Hoops Rumors Originals

Community Shootaround: MVP Favorite

Russell Westbrook is the favorite to repeat as MVP, according to odds released by Bovada, an online gambling site.

Westbrook is listed as +350, which means a bettor who wagers $100 would get back $350 if Westbrook wins the award. Kevin Durant is close behind at +450, followed by Kawhi Leonard at +650. LeBron James at +750 and James Harden at +800 round out the top five.

Westbrook cruised to the trophy last season with a record-setting 42 triple-doubles. His production may fall this year with the addition of Paul George in Oklahoma City, but he could help his case if the Thunder improve on their 47-35 record.

Bovada lays odds on 39 candidates, ranging down to Dirk Nowitzki, Andre Drummond, Dwight Howard, Hassan Whiteside and Jeff Teague, who are all listed at +25,000. Among players who changed teams over the offseason, George and new Rockets point guard Chris Paul are tied for the best odds at +2,500.

Given the changes that have taken place across the league, who is you favorite to take home MVP honors for 2017/18? Please leave your comments below.

NBA Free Agents Who Have Joined Teams Overseas

Approximately 450 players finished the 2016/17 season on NBA rosters, but not all of those 450 players will find a spot on an NBA team in 2017/18. With rookies, undrafted free agents, and international signees poised to occupy at least a few dozen roster spots around the league this season, some NBA players will have to look elsewhere for work.

Some of those players will retire, and others will end up in the G League, while many will head overseas to continue their playing careers in some of the best non-NBA professional leagues around the world. Salaries generally aren’t as lucrative in those leagues, and they don’t provide the opportunity to compete against the world’s very best players.

Still, an NBA role player who decides to head overseas can often match or exceed his potential minimum NBA salary, and will have the chance to take on a much larger role for an international team. That’s why even some players who have had some NBA success and are still in their 20s – such as Brandon Jennings – have opted to make the jump overseas this offseason.

Listed below are the players who finished the 2016/17 season on an NBA roster and have since reached an agreement with an international team. Each player’s former NBA team is listed, along with his new team overseas, and a link to our story on his new deal.

Meanwhile, here are a few more players who are headed overseas after spending a good chunk of the 2016/17 season on an NBA roster — these players were waived by their NBA teams before the end of the year.

Hoops Rumors’ 2017 Free Agent Tracker was used in the creation of this post.

Five Candidates To Be Waived With Stretch Provision

NBA teams have about two more weeks to apply the stretch provision to the 2017/18 cap hits for players they waive. After August 31, teams will no longer be eligible to stretch salaries for the coming season, and the stretch provision will only apply to future seasons on a player’s contract.

The stretch provision is a CBA rule that allows teams to stretch a player’s remaining salary across additional seasons. For July and August, the rule dictates that a team can pay out the player’s salary over twice the number of years remaining on his contract, plus one. So a contract with three years left on it could be stretched out over seven years. After August 31, only the future years on the contract can be stretched in that manner.

In practical terms, here’s what that means for a player who is earning $6MM in each of the next two years ($12MM total):

Year Current contract Stretched by August 31 Stretched after August 31
2017/18 $6,000,000 $2,400,000 $6,000,000
2018/19 $6,000,000 $2,400,000 $2,000,000
2019/20 $2,400,000 $2,000,000
2020/21 $2,400,000 $2,000,000
2021/22 $2,400,000

In some cases, it can be advantageous to wait until September to waive a player and use the stretch provision. If a team isn’t close to the tax line and can’t clear additional cap room by stretching a player’s current-year salary, it may make more sense to be patient, since that extra immediate cap room wouldn’t be useful.

However, there are several teams around the NBA who may be motivated to waive and stretch players prior to that August 31 deadline. Here are five stretch provision candidates to keep an eye on during the next couple weeks:

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Key 2017 NBA Preseason Dates

The most notable dates of the 2017 NBA offseason are behind us now that we’re through the draft and the free agent period. However, there are still a number of dates and deadlines to keep an eye on in the coming weeks and months before teams take the court again to kick off the 2017/18 regular season.

The list below doesn’t include every event or deadline that will take place prior to opening night on October 17, but these are several of the most important upcoming dates for teams and players.

Here’s the breakdown:

August 31:

  • Last day teams can waive players and apply the stretch provision to their 2017/18 salaries. After August 31, teams can still use the stretch provision players who have multiple years left on their contracts, but their ’17/18 cap hits will remain unchanged.

September 5:

  • Last day for teams to issue required tenders to unsigned second-round picks; those players become free agents on September 6 if not tendered.

September 26 (approximate; may vary by team):

  • Training camps begin.

October 1:

  • Last day for a restricted free agent to sign his qualifying offer, unless his team agrees to extend the deadline. If an RFA is still unsigned after October 1, he remains restricted, but can no longer sign that one-year QO. [RELATED: Latest on unsigned RFAs]

October 14:

  • Last day for players on fully non-guaranteed contracts to be waived and not count at all against a team’s 2017/18 cap. They must clear waivers before the first day of the regular season.

October 16:

  • Last day of offseason.
  • Roster limits decrease from 20 players to 15.
  • Last day for teams to sign a player to a rookie scale extension. [RELATED: Players eligible for rookie scale extensions]
  • Last day for teams to sign a player to a veteran extension in certain scenarios. Extension-eligible veteran contracts with more than one season remaining can’t be extended after October 16; designated veteran extensions can’t be signed after October 16.
  • Last day for teams to complete sign-and-trade deals.
  • Last day for teams to convert an Exhibit 10 contract into a two-way contract. [RELATED: Details on Exhibit 10 contracts]

October 17:

Traded Second Round Picks For 2018 NBA Draft

The 2018 NBA draft is over 10 months away, but many teams have already traded their respective second round picks for that night, and more clubs are likely to do so before this season’s trade deadline.

We’ll use the space below to keep tabs on each team’s second round pick for 2018, continually updating it as necessary throughout the year. Our list of traded first round picks for 2018 can be found right here.

We’ve listed all 30 teams here, so even if a team hasn’t traded its second round pick, that will be noted. We’ll also provide details on protections or swap-rights for each traded pick, including what happens to the pick in 2019 if it doesn’t change hands in 2018. The conditions on certain traded second round picks can be complicated, so feel free to ask for clarification in the comments section if anything is unclear.

Here’s the full breakdown on the status of each 2018 second round pick:

Atlantic

  • Boston Celtics: Traded to Thunder (top-55 protected).
    • If not conveyed in 2018, Celtics’ obligation to Thunder is extinguished.
  • Brooklyn Nets: Traded to Sixers or Hornets.
    • Philadelphia will receive more favorable of Nets and Cavaliers picks; Charlotte will receive less favorable.
  • New York Knicks: Traded to Sixers or Nuggets.
    • Philadelphia will receive more favorable of Clippers and Knicks picks; Denver will receive less favorable.
  • Philadelphia 76ers: Own pick.
  • Toronto Raptors: Traded to Suns (unprotected).

Central

  • Chicago Bulls: Traded to Knicks (unprotected).
  • Cleveland Cavaliers: Traded to Sixers or Hornets.
    • Philadelphia will receive more favorable of Nets and Cavaliers picks; Charlotte will receive less favorable.
  • Detroit Pistons: Own pick.
  • Indiana Pacers: Traded to Nets (45-60 protected).
    • If not conveyed in 2018, 45-60 protected in 2019.
  • Milwaukee Bucks: Traded to Nets (if it falls between 31-47) or Suns (if it falls between 48-60).
    • If sent to Nets, Bucks’ obligation to Suns is extinguished; if sent to Suns, Bucks will send unprotected 2020 second-round pick to Nets.

Southeast

  • Atlanta Hawks: Traded to Clippers (top-55 protected).
    • If not conveyed in 2018, Hawks’ obligation to Clippers is extinguished.
  • Charlotte Hornets: Traded to Grizzlies, Magic, or Rockets.
    • Memphis will receive most favorable of Hornets, Heat, and Grizzlies picks. Orlando will receive second most favorable. Houston will receive least favorable.
  • Miami Heat: Traded to Grizzlies, Magic, or Rockets.
    • Memphis will receive most favorable of Hornets, Heat, and Grizzlies picks. Orlando will receive second most favorable. Houston will receive least favorable.
  • Orlando Magic: Can swap own pick for Lakers pick if Lakers pick is more favorable.
  • Washington Wizards: Own pick.

Northwest

  • Denver Nuggets: Traded to Lakers (unprotected).
  • Minnesota Timberwolves: Own pick.
  • Oklahoma City Thunder: Own pick.
  • Portland Trail Blazers: Traded to Mavericks or Kings.
    • Sacramento will receive more favorable of Trail Blazers and Kings picks; Dallas will receive less favorable.
  • Utah Jazz: Own pick.

Pacific

  • Golden State Warriors: Traded to Nuggets (unprotected).
  • Los Angeles Clippers: Traded to Sixers or Nuggets.
    • Philadelphia will receive more favorable of Clippers and Knicks picks; Denver will receive less favorable.
  • Los Angeles Lakers: Traded to Nets or Magic.
    • Brooklyn will receive less favorable of Magic and Lakers picks; Orlando will receive more favorable.
  • Phoenix Suns: Traded to Grizzlies (top-55 protected).
    • If not conveyed in 2018, Suns’ obligation to Grizzlies is extinguished.
  • Sacramento Kings: Can swap own pick for Trail Blazers pick if Blazers pick is more favorable.

Southwest

  • Dallas Mavericks: Traded to Bucks (top-55 protected).
    • If not conveyed in 2018, Mavericks’ obligation to Bucks is extinguished.
  • Houston Rockets: Traded to Sixers (unprotected).
  • Memphis Grizzlies: Will own most favorable of Hornets, Heat, and Grizzlies picks. Orlando will receive second most favorable. Houston will receive least favorable.
  • New Orleans Pelicans: Own pick.
  • San Antonio Spurs: Own pick.

Information from RealGM was used in the creation of this post.

Traded First Round Picks For 2018 NBA Draft

The 2018 NBA draft is over 10 months away, but several teams have already traded their respective first round picks for that night, and more clubs are likely to do so before this season’s trade deadline.

We’ll use the space below to keep tabs on each team’s first round pick for 2018, continually updating it as necessary throughout the year. Our list of traded second round picks for 2018 can be found right here.

We’ve listed all 30 teams here, so even if a team hasn’t traded its first round pick, that will be noted. We’ll also provide details on protections for each traded pick, including what happens to the pick in 2019 if it doesn’t change hands in 2018.

Here’s the full breakdown on the status of each 2018 first round pick:

Atlantic

  • Boston Celtics: Own pick.
  • Brooklyn Nets: Traded to Cavaliers (unprotected).
  • New York Knicks: Own pick.
  • Philadelphia 76ers: Own pick.
  • Toronto Raptors: Traded to Nets (lottery-protected).
    • If not conveyed in 2018, lottery-protected in 2019.

Central

  • Chicago Bulls: Own pick.
  • Cleveland Cavaliers: Traded to Lakers (top-3 protected).
  • Detroit Pistons: Traded to Clippers (top-4 protected).
    • If not conveyed in 2018, top-4 protected in 2019.
  • Indiana Pacers: Own pick.
  • Milwaukee Bucks: Traded to Suns (top-10 protected and 17-30 protected).
    • If not conveyed in 2018, top-three protected and 17-30 protected in 2019.

Southeast

  • Atlanta Hawks: Own pick.
  • Charlotte Hornets: Own pick.
  • Miami Heat: Traded to Suns (top-7 protected).
    • If not conveyed in 2018, unprotected in 2019.
  • Orlando Magic: Own pick.
  • Washington Wizards: Own pick.

Northwest

  • Denver Nuggets: Own pick.
  • Minnesota Timberwolves: Traded to Hawks (lottery-protected).
    • If not conveyed in 2018, lottery-protected in 2019.
  • Oklahoma City Thunder: Traded to Timberwolves (lottery-protected).
    • If not conveyed in 2018, lottery-protected in 2019.
  • Portland Trail Blazers: Own pick.
  • Utah Jazz: Own pick.

Pacific

  • Golden State Warriors: Own pick.
  • Los Angeles Clippers: Own pick.
  • Los Angeles Lakers: Traded to Sixers or Celtics (Boston receives it if falls between Nos. 2 and 5; otherwise, Philadelphia receives it).
  • Phoenix Suns: Own pick.
  • Sacramento Kings: Own pick.

Southwest

  • Dallas Mavericks: Own pick.
  • Houston Rockets: Traded to Hawks (top-3 protected).
    • If not conveyed in 2018, top-3 protected in 2019.
  • Memphis Grizzlies: Own pick.
  • New Orleans Pelicans: Traded to Bulls (top-5 protected).
    • If not conveyed in 2018, top-8 protected in 2019.
  • San Antonio Spurs: Own pick.

Information from RealGM was used in the creation of this post.

What’s Next For Unsigned Restricted Free Agents?

An unusually high number of notable restricted free agents remain unsigned as August nears its halfway point, and the rumor mill has been quiet on those players as of late. After the league-wide free agent spending spree in the summer of 2016, many of these RFAs likely entered free agency this year anticipating huge paydays, and were disappointed to see many potential suitors use up their cap room quickly.

Here’s the current list of restricted free agents still on the board:Nikola Mirotic vertical

The updates on those players have been few and far between over the last month or so. Early in free agency, Green’s agent seemed pessimistic about his client remaining in Memphis, suggesting that the Grizzlies seemed to be going in a “different direction.” However, with no offer sheet yet in hand, Green still looks like a decent bet to stay with his current team.

Plumlee, meanwhile, may not have as clear as role as the Nuggets initially envisioned when they acquired him, since the team nabbed Paul Millsap in free agency. Denver gave up a lot in the trade for Plumlee and presumably still wants to bring him back as Nikola Jokic‘s backup at center. But with Millsap making approximately $30MM annually and Jokic due for a mega-deal of his own as soon as next summer, the Nuggets may be reluctant to invest heavily in Plumlee as well.

As for Len, Mirotic, and Noel, there has been little indication that they’re going anywhere — all three of their respective teams still have a ton of cap flexibility, and could comfortably match virtually any offer sheet they’re dealt. Those offer sheets just don’t seem to be out there right now, since almost every team with the ability to make a big offer has its own RFA to worry about.

Besides Phoenix, Chicago, and Dallas, there are a small number of teams that could make an aggressive offer for a restricted free agent. The Sixers are really the only other club with a significant amount of leftover cap room, and based on their one-year agreements with J.J. Redick and Amir Johnson, it appears Bryan Colangelo and company want to avoid multiyear commitments that would compromise their 2018 cap space.

So what’s next for these restricted free agents? October 1 is the next key date to watch. That’s the day that each RFA’s qualifying offer will expire. Up until that point, any of those five players could accept the qualifying offer and play on a one-year deal, opting to try his luck at the open market again in 2018 as an unrestricted free agent. Green, Len, Mirotic, Noel, and Plumlee all figure to still be looking for longer-term deals, but it wouldn’t surprise me to see one or two of them signs that QO.

If an RFA situation remains unresolved beyond October 1, the player is still restricted, but no longer has the option of accepting his qualifying offer. With the regular season fast approaching at that point, players don’t have much leverage, and a situation can go south in a hurry.

A year ago, it was December before Donatas Motiejunas finally found an offer sheet, but that lucrative four-year deal with the Nets fell through after Houston matched it — the Rockets and Motiejunas couldn’t agree on incentive details, the forward skipped his physical, and the two sides eventually parted ways. Motiejunas, who later signed for the minimum and is now out of the NBA, could act as a cautionary tale this fall for RFAs who don’t yet have a deal when training camps begin.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

2017’s Top 10 Free Agent Deals By Guaranteed Money

On Sunday, we examined this offseason’s top 10 free agent deals in terms of average annual value. That list included players like Kevin Durant and J.J. Redick, who signed short-term deals but will earn more money during the 2017/18 season than all but a handful of this year’s free agent signees.

In terms of overall guaranteed money though, those deals for Durant and Redick don’t rank among this summer’s top 10. All of the new contracts that include the most total guaranteed money are multiyear pacts, with many of them running for four or five years.

This year’s top 10 free agent contracts in terms of total guaranteed money are listed below, with the help of our Free Agent Tracker and salary information from Basketball Insiders.

Our numbers below incorporate player options, but not team options or non-guaranteed salary. The thinking: If a team waives a player before the end of his contract, he’s guaranteed to receive his player-option salary, but not team-option or non-guaranteed money. Players whose contracts include final-year player options are marked with an asterisk.

Here’s the top 10:

  1. Stephen Curry (Warriors): $201,158,790 (five years)
  2. Blake Griffin (Clippers): $171,174,820 (five years)*
  3. Jrue Holiday (Pelicans): $131,100,000 (five years)*
  4. Gordon Hayward (Celtics): $127,829,970 (four years)*
  5. Otto Porter (Wizards): $106,524,978 (four years)*
  6. Kyle Lowry (Raptors): $93,000,000 (three years)
  7. Tim Hardaway Jr. (Knicks): $70,950,000 (four years)*
  8. Serge Ibaka (Raptors): $65,000,000 (three years)
  9. Danilo Gallinari (Clippers): $64,762,737 (three years)
  10. Paul Millsap (Nuggets): $61,000,000 (two years) — Third year is team option

As was the case in our list of top 10 free agent deals by annual value, Curry sits at No. 1, and his overall guarantee really hammers home how massive his new deal is. While Curry’s new deal tops $200MM, only four other free agents signed for more than $100MM in guaranteed money, and the gap between Curry’s contract and the 10th-biggest deal exceeds $140MM.

It’s also worth noting that leading up to free agency, there was a belief that maximum salary contracts would be prevalent, with players like Holiday, Lowry, Millsap, and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope all viewed as candidates to sign for the max. Ultimately, only Curry, Hayward, and Porter got true maximum salary contracts — Griffin’s deal fell a little short, while players like Lowry, Millsap, and Caldwell-Pope couldn’t even get the max on shorter-term pacts.

2017’s Top 10 Free Agent Deals By Annual Value

It’s taken two offseasons but NBA fans are finally starting to get used to the “new normal” when it comes to player contracts. This year we saw some of the league’s richest deals ever handed out, with sums far exceeding even last year’s historic agreements.

Of course, this is the new era of professional basketball and after a somewhat unpredictable spending spree last offseason, the market balanced itself out in 2017 thanks in no small part to fewer teams having boatloads of available cap space.

Here’s a quick look at what this summer’s top earners will bring home on their new deals. The figures take only guaranteed money into account and are sorted by annual value.

Stephen Curry, Warriors: $40.2MM over 5 years.
Blake Griffin, Clippers: $33.1MM over 4 years.
Gordon Hayward, Celtics: $31.2MM over 3 years.
Kyle Lowry, Raptors: $31.0MM over 3 years
Paul Millsap, Nuggets: $30.5MM over 2 years.
Otto Porter, Wizards: $26.0MM over 3 years.
Jrue Holiday, Pelicans: $26.0MM over 4 years
Kevin Durant, Warriors: $25.0MM over 1 year.
J.J. Redick, 76ers: $23.0MM over 1 year.
Serge Ibaka, Raptors: $21.7MM over 3 years.

Below, by contrast, are the top 10 annual values* dolled out just four summers ago in 2013.

Dwight Howard, Rockets: $21.9MM over 4 years.
Chris Paul, Clippers: $21.5MM over 5 years.
Al Jefferson, Bobcats/Hornets: $13.5MM over 3 years.
Josh Smith, Pistons: $13.5MM over 4 years.
Andrew Bynum, Cavaliers: $12.4MM over 2 years.
David West, Pacers: $12.2MM over 3 years.
Andre Iguodala, Warriors: $12.0MM over 4 years.
Nikola Pekovic, Timberwolves: $12.0MM over 5 years.
Tyreke Evans, Pelicans: $11.0MM over 4 years.
Paul Millsap, Hawks: $9.5MM over 2 years.

*Values include non-guaranteed money.

Weekly Mailbag: 8/7/17 – 8/13/17

We have an opportunity for you to hit us up with your questions in this, our weekly mailbag feature. Have a question regarding player movement, the salary cap or the NBA draft? Drop us a line at HoopsRumorsMailbag@Gmail.com.

Fact or fiction: Carmelo Anthony and Kyrie Irving will be on new teams before training camp begins. — Deven Parikh

These will be the top two stories to watch in the next six weeks or so until training camps open. To recap, Anthony has agreed to waive his no-trade clause, but so far only to join the Rockets, while Irving has asked Cavaliers owner Dan Gilbert for a trade so he can escape the long shadow of LeBron James. Whether the deals happen before camp starts — or at all –depends on how the front offices in New York and Cleveland view their situations. The Knicks have launched a youth movement that Anthony doesn’t fit. However, they don’t want to take on an expensive long-term contract in return, and the Rockets have to find a taker for Ryan Anderson to accommodate Anthony’s salary, so at least one more team is needed to make the deal work. The danger for the Knicks in holding onto Anthony is that he may not opt out of a nearly $28MM salary for 2018/19, limiting the team’s free agent options for another year. In Cleveland, it’s a matter of chemistry as the once-private feud between Irving and James is now very public and it’s almost impossible to imagine them co-existing for another season. The Knicks and Cavaliers will keep searching for the best deal, so this might take a while, but I expect Anthony and Irving to be both traded prior to camp and certainly before the season opens.

Who could the Thunder target in a trade that would make them contenders? I feel Thunder are one star away from being able to challenge Golden State. — Sawbone Sanchez

One more star to team with Russell Westbrook and Paul George would certainly make Oklahoma City a serious challenger. However, there aren’t any stars on the market right now except for Anthony and Irving and neither is a realistic option for OKC. The Thunder are also low on tradable assets after sending Victor Oladipo and Domantas Sabonis to the Pacers in exchange for George. Their best chance to add a star may come at the trade deadline in February, but to fit another hefty salary, they would have to find a taker for Steven Adams, who is owed $100MM over the next four years, or Enes Kanter, who will make nearly $17.9MM this season with an $18.6MM player option for 2018/19. Oklahoma City is also well over the cap for this season and the next one, so they will likely have to get by with the two stars they have.

Do you think the Lakers can make the playoffs this year with their current roster? – Armond Godfrey, via Twitter

L.A. has done a lot to improve over the offseason, trading for Brook Lopez, signing Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and drafting Lonzo Ball to add to an already-impressive collection of young talent. The Lakers will be better, but they still look overmatched in a loaded Western Conference. The team is coming off a 26-56 season, so just getting near .500 will be a significant improvement, but a .500 record won’t get them into the playoffs. Even so, the future is very bright in L.A., and if the rumors about George and LeBron joining the team next summer are true, the Lakers will be among the league’s elite teams again very quickly.