Hoops Rumors Originals

Waiver Order Now Determined By 2016/17 Record

It’s the first day of December, which means the NBA’s waiver order is now determined by a team’s 2016/17 record, rather than its 2015/16 mark. Waiver claims are fairly rare in the NBA, with only two players – Beno Udrih and Lamar Patterson – claimed off waivers so far during the current league year. Still, it’s worth keeping in mind which teams will have the first crack at intriguing players who may be cut over the next few weeks or months.

[RELATED: Other December dates to watch]

Prior to today, the Sixers were first in the NBA’s waiver order, followed by the Lakers, Nets, Suns, Timberwolves, Pelicans, and Knicks. As of December 1, the teams at the top of the NBA’s waiver order now look like this, as our 2016/17 Reverse Standings show:

  1. Dallas Mavericks
  2. Philadelphia 76ers
  3. Minnesota Timberwolves
  4. Brooklyn Nets
  5. Phoenix Suns
  6. Miami Heat
  7. Washington Wizards
  8. New Orleans Pelicans
  9. Denver Nuggets / Sacramento Kings / Orlando Magic (tie)
    • (Coin flip determines priority)
  10. Indiana Pacers

Of course, if an appealing target hits waivers, some of these teams are in a better position than others, even if their priority isn’t necessarily as high. For instance, the Nuggets, Kings, and Magic are currently tied in terms of waiver priority, but only one of those three teams (Denver) has cap room. As such, the Nuggets are the only club of the three with the flexibility to claim a player making more than the minimum salary.

For a refresher on exactly how waivers work, check out our breakdown from October, or our glossary entry on the subject. And be sure to use our Reverse Standings feature throughout the season if you need to determine what the NBA’s ever-shifting waiver order looks like on a given day.

Community Shootaround: Grizzlies’ PG Situation

Mike Conley‘s name hasn’t come up often in discussions about the early frontrunners for the NBA’s Most Valuable Player award, but you could make a case that the veteran point guard has been one of the most important players to his team during the season’s first month.

As NBA.com’s advanced data shows, the Grizzlies have had a +6.5 net rating per 100 possessions with Conley on the court, compared to a -13.8 mark when he’s on the bench, a gap of 20.3. As a point of reference, the Rockets have a +6.4 net rating per 100 possessions when James Harden is in the game, as opposed to a -10.4 net rating when he’s not playing — that’s a gap of 16.8.

A glance at Conley’s traditional per-game numbers also reveals the extent to which he has contributed to the Grizzlies’ success this season. Memphis’ floor general is averaging a career-high (and team-high) 19.2 PPG to go along with 5.7 APG, and is shooting an incredible 46.7% from three-point range.

Given how important Conley is to the Grizzlies, it goes without saying that the back injury he suffered on Monday, which is expected to sideline him for at least six weeks, is a major problem for the team. Memphis has a solid 11-7 record so far, but the club is also missing Chandler Parsons, James Ennis, and Brandan Wright, and doesn’t have much point guard depth behind Conley.

After playing in Toronto on Wednesday night, the Grizzlies will face a challenging December schedule that includes two contests apiece against the Cavaliers and Celtics, along with games against the Warriors, Rockets, Jazz, Thunder, and Trail Blazers. Then, to start the new year, they’ll play road games against the Lakers, Clippers, and Warriors within the first week. By that time, Conley may be nearing his return, but it’s possible Memphis will have slipped down the standings in the Western Conference.

Conley’s absence is expected to be measured in weeks rather than months, and the Grizzlies will give up their 2017 first-round pick if it doesn’t land in the top five, so it doesn’t make much sense for the team to try to tank at this point. Memphis will do everything it can to stay in the postseason mix, which may mean adding another point guard to a group that currently features a pair of rookies, Andrew Harrison and Wade Baldwin.

On Tuesday, we learned that the Grizzlies have expressed some interest in Norris Cole, who has a history with head coach David Fizdale, though he’s currently playing in China. Cole is hardly the only potential target for Memphis though — Xavier Munford, Mario Chalmers, Will Bynum, Toney Douglas, and Kendall Marshall have all been cited as possible options, though Chalmers is still recovering from an Achilles injury.

There’s also no shortage of promising point guards in the D-League at the moment. In a list put together this week by NBADL reporter Chris Reichert for Fansided.com, five of the top six candidates for an NBA call-up were point guards, including Briante Weber, Isaiah Taylor, and Spencer Dinwiddie. Of course, the Grizzlies already have two young point guards on their roster, so they may prefer a veteran as a short-term replacement during Conley’s absence.

What do you think? Should the Grizzlies sign a veteran free agent point guard? Should they look harder at D-League options? Or can they survive Conley’s absence with Harrison and Baldwin playing larger roles, treading water until their starting point guard returns? Jump into the comments section below and let us know how you’d handle the situation if you were running the Grizzlies.

Checking In On NBA’s New Head Coaches

The NBA’s head coaching carousel was in full swing earlier this year, with a third of the NBA’s teams hiring coaches to run the show. Ten teams named new head coaches, while an 11th club – the Suns – removed the interim tag on Earl Watson, making him the full-time coach in Phoenix. We’re now nearly a quarter of the way through the 2016/17 season, so it’s worth checking in to see how those new head coaches are faring.

Of course, when we’re evaluating the performances of the NBA’s new coaches to date, we have to take into account what the expectations were for his team heading into the season. For instance, the Pacers are currently a half-game ahead of the Lakers, but Los Angeles was expected to be a lottery team, while Indiana was viewed as a threat for a top-four seed in the East. As such, Luke Walton has had a more impressive start for the Lakers than Nate McMillan has for the Pacers.

Above .500:

Mike D’Antoni, Rockets: 11-7 (.611)
David Fizdale, Grizzlies: 11-7 (.611)

Only two of 10 new head coaches have their teams above .500 in the early going this year, which perhaps isn’t a huge surprise. Most teams don’t replace their head coaches after successful seasons, so the majority of those new coaches were taking over sub-.500 clubs and shouldn’t necessarily be expected to turn things around immediately.

Fizdale and D’Antoni were hired by playoff teams, putting them in a better position to succeed, but it’s not like the Grizzlies and Rockets were juggernauts last season — they squeaked into the postseason by earning the seventh and eighth seeds in the West, and were quickly dispatched. So far this season, both men have their teams looking good. D’Antoni, in particular, has done excellent work with James Harden in Houston, helping to turn him into the league leader in assists without sacrificing his scoring.

In Memphis, Fizdale has done well to keep the Grizzlies well above .500 so far despite injuries to Chandler Parsons, James Ennis, and Brandan Wright, but the latest blow – a back injury to point guard Mike Conley – could be a major setback for the team. With a challenging schedule on tap over the next six weeks, Fizdale will face one of his first significant challenges during Conley’s absence.Read more

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Community Shootaround: Most Disappointing Teams

Each of the NBA’s 30 teams entered the 2016/17 season with at least a slightly different set of expectations, and in some cases the year-long goals for teams were massively different. For instance, if the Warriors had posted a .500 record for the first month of the NBA season, it would be viewed as a disaster. For the Lakers, a .500 mark through the first 18 games has been a pleasant surprise. So in any discussion about the NBA’s most disappointing teams so far, it’s worth considering that club’s preseason expectations.

In a piece for USA Today Sports, AJ Neuharth-Keusch identifies the five teams he thinks have been the NBA’s most disappointing clubs so far, starting with the Celtics. At 9-7, Boston is currently a top-six team in the East, and is only one game behind the No. 2 seed in the East. On the surface, that doesn’t look like a disappointing start, but the C’s had high expectations for this season, and have dropped some winnable games in the early going. For Boston, a 9-7 record, including a 4-3 mark at home, qualifies as disappointing.

The Trail Blazers, Pacers, Wizards, and Mavericks round out Neuharth-Keusch’s list, with Dallas earning the No. 1 spot. The Mavs entered the season with playoff aspirations and currently hold a league-worst 3-13 record, so that position is well-earned. The Wizards are also in the lottery despite expecting to be a postseason team, while the Blazers and Pacers are hovering around .500 rather than vying four a top-four seed.

In addition to those five teams, several other clubs have had underwhelming starts. The Pistons, Magic, and Heat are all bottom-six teams in the East, while the Timberwolves are off to a 5-11 start. Even the Knicks, who have clawed their way back to .500, have gotten off to an up-and-down start, with offseason signee Joakim Noah not meshing with the roster as well as they’d hoped.

What do you think? Which team has been the NBA’s most disappointing club so far? Which of these teams off to slow starts do you expect to turn things around, and which ones will underachieve all season long? Jump into the comments section below to share your thoughts!

NBA December Dates To Watch

Near the start of the 2016/17 campaign, we looked ahead and highlighted several dates and deadlines to watch on the NBA calendar throughout the rest of the season. While that list covered the general highlights, it’s worth taking a closer look, with December around the corner, at some of those key dates to keep an eye out for over the next month. Let’s dive in…

Players becoming trade-eligible:

While many NBA players can be traded now, a huge chunk can’t be dealt until December 15, which is the default date for offseason signees to become trade-eligible. Our list of players who become eligible to be moved on December 15 features well over 100 names, so clubs eager to make a move could engage in more serious trade talks around mid-December.

Of course, for players who signed contracts later in the offseason or who meet certain specific criteria, there are other dates to watch. Thomas Robinson of the Lakers becomes trade-eligible on December 21; Bobby Brown (Rockets), Kyle Wiltjer (Rockets), and Metta World Peace (Lakers) become eligible to be moved on December 23; and Nicolas Laprovittola (Spurs) can be dealt as of December 26.

Waiver order changes:

Waiver claims are pretty rare in the NBA, since teams must have cap room to claim anyone making more than the minimum salary. Still, it’s worth noting that on December 1, the waiver order changes, with the league using this year’s reverse standings instead of last year’s. Assuming the standings don’t change between now and Thursday, that means it would be the Mavericks, Sixers, and Nets at the top of the waiver order, rather than the Sixers, Lakers, and Nets.

Salary guarantee dates:

Most non-guaranteed salaries won’t become guaranteed until January, but there are a few specific dates to watch in December. JaVale McGee (Warriors) and Rodney McGruder (Heat) will get significant chunks of their 2016/17 salaries guaranteed if they remain under contract through December 1, while Dorian Finney-Smith (Mavericks) will get a bump to his partial guarantee on December 5. You can check out the full details right here.

Christmas Day lineup:

After the NFL gets Thanksgiving to itself in November, the NBA gets its showcase on Christmas Day, December 25. The highlight of this year’s schedule will be a rematch of last year’s Finals, as the Warriors play the Cavaliers in Cleveland. However, there’s something to like in each of the other four matchups as well.

The new-look Knicks host Al Horford and the Celtics; Dwyane Wade‘s Bulls are in San Antonio to face the Spurs; Russell Westbrook and the Thunder are at home against Karl-Anthony Towns and the young Timberwolves; and the surging Clippers face the surprising Lakers in a battle of Los Angeles teams.

Weekly Mailbag: 11/21/16 – 11/27/16

We have an opportunity for you to hit us up with your questions in this, our weekly mailbag feature. Have a question regarding player movement, the salary cap or the NBA draft? Drop us a line at HoopsRumorsMailbag@Gmail.com. Here are this week’s inquiries:

What do the Bucks need to do to make the playoffs? And will Greg Monroe be traded before the trade deadline? — Dan Vachalek

At 6-8, the Bucks are only a half game out of eighth in the East, so it’s possible they could be a playoff team with the roster they have now. It’s no secret that they would like to trade Monroe and would probably consider any reasonable offer. Like many teams, Milwaukee is relying more on small-ball lineups, which creates less of a need to have Monroe on the team. ESPN’s Zach Lowe confirmed this week that the Pelicans have had “semi-serious talks” about Monroe over the past year, but those appear to be on hold. The biggest problem with trading Monroe is that he has an $17.9MM player option for next season. Most teams don’t like to deal for players in that situation because of the uncertainty involved.

I have two questions:
1. Do you think that the Nuggets could trade one of their shooting guards in Gary Harris or Will Barton?
2. Will the Thunder make some cap space by trading Enes Kanter to go after big names in free agency? — Casey Becker

The Nuggets have made it clear that they like Harris a lot. He grabbed a starting position last year and he’s still on a rookie contract, making a little more than $1.65MM this year and $2.55MM next season. Unless Jamal Murray somehow makes Harris expendable, plan on him to stay in Denver. Barton is an extremely productive bench player who also has a very team-friendly contract. The Nuggets just re-signed him in 2015, and he is making about $3.5MM this season and next. There’s not much reason to think either one will be leaving Denver.

The Thunder, on the other hand, may be regretting their decision to match Kanter’s four-year, $70MM offer sheet last summer. He’s losing minutes to Joffrey Lauvergne and could wind up as a third-string center making more than $17MM per season. If a team came to the Thunder with an offer, I think they would gladly listen.

With the T-Wolves’ slow start, there are rumors that Tom Thibodeau will likely move one of his young assets for a proven veteran. However, which player gets traded and for whom? One would think the trio of Karl-Anthony Towns, Andrew Wiggins and Zach LaVine are untouchable. Kris Dunn is viewed as the point guard of the future. Gorgui Dieng was just signed to a big contract extension. Also, they could’ve signed a veteran, such as Luol Deng, this off season or even kept Kevin Garnett on the team for leadership. Could Thibs’ frustration over losing cause him to part ways one of his young guns? –Matt Trapp

Thibodeau may not be a “trust the process” type of coach, but it would be incredibly short-sighted to break up this team full of young stars just to win a few games now. Ricky Rubio remains the player most likely to be traded, but it will be interesting to keep an eye on Minnesota between now and the deadline to see how much losing Thibodeau can tolerate without pulling the trigger on a major deal.

Community Shootaround: Joakim Noah

When the Knicks sent Robin Lopez to Chicago as part of the Derrick Rose trade, they were confident they could replace him by signing free agent center Joakim Noah. They got their man when Noah agreed to a four-year, $72MM deal, but they haven’t gotten the production they were expecting.

The 31-year-old is averaging 4.5 points and 8.8 rebounds through 13 games, and the Knicks are concerned about both his offense and defense. He is shooting just 32% from the foul line, which is part of the reason his fourth-quarter minutes have been sharply reduced.

The Knicks played two of their best games this week with Noah sidelined by the flu, and there are whispers that he might be better suited to a bench role. He started just two of the 29 games he played in Chicago last year before his season was cut short by a separated shoulder.

Noah posted three consecutive scoreless games before the illness hit, and the offense appears more fluid with Kyle O’Quinn as the starter or Kristaps Porzingis moving to center in a small-ball lineup. Noah acknowledged this week to Marc Berman of The New York Post that he feels “a step slow” and he has been “up and down” since the season started.

With the amnesty clause not expected to be part of the new CBA, there are fears that Noah could already be a sunk cost for team president Phil Jackson. Noah’s age, injury history and poor performance to start the season are all red flags, and there is a growing belief that the Knicks are a better team without him on the floor.

That leads us to tonight’s question: Was signing Noah a mistake or is it too early to judge? And if you believe it was a mistake, which available center would have been a better option?

Take to the comments section below to share your thoughts and opinions on the topic. We look forward to what you have to say.

Hoops Rumors Originals 11/20/16-11/26/16

Here’s a look back at the original content and analysis generated by the Hoops Rumors staff this past week.

Submit Your Questions For Hoops Rumors Mailbag

We at Hoops Rumors love interacting with our readers. This is why we provide an opportunity for you to hit us up with your questions in our weekly mailbag feature, which is posted each Sunday.

Have a question regarding player movement, free agent rumors, the salary cap, the NBA draft, or the top storylines of the week? You can e-mail them here: hoopsrumorsmailbag@gmail.com. Feel free to send emails throughout the week, but please be mindful that we may receive a sizable number of questions and might not get to all of them.

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