NBA Finals Notes: Game 7, Thunder, Pacers, Predictions, More

Sunday’s Game 7 between the Thunder and Pacers is a “perfect coda” to an enthralling playoffs and an “all-time classic” NBA Finals, writes Sam Amick of The Athletic. It’s the first Game 7 in the Finals since 2016, when Cleveland came back from a 3-1 deficit to defeat Golden State.

“I’m very much looking forward to Game 7,” Pacers head coach Rick Carlisle said (story via Tim Reynolds of The Associated Press). “The last time we’ve had one of these in the Finals, I think, was ’16. These are special moments certainly for both teams but for our league, for the game, for the worldwide interest in the game. It’s a time to celebrate.”

As Amick details, the 2025 postseason has had numerous high points, with aging stars facing off against their younger counterparts, high-level defense, game-winning shots — many from Tyrese Haliburton — and overall excellent play from teams in both conferences. Most of all, it has been a showcase of the depth and quality of league’s two best teams.

The Thunder were historically dominant during the regular season, with a 68-14 record and +12.7 net rating, and are one win away capping off an epic 2024/25 campaign. They swept Memphis in the first round, defeated Denver in seven games in the semifinal, then dispatched Minnesota in five in the West final.

Indiana, the underdog on one of the most memorable playoff runs in NBA history, started out 10-15, then went 40-17 the rest of regular season for a 50-32 record. With compelling late-game heroics, the Pacers dispatched Milwaukee in five games, 64-win Cleveland — the East’s top seed — in five, and New York, which beat defending champion Boston in round two, in six games.

The series has been a back-and-forth affair, with each team taking leads before the other equalized. Oklahoma City will be at home tonight after being blown out on the road in Game 6, which was the team’s first attempt to claim the title.

“It’s a contest of wills,” Thunder coach Mark Daigneault said, per Joe Vardon of The Athletic. “I think the reason it swung between the two teams is because these are two teams that have leaned on that heavily to get to this point. It’s two teams where the whole is better than the sum of the parts. It’s two teams that are highly competitive. Two teams that play together. Two teams that kind of rely on the same stuff for their success that are squaring off against each other.”

Here are some more notes about Game 7:

• Eleven staff members from The Athletic predict who will win the series finale, with six choosing the Pacers and five votes for the Thunder. In our poll, nearly 54% of our readers have picked Oklahoma City to win thus far.
• Several NBA insiders at ESPN.com compiled a list of “everything you need to know” about the Game 7 showdown, including the keys to winning for both teams, the Finals MVP contenders, the players who could swing the game, and more. Eight ESPN employees also predicted who would win — seven selected the Thunder, with only one picking the Pacers.
• No matter which team emerges victorious, the NBA will crown its seventh different champion in as many seasons. The league has been seeking parity for years, notes Mike Vorkunov of The Athletic, and this year’s playoffs have shown that small-market clubs like Oklahoma City and Indiana can reach the pinnacle of the sport.
• The Pacers are seeking their first NBA title in franchise history, while the Thunder are looking for their first championship since moving to Oklahoma City in 2007, the league noted in a press release (Twitter link). This will be the 20th Game 7 in NBA Finals history.