Offseason Outlook: Philadelphia 76ers

Hoops Rumors is looking ahead to offseason moves for all 30 teams. We’ll examine free agency, the draft, trades and other key storylines for each franchise as the summer approaches.

R.I.P. The Process (2013-2016)

After implementing one of the most unorthodox strategies in recent memory, the Sixers brought in Jerry Colangelo to be the team’s chairman of basketball operations. That was followed by Sam Hinkie stepping down with a glorious 13-page resignation letter, although some would say he was pushed out.

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Hinkie didn’t produce wins, as the team only won 47 games during his three seasons as the GM (six teams in the Eastern Conference won more than 47 games this season).  However, winning games during his first few seasons was never the goal. Hinkie’s focus was constructing a team that could grow and consistently compete for titles, yet there are not many pieces to that quixotic team on the current roster. The upcoming draft should provide at least more foundational piece, but even if Ben Simmons is the next coming of LeBron James, Philadelphia isn’t going claim a seat at the title contenders’ table during the next several seasons given the time it takes even the best prospects to elevate their franchise.

That being said, Hinkie’s tenure should not be considered a failure. He restocked a cupboard that was barren after the ill-fated Andrew Bynum deal and advocates of Hinkie will tell you that he never lost a trade. From the Jrue Holiday trade to the fleecing of the Kings, every deal put the franchise in a better position at least in the long-term. Nevertheless, the team’s array of first and second round picks does Hinkie no good while he’s sitting on his couch.

Colangelo has since shuffled into an advisory role and the team named his son the president of basketball operations and GM. Bryan Colangelo will begin his tenure with as much ammunition as one could reasonably ask for when taking over a struggling franchise.

Draft Outlook

  • First-round picks: 1st, 24th, 26th
  • Second-round picks: None

It will be shocking if the Sixers don’t select Simmons with the No.1 overall pick. The 19-year-old seems to be the favorite of coach Brett Brown and with his arsenal of skills, it’s easy to see why Simmons should be the pick. He’s a natural on the hardwood with the court vision of a seasoned point guard, as I detailed in my Prospect Profile of the former LSU Tiger. That, combined with his 6″10″, 240lb frame, gives him the ability to play any position on the floor.

Philadelphia will have more of a dilemma with the 24th and 26th picks. The team doesn’t have any young promising players in its backcourt, so adding a play-maker or two should be an objective. Demetrius Jackson or Tyler Ulis could be options. Dejounte Murray would be a nice pick if he’s not selected before the end of the first round. Murray will need some time to develop, but unless Colangelo brings in a batch of veterans, there will be minutes available to allow his game to grow.

The team doesn’t have a second round pick because of the 2012 draft night trade that brought in Arnett Moultrie. Moultrie trudged through two seasons in Philadelphia before being traded to the Knicks.

Potential Trades

The team could pick up one more draft pick if they decide to trade Jahlil Okafor to the Celtics in exchange for the No.3 pick. In that scenario, Jamal Murray has a great chance to be the selection. The Sixers reportedly believe he has more upside than anyone in the draft and he would be a nice fit for the team, as I wrote in my Prospect Profile of the 19-year-old.

Philadelphia has shopped Okafor and Nerlens Noel to approximately 15 teams, per Keith Pompey of the Philadelphia Inquirer. The front office seems dedicated to having a more balanced roster to start the 2016/17 campaign and trading one of their healthy big men would help achieve that goal.

The rumored Jeff Teague-Noel deal would give them a solid starter at the point guard position. Teague only has one year at $8MM left on his current deal and giving up Noel for a player who can bolt so soon certainly carries risk. However, if you examine the chain of events leading up to this potential trade, it’s an easier risk to take. During the 2013 draft, Philly traded Holiday for Noel and the pick that it used to acquire the rights to Dario Saric. Now, nearly three years later, the team ponders trading Noel for Teague, who has proved to be a better player than Holiday. That would be net win considering the Sixers still have the rights to Saric and they arn’t getting a vastly superior player in exchange for the offensively challenged center.

Derrick Rose is another option for the team to consider should the Bulls look to deal him. As I wrote in Okafor’s Trade Candidate piece, Philadelphia would give Rose a comfortable situation to re-establish himself as a star in this league. Trading a package headlined by Rose may not be enough for the Bulls to bring Okafor to Chicago, but some version of a Noel-Rose deal makes sense for both sides.

Free Agent Targets

With only slightly over $24.5MM in guaranteed salary on the books against a projected $92MM salary cap, the Sixers will likely be more involved in free agency this offseason than in previous years. That figure doesn’t include the non-guaranteed salaries for Robert Covington, Kendall Marshall, Jerami Grant and T.J. McConnell. All four have a good chance to be with the team next season, although Covington reportedly could be dealt to Atlanta in a Teague trade and McConnell or Marshall could be waived if the team brings aboard a point guard or two. Still, even it keeps all four and factoring in the team’s cap holds, Philly will have somewhere north of $46.8MM in available cap space.

Harrison Barnes would be a nice addition and it looks as if giving him a four year max contract will be necessary if an opposing team is going to lure him away from Golden State. The exact figure on Barnes’ potential max deal won’t be determined until July since the maximum salary is tied to the salary cap. The first year of a contract for a player with 4 years experience is roughly 25% of the salary cap. If we use the projected $92MM as that figure, Barnes would make an estimated $23MM during the 2016/17 and slightly under $98.4MM over the four seasons of his max deal. That’s not an ideal contract, but Philadelphia can afford to make such an offer because it doesn’t have any pricey long-term contracts on the books. Also, this offseason is the time to make that kind of risky offer. A potential max deal for Barnes or any free agent would coincide with a rookie deal for Simmons, who can make roughly $5.9MM next season. Simmons’ deal, which could pay him approximately $26.6MM over the next four seasons if selected with the No.1 pick, will immediately be one of the best deals in the NBA because of the cost controlled nature of rookie scale deals. Paying $28.9MM or slightly over 31.4% of your salary cap to Simmons and Barnes doesn’t appear as preposterous when you view the deals as a combined unit.

Joel Embiid‘s Health

Embiid has yet to play a minute of action since entering the NBA. He likely wont take part in summer league, as the team doesn’t want to take any chance that he won’t be ready for the 2016/17 campaign due to a setback. That sounds dreary, but the big man did look good in pregame drills during the latter half of last season when no one was defending him. Stay tuned.

Final Take

After years of trying, the Sixers actually landed the top overall pick and who they select with the pick will shape the franchise for years to come (Surely, there is a chance they select Brandon Ingram, but realistically speaking, Simmons will be the pick). How they decide to surround the No. 1 overall pick will determine how soon they are ready to compete. The team will produce more wins during the 2016/17 campaign than this past season, but that will be more of a testament to how bad Philly was over the last year and how the front office strategy has changed than how good the team actually will be. The future is bright in Philadelphia, but season ticket holders shouldn’t need to allocate funds for playoff tickets just yet.

 

Guaranteed Salary

Player Options

  • None

Team Options

  • Hollis Thompson ($1,015,696) — salary non-guaranteed even if option picked up

Non-Guaranteed Salary

Restricted Free Agents (Qualifying Offers/Cap Holds)

Unrestricted Free Agents (Cap Holds)

Other Cap Holds

Projected Salary Cap: $92,000,000

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16 Comments on "Offseason Outlook: Philadelphia 76ers"

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aarongill
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aarongill
3 months 24 days ago

As a Laker fan, I haven’t watched the Sixers much, only 2 games they played the Lakers and 2 games against the Warriors but I would say Okafor. Higher value than Noel and Noel is a better fit for the play style of today’s NBA. Okafor should net you a PG like Dunn or Murray. Sign some vets Wayne Ellington and DJ Augustin.

aarongill
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aarongill
3 months 24 days ago

I would say trade Okafor*

Aaron O
Member
Aaron O
3 months 23 days ago

I’m not sure I’d be so quick to trade Okafor, though I agree with what you saidm. There are a lot of competent guards aroun, but there aren’t many big men with okafor’s skill set. This doesnt seem like a great draft, and if okafor was in a draft with Dunn, or murra, okafors would go before them.

I might hold out until next year and see how he plays with Simmons.

Greendogg
Member
Greendogg
3 months 24 days ago

Ok, lets forget whether this can happen or not but;
trade Okafor for Celt’s number three pick and get Jamal Murray. Get Simmons, get free agents DeRozan and Conley and Dellavedova and you have a team a bit like this.
Starters: Conley Murray De Rozan Simmons Embid
Bench: Dellavedova Staukas Covington Sarich Noel.
Throw in Picks 24 and 26 0r whatever they have,, maybe trade for a bit more veteran role player help,

that squad (best case scenario) is making the playoffs.

Why can’t they try and make this happen???

chuckn9ne
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chuckn9ne
3 months 24 days ago

That is incredibly optimistic that they even sign one of derozan dellevadova or Conley

JT19
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JT19
3 months 24 days ago

In previous offseasons, signing big names would’ve been somewhat possible for the 76ers…but not this offseason. The only thing the 76ers have to offer is cap space, and almost every other team has it. Putting location, franchise history, and branding aside…teams like the Lakers, Knicks, and Magic are more attractive options than the 76ers because not only could they still get the money they want but the team is farther along in their respective rebuilds as compared to the 76ers.

basicmo
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basicmo
3 months 23 days ago

Agreed . Some of these guys don’t factor in that to get a free agent or make a trade it takes two willing participants. Moving forward is gonna be more organic than not. Unless colangelo screws this up by signing has been FA and making a bad trade like the rumored Noel – Teague trade.

Aaron O
Member
Aaron O
3 months 23 days ago

Are the lakers really better off? I’m not so sure…but they’re still more attractive because it’s LA.

Luke
Member
Luke
3 months 23 days ago
My ideal draft for the sixers this year is to get Ben Simmons with the first pick and surround him with wing players, specifically ones that can shoot. Draft Ben Simmons #1, and then trade Okafor to Boston for #3 and #16. (Keep Noel over Okafor because Noel is a rim protector that you need to play next to Simmons, bc Simmons isn’t protecting the rim. Also, Noel has a lower usage rate, meaning the ball can spend more time in Simmons hands with compromising Noel’s effectiveness). With the 3rd pick, draft Jamal Murray. Kris Dunn is an alright option,… Read more »
smittybanton
Member
smittybanton
3 months 23 days ago

#keepallthebigsunlessthetradeisawin

Draft: Ben Simmons, Malik Beasley, Dejounte Murray
Free Agency/Trades1: Derrick Rose (22.5M) TJ McConnell, Richaun Holmes
Free Agency/Trades2: Evan Fournier ($21.5M) PHI19 (sign and trade)
Free Agency/Trades3: Dion Waiters ($15-17M)

DRose, Fournier, BSimmons, JOkafor, JEmbiid
DWaiters, NStauskas, RCovington, JGrant, NNoel
DMurray, MBeasley, HThompson, DSaric, CLandry

2017: (Cap 92M->$108-112M) + (xRose, xLandry, xStauskas ~ $35M) = $50-55M capspace, plus PHI/SAC17, LA17.

Thanks Hinkie!!!! Get to work, Bryan…

smittybanton
Member
smittybanton
3 months 23 days ago

2017:

BSimmons, EFournier, GHaywood, JOkafor, JEmbiid
DWaiters, RCovington, JGrant, DSaric, NNoel
DeAaron Fox, DMurray, MBeasley, HThompson, Edrice Adebayo

Nederoski
Member
Nederoski
3 months 23 days ago
I had the good fortune of working at Lehigh when CJ McCollum went to school there, and I was devastated when the Blazers took him one spot before the Sixers at the #10 spot in the draft. Ever since I’ve been waiting for an opportunity to grab him and the situation the team finds itself in now could be perfect. I would flip Okafor in a heartbeat if it meant getting McCollum in return, even if we had to include one of our late first round picks or someone like Covington to make the package work. If the Sixers somehow… Read more »
JT19
Guest
JT19
3 months 23 days ago

No way it happens. McCollum has much more value than Okafor at this point (McCollum has established himself as a 2nd option, Okafor has a good old-man offensive game). Okafor plus one of the late first rounders and/or Covington is still not enough.

Z-A
Member
Z-A
3 months 23 days ago
FAs: I don’t see Barnes breaking out into a James Harden-esque 3rd wheel to superstar, let someone else pay him Max. If fans were upset that Iggy wasn’t “the man” they’ll destroy the brass for maxing Barnes. I’d rather have Brandon Jennings & Kent Bazemore at much better rates. Player Trades: Get Derrick Rose outside your mind, he’s a shell of himself, as bad a shooter as MCW. If they are going to trade for a guard, trade Noel+x for Brandon Knight or Eric Bledsoe – Chandler wants out, I’ve been saying it for a while, now they are just… Read more »
bern
Member
bern
3 months 21 days ago

trade okafor for celtics 3rd pick then select murray . Then you sign a 3 and D guy. Like courtney lee or Bazemore. If embiid is really gonna then pair him with saric which can stretch the floor and provide ball movement(a.k.a Diaw) then You got a very good starting line up.

PG: Jammal Murray
SG:Courtney lee or bazemore
SF: Ben simmons
PF: Dario Saric
C: Joel embiid

bern
Member
bern
3 months 21 days ago

if embiid is really gonna turn out to be a great and healthy center*

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