Updated Maximum, Minimum, MLE, BAE Projections For 2026/27
The NBA issued a new salary cap projection for the 2026/27 season on Monday, adjusting its estimate for next year’s cap to $165MM.
There are a number of salary figures directly connected to the cap, including the league-wide maximum and minimum salaries, the mid-level exception, and the bi-annual exception. Those figures increase or decrease each year by the same percentage the cap does.
The NBA’s new cap projection meant we had a series of ’26/27 projections of our own in need of updating. Here are the links to those updated numbers:
Maximum salary projections for 2026/27
These are the projected earnings for players who signed maximum-salary extensions that will go into effect in 2026, including Paolo Banchero, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Luka Doncic, and De’Aaron Fox.
They also represent the projected maximum-salary figures for players who will reach free agency during the coming offseason, such as Jalen Duren and Austin Reaves.
Minimum salary projections for 2026/27
These are the minimum salaries that a player who signs a standard contract in 2026/27 will be eligible to earn. Next year’s rookie minimum is currently projected to be worth about $1.36MM, while the minimum salary for a veteran with at least 10 years of NBA experience is nearly $3.88MM.
Mid-level, bi-annual projections for 2026/27
These projections cover the various mid-level exceptions available to teams, including the full (non-taxpayer) mid-level exception, the taxpayer version of the MLE, and the “room” exception for teams that use cap space. A player who signs a four-year contract worth the full mid-level amount during the 2026 offseason would be in line to receive almost $65MM over the life of the deal, based on the NBA’s latest cap projection.
The bi-annual exception is also included in these projections — it projects to be worth a record $5,478,000 in ’26/27.
These projections can be found anytime on the right-hand sidebar of our desktop site under “Hoops Rumors Features” or on the “Features” page in our mobile menu. They’ll be updated again later this season if the NBA issues another new cap projection.
NBA Reduces Salary Cap Projection For 2026/27
The NBA has informed teams that its projection for the 2026/27 salary cap has decreased from $166MM to $165MM because of a reduction in local media revenue, sources tell Shams Charania of ESPN (Twitter link).
When the league set a $154,647,000 cap for 2025/26, it reportedly told teams it was projecting a 7% increase for ’26/27. That would work out to $165,472,000.
In September, the NBA reportedly increased that projection to $166MM. But now the cap projection is back down to $165MM, according to Charania.
It’s unclear if the $165MM figure Charania cited is exact or rounded down. Either way, it’s not a significant change to the projection, but it could be an important one for teams who project be over the first and/or second tax aprons next season, since those thresholds may come in a little lower than anticipated. It could also impact teams who operate under the cap.
Sports Business Journal reported a few weeks ago that the NBA let its teams know that there’s a chance it will introduce a streaming hub for local broadcasts as soon as next season. Many clubs’ local broadcasts have been thrown into disarray due to the fact that Main Street Sports Group, which has regional TV agreements with 13 NBA teams, is likely headed for insolvency.
Due to its financial woes, Main Street has missed payments to its teams on January 1, February 1, and March 1, per Sports Business Journal. The NBA originally didn’t plan on launching this sort of streaming hub until down the road, but it has become a higher priority in order to help teams make up for those lost rights-fee payments.
Although the league has informed its teams that it’s trying to get something together for the 2026/27 season, there’s no guarantee that will happen, so Main Street clubs have been advised to explore lining up a bridge deal for their local broadcasts. Those teams are exploring both linear and streaming options, according to Sports Business Journal.
Under the current Collective Bargaining Agreement, annual cap increases are capped at 10% to avoid another huge single-year jump like the 34.5% increase that occurred in 2016, which allowed the 73-win Warriors to sign Kevin Durant in free agency.
A 10% bump for ’26/27 would result in a $170,112,000 cap. However, based on the updates we’ve gotten to this point, there’s no indication that sort of increase is in the cards for next season.
NBA Increases Salary Cap Projection For 2026/27
The NBA informed teams on Friday that its projection for the 2026/27 salary cap has increased from $165MM to $166MM, sources tell Jake Fischer of The Stein Line (Twitter link).
When the league set a $154,647,000 cap for 2025/26, it reportedly told teams it was projecting a 7% increase for ’26/27. That would work out to $165,472,000.
It’s unclear, based on Fischer’s reporting, if the NBA’s new cap projection is exactly $166MM or the league bumped up the percentage of the projected increase (perhaps to 7.5%). Either way, it’s a relatively small difference, but it would be good news for teams that will be operating under the cap or navigating in tax/apron territory next season.
Under the current Collective Bargaining Agreement, annual cap increases are capped at 10% to avoid another huge single-year jump like the 34.5% increase that occurred in 2016, which allowed the 73-win Warriors to sign Kevin Durant in free agency.
A 10% bump for ’26/27 would result in a $170,112,000 cap. However, unless the NBA’s early estimate is way off, it doesn’t appear that the cap will rise that high next summer.
Rookie Scale Salaries For 2025 NBA First-Round Picks
With the NBA’s salary cap set at $154,647,000 for the 2025/26 league year, the rookie scale has been set as well. The rookie scale locks in the value of contracts for first-round picks.
In each NBA league year, rookie scale amounts are assigned to each first-round slot, from No. 1 through No. 30. Teams can sign their first-rounders to as little as 80% of that rookie scale amount, or up to 120% of that figure.
While that rule theoretically affords teams some flexibility, first-round picks almost always sign contracts worth 120% of their rookie scale amount, and unsigned first-rounders have a cap hold worth 120% of their rookie scale amount.
Listed below are the salary figures that represent 120% of the rookie scale amounts for 2025’s first-round picks. If a first-round pick signs a rookie scale contract in 2025/26, it will be for the amount below, unless he accepts a deal worth less than the maximum allowable 120% (in which case, we’ll update these numbers).
These salary figures will only apply if the player signs in 2025/26. If a player doesn’t sign an NBA contract this year, his rookie contract will look a little different in future seasons.
Rookie scale contracts are guaranteed for the first two years, with team options on the third and fourth years.
Here’s the 2025 breakdown:
| No. |
2025/26 | 2026/27 | 2027/28 | 2028/29 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $13,825,920 | $14,517,480 | $15,208,680 | $19,178,145 | $62,730,225 |
| 2 | $12,370,320 | $12,989,040 | $13,607,760 | $17,172,993 | $56,140,113 |
| 3 | $11,108,880 | $11,663,880 | $12,219,840 | $15,445,878 | $50,438,478 |
| 4 | $10,015,680 | $10,516,560 | $11,017,560 | $13,937,213 | $45,487,013 |
| 5 | $9,069,840 | $9,523,080 | $9,976,560 | $12,640,302 | $41,209,782 |
| 6 | $8,237,640 | $8,649,600 | $9,061,680 | $11,490,210 | $37,439,130 |
| 7 | $7,520,040 | $7,896,240 | $8,271,960 | $10,505,389 | $34,193,629 |
| 8 | $6,889,200 | $7,233,720 | $7,578,240 | $9,639,521 | $31,340,681 |
| 9 | $6,332,520 | $6,649,560 | $6,966,000 | $8,874,684 | $28,822,764 |
| 10 | $6,016,080 | $6,316,680 | $6,617,160 | $8,436,879 | $27,386,799 |
| 11 | $5,715,120 | $6,001,080 | $6,286,920 | $8,342,743 | $26,345,863 |
| 12 | $5,429,520 | $5,701,200 | $5,972,760 | $8,230,463 | $25,333,943 |
| 13 | $5,157,960 | $5,416,080 | $5,673,840 | $8,107,917 | $24,355,797 |
| 14 | $4,900,320 | $5,145,360 | $5,390,640 | $7,983,538 | $23,419,858 |
| 15 | $4,655,040 | $4,887,720 | $5,120,400 | $7,849,573 | $22,512,733 |
| 16 | $4,422,360 | $4,643,520 | $4,864,920 | $7,462,787 | $21,393,587 |
| 17 | $4,201,080 | $4,411,200 | $4,621,200 | $7,098,163 | $20,331,643 |
| 18 | $3,991,320 | $4,190,520 | $4,390,320 | $6,752,312 | $19,324,472 |
| 19 | $3,811,560 | $4,002,000 | $4,193,040 | $6,457,282 | $18,463,882 |
| 20 | $3,658,800 | $3,841,680 | $4,024,440 | $6,205,686 | $17,730,606 |
| 21 | $3,512,520 | $3,688,320 | $3,864,000 | $6,155,352 | $17,220,192 |
| 22 | $3,372,240 | $3,540,600 | $3,709,320 | $6,101,831 | $16,723,991 |
| 23 | $3,237,480 | $3,399,480 | $3,560,880 | $6,042,813 | $16,240,653 |
| 24 | $3,108,120 | $3,263,400 | $3,418,800 | $5,979,481 | $15,769,801 |
| 25 | $2,983,320 | $3,132,360 | $3,282,000 | $5,910,882 | $15,308,562 |
| 26 | $2,884,560 | $3,028,560 | $3,172,920 | $5,720,775 | $14,806,815 |
| 27 | $2,801,280 | $2,941,440 | $3,081,840 | $5,559,639 | $14,384,199 |
| 28 | $2,783,880 | $2,923,560 | $3,062,640 | $5,528,065 | $14,298,145 |
| 29 | $2,763,960 | $2,902,080 | $3,040,320 | $5,487,778 | $14,194,138 |
| 30 | $2,743,800 | $2,880,960 | $3,018,480 | $5,448,356 | $14,091,596 |
2025’s first-round picks:
- Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
- Dylan Harper (Spurs)
- VJ Edgecombe (Sixers)
- Kon Knueppel (Hornets)
- Ace Bailey (Jazz)
- Tre Johnson (Wizards)
- Jeremiah Fears (Pelicans)
- Egor Demin (Nets)
- Collin Murray-Boyles (Raptors)
- Khaman Maluach (Suns)
- Cedric Coward (Grizzlies)
- Noa Essengue (Bulls)
- Derik Queen (Pelicans)
- Carter Bryant (Spurs)
- Thomas Sorber (Thunder)
- Yang Hansen (Trail Blazers)
- Joan Beringer (Timberwolves)
- Walter Clayton (Jazz)
- Nolan Traore (Nets)
- Kasparas Jakucionis (Heat)
- Will Riley (Wizards)
- Drake Powell (Nets)
- Asa Newell (Hawks)
- Nique Clifford (Kings)
- Jase Richardson (Magic)
- Ben Saraf (Nets)
- Danny Wolf (Nets)
- Hugo Gonzalez (Celtics)
- Liam McNeeley (Hornets)
- Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers)
NBA Minimum Salaries For 2025/26
An NBA team that has spent all its cap space and doesn’t have any of its mid-level or bi-annual exception available still always has the ability to sign a player to a minimum-salary contract, unless that club is right up against its hard cap.
Teams with cap room or with access to the non-taxpayer mid-level exception will have a little more flexibility to sign players to longer-term minimum-salary contracts. However, teams without cap room and without any other exceptions on hand can still use the minimum salary exception to add as many players as roster limits and the hard cap allow, for contracts of up to two years.
[RELATED: Values of 2025/26 mid-level, bi-annual exceptions]
Undrafted free agents and second-round picks are often recipients of minimum-salary contracts, but there are plenty of veterans who end up settling for the minimum too. Because a player’s minimum salary is determined by how much NBA experience he has, many veterans will earn more than twice as much money as a rookie will in 2025/26 on a minimum-salary contract.
Listed below are 2025/26’s minimum salary figures, sorted by years of NBA experience. If a player spent any time on an NBA club’s active regular season roster in a given season, he earned one year of experience. So any player with zero years of experience has not yet made his NBA debut.
These figures represent approximately a 10% increase on last season’s minimum salaries, since that’s the amount of the NBA’s salary cap increase for 2025/26.
Here’s the full breakdown:
| Years of Experience | Salary |
|---|---|
| 0 | $1,272,870 |
| 1 | $2,048,494 |
| 2 | $2,296,274 |
| 3 | $2,378,870 |
| 4 | $2,461,463 |
| 5 | $2,667,947 |
| 6 | $2,874,436 |
| 7 | $3,080,921 |
| 8 | $3,287,409 |
| 9 | $3,303,774 |
| 10+ | $3,634,153 |
Because the NBA doesn’t want teams to avoid signing veteran players in favor of cheaper, younger players, the league reimburses clubs who sign veterans with three or more years of experience to one-year, minimum-salary contracts. Those deals will only count against the cap – and against a team’s bank balance – for $2,296,274, the minimum salary for a player with two years of experience.
For instance, Mason Plumlee, who has 12 seasons of NBA experience, will reportedly sign a one-year, minimum-salary contract with the Hornets, who will only be charged $2,296,274 for Plumlee’s contract. He’ll earn $3,634,153, but the NBA will make up the difference. This rule only applies to one-year contracts, not to multiyear deals.
If a player signs a minimum-salary contract after the regular season begins, he’ll earn a prorated portion of the amount listed above.
Those figures listed above also only apply to players who are signing new contracts in 2025/26. Players who are in the second, third, or fourth year of a minimum-salary deal will be earning a slightly different predetermined amount.
For example, Knicks big man Ariel Hukporti – who signed a minimum-salary contract last season and now has one year of NBA experience – will earn a $1,955,377 salary in the second year of his contract, less than than the $2,048,494 he would receive if he were signing a new minimum deal this fall. That’s because his second-year salary is based on a 5% raise over last season’s minimum salary for a player with one year of experience, whereas the cap rose by 10%.
Here’s what multiyear minimum-salary contracts signed in 2025/26 will look like:
| Experience |
2025/26 | 2026/27 | 2027/28 | 2028/29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | $1,272,870 | $2,150,917 | $2,525,901 | $2,735,698 |
| 1 | $2,048,494 | $2,411,090 | $2,616,754 | $2,830,685 |
| 2 | $2,296,274 | $2,497,812 | $2,707,612 | $3,068,140 |
| 3 | $2,378,870 | $2,584,539 | $2,934,742 | $3,305,598 |
| 4 | $2,461,463 | $2,801,346 | $3,161,876 | $3,543,059 |
| 5 | $2,667,947 | $3,018,158 | $3,389,014 | $3,780,524 |
| 6 | $2,874,436 | $3,234,968 | $3,616,151 | $3,799,340 |
| 7 | $3,080,921 | $3,451,779 | $3,634,152 | $4,179,277 |
| 8 | $3,287,409 | $3,468,962 | $3,997,570 | $4,179,277 |
| 9 | $3,303,774 | $3,815,861 | $3,997,570 | $4,179,277 |
| 10+ | $3,634,153 | $3,815,861 | $3,997,570 | $4,179,277 |
Technically, a minimum-salary contract could cover five years for a player with full Bird rights, but in actuality, that never happens.
While some second-round picks and undrafted free agents will sign three- or four-year minimum-salary contracts, a minimum deal exceeding two years is rare for a player with more than a year or two of NBA experience under his belt.
Data from RealGM was used in the creation of this post.
Values Of 2025/26 Mid-Level, Bi-Annual Exceptions
The salary cap for the 2025/26 NBA league year has officially been set, with the league announcing that the cap will be $154,647,000, a 10% increase on last year’s number.
Under the league’s current Collective Bargaining Agreement, the values of the mid-level, room, and bi-annual exceptions are tied to the salary cap and the percentage that it shifts in a given year. Here’s how that math works:
- Non-taxpayer mid-level exception: Worth 9.12% of salary cap.
- Taxpayer mid-level exception: Increases at the same rate as the salary cap.
- Room exception: Worth 5.678% of the salary cap.
- Bi-annual exception: Worth 3.32% of the salary cap.
Listed below are the maximum annual and total values of each of these exceptions, along with a brief explanation of how they work and which teams will have access to them. For more information, check out glossary entries on the mid-level exception and the bi-annual exception.
Mid-Level Exception (Non-Taxpayer):
| Year | Salary |
|---|---|
| 2025/26 | $14,104,000 |
| 2026/27 | $14,809,200 |
| 2027/28 | $15,514,400 |
| 2028/29 | $16,219,600 |
| Total | $60,647,200 |
The non-taxpayer mid-level exception is the primary tool available for over-the-cap teams to add free agents. As long as a team hasn’t dipped below the cap to use cap space and doesn’t go over the first tax apron ($195,945,000) at all, it can use this MLE, which runs for up to four years with 5% annual raises.
This exception can also be used to acquire players via trade or waiver claim.
Mid-Level Exception (Taxpayer):
| Year | Salary |
|---|---|
| 2025/26 | $5,685,000 |
| 2026/27 | $5,969,250 |
| Total | $11,654,250 |
This lesser form of the mid-level exception is capped at two years and can only be used to sign free agents, not to acquire players via trade or waiver claim. It includes a maximum raise of 5% for the second season.
This exception is essentially available to teams who expect their total salaries to fall between the first tax apron and the second apron ($207,824,000). It’s not available to teams above the second tax apron, so a team that does use it becomes hard-capped at that second apron. A team that uses more than $5,685,000 of its mid-level exception will be hard-capped at the first apron.
Room Exception:
| Year | Salary |
|---|---|
| 2025/26 | $8,781,000 |
| 2026/27 | $9,220,050 |
| 2027/28 | $9,659,100 |
| Total | $27,660,150 |
Although this is also a mid-level exception of sorts, it’s colloquially known as the “room” exception, since it’s only available to teams that go below the cap and use their cap room.
If a club goes under the cap, it loses its full mid-level exception, but gets this smaller room exception, which allows the team to go over the cap to sign a player once the team has used up all its cap space.
The room exception can be used to sign players for up to three years, with 5% annual raises. It can also be used to acquire players via trade or waiver claim.
Bi-Annual Exception:
| Year | Salary |
|---|---|
| 2025/26 | $5,134,000 |
| 2026/27 | $5,390,700 |
| Total | $10,524,700 |
The bi-annual exception, as its name suggests, is only available to teams once every two years. Of the NBA’s 30 clubs, only two – the Rockets and Clippers – used it in 2024/25, so they won’t have access to it in ’25/26. The league’s other 28 teams could all theoretically use it this season.
Still, even if a team didn’t use its BAE in ’24/25, that club doesn’t necessarily have access to it for the coming year. As is the case with the non-taxpayer MLE, this exception disappears once a team goes under the cap to use room. It’s also not available to teams over the first tax apron — using the BAE creates a hard cap at that apron.
The BAE can be used to sign players for up to two years, with a 5% raise after year one. It can also be used to acquire players via trade or waiver claim.
NBA Maximum Salaries For 2025/26
Now that the NBA has set its salary cap for the 2025/26 league year at $154,647,000, we have a clear idea of what maximum-salary contracts will look like for the coming season.
Listed below are the maximum-salary contracts for players signing contracts that start in 2025/26.
The first chart shows the maximum salaries for a player re-signing with his own team — a player’s previous team can offer five years instead of four, and 8% annual raises instead of 5% raises. The second chart shows the maximum salaries for a player signing with a new team.
These figures will apply to a number of players who signed maximum-salary contract extensions that will go into effect in 2025/26: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Damian Lillard, Jimmy Butler, Anthony Davis, Jayson Tatum, Jamal Murray, Donovan Mitchell, Cade Cunningham, Evan Mobley, Scottie Barnes, and Franz Wagner.
They’ll also apply to anyone who signs a maximum-salary contract with his own team as a free agent in ’25/26.
A player’s maximum salary is generally determined by his years of NBA experience, so there’s a wide gap between potential earnings for younger and older players.
In the charts below, the “6 years or less” column details the maximum contract for a player like Barnes or Wagner, as well as what a free agent like Josh Giddey is eligible for.
The “7-9 years” column applies to players like Murray and Mitchell, as well as Cunningham and Mobley, who both qualified for a Rose Rule rookie scale extension.
The “10+ years” column applies to the league’s most experienced vets, including Antetokounmpo, Lillard, Butler, and Davis, along with those who qualified for the super-max, like Tatum.
Here are the maximum salary figures for 2025/26:
A player re-signing with his own team (8% annual raises, up to five years):
| Year | 6 years or less | 7-9 years | 10+ years |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | $38,661,750 | $46,394,100 | $54,126,450 |
| 2026/27 | $41,754,690 | $50,105,628 | $58,456,566 |
| 2027/28 | $44,847,630 | $53,817,156 | $62,786,682 |
| 2028/29 | $47,940,570 | $57,528,684 | $67,116,798 |
| 2029/30 | $51,033,510 | $61,240,212 | $71,446,914 |
| Total | $224,238,150 | $269,085,780 | $313,933,410 |
A player signing with a new team (5% annual raises, up to four years):
| Year | 6 years or less | 7-9 years | 10+ years |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | $38,661,750 | $46,394,100 | $54,126,450 |
| 2026/27 | $40,594,838 | $48,713,805 | $56,832,773 |
| 2027/28 | $42,527,925 | $51,033,510 | $59,539,095 |
| 2028/29 | $44,461,013 | $53,353,215 | $62,245,418 |
| Total | $166,245,525 | $199,494,630 | $232,743,735 |
It’s worth noting that none of the maximum-salary figures listed above will apply to extension-eligible players whose new contracts will start in 2026/27.
This group includes maximum-salary rookie scale extension candidates like Paolo Banchero and Jalen Williams. It also includes players who signed max extensions in previous years that will begin in ’26/27, such as Joel Embiid and Bam Adebayo
The exact value of those players’ contracts will depend on where the cap lands for 2026/27, which won’t be officially announced until next June.
Salary Cap, Tax Line Set For 2025/26 NBA Season
The NBA has officially set the salary cap for its 2025/26 season. The cap has come in at $154,647,000, which was the projection all season long. It represents an increase of 10% on last season’s $140,588,000 cap.
Here are the details, courtesy of a league press release (Twitter link), ESPN’s Bobby Marks (Twitter link), and Eric Pincus of Bleacher Report (Twitter link):
- Salary cap: $154,647,000
- Luxury tax line: $187,895,000
- First tax apron: $195,945,000
- Second tax apron: $207,824,000
- Minimum salary floor: $139,182,000
- Non-taxpayer mid-level exception: $14,104,000
- Taxpayer mid-level exception: $5,685,000
- Room exception: $8,781,000
- Bi-annual exception: $5,134,000
- Maximum salaries:
- 6 years or fewer: $38,661,750
- 7-9 years: $46,394,100
- 10+ years: $54,126,450
- Early Bird exception: $13,936,650
- Estimated average salary: $13,870,000
- Trade cash limit: $7,964,000
- Maximum Exhibit 10 bonus: $85,300
- Expanded traded player exception amount: $8,527,000
The first tax apron for the 2025/26 league year ($195,945,000) will be the hard cap for any team that acquires a player via sign-and-trade, signs a player using more than the taxpayer portion of the mid-level exception, signs or acquires a player using a bi-annual exception, uses any portion of its mid-level exception to add a player via trade or waiver claim, uses an expanded traded player exception (ie. takes back more than 100% of a player’s salary using salary-matching), uses a trade exception generated prior to the start of the 2025 offseason, or signs a player who is waived during the regular season and had a salary exceeding $14,104,000.
The second tax apron ($207,824,000) represents the hard cap for a team that uses any portion of the mid-level exception, aggregates two or more player salaries in a trade, sends out cash in a trade, or uses a signed-and-traded player to take back salary.
The salary floor ($139,182,000) is the minimum amount a team must pay its players in 2025/26. A team that doesn’t spend up to that amount by the start of the regular season will pay the shortfall to the NBA and won’t be eligible for its full share of the luxury tax distribution at season’s end.
[RELATED: NBA Maximum Salaries For 2025/26]
[RELATED: Values Of 2025/26 Mid-Level, Bi-Annual Exceptions]
The trade cash limit is the maximum amount of money a team can send or receive during the 2025/26 league year. The sent and received categories are separate, so if a team sends out $7,240,000 in one trade and receives $7,240,000 in another, they aren’t back at square one — they’ve reached both limits.
The Early Bird amount represents the maximum starting salary a team can offer a player it intends to re-sign using his Early Bird rights, assuming that amount is greater than 175% of his previous salary.
Players earning below the estimated average salary in 2025/26 who are eligible for a veteran extension can receive a starting salary of up to 140% of the estimated average salary on a new deal. So the maximum starting salary for a player earning below the league average who signs an extension that begins in 2026/27 will be $19,418,000.
The maximum Exhibit 10 bonus is, as its name suggests, the highest possible bonus available to a player who signs an Exhibit 10 contract with an NBA team, gets cut, then spends at least 60 days with that club’s G League affiliate.
This amount ($85,300) is also the maximum two-way protection amount, which means a player who signs a two-way contract before the season can get up to $85,300 guaranteed upon signing. A player who signs a contract with more than $85,300 guaranteed is not subsequently eligible for a two-way contract with that team in 2025/26.
The expanded traded player exception amount ($8,527,000) is the amount of excess salary a team operating under both tax aprons is permitted to take back in a simultaneous trade, assuming that amount plus the player’s (or players’) outgoing salary is: (A) less than 200% (plus $250K) of the outgoing salary; and (B) more than 125% (plus $250K) of the outgoing salary. For instance, a non-apron team trading a player with a $10MM cap hit could legally acquire a player earning $18,527,000. We have more information on this rule in our traded player exception glossary entry.
The NBA is projecting its salary cap to rise by 7% in 2026/27, tweets Marks. Most salary projections for contracts signed in ’26/27 and beyond had assumed annual 10% cap increases, so it’s notable that the first official estimate from the league is coming in a little lower than that.
NBA Still Projecting 10% Cap Increase For 2025/26
The NBA has provided teams with an updated salary cap projection for the 2025/26 season, reports Bobby Marks of ESPN (Twitter link).
According to Marks, the NBA’s latest projection remains exactly in line with its estimate from last summer. The league is still calling for a 10% cap increase for ’25/26, which is the maximum increase permitted in any single season under the current Collective Bargaining Agreement.
This season’s salary cap line is $140,588,000, so the projection for next season remains at $154,647,000. That’s the figure we’ve used to project minimum salaries, maximum salaries, and mid-level and bi-annual amounts for 2025/26.
As Marks details, a 10% cap increase would also cause the luxury tax line and the first and second tax aprons to rise by the same amount. They would be as follows:
- Luxury tax: $187.9MM
- First apron: $195.9MM
- Second apron: $207.8MM
The 2024/25 season represents the first year in which all of the new apron-related restrictions have been in place. Navigating those aprons has proven to be a challenge for many teams, in large part because the cap only rose by about 3.4% last offseason, as Marks observes (via Twitter).
A 10% increase in 2025 – and perhaps in the next couple seasons after that, aided by the league’s lucrative new media rights deal – will help push those apron numbers higher, creating a more manageable landscape for teams going forward.
And-Ones: Knueppel, Bailey, Jordan Jersey, Cap Projections, G League Deal
While Duke’s Cooper Flagg is expected to be the top pick in next year’s draft, another Duke freshman has scouts excited too, according to Sam Vecenie of The Athletic. Kon Knueppel is being compared to Rockets lottery pick Reed Sheppard — a highly skilled player with elite shooting ability who was relatively underrated entering the year.
If Flagg isn’t the top pick, Rutgers’ Ace Bailey is the main candidate to supplant him. Listed at 6’10”, Bailey has shown serious shot-creation ability. Another player who has impressed scouts is Egor Demin, a 6’8″ guard who made a late commitment to BYU.
We have more from around the basketball world:
- A game-worn Michael Jordan jersey from the Bulls‘ 1996/97 season has sold for $4.68MM via Sotheby’s, according to ESPN’s Dan Hajducky. The jersey was worn in at least 17 games during the season. It’s the fourth-most expensive NBA jersey sold by Sotheby’s. Jordan holds the all-time record with his $10.1MM “Last Dance” jersey.
- The salary cap is projected to go up by $14MM to $154.6MM next season, but that won’t make much of a difference in terms of opening up cap space around the league, according to Spotrac contributor Keith Smith. The Nets and Wizards are the only teams projected to have meaningful cap space next summer.
- In an NBA G League swap, the Windy City Bulls received the returning player rights to Jordan Hall by sending Chase Audige‘s returning player rights and a 2025 G League second-round pick to the Long Island Nets (Twitter link). Hall, who played nine games with San Antonio during the 2022/23 season, signed with Italy’s GeVi Napoli of the Lega Basket Serie A this summer but was waived last month.
