Hoops Rumors Originals

2017 Offseason Salary Cap Digest: Utah Jazz

Viewed heading into the 2016/17 season as the Western lottery team most likely to make the jump into the playoffs, the Jazz delivered — and then some. Their 51-31 record was their best mark since 2009/10. Having battled injuries for much of the year, Utah has room to take another step forward next season, but the club will first have to navigate a difficult offseason, with key players like Gordon Hayward and George Hill potentially reaching free agency.

Here’s where things currently stand for the Jazz financially, as we continue our Offseason Salary Cap Digest series for 2017:

Guaranteed Salary

Player Options

Team Options

  • None

Non-Guaranteed Salary

Restricted Free Agents

  • Joe Ingles ($2,687,500 qualifying offer / $4,085,000 cap hold)
  • Total: $4,085,000

Cap Holds

  • Gordon Hayward ($24,109,710) — If player option is declined
  • George Hill ($15,200,000)
  • Shelvin Mack ($4,623,335)
  • No. 24 overall pick ($1,579,440)
  • Jeff Withey ($1,471,382)
  • No. 30 overall pick ($1,394,520)
  • Total: $48,378,387

Projected Salary Cap: $101,000,000

Maximum Cap Room: $30,686,325

  • With their eight guaranteed contracts, cap holds for two first-round picks, and a pair of cap charges for empty roster spots, the Jazz would have a team salary of $70,313,675. However, in that scenario, Utah would have to renounce Hayward, Hill, Ingles, and the rest of their free agents, in addition to waiving Diaw and Neto. So that’s probably a scenario the club will try to avoid. Re-signing Hayward and/or Hill would eat up most or all of Utah’s potential cap room.

Footnotes:

  1. Diaw’s salary becomes fully guaranteed after July 15.

Salary information from Basketball Insiders and The Vertical was used in the creation of this post.

Community Shootaround: Western Finals

Thus far, the playoffs have been full steam ahead for the Warriors and Cavaliers. A third straight clash in the NBA Finals seems almost inevitable, given that neither has lost a game yet this postseason.

The Eastern Conference semifinal matchup between the Wizards and Celtics has been entertaining, particularly the point guard showdown between John Wall and Isaiah Thomas. Regardless of which club prevails in that series, it’s tough to see either one taking more than one or two games from the Cavaliers in the Eastern Conference Finals. LeBron James and Kyrie Irving are playing at peak efficiency, with only the star-laden Warriors seemingly capable of slowing them down.

It’s safe to say Golden State will take care of business and dispose of the Jazz as early as this evening. The Warriors’ opponent in the next round is still very much in doubt. The Rockets-Spurs series has lived up to its billing, with each team showed it’s capable of dominating the other. The Rockets crushed the Spurs in San Antonio during Game 1 with their high-powered attack. The Spurs turned up the defensive intensity and cruised to victory in Game 2, then posted another double-digit win in Game 3 at Houston. The Rockets responded in Game 4 on Sunday with 19 made 3-pointers and buried the Spurs.

It could very take seven games to decide that series, and while either would be a major underdog against Golden State, a Western Conference Finals upset is not as far-fetched as Cleveland failing to represent the East in the Finals. The Warriors would have to face another team with plenty of firepower to match their offensive weapons if the Rockets outlast the Spurs. Golden State would have to deal with San Antonio’s teamwork, experience and savvy if the Spurs get through the conference semifinals.

That brings us to our Community Shootaround question of the day: Which team would give the Warriors a tougher battle in the conference finals — the Rockets or Spurs? And why?

Please take the comments section and share your thoughts on this subject. We look forward to what you have to say.

Why NBA Sign-And-Trades Are Rare

With the 2016/17 season officially coming to an end for most teams, the focus in many NBA cities has shifted to the upcoming offseason, with big-name free agents dominating discussion. Most recently, the Cavaliers’ series win over the Raptors generated far less speculation about how Cleveland will match up with its possible opponents in the Eastern Conference Finals than it did about the futures of Kyle Lowry, Serge Ibaka, and the Raptors.

Free agent speculation often leads to suggestions of sign-and-trade deals, particularly in cases like the Raptors’ or Clippers’. Neither team has been able to make it over the hump and seriously contend for a title in recent years, but both clubs have All-Star players eligible for free agency this summer. It may be time to shake things up in Toronto and Los Angeles, but neither the Raps nor the Clippers want to lose guys like Chris Paul, Blake Griffin, or Lowry for nothing. So could a sign-and-trade be on the table for either team?

While sign-and-trade deals may make sense in theory, the NBA’s Collective Bargaining Agreement makes them tricky in reality, particularly for elite free agents. Here are a few reasons why:

1. Players can only get true maximum salary contracts if they remain with their previous team.

Under the old CBA, a sign-and-trade deal allowed a player to sign for the true max – in terms of total years and annual raises – even though he wasn’t remaining with his previous team. That’s no longer the case.

If, for instance, the Raptors were to sign-and-trade Lowry to another club, he wouldn’t be able to receive the five years or 8% annual raises that he would if he re-signed with Toronto — he’d still be eligible for the same starting salary, but would be limited to four years and 5% raises, reducing the overall value of his max contract by about $50MM.

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Community Shootaround: Raptors’ Free Agents

As the Cavaliers attempt to complete a sweep of the Raptors in Toronto, the Raps could be experiencing their final moments with Kyle Lowry, P.J. Tucker, Serge Ibaka, and Patrick Patterson playing north of the border.

Lowry, in particular, likely won’t go out on a high note, having missed Games 3 and 4 due to a left ankle sprain. The 31-year-old was also sidelined for 18 games due to right wrist surgery toward the end of the 2016/17 campaign, so he enters free agency as a dynamic guard who is north of 30, coming off an injury-riddled season.

Still, Lowry has averaged 18.2 PPG, 6.8 APG, and 4.7 RPG over the past five seasons in Toronto, racking up three consecutive All-Star appearances. Also, the Villanova University product set career-highs in PPG (22.4) and RPG (4.8) while adding solid totals in APG (7.0) through 60 games this season. Premium facilitators are coveted in today’s game and Lowry has been one of the game’s best at his position.

After spending his first seven seasons with the Thunder, Ibaka split 2016/17 between the Magic and Raptors. Ibaka is regarded as one of the NBA’s premier defenders and while his blocks have seen a drop, his RPG (6.8) were identical to last season and he posted his best PPG total (14.8) since 2013/14. Still just 27 years old without a history of serious injuries, the versatile swingman will be plenty popular on the market.

Much like Ibaka, Tucker was a trade deadline acquisition, but was acquired more for his defensive intensity and rebounding. With 11 professional seasons under his belt at 32 years old, Tucker figures to draw interest as a solid reserve, a role he has excelled in since returning to the NBA in 2012/13. In 81 games between the Suns and Raptors this season, Tucker posted totals of 6.7 PPG and 5.8 RPG.

Finally, Patterson has — just like Tucker — been a solid role player in recent seasons, the last three-and-a-half as a member of the Raptors. This season, Patterson averaged 6.8 PPG and 4.5 RPG through 65 games (eight starts). At 28, he still has relative youth on his side and will have no shortage of suitors.

With four departures there are major questions to be answered: Will the Raptors let Lowry walk and lose All-Star level production from a position of strength? Is Ibaka worth a long-term investment? Also, will Toronto be willing to pay above average salaries to career reserves who contribute solid, yet unspectacular, numbers?

Share your thoughts on the Raptors’ offseason outlook in the comments section below!

Weekly Mailbag: 5/1/17 – 5/7/17

We have an opportunity for you to hit us up with your questions in this, our weekly mailbag feature. Have a question regarding player movement, the salary cap or the NBA draft? Drop us a line at HoopsRumorsMailbag@Gmail.com. Here are this week’s inquiries:

Assuming the Raptors lose today, what coaching candidates would fit in Canada if Dwane Casey is cut loose? — Darrell Samuels, via Twitter

NBA coaches are on a historically long run with no one getting fired, and Casey doesn’t deserve to be the one to break it. He is 261-215 since taking over in Toronto six years ago and had three straight Atlantic Division titles before this season. The problem is that he can’t get past the Cavaliers in the playoffs, but it’s not his fault that the other guys have LeBron James and he doesn’t. If the Raptors decide to axe Casey, the obvious candidate is waiting in the D-League. Jerry Stackhouse just led Toronto 905 to the league title and seems ready for opportunity to be an NBA head coach. A former assistant with the Raptors, Stackhouse was named D-League Coach of the Year this season and is probably viewed by the organization as Casey’s eventual replacement, whether that’s right away or somewhere down the road.

Who will be the “under the radar” free agent getting the most attention this summer? — Grizz Tony, via Twitter

Joe Ingles is a name that a lot of NBA fans may not know, but his contributions helped the Jazz reach the final four in the West. The third-year small forward averaged 7.1 points and 3.2 rebounds this season, but those numbers don’t tell the full story. He shot 44% from 3-point range and is a rugged defender who isn’t afraid to take on the toughest challenges. Ingles will be a restricted free agent, and although Utah would like to keep him, the organization will have other priorities with Gordon Hayward and George Hill both on the market. Toronto’s Patrick Patterson and P.J. Tucker could also be considered “under the radar,” along with Cavaliers guard Deron Williams, Heat center Willie Reed and Clippers forward Marreese Speights.

If the Jazz get swept in the second round, what are the chances that Gordon Hayward leaves in free agency? — Todd L., via Twitter

Utah will have a max offer ready for Hayward any time he wants to sign it, but there will be competitors lurking once he hits the open market. The Heat and Pacers are rumored to have interest in the All-Star small forward, and the Celtics seem like a natural fit with Hayward’s connections to Brad Stevens, his college coach. However, the Jazz have the advantage of being able to offer more money and more years, and Hayward seems happy to be part of the team they’re building in Utah. Look for him to re-sign, and probably very early.

Send Us Your Mailbag Questions, Hoops Links Submissions

Every week at Hoops Rumors, we publish a pair of features that rely on input and submissions from our readers. One is our Weekly Mailbag, in which Arthur Hill answers a few questions related to the latest news and rumors from around the NBA. The second is our Hoops Links feature, which showcases a selection of notable NBA blog entries from all over the internet. In each instance, the content for those features comes from you.

Have a question regarding player movement, free agent rumors, the salary cap, the NBA draft, or the top storylines of the week? You can email them here for consideration for our Weekly Mailbag on Sundays: hoopsrumorsmailbag@gmail.com. If your question doesn’t get selected for our mailbag, be sure to join us on Monday afternoons for our weekly live chats.

Got a new NBA blog post that you’d like to see featured on Hoops Rumors? You can send the URL and a brief description of the piece to HoopsRumorsTips@sports.ws for consideration.

Be sure to send us your new mailbag questions and NBA blog posts each week, and check back to see if you’ve been featured in that week’s installment!

Hoops Rumors Originals: 4/30/17 – 5/6/17

Every week, the Hoops Rumors writing team compiles original content to complement our news feed. Here are some of our favorite segments and features from the past seven days:

2017 Offseason Salary Cap Digest: Los Angeles Clippers

The Clippers have three players who are perennial All-NBA candidates, and have racked up at least 51 victories in each of the last five seasons. However, they’ve also only won two playoff series during that stretch — that’s why, with Chris Paul and Blake Griffin headed toward potential free agency, there are so many calls for Los Angeles to blow things up this offseason. A full-scale rebuild seems unlikely, since the Clippers won’t want to lose their top free agents for nothing, and sign-and-trades are difficult to pull off under the current CBA. Still, changes of some sort are looming in the wake of another postseason disappointment.

Here’s where things currently stand for the Clippers financially, as we continue our Offseason Salary Cap Digest series for 2017:

Guaranteed Salary

Player Options / Early Termination Options

Team Options

  • None

Non-Guaranteed Salary

  • Paul Pierce ($2,583,760) — Partial guarantee. Guaranteed portion noted above.1
  • Total: $2,583,760

Restricted Free Agents

  • None

Cap Holds

  • Chris Paul ($34,303,241) — If early termination option is exercised
  • Blake Griffin ($30,211,259) — If early termination option is exercised2
  • J.J. Redick ($14,017,250)
  • Luc Mbah a Moute ($2,863,900) — If player option is declined
  • Alan Anderson ($1,471,382)
  • Brandon Bass ($1,471,382)
  • Raymond Felton ($1,471,382)
  • Marreese Speights ($1,471,382) — If player option is declined
  • Total: $87,281,178

Trade Exceptions

Projected Salary Cap: $101,000,000

Maximum Cap Room: $36,357,897

  • Determining the Clippers’ maximum cap space is a less interesting exercise than it is for most other teams, since there’s very little chance the Clips will part ways with all their free-agents-to-be in an effort to create cap room. Still, it’s worth noting that if the club renounces those free agents and exceptions, keeps its six guaranteed salaries, and accounts for six empty roster spots, that would result in a $64,642,103 team salary. A new deal for Paul would eat up most of that room, and if the Clippers are able to retain Griffin as well, that would send team salary way over the cap.

Footnotes:

  1. Pierce’s salary becomes fully guaranteed after June 30.
  2. Griffin’s cap hold can’t exceed his maximum salary, which is currently projected to be $30,300,000.

Salary information from Basketball Insiders and The Vertical was used in the creation of this post.

2017 Offseason Salary Cap Digest: Atlanta Hawks

A year after losing Al Horford in free agency, the Hawks risk Paul Millsap declining his player option and following the same path. When Horford left last summer, Atlanta went on a bit of a spending spree, signing Dwight Howard, Kent Bazemore, and Dennis Schroder to lucrative long-term deals. Those three veterans are now the highest-paid players on the Hawks’ books, and it will be interesting to see if the club adds another player or two to that group if Millsap departs.

Here’s where things currently stand for the Hawks financially, as we continue our Offseason Salary Cap Digest series for 2017:

Guaranteed Salary

Player Options

Team Options

  • None

Non-Guaranteed Salary

  • Mike Dunleavy Jr. ($3,512,500) — Partial guarantee. Guaranteed portion noted above.1
  • Ryan Kelly ($1,577,230)2
  • Total: $5,089,730

Restricted Free Agents

  • Tim Hardaway Jr. ($4,588,840 qualifying offer / $5,704,013 cap hold)
  • Total: $5,704,013

Cap Holds

Trade Exceptions

Projected Salary Cap: $101,000,000

Maximum Cap Room: $30,922,632

  • By waiving their players without fully guaranteed contracts and renouncing all their exceptions and free agents (including Millsap), the Hawks would be left with six players on guaranteed deals, a cap hold for their first-round pick, and cap charges for empty roster spots totaling $70,077,368. That would give the club nearly $31MM in cap room, but if Atlanta wants to make an effort to re-sign Millsap, that space would go away — Millsap’s cap hold exceeds $30MM on its own.

Footnotes:

  1. Dunleavy’s salary becomes fully guaranteed after July 1.
  2. Kelly’s salary becomes fully guaranteed after July 7.

Salary information from Basketball Insiders and The Vertical was used in the creation of this post.