment for Cleveland fans, including Hoops Rumors reader The Crippler:

  • If you’re not passionate as a sports fan … then maybe you shouldn’t watch sports. At the end of the day, we are all human and we make mistakes. The bigger picture is can you forgive that person and mend that relationship? LeBron and [Cavs owner Dan] Gilbert did it and the TRUE CAVS fans did it. Everything else is irrelevant!!!! #CavsNation #AllForOne #WelcomeHomeBron.

Trock broke down the on-court implications of the move, and presaged Cleveland’s deal with Mike Miller:

  • I dont think we will see an issue with floor space. Run the ball through [Kyrie] Irving like a team should (through the PG) with LeBron being on the floor; it will open up space for Irving. Once they realize that they need to guard him better and they can’t double up on LeBron anymore, it will definitely open it up for him. [Andrew] Wiggins should translate well to the NBA. But I think you are right — if [Kevin] Love comes to Cleveland … Boy that would be a nasty line up. I also see Ray Allen and Mike Miller coming over as great role players for this team (although I am not sure of Cleveland’s cap space and if they can make all that happen).

Free agents aren’t the only ones changing teams this year. Carlos Boozer wound up with the Lakers after the Bulls waived him using the amnesty clause, and the end of his tenure in Chicago couldn’t have come soon enough for Justin Allen:

  • I’m happy to see Boozer gone. I’ve never been as hard on him as other people, but it just seemed at times that he could only score from one spot on the floor. Plus his defense is next to nothing, and you can’t rely on him late in games. Ya, [last season he averaged] 13 points per game, but he’s not a player you can rely on when you’re trying to win a championship.

Check out what more readers had to say in previous editions of Hoops Rumors Featured Feedback. We appreciate everyone who adds to the dialogue at Hoops Rumors, and we look forward to seeing more responses like these from you!

Omer Asik’s Twisted Path To The Pelicans

The day before the draft, the Rockets and Pelicans agreed to a trade that would send Omer Asik and cash to New Orleans for a protected first-round pick. The trade couldn’t be finalized until after the July moratorium, like so many predraft deals. But what made this deal puzzling was that it couldn’t, in the form in which it had been reported, have become official after the moratorium, either. It wasn’t until after two other trades happened, an extra team became involved, and five other players were wrapped into the swap that Asik would finally become a member of the Pelicans.

NBA: Houston Rockets at Orlando MagicThe original deal would have required the Pelicans, who are without a trade exception, to absorb Asik into cap room they couldn’t clear. At the time of the original Asik agreement, the Pelicans stood at $54,088,513 in guaranteed salary for 2014/15. That meant that even if the team renounced all of its cap holds and waived all of its non-guaranteed contracts, it would have salaries totaling $8,976,487 less than the $63.065MM cap. That would seemingly be enough to take on Asik’s $8,374,646 cap hit, but the $54,088,513 in guaranteed salaries for the Pelicans were only committed to seven players. That meant the league would place five roster charges, each of them equal to the $507,336 rookie minimum salary, onto the team’s cap figure, so in essence, the team would have 12 slots accounted for. That meant the greatest amount of room the Pelicans could open beneath the cap would be $6,439,807, which wouldn’t be enough for Asik. That number was further reduced to $6,339,807 when the team kept Jeff Withey past July 5th, the date upon which his contract became partially guaranteed for $100K.

That left the team reportedly looking for ways to unload either Eric Gordon, Austin Rivers or Alexis Ajinca to create more room. Moving just one of Rivers or Ajinca wouldn’t have been quite enough to get the job done, but just about every Pelicans player short of Anthony Davis has found himself in trade rumors over the past few months, even as GM Dell Demps has expressed an eagerness to keep the core of his team together. There were plenty of directions in which Demps could go, but all of them involved the cooperation of at least one other team, which is never a given.

Still, there was a path for Demps to pursue that involved taking on more salary, rather than ridding his team of it. The Pelicans swung a deal with the Cavs last week to acquire Alonzo Gee‘s non-guaranteed contract and two days later, they made another trade with the Hornets to obtain the non-guaranteed contract of Scotty Hopson. Both were trades in which the other teams gave up no salary in return, maneuvers that required the Pelicans to dip under the cap. New Orleans had renounced its rights to Al-Farouq Aminu, Jason Smith and James Southerland the same day that it traded for Gee, erasing the cap holds for that trio of free agents, and allowing the team to go beneath the cap. The Pelicans renounced their rights to Brian Roberts the same day that the Hornets agreed to a deal with him, which was also the same day they traded with Charlotte to obtain Hopson.

The role the Hornets played can’t be understated. Charlotte had an agreement with the Cavs to acquire Gee that Cleveland had to break so it could send Gee to New Orleans. Cleveland instead sent Hopson to the Hornets, who later conveyed Hopson to the Pelicans. Charlotte ended up with two chunks of cash for its trouble. Whether the Hornets were privy to the plans the Pelicans had all along may never be known, but it’s worth wondering whether the Pelicans agreed to stop pursuing a deal with Roberts, letting him go to the Hornets, in exchange for Charlotte’s cooperation. That’s just my speculation, of course.

In any case, the Pelicans had acquired Gee and Hopson, and they could package them with Melvin Ely, whom New Orleans signed to a non-guaranteed deal late last season just for this very sort of purpose. They’d have enough salary to fit the salary-matching requirements necessary to acquire Asik in a trade that would put New Orleans back over the cap. The Pelicans and Rockets could move forward with a trade that saw Asik going to the Pelicans and Hopson, Gee and Ely on their way to Houston, which would probably waive all three and pocket the savings.

Houston nonetheless added another layer onto the trade. The Rockets had designs on adding a third superstar to their team, which provided the motivation for trading Asik as well as Jeremy Lin in salary-clearing moves. The Rockets had already agreed to deal both Asik, to the Pelicans, and Lin, to the Lakers, when Chris Bosh, the team’s last best hope for a major free agent signing, committed to the Heat. The Rockets turned to Trevor Ariza as a fallback. Yet for Houston to pay Ariza the $8MM+ salary they’d agreed upon, the Rockets would have to dip under the cap and renounce the valuable $8,374,646 trade exception they could create from the Lin trade, not to mention the $5.305MM mid-level and $2.077MM biannual exceptions. Unless, that is, they could work out a sign-and-trade with the Wizards.

The Wizards stood to gain from a sign-and-trade, since they could create a $8,579,089 trade exception equal to the first-year salary in Ariza’s new contract. They also had leverage to ask for more than the standard protected second-round pick or draft-and-stash player in return, given Houston’s motivation to stay above the cap. It’s not clear whether the Wizards insisted that they receive a non-guaranteed salary in return, but the Rockets possessed no non-guaranteed contract quite as large as Ely’s, which is worth $1,316,809. The larger the non-guaranteed salary, the more valuable a cap asset it becomes. The Wizards wouldn’t have been able to accept the even larger non-guaranteed contracts of Hopson or Gee in the three-team trade that Washington, Houston and New Orleans wound up putting together, since neither is technically a minimum-salary contract, like Ely’s is. Minimum salary contracts aren’t counted as incoming salary in trades for salary-matching purposes, so that made the Wizards’ acquisition of Ely in return for Ariza possible.

So, the Hornets, Pelicans and Wizards worked out a mutually beneficial three-teamer. The Wizards wound up with Ely and the ability to create a lucrative trade exception. The Rockets secured Ariza, Gee, Hopson and a protected 2015 first-round choice from New Orleans, along with the ability to keep their Lin trade exception as well as their mid-level and biannual exceptions. The Pelicans finally reeled in Asik, along with $1.5MM in cash. Omri Casspi, included in the deal to make the salary-matching work, has a chance to hit free agency with New Orleans likely to waive him, and it’s conceivable he winds up with more than the non-guaranteed minimum salary he’d been ticketed for.

The volume of trade rumors around the NBA rarely matches the number of swaps that actually take place, in no small part because of the difficulty involved with getting teams with competing agendas to come to agreements. Demps and his staff convinced the Cavs, Hornets, Rockets and Wizards, all in the span of three weeks, to acquiesce, all while keeping sight of a plan that was most beneficial to his team. The core of the Pelicans remains intact, with Asik added on top of it. We’ll find out if such a mix amounts to playoff contention in the ever-challenging Western Conference next year, but New Orleans has already accomplished one of its many goals toward that end.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

2014 Offseason Trades

Our Free Agent Tracker runs down the signings that have taken place this summer, but it doesn’t cover trades. That’s where this post comes in. As we did with last year’s offseason trades and the in-season swaps for 2013/14, we’ll keep track of all of the trades from this summer as they become official, updating this post with each move.

Together with the free agent tracker and the 2013 draft results, you can see the full picture of the movement across the NBA landscape over the past month. For up-to-the-minute news on trades as well as other roster moves as the offseason continues, follow our transactions-only feeds via RSS and Twitter.

The moves are listed in reverse chronological order, with the latest on top. So, if a player has been traded multiple times (as often happens with draft picks), the first team listed as having acquired him is the one that ended up with him. For more details on each trade, click the date above it.

October 27th

  • The Sixers get Travis Outlaw, New York’s 2019 second-round pick, and the right to swap the Clippers 2018 second-round pick with New York’s 2018 second-round pick.
  • The Knicks get Arnett Moultrie.

October 24th

  • The Sixers get Marquis Teague and the more favorable of Milwaukee’s and Sacramento’s 2019 second-round picks.
  • The Nets get Casper Ware

October 17th

September 27th

  • The Sixers get Keith Bogans and Cleveland’s 2018 second-round pick.
  • The Cavaliers get Philadelphia’s 2015 second-round pick if it falls from pick No. 51 through No. 55, as long as the Sixers don’t have to send it to the Celtics to satisfy an obligation from previous trades.

September 25th

  • The Cavaliers get Keith Bogans, Sacramento’s 2015 second-round pick (top-55 protected) and Sacramento’s 2017 second-round pick (top-55 protected).
  • The Celtics get Dwight Powell, Erik Murphy, Malcolm Thomas, John Lucas III, Cleveland’s 2016 second-round pick and Cleveland’s 2017 second-round pick.

September 17th

  • The Rockets get Jason Terry, Sacramento’s 2015 second-round pick if it falls anywhere from No. 31 through No. 49, and New York’s unprotected 2016 second-round pick.
  • The Kings get Alonzo Gee and Scotty Hopson.

August 26th

  • The Sixers get Hasheem Thabeet and $100K cash.
  • The Thunder get Philadelphia’s 2015 second-round pick (top-55 protected).

August 26th

  • The Bucks get Jared Dudley and the Clippers’ 2017 first-round pick (top-14 protected).
  • The Clippers get Carlos Delfino, Miroslav Raduljica and their own 2015 second-round pick that they’d given up in a previous trade (as long as it falls between picks 31-50).

August 23rd

August 6th

July 22nd

July 19th

  • The Wizards get Kris Humphries (sign-and-trade).
  • The Celtics get Washington’s 2015 second-round pick (top-49 protected).

July 16th

  • The Wizards get DeJuan Blair (sign-and-trade).
  • The Mavericks get the rights to Emir Preldzic.

July 15th

  • The Hawks get Thabo Sefolosha (sign-and-trade), the rights to Giorgos Printezis, and $550K cash.
  • The Thunder get the rights to Sofoklis Schortsanitis.

July 15th

July 14th

  • The Mavericks get Greg Smith.
  • The Bulls get the rights to Tadija Dragicevic.

July 14th

  • The Magic get Anthony Randolph, the more favorable of Chicago’s and Portland’s 2015 second-round picks, the more favorable of Chicago’s and Portland’s 2016 second-round picks, and cash.
  • The Bulls get the rights to Milovan Rakovic.

July 13th

July 13th

  • The Lakers get Jeremy Lin, Houston’s 2015 first-round pick (lottery protected), and the Clippers’ 2015 second-round pick if it falls anywhere from 51st through 55th.
  • The Rockets get the rights to Sergei Lishchuk.

July 12th

July 12th

  • The Suns get Isaiah Thomas (sign-and-trade).
  • The Kings get the rights to Alex Oriakhi.

July 11th

  • The Pelicans get Alonzo Gee.
  • The Cavaliers get the Clippers’ 2016 second-round pick (top-55 protected).

July 10th

July 10th

  • The Nets get Jarrett Jack and Sergey Karasev.
  • The Cavaliers get Boston’s 2015 second-round pick (top-55 protected) the rights to Ilkan Karaman and Edin Bavcic.
  • The Celtics get Marcus Thornton, Tyler Zeller and Cleveland’s 2016 first-round pick (top-10 protected).

June 30th

  • The Raptors get Louis Williams and the rights to Lucas Nogueira.
  • The Hawks get John Salmons and Toronto’s 2015 second-round pick.

June 26th

June 26th

  • The Nets get 2014 pick No. 60 (Cory Jefferson).
  • The Sixers get cash.

June 26th

  • The Nets get 2014 pick No. 59 (Xavier Thames).
  • The Raptors get cash.

June 26th

  • The Knicks get 2014 pick No. 57 (Louis Labeyrie).
  • The Pacers get $1.5MM cash.

June 26th

  • The Thunder get 2014 pick No. 55 (Semaj Christon).
  • The Hornets get cash.

June 26th

  • The Spurs get 2014 pick No. 54 (Nemanja Dangubic).
  • The Sixers get 2014 pick No. 58 (Jordan McRae) and 2014 pick No. 60 (Cory Jefferson).

June 26th

  • The Rockets get 2014 pick No. 53 (Alessandro Gentile).
  • The Timberwolves get cash.

June 26th

  • The Hawks get 2014 pick No. 48 (Lamar Patterson).
  • The Bucks get Atlanta’s 2015 second-round pick.

June 26th

  • The Sixers get the rights to Pierre Jackson.
  • The Pelicans get 2014 pick No. 47 (Russ Smith).

June 26th

  • The Lakers get 2014 pick No. 46 (Jordan Clarkson).
  • The Wizards get $1.8MM cash.

June 26th

  • The Nets get 2014 pick No. 44 (Markel Brown).
  • The Timberwolves get cash.

June 26th

  • The Grizzlies get 2014 pick No. 35 (Jarnell Stokes)
  • The Jazz get the more favorable of Toronto’s and Boston’s 2016 second-round picks.

June 26th

  • The Heat get Shabazz Napier.
  • The Hornets get 2014 No. 26 pick (P.J. Hairston), 2014 pick No. 55 (Semaj Christon), Miami’s 2019 second-round pick and cash.

June 26th

  • The Bulls get 2014 pick No. 11 (Doug McDermott) and Anthony Randolph.
  • The Nuggets get 2014 pick No. 16 (Jusuf Nurkic), 2014 pick No. 19 (Gary Harris), and the less favorable of Chicago’s and Portland’s 2015 second-round picks.

June 26th

  • The Magic get 2014 pick No. 10 (Elfrid Payton).
  • The Sixers get 2014 pick No. 12 (Dario Saric), a 2015 second-round pick, and their own 2017 first-round pick that they’d given up in a previous trade.

June 25th

Hoops Rumors On Facebook/Twitter/RSS

It’s been a wild first two weeks and change of NBA free agency, and with the destinations of Eric BledsoeGreg MonroeCarlos Boozer and many others still to be decided, plenty of news is yet to come. There are a handful of ways you can follow us to keep tabs on the latest NBA news and rumors as the storylines develop.

You can Like us on Facebook and receive headlines and links for all our posts via your Facebook account. You can also follow us on Twitter to have all our posts and updates sent directly to your Twitter feed. Our RSS feed is located here if you’d like to follow us using your reader of choice.

If you prefer to receive updates only on roster moves such as signings, cuts, and trades, you can follow our transactions-only feeds via RSS and Twitter.

The Bulls And The Salary Cap

The Bulls didn’t end up with Carmelo Anthony, but they still wound up making moves that seemingly foretell the end of Carlos Boozer‘s tenure in Chicago. Boozer remains on the roster for now, and it would seem like the Bulls, who prefer to trade him rather than use the amnesty clause to remove his $16.8MM cap hit, will continue to pursue opportunities to make a swap between now and Wednesday, the final day that teams are allowed to use the amnesty clause this year. Still, unless they’re able to trade him or make other drastic moves between now and the end of Wednesday, the Bulls won’t be able to finalize the free agent deals they reportedly have in place unless they go the amnesty route.

Chicago hasn’t officially announced any of its deals since the July moratorium ended, so the team still has $66,277,115 of guaranteed salary on its books, leaving it above the $63.065MM salary cap. That doesn’t count first-round draft pick Doug McDermott, who has a cap hold of $1,898,300 and will almost certainly sign for a salary of $2,277,960. The most powerful weapon the Bulls have as a capped-out team is the non-taxpayer’s mid-level exception, which calls for a starting salary of $5.305MM.

The Bulls have an agreement with Pau Gasol on a three-year deal for more than $22MM, and presuming that figure is accurate, his starting salary wouldn’t fit into the mid-level. The Bulls were apparently pursuing a sign-and-trade for Gasol, but the Lakers renounced his rights to accommodate their trade for Jeremy Lin, which became official Sunday. That doesn’t necessarily preclude the Lakers from signing-and-trading Gasol, but it would make it more difficult, and that’s apparently a route the Bulls and Lakers are no longer pursuing, anyway.

Nikola Mirotic has a deal with the Bulls for three years and more than $17MM, and that figure, too, would require a starting salary of more than the mid-level could provide. Chicago’s other free agent deal so far, a two-year, $5.6MM agreement with Kirk Hinrich, could be completed using Hinrich’s Early Bird rights. Instead, it’ll reportedly be for the room exception, a tool only available to under-the-cap teams. It’s not set in stone that the Bulls will use the room exception on Hinrich, but the report from TNT’s David Aldridge that they intend to do so sheds light on Chicago’s plans.

We don’t know exactly how much Gasol and Mirotic will make next season, but assuming the numbers that have been reported are correct, they’ll likely wind up with at least a combined $12MM for next season. That means the Bulls would have to remove about $17.1MM worth of salary, plus all of their non-guaranteed contracts and all of their cap holds except McDermott’s, to accommodate those deals. That $17.1MM figure is almost identical to Boozer’s salary, so it would be make the math rather simple if Chicago waived Boozer via the amnesty clause. Hinrich’s cap hold, and thus Chicago’s Early Bird rights with it, would be erased in this scenario, but the Bulls could still re-sign him using the room exception, which they evidently plan to do.

Still, Chicago appears to be at work on other fronts, including a trade that will send Greg Smith and his guaranteed salary, worth slightly more than $948K, to the Mavs for little in return. That would make up the difference between Boozer’s salary and our $17.1MM estimate for the amount of salary the Bulls have to clear for Gasol and Mirotic. The Bulls are also apparently continuing to shop Anthony Randolph, according to K.C. Johnson of the Chicago Tribune (Twitter link). Randolph, whom the Bulls acquired when they traded up to nab McDermott on draft night, has a guaranteed salary of more than $1.825MM. The salaries for Randolph and Smith come to about $2.773MM, and if the Bulls could find a way to dump Tony Snell and Mike Dunleavy without taking back any salary, either, they could knock off about $7.527MM. That still wouldn’t take them far enough under the cap to allow them to officially sign Gasol and Mirotic and avoid giving up Boozer one way or another without touching the core of Derrick Rose, Joakim Noah, Taj Gibson, and Jimmy Butler.

So, it’s a safe bet we’ll be passing along the news that Boozer is no longer a Bull sometime between now and the end of Wednesday. Chicago will surely continue to attempt to trade his salary in a deal that doesn’t bring nearly as much salary back, but with Wednesday’s amnesty deadline looming, the Bulls must negotiate against a clock as well as against other teams.

2014 Amnesty Primer

Now that the July moratorium is over, the seven-day window for teams to use the amnesty provision has begun. The collective bargaining agreement’s amnesty clause comes up in rumors almost year-round, but teams only have seven days to use it. This year’s amnesty period started Thursday and runs through this coming Wednesday. Here’s a look at how the process works, which teams are still have the amnesty at their disposal, and which players remain amnesty-eligible:

How does it work?

The amnesty provision allows a team to clear an especially player-friendly contract from its books. The team must still pay the player the remainder of the salary on his deal, but it doesn’t count against the salary cap or toward luxury tax calculations. A team may only amnesty one player for the length of the collective bargaining agreement — not one player per season. The provision only applies to players who were on the roster of the same team they’re on now, under the same contract, on July 1st, 2011. Teams may not amnesty players who’ve been traded or who have signed new contracts or extensions since that date.

What happens when to a player once his team uses the amnesty provision on him?

When a team uses the amnesty provision, the player is placed on waivers. The waiver rules are slightly different, however. Teams can place claims for the full amount of the player’s contract, as usual, but they can also submit claims for a partial amount, a feature unique to amnesty waivers. That can turn the process into an auction of sorts, since the rights to the player go to the team that submits a claim for the largest portion of the player’s contract. If multiple teams bid for the full amount, or for the same partial amount, the team with the worst record last season gets the player. In the case of a successful partial waiver claim, the new team is responsible for the amount of the bid, and that money counts against the cap. The previous team is responsible for the rest, but, as we explained above, the money doesn’t count against the cap. The new team has discretion over any non-guaranteed salary in the contract, and that can lead to odd scenarios, as I explained.

For a few more details on the amnesty process, check out our complete explanation in the Hoops Rumors glossary.

Which teams still have the amnesty provision available, and which players are still eligible to be amnestied?

More than half of the league’s 30 teams have already used the amnesty provision, while others have no amnesty-eligible players remaining on their rosters. That leaves a select group of clubs that retain the power of amnesty. There’s a total of just nine players who can be amnestied, and realistically, only Carlos Boozer, Kendrick Perkins and perhaps Nick Collison seem like realistic candidates. Here’s the complete list:

To keep up with how teams use the amnesty clause this week and for a glance at how they’ve used it in years past, bookmark our Amnesty Provision Tracker.