2016/17 NBA Over/Unders: Atlantic Division

The 2016/17 NBA regular season will get underway in just a week and a half, which means it’s time to start getting serious about predictions for the upcoming campaign. With the help of the lines from offshore betting site Bovada.lv, we’re going to run through the predicted win totals for each of the NBA’s 30 teams, by division, and have you weigh in on whether you think those forecasts are too optimistic or too pessimistic. We’ll kick things off today with the Atlantic division…

Boston Celtics

How many games will the Celtics win?
Under 52.5 54.59% (802 votes)
Over 52.5 45.41% (667 votes)
Total Votes: 1,469

(App users, click here for Celtics poll)


Toronto Raptors

How many games will the Raptors win?
Over 50.5 54.63% (685 votes)
Under 50.5 45.37% (569 votes)
Total Votes: 1,254

(App users, click here for Raptors poll)


New York Knicks

How many games will the Knicks win?
Over 38.5 71.41% (1,009 votes)
Under 38.5 28.59% (404 votes)
Total Votes: 1,413

(App users, click here for Knicks poll)


Philadelphia 76ers

How many games will the Sixers win?
Under 23.5 54.62% (733 votes)
Over 23.5 45.38% (609 votes)
Total Votes: 1,342

(App users, click here for Sixers poll)


Brooklyn Nets

How many games will the Nets win?
Under 20.5 60.74% (755 votes)
Over 20.5 39.26% (488 votes)
Total Votes: 1,243

(App users, click here for Nets poll)

Carroll Determined To Live Up To Contract

  • Raptors small forward DeMarre Carroll is determined to deliver on his sizable contract after his injury-marred first season with the club, according to Mike Ganter of the Toronto Sun. Carroll signed a four-year, $60MM contract in the summer of 2015 but appeared in just 26 regular-season games because of knee and foot injuries. He hasn’t had any setbacks this preseason and is eager to return to the form he displayed with the Hawks that made him a coveted free agent, Ganter adds. “To me, I still feel like I’ve got a chip on my shoulder,” he told Ganter. “Really, I’ve got a log on my shoulder. It’s bigger than a chip. I feel like last year I came in and started off thinking I was going to have a great season and then all of a sudden I get injured.”

Raptors Need Consistency From Bench

  • If the Raptors are to be successful this season, the team will need its bench players to step and produce so the minutes of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan can be reduced, writes Doug Smith of The Toronto Star. “I hope that one of the young guys steps up and be consistent where we can take them off,” coach Dwayne Casey said. “If not, their workload will probably be as much because it’s hard to take both those guys off the court unless Terrence Ross is consistent, Norman Powell is consistent or one of those backup guys is consistent. If those guys come up and make it easy for me to make that decision, I have no problem in cutting their minutes back but not at the sake of losing games. I think it’s important that we get off to a good start.”

No Surprise Lowry Intends To Opt Out

  • Given the current economics around the NBA, it should come as no surprise that Kyle Lowry intends to opt out of his deal with the Raptors at season’s end, writes Doug Smith of The Toronto Star. The scribe also classifies the point guard as a “young 30-years-old,” given that he was a reserve for a large portion of his career.

VanVleet Could Make The Team

Fred VanVleet has a chance to make the Raptors’ opening night roster and the point guard is making the most out of his opportunity, Doug Smith of the Toronto Star writes. “When I’m out there, try to make it hard to notice who is the guy trying to make the team,” VanVleet said. “[I] try to be seamless in that regard, look like one of the starters, look like a bench player and look like you belong.”

Casey Unhappy With Raptors' Defense

  • Raptors coach Dwane Casey is already showing signs of frustration with his team three games into the preseason, Mike Ganter of the Toronto Sun reports. Casey believes the team’s defense, in particular, has been shabby. “We are way behind defensively, way behind on both ends of the floor,” he told Ganter and other members of the media.

Kyle Lowry Plans To Opt Out In 2017, Hopes For New Deal With Raptors

During the 2016 offseason, DeMar DeRozan opted out of the final year of his contract with the Raptors, but quickly agreed to terms with the team on a new deal when free agency opened on July 1. If Kyle Lowry has his way, he’ll emulate the path of his All-Star teammate in 2017. Lowry tells Adrian Wojnarowski of The Vertical that he plans to decline his 2017/18 option, but hopes to re-sign with Toronto.

“If you’re that franchise’s guy, and you’re the guy that they’ve been rolling with, and you’ve given that franchise everything you have, yeah, I think [negotiations] should be easy,” Lowry said. “I think it should be a situation where a guy shouldn’t have to talk to another team. DeMar didn’t have the chance to talk to another team. … For me, I think that at 12:01 a.m. on July 1 – something should be close. If not, I’m open to seeing what else is out there.”

[RELATED: Offseason In Review: Toronto Raptors]

As Wojnarowski points out, Lowry isn’t issuing any sort of threat or ultimatum to the Raptors — his decision to opt out will simply be a reflection of the “robust” free agent market. The veteran point guard is currently set to earn $12MM in 2016/17, with a $12MM option for 2017/18. If he has another All-Star season and hits the market, there’s a very good chance Lowry will receive multiyear offers worth five to 10 times that amount next July, even at age 31.

According to Wojnarowski, Lowry “loves the life he has” in Toronto, and his preference next summer will be negotiating a new long-term deal with the team, preferably for five years. In training camp last week, the Villanova product expressed a desire to avoid talking about his contract throughout the season, so he’ll likely take an approach similar to the one DeRozan took a year ago. And if the Raptors are as aggressive in contract talks with Lowry as they were with DeRozan, it sounds like he won’t be going anywhere.

Lowry ranked ninth last month in the first installment of our 2017 free agent power rankings, though he would have moved up a spot after Giannis Antetokounmpo signed an extension with the Bucks.

VanVleet Hopes To Overcome Draft Snub

  • Fred VanVleet is trying to forget about his draft snub as he works to earn a spot on the Raptors‘ roster, relays Mike Ganter of The Toronto Sun. VanVleet was a leader on some very successful teams at Wichita State, but didn’t have the standout athletic ability that impresses scouts. “When you line me up as an athletic prospect against the best guys in the world, I’m not going be very high on that board,” he said. “But when we are taking about basketball players? I’ll just say sometimes you have to evaluate what you are looking for. I don’t trust that everybody knows what they are talking about. Those guys get paid to do what they do and I’m not questioning anybody who didn’t draft me. It is what it is. I ended up in a great place in a great situation.” With Delon Wright still recovering from a shoulder injury in summer league, VanVleet has a chance to make the Raptors as a backup point guard.

Offseason In Review: Toronto Raptors

Over the next several weeks, Hoops Rumors will be breaking down the 2016 offseason for all 30 NBA teams, revisiting the summer’s free agent signings, trades, draft picks, departures, and more. We’ll evaluate each team’s moves from the last several months and look ahead to what the 2016/17 season holds for all 30 franchises. Today, we’re focusing on the Toronto Raptors.

Free agent signings:

Camp invitees:

Trades:

  • None

Draft picks:

Departing players:

Other offseason news:

  • Named Jerry Stackhouse the head coach of Raptors 905, their D-League affiliate.
  • Signed president Masai Ujiri to a contract extension and promoted Jeff Weltman to general manager.
  • Extended qualifying offer to Nando De Colo to retain his NBA rights.

Check out our salary cap snapshot for the Toronto Raptors right here.


Toronto has not typically been a popular free agent destination since the Raptors entered the NBA in 1995, with top players often balking at the idea of moving to another country – a colder one, at that – to join a franchise that had won just a single playoff series over the course of two decades.DeMar DeRozan / Jonas Valanciunas / Kyle Lowry vertical

When the Raptors have splashed around in free agency, the moves have often been ill-advised — the team’s list of big-money signees over the years includes Hedo Turkoglu, Jason Kapono, Linas Kleiza, Rafer Alston, and Landry Fields. When HoopsHype named the top 10 free agent signings in franchise history earlier this year, a pair of solid but unspectacular role players, Jose Calderon and Anthony Parker, topped the list.

Taking that history into account, 2016 has been a massive year for the franchise, which won a seven-game postseason series for the first time in Raptors history, then won another one in the second round. After their most successful season ever, the Raptors also enjoyed one of their most successful offseasons, locking up free agent guard DeMar DeRozan to a five-year, $137.5MM deal, easily the largest contract in franchise history — not to mention one of the largest in NBA history.

DeRozan’s free agency came at a time in his career when previous Raptors stars have typically decided they no longer want to be in Toronto, and have taken their talents elsewhere in free agency (Chris Bosh) or pushed for a trade (Vince Carter). Lakers-related rumors swirled around DeRozan for months leading up to his free agency, but the Compton native never seriously considered signing with any team besides the Raptors, reaching an agreement with Toronto during the early-morning hours on July 1, shortly after negotiations began.

DeRozan’s decision to stick with the Raptors is a strong signal that the franchise has turned a corner under the leadership of team president Masai Ujiri, who received a new contract extension this summer. Even before DeRozan re-signed, Ujiri had shown signs of turning around the Raptors’ free agent fortunes, inking Cory Joseph and DeMarre Carroll to multiyear deals in 2015. While Carroll’s first year with the club was marred by health issues, both players looked like good fits when they were on the court.

Still, Joseph and Carroll have skill-sets that line up well with how modern NBA games are played, but it’s not clear if the same can be said of DeRozan. The 27-year-old is a career 28.3% shooter from long range, preferring to take the majority of his jump shots from just inside the arc. And while he increased his overall field goal percentage to 44.6% in 2015/16, his best mark in five years, the Raptors had nearly as high an offensive rating when he was off the court (106.7) as when he was on it (107.1) — and the club’s defensive rating was noticeably better when DeRozan was on the bench (99.4, compared to 104.1).

That’s not to say that the Raptors should have let DeRozan leave. He’s an extremely talented scorer who shoots a ton of free throws and who has been working to improve his three-point shot. Toronto’s cap situation also likely would have prevented the team from landing another star if they’d passed on DeRozan, and the optics of an All-Star player choosing to sign long-term with the Raptors are great for the franchise. Nonetheless, for a player who will make $27.5MM annually over the life of his contract though, DeRozan will have to keep tweaking and improving his game to make the deal a strong investment for the club.

If the Raptors hadn’t re-signed DeRozan, the team likely would have made a stronger effort to bring back Bismack Biyombo, who had a breakout postseason performance, particularly after Jonas Valanciunas went down with an ankle injury. Biyombo was a fan favorite in Toronto, but Ujiri was probably wise not to pay a premium for a couple impressive months. While Biyombo is still young and could continue to show improvement, he wasn’t going to be the starter in Toronto anytime soon, with Valanciunas under contract through at least 2019. The four-year, $68MM contract Biyombo received from Orlando would have been unpalatable for the Raptors.

In addition to Biyombo, the Raptors also lost veteran rotation players Luis Scola and James Johnson. Unlike Biyombo, both Scola and Johnson saw their roles significantly reduced in the playoffs, but the duo helped provide depth throughout the season, so the Raptors needed to identify replacements this summer.

The primary beneficiary of those departures will be new power forward Jared Sullinger, who figures to be Toronto’s starter at the four, with Patrick Patterson coming off the bench. The team signed Sullinger to a one-year contract using its mid-level exception after missing out on veteran free agent Pau Gasol, who signed with the Spurs.

Having averaged a career-high 8.3 rebounds per game in 2015/16, Sullinger will help out on the boards, but the Raptors also want him to be willing to take plenty of three-point attempts. Scola had made just 10 of his 60 career three-point shots prior to last season, but made over 40% of 161 tries in his lone season in Toronto. The Raps will hope to repeat that success with Sullinger, a career 27.6% shooter from long distance, encouraging him to attempt corner threes whenever he has the opportunity. If he can improve his marksmanship from outside, he’ll have plenty of opportunities to contribute on both ends of the court, helping to make up for the departures of both Biyombo and Scola.

The Raptors’ other two key additions are first-round rookies, as center Jakob Poeltl and power forward Pascal Siakam enter the mix. With a consensus top eight prospects in this year’s draft, the No. 9 spot, where the Raptors snagged Poeltl, was the first selection that was really up in the air. Toronto could’ve selected another big man like Domantas Sabonis at that spot, so it’ll be interesting to monitor Poeltl’s development to determine whether the team made the right call. The young center made nearly 66% of his shot attempts during his two years at Utah, showing the ability to score around the basket — while he may not begin the year as Valanciunas’ top backup at center, he could earn that role over the course of the season.

As for Siakam, he was viewed as a slight reach at No. 27, but the Raptors didn’t have a second-round selection, and they seem high on the young forward. Siakam is a high-motor, max-effort player, having averaged an eye-popping 11.6 RPG last season at New Mexico State. If he impresses during the preseason, I expect he’ll have some opportunities to earn regular season minutes, providing energy off the bench.

The Raptors already have a few young players, including former first-rounders Lucas Nogueira, Bruno Caboclo, and Delon Wright, who didn’t see the floor a whole lot last season, so it’s worth keeping an eye on how head coach Dwane Casey disperses playing time among the under-25 set. If newcomers like Poeltl and Siakam quickly usurp Nogueira and Caboclo in the pecking order, it may not be a great sign for the incumbents’ potential to become rotation players.

As they prepare to enter the 2016/17 season, these Raptors look awfully similar to last year’s version, with a few tweaks around the edges. While some observers expect the club to take a step back after winning a franchise-record 56 games a year ago, Toronto will have continuity on its side, and with young players like Valanciunas, Joseph, Terrence Ross, and Norman Powell still on the rise, there’s potential for some improvement from within.

Surpassing last year’s 56-win total might not be a realistic expectation, but the Raptors should remain a strong contender in the East, relying on veteran stars like DeRozan and Kyle Lowry to carry the load. More importantly for the franchise, the last several months have proven that Toronto can be a place where standout players want to play, and a place where they believe they can win. That shift in perception could be crucial for Ujiri and the Raptors going forward as they attempt to add a few more pieces to make the team a title contender.

Salary information from Basketball Insiders used in the creation of this post. Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Carroll Hoping Second Season In Toronto Is Injury Free

DeMarre Carroll‘s first season with the Raptors after signing with the team as a free agent was marred by injury, with him seeing action in only 26 games as a result. While he’s still not 100% recovered, Carroll hopes his second campaign in Toronto is more productive, The Associated Press relays. “I look at it as basically my first season [with Toronto],” the 30-year-old Carroll said. “A new season, a new beginning. I’ve just got to come in and get back to playing DeMarre Carroll basketball when I’m healthy.” Speaking about the steps he took to prepare his injured knee for a return to the court, Carroll said, “We took a hard approach about it and we did it the right way. Last season it was more of a rush, trying to get me back. We didn’t go through the whole thing we needed to go through to get the knee to where it needs to be. I feel that we’re on the right track.

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