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Top Three-Point Shooters Still On The Market

Three-point shooting is a commodity now more than ever in the NBA, and teams quickly snapped up most of the best shooters in a free agent market that made few of them available. Mike Miller went to the Cavs, the Thunder signed Anthony Morrow, and an injury to Patty Mills helped short-circuit his free agency and lead him back to the Spurs.

Still, there are several proficient long-range shooters who are still available. Ray Allen, the league’s all-time leader in three-pointers made, might be the most notorious among them, but he had a down season last year, and at 39 years old, his continued effectiveness is questionable. Three-point shooting is among the many skills that made Suns restricted free agent Eric Bledsoe the No. 4 player on the Hoops Rumors Free Agent Power Rankings, but Phoenix will make the final decision over where he’ll play this coming season.

There’s one name that appears on the list below as well as the compilations of the top scorers and top rebounders on the market that I’ve put together in the past week: Michael Beasley. The former No. 2 overall pick carries some baggage from his flameouts earlier in his career, but when he saw playing time for the Eastern Conference champion Heat last season, he was effective.

Here’s the list of the top remaining free agents in descending order of three-point percentage. I’ve limited this to 10 players instead of the 15 available scorers and rebounders I listed, given the paucity of effective veteran long-range shooters who don’t already have NBA deals. Players must have attempted at least 50 three pointers last season to qualify, and that’s precisely the number taken by Hedo Turkoglu, who sits at the top.

  1. Hedo Turkoglu (44.0%)
  2. Rasual Butler (41.9%)
  3. Doron Lamb (40.0%)
  4. Michael Beasley (38.9%)
  5. Chris Douglas-Roberts (38.6%)
  6. Ray Allen (37.5%)
  7. Francisco Garcia (35.8%)
  8. Eric Bledsoe (35.7%)
  9. E’Twaun Moore (35.4%)*
  10. Rashard Lewis (34.3%)

* — Moore is reportedly expected to sign with the Bulls, but it’s not entirely clear whether the sides have an agreement.

Honorable mention:

  • Earl Clark would be next on the list, having made 33.6% of his three-pointers. No other available free agent who took at least 50 attempts from behind the arc made at least 33% of them.
  • Derek Fisher met the qualifying criteria and would have been sixth on this list at 38.4%, but he’s now the head coach of the Knicks. Shane Battier made 34.8% of the 210 three-pointers he took, which would put him 10th on the list at 34.8%, but he announced his retirement.
  • Byron Mullens (37.1%), Nando De Colo (34.0%) and Al Harrington (34.0%) have all agreed to deals overseas, but if they hadn’t, they’d appear on this list.

Free Agent Stock Watch: Dante Cunningham

Dante Cunningham never looked like a player who was going to draw significant attention in free agency this summer, but his arrest for domestic abuse last April seems to have all but eliminated interest from teams around the league. However, as Darren Wolfson of 1500 ESPN passed along Monday, the charges filed against the 27-year-old power forward have been dropped, and a report from Jon Krawczynski of The Associated Press indicates that Cunningham plans to sue his accuser in an attempt to clear his name. It remains unclear how much the recent development in his legal narrative will influence teams’ perceptions of him, but Cunningham spoke with several clubs this offseason, each of which wanted to wait for the legal process to play out before discussing a contract, as Krawczynski details.

The Joel Bell client just completed a respectable year in which he came off the bench for the Timberwolves, but he still finds himself without a contract heading into the latter part of August. While Cunningham has reportedly been maintaining interest in a return to Minnesota, it doesn’t seem as though the team shares his desire. It could have been the legal issues keeping the Wolves from calling his name, but the more probable road block keeping Cunningham from returning to Minnesota is the club’s likely acquisition of Anthony Bennett and/or Thaddeus Young in the looming Kevin Love trade.

Retaining Cunningham would give the Wolves depth at the power forward position, which would certainly help the team, given that they don’t feature a true four outside of Love as it stands. However, Minnesota is already carrying 15 fully guaranteed contracts, and the team still hasn’t worked out a deal with second-round selection Glenn Robinson III. Unless the pending Love/Andrew Wiggins swap shakes up the Wolves roster more than current reports indicate, Cunningham seems like a long shot to return to the squad with which he’s spent the last two seasons.

As far as we know, the Rockets have been the only team outside of the Wolves who have been in discussions with Cunningham about a possible deal this offseason, as our rumor page for the big man shows. But, like Minnesota, Houston has limited flexibility to bring aboard Cunningham, currently rostering 13 players on fully guaranteed deals and four guys on non-guaranteed pacts. They could waive someone to make room for Cunningham, but they’re already set to open camp with Terrence Jones, Donatas MotiejunasJosh Powell, Jeff Adrien, Robert Covington, Joey Dorsey and Clint Capela all under contract, each of whom, like Cunningham, mans the four.

Despite a lack chatter surrounding him, there’s more than likely a team out there willing to offer Cunningham a deal with at least a partial guarantee. He was part of the Wolves’ rotation for the past two years, averaging 6.3 points, 4.1 rebounds, and 1.0 assists across 20.2 minutes per night this past season, when he appeared in 81 games. His career 12.9 PER is below the league average of 15.0, but he was never expected to put up superstar-caliber numbers when he was drafted 33rd overall out of Villanova.

Now that Cunningham’s legal issues seem to be resolved, it would be especially surprising to see him without a deal when training camps open up in late September. While Cunningham might be hard-pressed to land anything but a deal worth the minimum, his modest production on the hardwood over the past two seasons should at least help him find a home with an NBA club next season, even if it isn’t with the Wolves.

Upcoming Rookie Scale Option Decisions

We’ll be taking in-depth looks at several players eligible for extensions to their rookie scale contracts this fall, but whether to extend isn’t the only decision that teams face with recent first-round picks. The final two seasons of four-year rookie scale deals are team option years, but unlike other options, the deadline for either exercising or declining them is a full year before the option season begins. In many cases, rookie scale deals are bargains and there’s no thinking required when it comes to picking up the options. The Pelicans, for instance, aren’t going to give up a year of Anthony Davis at less than eight figures.

Of course, few find instant success like Davis. Often, a former first-round pick may be struggling to find playing time or live up to his promise, but the team still has confidence that he can develop, and the front office is willing to assume his relatively small cap hit for another season. Then, there are those who aren’t panning out at all, making even a cheap rookie deal seem like an outsized expense.

Perhaps the facet of rookie scale options that’s least appealing for teams is that they have to decide a year ahead of time. The options that clubs are debating this fall are for 2015/16. Further complicating matters is that if a team declines a player’s rookie scale option, he becomes an unrestricted free agent when the deal is up, instead of a restricted free agent, as would be the case if the team allowed the contract to run to term.

Teams are in an especially difficult position with underperforming players taken near the top of the first round, since the final seasons of their rookie contracts can get pricey. Former No. 5 overall pick Thomas Robinson will be set to make $4,660,482 in 2015/16 if the Trail Blazers pick up his fourth-year option, and that might be too much for Portland to bear.

I’ve listed each player eligible to have his rookie scale option picked up before the October 31st deadline and grouped them into three categories based on the likelihood that their respective teams will exercise the options. I added a blurb for some of the more compelling cases. Feel free to disagree and share your own analysis in the comments.

No-brainers

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo, Bucks (third year, $1,953,960)
  • Bradley Beal, Wizards (fourth year, $5,694,674)
  • Trey Burke, Jazz (third year, $2,658,240)
  • Michael Carter-Williams, Sixers (third year, $2,399,040)
  • Anthony Davis, Pelicans (fourth year, $7,070,730)
  • Andre Drummond, Pistons (fourth year, $3,272,091)
  • Tim Hardaway Jr., Knicks (third year, $1,304,520)
  • Damian Lillard, Trail Blazers (fourth year, $4,236,287)
  • Nerlens Noel, Sixers (third year, $3,457,800) — True, he’s never played a minute in the NBA, but barring a setback, Philadelphia will almost certainly want to see what it has in the one-time favorite to become the top pick in 2013.
  • Victor Oladipo, Magic (third year, $5,192,520)
  • Miles Plumlee, Suns (fourth year, $2,109,294)
  • Mason Plumlee, Nets (third year, $1,415,520) — He figures to be a backup as long as Brook Lopez is around, but if he’s good enough for Team USA, he’s good enough for the Nets.
  • Terrence Ross, Raptors (fourth year, $3,553,917) — Last season was something of a breakout year, and while still he has plenty of room for improvement, it seems he’s on a development track similar to the one DeMar DeRozan rode to the All-Star Game last year.
  • Jonas Valanciunas, Raptors (fourth year, $4,660,482) — Like teammate Terrence Ross, he’s not a star, at least not yet, but there’s no reason for up-and-coming Toronto to cast aside such a promising big man.
  • Dion Waiters, Cavaliers (fourth year, $5,138,430)

Probables

  • Steven Adams, Thunder (third year, $2,279,040)
  • Harrison Barnes, Warriors (fourth year, $3,873,398) — This isn’t an open-and-shut case after he failed to show progress last season, but his down year shouldn’t be enough to prompt the Warriors to give up so soon on the former No. 7 overall pick.
  • Anthony Bennett, Sixers (third year, $5,803,560) — We could list Bennett with any one of three teams. He’s on the Cavs roster for now, but the team is set to ship him out in the Kevin Love trade. It’s not clear whether that transaction will take him to the Wolves or the Sixers, but I’ve listed Philadelphia here, since that’s the most logical outcome of the Love trade, as I’ve explained. In any case, Bennett probably won’t live up to having been a No. 1 overall pick, but it’s probably worth keeping him around another year to see if he can at least play like a lottery pick.
  • Reggie Bullock, Clippers (third year, $1,252,440)
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Pistons (third year, $2,891,760)
  • Gorgui Dieng, Timberwolves (third year, $1,474,440)
  • Festus Ezeli, Warriors (fourth year, $2,008,748) — He could easily be listed as “on the bubble,” particularly given the financial constraints on the Warriors, but Golden State has only seen him on the floor for one season, and cheap young big men are tough to come by.
  • Evan Fournier, Magic (fourth year, $2,288,205)
  • Rudy Gobert, Jazz (third year, $1,175,880)
  • Archie Goodwin, Suns (third year, $1,160,160) — The Suns didn’t give Goodwin much playing time as a rookie, and with a well-stocked backcourt, they might give him even less this time around. Still, it shouldn’t be hard for the team to keep him around at less than the cost of the minimum salary for some veterans.
  • Maurice Harkless, Magic (fourth year, $2,894,059)
  • John Henson, Bucks (fourth year, $2,943,221)
  • Solomon Hill, Pacers (third year, $1,358,880) — He rarely saw the floor as a rookie, but with Lance Stephenson gone and Paul George injured, Hill, who plays small forward, will have a chance to shine.
  • Perry Jones III, Thunder (fourth year, $2,038,206)
  • Terrence Jones, Rockets (fourth year, $2,489,530)
  • Sergey Karasev, Nets (third year, $1,599,840) — He rarely played as a rookie, but the investment is cheap. Even amid Mikhail Prokhorov’s apparent austerity pledge, it’s tough to envision the Russian owner turning his back on one of his countrymen.
  • Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Hornets (fourth year, $6,331,404)
  • Jeremy Lamb, Thunder (fourth year, $3,034,356)
  • Shane Larkin, Knicks (third year, $1,675,320)
  • Alex Len, Suns (third year, $3,807,120)
  • C.J. McCollumTrail Blazers (third year, $2,525,160)
  • Ben McLemore, Kings (third year, $3,156,600)
  • Donatas Motiejunas, Rockets (fourth year, $2,288,205)
  • Shabazz Muhammad, Timberwolves (third year, $2,056,920) — The No. 1 high school recruit from 2012 finally drew significant playing time in the second half of the season, but his first NBA season couldn’t have gone much worse. It’s probably too soon for Minnesota to cut ties, however.
  • Nemanja Nedovic, Warriors (third year, $1,151,760)
  • Andrew Nicholson, Magic (fourth year, $2,380,594) — His development stalled last season, but Orlando is still in rebuilding mode and can afford to be patient.
  • Kelly Olynyk, Celtics (third year, $2,165,160)
  • Otto Porter, Wizards (third year, $4,662,960) — An early season injury helped prevent him from making an impact last season, but there’s no reason for Washington to abandon plans for a long-term future with the No. 3 overall pick from 2013.
  • Andre Roberson, Thunder (third year, $1,210,800)
  • Dennis Schröder, Hawks (third year, $1,763,400) — The point guard didn’t receive much playing time as a rookie, but the Hawks probably want to see him on the floor in a more significant role this season before junking a mid-first-round pick.
  • Tony Snell, Bulls (third year, $1,535,880)
  • Jared Sullinger, Celtics (fourth year, $2,269,260)
  • Tony Wroten, Sixers (fourth year, $2,179,354)
  • Cody Zeller, Hornets (third year, $4,204,200)
  • Tyler Zeller, Celtics (fourth year, $2,616,975)

On the bubble

  • John Jenkins, Hawks (fourth year, $2,228,025)
  • Meyers Leonard, Trail Blazers (fourth year, $3,075,880) — The Blazers probably envisioned Leonard turning into a starting center at some point when they spent a lottery pick on him two years ago, but he was just a third-stringer last year.
  • Arnett Moultrie, Sixers (fourth year, $2,049,633) — We could easily create a fourth category for Moultrie, since Injury trouble and a drug suspension make it unlikely that the Sixers will pick up his option.
  • Thomas Robinson, Trail Blazers (fourth year, $4,660,482) — The Blazers didn’t trade him within months of acquiring him like the Kings and Rockets did, but he’s yet to show much of the promise that made him the fifth overall pick in 2012. He doesn’t seem worth a salary nearly equivalent to the non-taxpayer’s mid-level.
  • Austin Rivers, Pelicans (fourth year, $3,110,796) — Last season was an improvement on his disastrous rookie campaign, but it doesn’t erase doubt about whether Rivers is worth the continued investment.
  • Marquis Teague, Nets (fourth year, $2,023,261) — Brooklyn is almost certain to decline its option on Teague, according to a report from earlier this summer.

ShamSports was used in the creation of this post.

Largest Expiring Contracts For 2014/15

Expiring contracts aren’t what they used to be in the NBA. Once sought-after trade chips, players who are in the final season of a lucrative deal are no longer as valuable under the current collective bargaining agreement, which mandates shorter contracts that help teams more easily clear cap space each year.

Still, these types of deals remain commodities for some teams. The Warriors last year shipped three expiring contracts, including two with a combined value of more than $20MM for Richard Jefferson and Andris Biedrins, to the Jazz in a three-team deal that netted Andre Iguodala. Golden State had been over the cap and was thus unable to sign Iguodala outright, so the expiring deals, which Utah could write off after just a year, came in quite handy for the Warriors.

The Wizards used Emeka Okafor‘s nearly $14.488MM expiring contract last season to trade with the Suns for Marcin Gortat, who became a key part of Washington’s playoff run. Okafor never played for the Suns, but his contract came off the books at season’s end, and Phoenix netted a first-round pick for its trouble. The Okafor contract is nonetheless also representative of the declining value of such deals, since the Suns were unable to find a palatable swap that would allow them to flip Okafor at the trade deadline in February.

There are currently 10 expiring contracts valued in excess of $10MM, and Amar’e Stoudemire‘s massive deal leads them all. The Knicks have reportedly engaged in discussions with the Sixers, the only team close to enough cap space to take Stoudemire on without giving back salary in return, but no deal has materialized. Stoudemire’s deal would have been difficult to move even in the days when teams coveted expiring contracts.

Others among these 10 aren’t likely to be going anywhere, as LaMarcus Aldridge has pledged allegiance to the Trail Blazers and Tim Duncan almost certainly will never play for a team other than the Spurs. Kevin Garnett possesses one of the NBA’s few no-trade clauses, one that’s still in effect even though he gave his blessing to the Celtics/Nets trade last year. Still, Tyson Chandler has already been traded once this summer, and Rajon Rondo‘s name has been connected to trade rumors for more than a year now. Here are the 10 most lucrative expiring contracts, in descending order of value, with the figures rounded to the nearest $1K.

The 12 next most expensive expiring contracts offer a few more likely trade candidates. Marcus Thornton, Omer Asik and Jeremy Lin have all been traded already this offseason, and there have been rumors about Tayshaun Prince. Steve Nash might be poised to reprise the injured Okafor’s role in a similar trade this year, since it’s unclear whether Nash will be healthy enough to play. This list includes Jordan Hill, whose two-year deal was a de facto expiring contract from the moment he signed it, since the second season is a team option. It also features Anderson Varejao and Amir Johnson, whose partially guaranteed contracts would allow any team that trades for them to pocket immediate savings rather than waiting for next summer.

ShamSports was used in the creation of this post.

Top Rebounders Still On The Market

Most of the summer’s marquee free agents have found teams, so clubs still looking for upgrades likely have to turn their attention to bargains and specialists at this point. Few of the players still available can make significant contributions in a wide array of statistical categories, but plenty have carved out a niche and can help a team looking to shore up a particular area of need, be it scoring, rebounding, ball distribution, three-point shooting, or another phase of the game.

Last week, I looked at the top scorers on the free agent market, and the focus today is on the best rebounders available. Pistons restricted free agent Greg Monroe appears on both lists, to no one’s surprise, but so do Michael Beasley, Andray Blatche, Andrew Bynum, Jermaine O’Neal and Antawn Jamison, making them attractive options as well.

The top 15 remaining free agents by rebound rate (a percentage of missed shots they rebounded) are listed below. Their rebound rate for 2013/14 is listed in parentheses. Players who averaged fewer than 10 minutes per game and appeared in fewer than 20 contests this past season aren’t included.

  1. Gustavo Ayon (16.9%)
  2. Andrew Bynum (15.8)
  3. Greg Monroe (15.4%)
  4. Jermaine O’Neal (15.0%)
  5. Elton Brand (14.8%)
  6. Andray Blatche (14.4%)
  7. Daniel Orton (13.1%)
  8. Michael Beasley (13.0%)
  9. Greg Stiemsma (13.0%)
  10. Chris Singleton (12.8%)
  11. Hedo Turkoglu (12.6%)
  12. Kenyon Martin (12.5%)
  13. Antawn Jamison (12.3%)
  14. Dante Cunningham (11.0%)
  15. (tie) Earl Clark (10.5%); Ekpe Udoh (10.5%)

Honorable mention:

NBA’s Top Spenders In 2014 Free Agency

There’s probably no way the Heat can make up for the loss of LeBron James, but it won’t be for a lack of financial commitment. The Heat spent more than $220MM on players this summer, nearly doubling the team with the next greatest total of expenditures since July 1st.

I looked at each team’s most expensive signing last week, and while Chris Bosh, Miami’s representative, put the Heat second on that list, the full picture of the team’s summer signings shows just how much team president Pat Riley and company shelled out. It helps that Norris Cole was the only player under contract to begin July, but the Sixers have retained plenty of cap space all summer, and they’ve yet to sign anyone for more than the minimum.

As with last week’s list of the most expensive signings by team, there are some ground rules at play. The list below includes non-guaranteed salary and option years, but it doesn’t consider trade acquisitions. It doesn’t take into account rookie scale contracts, either. To help weed out summer contracts and many of the players who won’t be on NBA rosters come opening night, I’ve eliminated deals for the minimum salary. This listing does include non-minimum signings of second-round picks and undrafted players, as well as Nikola Mirotic, a former first-round pick who signed for more than the rookie scale. I’ve also thrown in Carlos Boozer for the Lakers, who claimed him off amnesty waivers. Here’s the complete list, rounded to the nearest $1K, with salary data via our 2014 Free Agent Tracker. The number of years committed and the number of players to whom the money is going are in parentheses.

  1. Heat: $220.578MM (21 years, eight players)
  2. Knicks: $127.343MM (six years, two players)
  3. Mavericks: $96.317MM (14 years, five players)
  4. Wizards: $93.748MM (14 years, five players)
  5. Raptors: $84.15MM (11 years, four players)*
  6. Jazz: $72.74MM (six years, two players)**
  7. Cavaliers: $50.515MM (seven years, four players)
  8. Suns: $49.5MM (nine years, three players)
  9. Magic: $49.21MM (11 years, four players)
  10. Lakers: $47.033MM (10 years, five players)
  11. Hornets: $46.905MM (seven years, three players)
  12. Bulls: $44.564MM (eight years, three players)
  13. Rockets: $41.398MM (six years, two players)
  14. Spurs: $38.999MM (seven years, two players)***
  15. Pistons: $36.335MM (10 years, four players)
  16. Hawks: $33.3MM (11 years, four players)
  17. Celtics: $32MM (four years, one player)****
  18. Clippers: $26.9MM (six years, two players)
  19. Pacers: $21.404MM (seven years, two players)
  20. Warriors: $16.631MM (three years, one player)
  21. Grizzlies: $16.511MM (five years, two players)
  22. Kings: $15.041MM (three years, one player)
  23. Trail Blazers: $14.063MM (four years, two players)
  24. Nets: $12.887MM (five years, two players)
  25. Thunder: $10.032MM (three years, one player)
  26. Bucks: $8.425MM (five years, two players)
  27. Timberwolves: $4.63MM (two years, two players)
  28. Pelicans: $2MM (one year, one player)
  29. Nuggets: No qualifying signings
  30. Sixers: No qualifying signings

* — Jordan Hamilton has agreed to a deal with the Raptors, and while it seems likely that it’s a minimum-salary arrangement, that has yet to be reported. Hamilton isn’t included in the tallies for Toronto.
** — The Jazz and Kevin Murphy have a deal that’s presumably for the minimum salary, though the precise value has not yet been made public. His figures aren’t reflected here.
*** San Antonio’s contract with JaMychal Green is presumably for the minimum, but that point has yet to be reported. It’s not included here.
**** — The Celtics also have a deal with Evan Turner that’s reportedly for a portion of the mid-level exception, but the precise value is not yet publicly known. His numbers aren’t shown in Boston’s totals.

Hoops Rumors On Facebook/Twitter/RSS

No. 1 overall pick Andrew Wiggins becomes eligible to be traded on Saturday, meaning the Kevin Love deal can become official, and with it, there will presumably be clarity on whether the Sixers and Thaddeus Young will be involved in the transaction. Eric Bledsoe and Greg Monroe remain unsigned, as does Ray Allen. There are a handful of ways you can follow us to keep tabs on the latest news and rumors as these storylines develop.

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Free Agent Stock Watch: Jermaine O’Neal

In his limited time on the floor last season, veteran big man Jermaine O’Neal proved that he still has plenty of basketball left in him.  In a little over 20 minutes per contest, the 6’11” O’Neal averaged 7.9 PPG and 5.5 RPG, good for a respectable 15.3 PER rating, just above the league average.  Sure, those aren’t the kind of numbers O’Neal posted during his best years (18.6 PPG, 9.6 RPG, and 2.4 BPG with a 19.5 PER) but at 35, J.O. can still be a solid piece off of the bench.

As we learned last month, the Warriors are still in regular contact with O’Neal, but he’s also giving some thought to retirement.  O’Neal hasn’t lost his love for the game of basketball, but he badly wants to spend time with his family.  It’s hard to blame him.  The 35-year-old (36 in October) has spent the last 18 years on the road, bouncing from city to city ever since he went pro out of Eau Claire High School in Columbia, South Carolina.

In a chat with Rusty Simmons of the San Francisco Chronicle in May, O’Neal admitted that he felt that he had unfinished business.

It’s been a fantastic run,” the six-time All-Star said, while adding that he’d ask his 8-year-old son for input. “You never picture your last game being one where you can’t be effective in a Game 7. That’s a tough pill to swallow.”

O’Neal went on to thank his teammates in Golden State for “injecting life back into [his] soul” and said that he would consider a front office job with the Warriors if he doesn’t continue his playing career.  You never know what might happen if an attractive contender comes calling, but as far as we know, it’s a two horse race between the Warriors and retirement at this point for O’Neal.  With a long, accomplished career, plenty of cash in the bank, and a young family at home, no one would fault O’Neal for calling it quits this summer.

Hoops Rumors Originals

Here’s a look back at the original analysis generated by the Hoops Rumors staff this week..